Monday 6/24/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:26 AM

Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 24, 2024 | By Al Cimaglia
Yonkers Raceway has a 10-race card. The 0.50 Pick 5 with a $10,000 guaranteed pool rolls in Race 5. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 7, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7 (9:00 PM EST)

2-None Bettor A (5/2)-Drops and Matt Kakaley should be out and rolling. Could get a close-up seat, and this is a beatable field, but the price will be small.
4-Funatthebeach N (5-1)-Fits at this class as long as Jordon Stratton doesn’t have to come from way back off the pace. Should land a good seat here and may leave to get the top. Either way is worth a swing at the morning line price.

Race 8 (9:20 PM EST)

2-Covered Bridge (8-1)-It’s risky but my play will be to fade #8 Energetic Hanover who is seeking its 4th straight win. Stratton could get the jump, land on the point and be tough to tackle.
5-Hellabalou (4-1)-This is competitive affair, will look for Joe B to leave and could land in the pocket. The Burke trainee knows how to win here, has taken 9 pictures in 30 races at the Hill Top.
7-Boiling Oar (10-1)-This rounds out the 3 horses who will be a good price and have enough gate speed to get a decent seat early on. Kakaley will have to provide a sharp steer. Does like the top but should be put in play if that isn’t in the cards as the pace could be hot.

Race 9 (9:40 PM EST)

1-Jahan Hanover (5-1)-Draws the rail, drops and Bartlett will be steering tonight. Should offer a square price and looks like a player.
4-Nuatical Hanover (9/2)-Dan Dube provided a nice steer and came off cover to win the last start with a 55.4 back half. Faces better, could double up following a similar plan and will be much better than 4/5 tonight.
5-Sonny Weaver N (7/2)-Has been in good form and just missed last week versus a well-meant winner. Stratton has the gate speed to get on the engine and make every call a winning one.

Race 10 (10:00 PM EST)

3-Hunting Zone (5/2)-The Lorentzon pupil could be on top or sitting in the pocket behind the morning line chalk #4. Either trip could lead to a picture.
4-Racing Rampage (2-1)-Faced some tough competition as a 3-year-old and only posted 2 wins but banked over $104K. Lands in the Alexander barn, Kakaley will steer and will be making its Yonkers debut. Hasn't had a race on the oval and will still probably be bet down like the race is already over. Not sure the 4-year-old can win if not leading when they turn for the wire.

$1.00 Late Pick 4

2,4/2,5,7/1,4,5/3,4
Total Bet=$36

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:27 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Presque Isle Downs - Race #2

#1 Versace Summer	Would want her on the tickets while making the third start off the break and getting back to a route trip. She wasn't hopelessly embarrassed in a two-turn try with better here last season. Price should be right.
#3 Fight in the Dog	Stretchout player could blow these out with her early speed while not meeting much other serious pace, and she proved a good overall fit at this level last time out. Lot of things working in her favor on the stretchout.
#9 Bet the Howes	She seems like one of the ones, but she has never been too honest and is no sure thing to show up. Better stuff would do -- she ran OK in a couple route tries last year.
Race Summary	Versace Summer isn't much, but there isn't much in here outside of the other listed pair, and she is worth a short look while trying a longer trip with this kind of crew.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #3

#2 Nice Ace	Going to try to pair the price from the last race into this chalk who should be tough while stretching out in the second start back. He can probably walk this field along the entire way as the controlling pace. Short price is going to be tough.
#3 Declared	A couple of those tries here last season might keep him in the frame with the top choice, but he also has some tables to turn out of the comeback run. Some obvious upside.
#4 Extrasexybigdaddee	He has always been super honest over the local footing, but he was no match for the top choice when they met here last season. Not out of the question, but I wouldn't be that excited about landing here at the 5/2 ML offering.
Race Summary	Nice Ace is going to get bet hard in here, but he has a lot of things working in his favor today while going second off the bench. He should control the tempo from the start.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#1 Legio	Give me a little price in the last with a guy who just took a decent step forward last time out and might have a sneaky chance with any additional kind of step in the right direction. He was competitive here last season, too.
#6 Muttley	He can be tough while looking for a third score in a row since showing up with the locals, and his positional pace should leave him in another great spot early on. Forward threat to do it again.
#5 Aesthetically	He has typically faced better than the bunch he's going to find today, and he might be able to find a one-paced kind of run that stacks up well enough for a piece.
Race Summary	Legio was in the mix at this kind of level a couple times last year, but he still figures to offer a decent number on the board with a bit more room to improve.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:28 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Louisiana Downs - Race #1

#2 MDA SENORITA RUN (9-2)	Can rally into contention with livelier pace flow in third start.
#4 ABBEY CAKES (3-1)	Marked improvement in latest long sprint, out-kicked by the favorite.
#6 LAST WINE FOR ME (7-2)	Good speed in first two starts, has to carry it farther for new barn.
Race Summary	MDA SENORITA RUN showed some late foot behind a pair of 8-to-5 winners to start her career. She changes riders and should get more pace to rally into at a decent price. Bet to win and place and play a 2-4-6 exacta box.

Louisiana Downs - Race #2

#5 MID WEST FUN (9-2)	Class drop and added ground could make winning difference.
#3 CUPIE CUTIE (5-2)	Dueled to stretch in route race at this level, ran third to fall to 0-for-25.
#7 LONG SHOT LOUISE (7-2)	Hit board in three shorter sprints locally before troubled trip in latest.
Race Summary	MID WEST FUN, second in her first long sprint attempt two starts ago, showed some late interest but was no serious threat at a notch above last out. She gets an extra half-furlong for a hot trainer-jockey tandem. Bet to win and place and play 5-3 and 5-7 exactas.

Louisiana Downs - Race #4

#1 WESTERN AFLEET (10-1)	Speed and the rail, second start for a tag, price stab for new connections.
#5 ROCK SOLID WORDS (2-1)	Projects ideal trip in repeat bid for high-percentage claim barn.
#6 SILKY’S DANCE (5-2)	Steady check-getting sprinter, but he hasn’t won since 2022.
Race Summary	WESTERN AFLEET was fractious in the gate, but he rushed to the front, dueled with the second favorite through the turn and gave way to the winning favorite and others in the stretch. He earned his top speed figure and is worth a win and place bet to carry his speed a half-furlong farther off the claim.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:28 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

PURCHASE

Fort Erie - Race 2	WPS, Exactor, 20 Cent Triactor, Daily Double, 20 Cent Superfecta 20 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4), 20 Cent Guaranteed $10,000 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5)
Maiden Claiming $6,250 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 49 • Purse: $18,900 • Post: 4:58P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, IF FOR $6,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (*PLUS UP TO $540 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDERS AWARDS).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. THIRSTY DATE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ROYAL CHROME: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. THIRSTY DATE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. RUMOURS FLY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
5	ROYAL CHROME	9/2	7/2
2	THIRSTY DATE	5/1	9/2
4	RUMOURS FLY	9/5	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	THIRSTY DATE	2	5/1	Front-runner	66	49	64.4	24.0	15.0
5	ROYAL CHROME	5	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	70	63	47.9	47.9	43.9
4	RUMOURS FLY	4	9/5	Alternator/Stalker	61	44	28.9	40.9	35.9
3	ASHWICKEN	3	2/1	Alternator/Stalker	56	37	18.4	38.2	34.2
6	LEA'S SUNSHINE	6	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	41.7	49.3	38.3
1	HELECONIA	1	12/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	36.0	36.0	28.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:28 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Special WagerPURCHASE

Special Wager - Race 3	Leg 3 of the Horseshoe Turf Pick 3
Maiden Special • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Age 2 • CR: 62 • Purse: $43,520 • Post: 5:47P
IND - R8 - (RAIL AT 48 FEET). FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * GO TOWN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. REINING FLOWERS: Horse has th e highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. GOOD LOOKING: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
7	GO TOWN	5/1	4/1
4	REINING FLOWERS	9/2	4/1
1	GOOD LOOKING	10/1	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	GOOD LOOKING	1	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	62	39	62.5	46.1	41.1
6	SEVILLA	6	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	48.5	41.3	32.3
4	REINING FLOWERS	4	9/2	Trailer	63	59	39.8	55.9	52.4
7	GO TOWN	7	5/1	Alternator/Trailer	63	57	55.0	54.0	49.0
11	OCEAN STAR	11	20/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	52.1	30.3	22.8
3	MRS CHOFIS	3	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	33.2	27.5	17.5

