Service Plays Sunday 11/15/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351013

    #16
    R.J. White

    CHI +3
    MIN @ CHI | 11/16 | 8:15 PM EST4:49 PM
    Vikings stock is as high as can be coming off two impressive wins where Dalvin Cook tallied 478 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns. Bears stock is as low as can be after losing three straight games, including an abysmal effort from Nick Foles' offense last week. But nothing is constant in the NFL, and I love this matchup for Chicago, a team that just limited the Titans offense to 228 yards and shut down Derrick Henry. Throw in Kirk Cousins absolutely flopping on Monday nights (0-9 ATS) and Chicago winning four straight against this Minnesota team, and it starts to look like this spread is well off the number it should be. Get +3 while you can.

    32-22-1 IN LAST 55 NFL PICKS | +760
    35-12-3 IN LAST 50 MIN ATS PICKS | +2152

    30-19-1 IN LAST 50 CHI ATS PICKS | +942
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 351013

      #17
      Brad Feinberg-

      Carolina, Cardinals best bet, Bears, Steelers.
      Props- Miles Sanders over rushing yards, Leonard Fournette over rushing yards
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 351013

        #18
        marc lawrence

        NFL - 3* Game 269 - Seahawks (+2)
        Edges - Seahawks: 8-1 ATS away versus .600 or greater division foes; and 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS when coming off a SU favorite loss; and QB Russell Wilson is 13-1 SU and 10-1-3 ATS off a loss with revenge, including 5-0-1 ATS in division games … Rams: 6-17 ATS as division home favorites, including 1-8 ATS versus .500 or greater foes … We cement the deal with this from our NFL Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY ON any NFL road dog in Game Nine of the season with a win percentage of .700 or greater if they are coming off a non-division game in which they did not win by 12 or more points if they are facing a .750 or fewer opponent. We do this because these teams are 11-0 ATS in this role since 1980 … With that, we recommend a strong 3* play on Seattle. Thank you and good luck as always.


        NFL - 3* Game 277 - Chargers (+1.5)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 351013

          #19
          Carmine Bianco

          5% NFL Top Play

          Cleveland Browns -3
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 351013

            #20
            Vegas Synergy

            4% Miami Dolphins -3.0 (+108)

            (2.5 is the prevailing line everywhere, but my guess is it settles at 3, graded at Pinnacle -3)

            Miami did disappoint a bit against Arizona, as their defense really had some issues with Kyler's mobility. However, Miami did show true grit with key stops when it mattered late in 4th. Their offense showed some signs of life and looks promising going forward. Lets look at the situation. Miami is 5-3 and in great shape to contend for Playoff now, riding a wave of happiness because Boy Wonder is doing well and the team is winning on both sides of the ball. Chargers move to 2-6, wheres the future here? Same old blunders story. Lovable losers. That is just all observation and conjecture though. Math model supports this play easily prior to Tuesday morning updated version. Its safe to say there should be further separation based on Miami win and LAC loss.

            Quick highlights though. Miami was playing like a top 5D, they will drop a tad after being sliced and diced for 3 quarters, but they will gain from in offensive rating from their so so priors. Chargers came in last week at 24th Defense and slightly above avg O at #13.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 351013

              #21
              Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

              DOUBLE PLAY:
              Carolina +5.5

              SINGLE PLAYS:
              Green Bay -13.5
              Philadelphia -3.5
              Buffalo +2.5
              LA Chargers +1.5
              Cincinnati +7.5
              Buffalo-Arizona OVER 56.5
              Baltimore-New England under 43.5
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 351013

                #22
                Teddy Covers

                NFL Big Ticket

                5% Arizona Cardinals -2
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 351013

                  #23
                  Pick Six Podcast

                  PETE PRISCO

                  GREEN BAY-13
                  GREEN BAY OV
                  RAMS -1.5
                  RAMS OV
                  CHICAGO
                  BUFFALO OV

