Service Plays Saturday 9/5/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Football Jesus NCAA football Underdog play Middle Tenn State +points

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeffrey James

#242 Army Black Knights -3 (1:30 edt) CBSSN

A very important fact here is that this game was not on the original schedules of these teams - it was a late COVID added game with all other schedules falling apart. That means the Blue Raiders were not anticipating playing Army and Army is one of the toughest teams to prepare for since not many teams run the triple option. Now through in MTSU only has 5 returning starters on defense and you have a young, inexperienced defense playing an offense they are completely unfamiliar with. Now add in an Army team coming into this season off of their worst season in years so they will be full of motivation here. Lay this small number with Army here.

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Ralph Michaels

3% 1H Army -3.0 (-110)

FIRST HALF #242 3% Army -2.5/-3 Middle Tenn 1:30 PM

When teams have an option opponent on their schedule they start working on them in the spring and do some work on them almost weekly in August. Well. Middle Tenn didn’t even have this game scheduled until Aug 10th. How often do you watch a team that has practiced to face the option look foolish in the opening drive against the schemes? