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Game: Nashville SC at Columbus Crew
Date/Time: Jul 21 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5% - top rated play
Play: Nashville SC +0.25 (-130)
MLS
Love the fact the Columbus won 2-1 at home against NYCFC this weekend as I think it's helping to fuel this line which I have Nashville -0.25 favorites on the road. Nashville has the best xG differential in the league at +0.97 per game thanks to the best xGA numbers in the league at just 0.95 per game. They also have just one single loss this year in 13 games.
As I mentioned, Columbus is coming off a 2-1 win this past weekend although I'm still not sure how they managed to hang on. They were able to score two goals in just six shots while they allowed a whopping 21 shots to NYCFC and 2.07 xG while generating just 0.73 xG. They play on the field simply did not mention the final score. They have struggled to generate chances all year and have the lowest xG average in all of MLS this year at just 0.84 xG per game, the only team to average less than 1.0 xG per game.
To make matters worse, they have several players missing due to Gold Cup international duty including their best playmaker, Gyasi Zardes playing with team USA and their lack of creativity once again showed against NYCFC. I feel like we will see similar numbers here in this game as Nashville should be able to push the issue and control the chances so I'll gladly grab the + goals here.
TAKE NASHVILLE +0.25
Line Parameter: 5% to +0 but pay up to -140 to get +0.25. Remember +0 is a 2-way spread where a draw is a void of your bet
MLB(Bob Balfe)
5:20 PM EST
Rotation #979-980
Padres/Braves Over 7.5 runs (Game 2)
Knehr/Wilson
Reiss Knehr only has a few MLB innings under his belt. Knehr walked too many batters at the minor league level and I expect him to put on a ton of free base runners. Bryse Wilson is giving up a lot of hits and a lot of homeruns. The humidity will rise as this game goes on. I think both teams bats will be warmed up from the first game and we will see a ton of runs put up on the board early and often. Take the Over.
1 - Philadelphia (+105) over N.Y. Yankees
1 - Houston (-1.5, -120) over Cleveland
1 - White Sox (-135) over Minnesota
3 - 'Over' 9.0 Texas at Detroit
1 - 'Over' 8.0 Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
8 - 'Over' 10.0 Philadelphia at N.Y. Yankees
Comment