                  KENNY WHITE

                  ARIZONA
                  RAMS
                  CLEVELAND UN
                  SAN FRANCISCO OV
                  CHARGERS OV
                  PHILADELPHIA
                  BALTIMORE
                  MINNESOTA

                  R.J. WHITE

                  CLEVELAND -3
                  PHILADELPHIA -3
                  DENVER OV 51
                  ARIZONA -2
                  CHICAGO +2.5
                  TEASE BALTIMORE -1 WITH SEATTLE +7.5

                  WILL BRINSON

                  ARIZONA OV 56
                  CLEVELAND UN 49
                  CLEVELAND -3
                  GREEN BAY UN 50
                  SEATTLE OV 55.5
                  PHILADELPHIA -3
                  BALTIMORE -7
                  DENVER OV 51

                  PARLAY

                  PHILADELPHIA -3
                  CLEVELAND -3
                  DENVER OV
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 351013

                    #24
                    Cowherds Blazin 5

                    NYG
                    Miami
                    Rams
                    TB
                    SF-favorite pick of the week
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 351013

                      #25
                      R.J. White

                      ARI -2
                      BUF @ ARI | 11/15 | 4:05 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:29 PM
                      The Bills are coming off a pair of wins against two marquee franchises in the Patriots (a big win for Buffalo due to their history, no matter how bad the Pats have been) and Seahawks. With a bye next week, this is the perfect sleepy spot on the road for a Buffalo team that has been hot and cold all year. The Cardinals have a Thursday night game ahead so this would normally be a trap spot for them as well, but the fact they outplayed the Dolphins last week and lost is a great motivating factor. This Arizona run game should carve up the Bills defense, and Arizona is a solid 11th in pass defense DVOA. I think we're getting value under 3.

                      32-22-1 IN LAST 55 NFL PICKS | +760
                      15-10-1 IN LAST 26 BUF ATS PICKS | +397

                      SF +9
                      SF @ NO | 11/15 | 4:25 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:18 PM
                      Here's a situation where we're playing the spot more than anything. We have a 49ers team that just got embarrassed on national television versus a Saints team that just embarrassed its opponent on national television. The line jumped 2.5 points from the lookahead of Saints -6.5 and the public is still all over New Orleans, even though the Saints are 2-9 ATS as a home favorite of nine points or more in their last 11 such games. The 49ers defense ranks second in passer rating allowed on attempts of less than 10 yards, which is the Saints' bread and butter. With extra rest and a bye next week, the 49ers will open up the bag of tricks to stick around in the NFC West race.

                      32-22-1 IN LAST 55 NFL PICKS | +760
                      17-11 IN LAST 28 SF ATS PICKS | +495

                      9-4 IN LAST 13 NO ATS PICKS | +434

                      OVER 50.5
                      DEN @ LV | 11/15 | 4:05 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:08 PM
                      The only time this season a Raiders game hasn't gone Over 51 points came in that extremely windy Cleveland game, and the reason this team has been almost an autobet on the Over has been an offense that ranks fourth in the NFL in points per drive paired with a defense that ranks dead last in the same category. The Denver offense has flashed this year, showing that it can score on bad defenses. In fact, each of Denver's last two games featured 61 points of scoring. That's the type of game we should see here again with Derek Carr in the midst of an impressive season.

                      32-22-1 IN LAST 55 NFL PICKS | +760
                      3-1 IN LAST 4 LV O/U PICKS | +190

                      PHI -3
                      PHI @ NYG | 11/15 | 1:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:03 PM
                      The Eagles should be a team on the rise coming out of their bye with several key players looking like they're ready to return. All those injuries are a big season the Philadelphia offense has had issues this year, and when healthy this could still be an 9-win caliber team. The Giants, however, don't look anywhere near that level, with their only two wins nail-biters against Washington. The Eagles defense should have a field day, as they rank second in pressures per game while the Giants offense is worst in the league in that stat. That could mean a defensive score is in the cards, making it even easier to cover this number if the healthier offense can have any success.