Unknown Running Style: LA JENELLE (20/1) [Jockey: Bermudez Samuel E - Trainer: James Gerald], TIGERISH (6/1) [Jockey: Cannon Declan - Trainer: Kenneally Eddie], TOTAL HEART (5/2) [Jockey: Saez Gabriel - Trainer: Lynch Brian A], WELL AWARE (12/1) [Joc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:29 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Horseshoe Indianapolis

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $43520 Class Rating: 62

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 GOOD LOOKING 10/1
# 7 GO TOWN 5/1
# 11 OCEAN STAR 20/1

I've got to go with GOOD LOOKING and is a respectable value-based bet given the 10/1 line. Ought to compete quite well in the early pace clash which bodes well with this field. Is hard not to consider given the company run in recently. GO TOWN - Could provide positive gains based on very good recent Speed Figures with an average of 57. Recorded a reliable speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. OCEAN STAR - Have to consider solely on class, with some of the most respectable class figures of this group. Don't let this filly slip past you. Could prove victorious at a big price.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:29 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 9:05pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,900 Class Rating: 56

Rating:

#5 HERE COMES LOVIE (ML=7/5)

HERE COMES LOVIE - Have to make this mare a solid contender; she comes off a sharp outing on June 10th. I like this mare. Has the top earnings per start in this contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 FORGLO (ML=1/1), #2 RED ROSEBUSH (ML=8/1),

FORGLO - I don't normally play a morning-line choice that hasn't been to the track in the last few weeks. RED ROSEBUSH - Hard to put any cash on this mare on the top end. Likes to hit the board though. Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any sort of closing ability on June 10th.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #5 HERE COMES LOVIE on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:29 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $50000 Class Rating: 77

ONTARIO COUNTY S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS, FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE BRED REGISTRY. THIS RACE WILL BE CONTESTED LASIX FREE. NO NOMINATION FEE. $250 TO ENTER. TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 10% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 2% TO FIFTH, AND 1% TO SIXTH, SEVENTH AND EIGHTH. WEIGHT: 122 LBS. WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKE TO CARRY AN ADDITIONAL 2

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 MISCHIEF JOKE 9/5
# 2 STARS N STONES 5/2
# 5 AELFGAR 4/1

My pick in this race is MISCHIEF JOKE. Has run well when racing a dirt sprint race. Could beat this group of horses given the 66 speed figure recorded in his last outing. Seems to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept. STARS N STONES - Change in Lasix (now going off Lasix) may be the secret to a turn around. With Coa on top him, this gelding will most likely be able to break out early in this race. AELFGAR - This pick will feel the med change - now going off Lasix today. Could best this group of horses in this race here, showing very good figures of late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-24-2024, 08:29 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Thistledown - Race #4 - Post: 2:20pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#5 QADIRA (ML=4/1)
#6 CHARLOTTES WAY (ML=15/1)
#4 WORKING HOLIDAY (ML=12/1)

QADIRA - Houghton and Urieta partnered with one another are a horseplayer's friend. Taking a trip to a lower class rank; has the capability to make her presence felt. This one has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 55 to 59 to 67 in a row. CHARLOTTES WAY - This mare likes to be near the lead. Today's affair is a shorter distance and should increase her likelihood of winning. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five class rating points like this one did last out. I believe she'll be competitive at this class level. WORKING HOLIDAY - The jockey and trainer combination have a favorable ROI when they partner up. I believe Trevino is making a good move here. This filly can only benefit from the shorter trip. I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a pony coming back off a good contest within the last thirty days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 KISS ME ON OCONEE (ML=3/1), #9 KINDNESS IS FREE (ML=9/2), #3 SISTER CODE (ML=6/1),

KISS ME ON OCONEE - 3/1 is not worth it for any horse in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint race of late. KINDNESS IS FREE - The result of third in the last event shows me that this horse may be getting out of condition. This filly earned a rating in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event. SISTER CODE - Tough assignment for this horse to beat winners this time after only defeating maiden claimers in the last race. Hard to put any cash on this filly on the win end. Likes to end up on the board though. Finished first in her most recent race with a mediocre speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #5 QADIRA to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	5 with [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [4,5,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[4,5,6] with [4,5,6] with [3,4,5,6,9] with [3,4,5,6,9] Total Cost: $36