                      32-22-1 IN LAST 55 NFL PICKS | +760
                      14-6 IN LAST 20 NYG ATS PICKS | +725

                      MIA -2.5
                      LAC @ MIA | 11/15 | 4:05 PM ESTTUE 11/10
                      Considering what we know now of the Dolphins, I think this line should be on the other side of 3, so I'm grabbing it now before it moves onto the key number. The Miami offense looked on point after getting involved in a shootout with Arizona, and Tua Tagovailoa was able to orchestrate enough offense to be a good Cardinals team on the road. Now they'll get to return home and face a not-so-good Chargers team that finds new ways to lose every week. The Dolphins defense has the personnel to match up with the Chargers offense and should be less susceptible to the run this week with L.A. dealing with injuries at RB. They make the difference in a Miami win and cover.

                      32-22-1 IN LAST 55 NFL PICKS | +760
                      5-1 IN LAST 6 LAC ATS PICKS | +393
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 351013

                        #26
                        Stephen Oh

                        BALTIMORE @ NEW ENGLAND | 11/15 | 8:20 PM EST
                        NEW ENGLAND +7
                        Baltimore looked good last week against Indianapolis, and New England looked mediocre on Monday against the winless Jets, and those results have pushed this line higher than it should be. Patriots quarterback Cam Newton has been solid the last two weeks and, on Monday, didn't have a turnover for the first time since Week 1. I think his good play continues, and he keeps New England in the game on Sunday. My model says the Patriots cover well over 50 percent of the time, so you're getting value at this number.

                        +210 10-7-1 IN LAST 18 NFL ATS PICKS
                        +731 15-7 IN LAST 22 NE ATS PICKS
                        +74 4-3-1 IN LAST 8 BAL ATS PICKS
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                        • golden contender
                          Senior Member
                          • Jun 2010
                          • 2863

                          #27
                          Rob V: Sunday Comp Play

                          Sunday card has the AFC North Game of the Year, an Executive Level Tier 1 Total, the Sunday night Play of the Month and another Top Level Nations League Soccer Play/ Comp play below.


                          The NFL Comp play for Sunday is on the Under in the Seattle at LA.Rams game at 4:25 eastern. This game fits the nice 29-5 under system that pertains to Division games where one team was a road favorite in their last game where they had multiple turnovers and punted at least once. There are a few other factors but the system has done well over the last 5 years. Seattle will have a tugher time scoring here against the Rams but have really put an emphasis this week in shoring up one of the worst pass defenses in the league. The Rams are off a bye and prior loss to Miami and will benefit from having the extra week of prepping for the vaunted Seattle offense. The Rams have gone under the last 5 and 7 of 10 here in the series have stayed under. Look for this game to go Under today. On Sunday a Powerful card is up and backed with the AFC North Game Of The Year, an Executive Level TIER 1 Total and the Sunday night Football Play of the Month. Football top 3 ranked on Multiple leaderboards. See us on facebook to jump on. For the NFL Comp play. Go with the Rams and Seahawks under the total. Rob V- GC Sports



                          O/U: 5-29-1

                          Oct 31, 2016 view Monday 8 2016 Vikings Bears away 0-3 3-10 0-7 7-0 10-20 -4.0 40.0 -10 -14 -10 -12.0 2.0 L L U 0
                          Dec 11, 2016 view Sunday 14 2016 Cowboys Giants away 7-0 0-0 0-10 0-0 7-10 -3.5 46.5 -3 -6.5 -29.5 -18.0 -11.5 L L U 0
                          Dec 15, 2016 view Thursday 15 2016 Seahawks Rams home 0-0 10-3 7-0 7-0 24-3 -16.0 39.0 21 5 -12 -3.5 -8.5 W W U 0
                          Dec 18, 2016 view Sunday 15 2016 Steelers Bengals away 3-10 6-10 6-0 9-0 24-20 -3.0 45.5 4 1.0 -1.5 -0.2 -1.2 W W U 0
                          Oct 01, 2017 view Sunday 4 2017 Broncos Raiders home 10-0 0-7 6-0 0-3 16-10 -3.0 45.5 6 3.0 -19.5 -8.2 -11.2 W W U 0
                          Oct 01, 2017 view Sunday 4 2017 Raiders Broncos away 0-10 7-0 0-6 3-0 10-16 3.0 45.5 -6 -3.0 -19.5 -11.2 -8.2 L L U 0
                          Oct 01, 2017 view Sunday 4 2017 Steelers Ravens away 3-0 16-0 0-9 7-0 26-9 -3.0 42.0 17 14.0 -7 3.5 -10.5 W W U 0
                          Oct 15, 2017 view Sunday 6 2017 Patriots Jets away 0-7 14-7 7-0 3-3 24-17 -9.0 47.5 7 -2.0 -6.5 -4.2 -2.2 W L U 0
                          Oct 29, 2017 view Sunday 8 2017 Panthers Buccaneers away 7-0 3-0 0-3 7-0 17-3 1.0 44.5 14 15.0 -24.5 -4.8 -19.8 W W U 0
                          Nov 05, 2017 view Sunday 9 2017 Falcons Panthers away 10-0 0-14 0-6 7-0 17-20 -1.5 42.0 -3 -4.5 -5.0 -4.8 -0.2 L L U 0
                          Nov 09, 2017 view Thursday 10 2017 Cardinals Seahawks home 0-7 7-8 3-0 6-7 16-22 6.0 41.5 -6 0.0 -3.5 -1.8 -1.8 L P U 0
                          Dec 03, 2017 view Sunday 13 2017 Jaguars Colts home 7-0 9-3 11-7 3-0 30-10 -10.5 40.5 20 9.5 -0.5 4.5 -5.0 W W U 0
                          Dec 03, 2017 view Sunday 13 2017 Titans Texans home 0-3 10-7 7-0 7-3 24-13 -7.0 42.5 11 4 -5.5 -0.8 -4.8 W W U 0
                          Dec 16, 2017 view Saturday 15 2017 Lions Bears home 3-0 10-3 7-0 0-7 20-10 -5.5 43.5 10 4.5 -13.5 -4.5 -9.0 W W U 0
                          Dec 31, 2017 view Sunday 17 2017 Jaguars Titans away 0-0 3-12 0-3 7-0 10-15 4.0 40.0 -5 -1 -15 -8.0 -7.0 L L U 0
                          Oct 21, 2018 view Sunday 7 2018 Jaguars Texans home 0-6 0-7 7-7 0-0 7-20 -3.5 41.5 -13 -16.5 -14.5 -15.5 1.0 L L U 0
                          Oct 29, 2018 view Monday 8 2018 Patriots Bills away 3-0 6-3 3-3 13-0 25-6 -14.0 44.5 19 5 -13.5 -4.2 -9.2 W W U 0
                          Nov 04, 2018 view Sunday 9 2018 Ravens Steelers home 3-7 3-7 7-6 3-3 16-23 -1.5 46.0 -7 -8.5 -7.0 -7.8 0.8 L L U 0
                          Dec 02, 2018 view Sunday 13 2018 Jaguars Colts home 0-0 3-0 0-0 3-0 6-0 3.0 45.5 6 9.0 -39.5 -15.2 -24.2 W W U 0
                          Dec 09, 2018 view Sunday 14 2018 Colts Texans away 0-7 17-0 7-7 0-7 24-21 4.0 49.0 3 7 -4 1.5 -5.5 W W U 0
                          Dec 17, 2018 view Monday 15 2018 Saints Panthers away 3-7 3-0 0-0 6-2 12-9 -6.0 50.5 3 -3.0 -29.5 -16.2 -13.2 W L U 0
                          Dec 30, 2018 view Sunday 17 2018 Broncos Chargers home 0-0 3-7 0-7 6-9 9-23 7.0 42.0 -14 -7.0 -10.0 -8.5 -1.5 L L U 0
                          Dec 30, 2018 view Sunday 17 2018 Chiefs Raiders home 14-0 7-3 7-0 7-0 35-3 -14.5 53.0 32 17.5 -15.0 1.2 -16.2 W W U 0
                          Dec 30, 2018 view Sunday 17 2018 Bears Vikings away 7-0 6-3 0-7 11-0 24-10 5.0 40.5 14 19.0 -6.5 6.2 -12.8 W W U 0
                          Jan 05, 2019 view Saturday 18 2018 Colts Texans away 14-0 7-0 0-0 0-7 21-7 1.0 47.0 14 15 -19 -2.0 -17.0 W W U 0
                          Oct 13, 2019 view Sunday 6 2019 Ravens Bengals home 14-7 3-3 3-0 3-7 23-17 -10.5 47.0 6 -4.5 -7.0 -5.8 -1.2 W L U 0
                          Nov 28, 2019 view Thursday 13 2019 Lions Bears home 14-7 3-3 0-7 3-7 20-24 3.5 39.0 -4 -0.5 5.0 2.2 2.8 L L O 0
                          Dec 01, 2019 view Sunday 13 2019 Raiders Chiefs away 0-7 0-14 0-10 9-9 9-40 11.0 50.0 -31 -20.0 -1.0 -10.5 9.5 L L U 0
                          Dec 22, 2019 view Sunday 16 2019 Browns Ravens home 0-0 6-14 3-7 6-10 15-31 10.0 48.0 -16 -6.0 -2.0 -4.0 2.0 L L U 0
                          Dec 29, 2019 view Sunday 17 2019 Steelers Ravens away 0-6 7-10 3-0 0-12 10-28 1.0 38.0 -18 -17.0 0.0 -8.5 8.5 L L P 0
                          Dec 29, 2019 view Sunday 17 2019 Texans Titans home 7-7 0-7 7-7 0-14 14-35 8.0 46.5 -21 -13.0 2.5 -5.2 7.8 L L O 0
                          Oct 11, 2020 view Sunday 5 2020 Ravens Bengals home 10-0 7-0 3-0 7-3 27-3 -13.0 50.5 24 11.0 -20.5 -4.8 -15.8 W W U 0
                          Nov 01, 2020 view Sunday 8 2020 Steelers Ravens away 7-7 0-10 14-0 7-7 28-24 3.5 49.0 4 7.5 3.0 5.2 -2.2 W W O 0
                          Nov 01, 2020 view Sunday 8 2020 Seahawks Fortyniners home 6-0 7-7 14-0 10-20 37-27 -3.5 54.5 10 6.5 9.5 8.0 1.5 W W O 0
                          Nov 08, 2020 view Sunday 9 2020 Chargers Raiders home 0-7 17-7 3-14 6-3 26-31 1.0 53.5 -5 -4.0 3.5 -0.2 3.8 L L O 0

                          Nov 15, 2020 view Sunday 10 2020 Rams Seahawks home -2.5 54.5

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                          • dawggy
                            Senior Member
                            • Dec 2017
                            • 1770

                            #28
                            RALPH MICHAELS




                            • Game: (257) Jacksonville Jaguars at (258) Green Bay Packers
                              Date/Time: Nov 15 2020 1:00 PM EST
                              Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                              Play Rating: 4%
                              Play: Green Bay Packers -13.5 (-110)

                              3% Green Bay -13.5 Jacksonville. NFL Favs of 12.5 or more 61.1 ATS since 2014 & first road start for QB
                            • Game: (271) San Francisco 49ers at (272) New Orleans Saints
                              Date/Time: Nov 15 2020 4:25 PM EST
                              Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                              Play Rating: 4%
                              Play: Total Under 49.0 (-110)

                              4% UNDER 49 San Fran/ New Orleans
                            • Game: (251) Cincinnati Bengals at (252) Pittsburgh Steelers
                              Date/Time: Nov 15 2020 4:25 PM EST
                              Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                              Play Rating: 3%
                              Play: Cincinnati Bengals +13.5 (-120)

                              TWO TEAM TEASER
                              Cincy +13.5/ Chgrgers +7.5

                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 351013

                              #29
                              Big AL

                              Division Total

                              Broncos/Raiders UNDER 50.5
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 351013

                                #30
                                Mike Tierney

                                LAR -2.5
                                SEA @ LAR | 11/15 | 4:25 PM EST10:02 PM
                                The last five L.A. games have generated an average of 37.5 points, which suggests this won’t be a typical Seahawks game where the scoreboard resembles a pinball machine. QB Russell Wilson is elusive to about everyone but Rams DT Aaron Donald, who has sacked him a dozen times. With RBs Chris Carson and Carlos Hyde scratched, L.A.’s defense knows going in that Seattle cannot count on a balanced attack. Wilson’s big-play capabilities could be constrained; the Rams have yet to allow a TD on a pass thrown at least 20 yards.

                                7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +370
                                15-7-1 IN LAST 23 SEA ATS PICKS | +704

                                17-11 IN LAST 28 LAR ATS PICKS | +471

                                BAL -7
                                BAL @ NE | 11/15 | 8:20 PM EST4:28 PM
                                Baltimore's offense has lacked the dynamism for it to be granting a full touchdown -- except when the opponent is punchless New England. It has been five games since the Patriots scored through the air. A stingy defense is hardly ideal for QB Cam Newton to shed a prolonged slump. Likely rain could reduce throwing, which would favor the Ravens. No team has rushed for more yards and only two own a yards-per-carry north of Baltimore’s 5.1.

                                7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +370
                                16-5 IN LAST 21 BAL ATS PICKS | +1035

                                14-8 IN LAST 22 NE ATS PICKS | +508

                                ARI -3
                                BUF @ ARI | 11/15 | 4:05 PM EST4:25 PM
                                With only three ATS defeats in their last 11 games, the Cardinals remain undervalued. Here, they welcome a visitor that has covered once in the past six away from home. Buffalo learned Saturday its roster will be light four players, including standout CB Josh Norman, because of COVID-19 restrictions. The other three are starters and oft-used backups. Three of the four are DBs, so QB Kyler Murray could torch a patchwork secondary.

                                7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +370
                                7-3-1 IN LAST 11 BUF ATS PICKS | +379

                                5-3-1 IN LAST 9 ARI ATS PICKS | +165

                                PHI -3
                                PHI @ NYG | 11/15 | 1:00 PM ESTTHU 11/12
                                The bye was embraced by Philly, which could welcome back several players who have been nursing injuries. The Eagles took the first meeting three weeks ago by a mere point but outgained New York by 117 yards. Even with their recent improvement, the Giants remain next-to-last offensively in points and yards per outing. New York has managed just one straight-up victory in the series’ 11 last games. Unless the opponent is from D.C., it hardly ever wins.

                                7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +370
                                10-5 IN LAST 15 PHI ATS PICKS | +449

                                11-7 IN LAST 18 NYG ATS PICKS | +323

                                CLE -3
                                HOU @ CLE | 11/15 | 1:00 PM ESTTHU 11/12
                                QB Baker Mayfield is off the COVID-reserve list. If RB Nick Chubb (knee) returns from a four-game layoff, the Browns will be off and running. They paced the league in rushing until Chubb was shelved. Houston’s RB situation is dicey with David Johnson (concussion) doubtful. The Browns’ line has yielded nary a sack the past three games. The home side is largely healthy after a bye week.

                                7-3 IN LAST 10 NFL ATS PICKS | +370
                                10-6-1 IN LAST 17 HOU ATS PICKS | +343

                                4-2-1 IN LAST 7 CLE ATS PICKS | +180
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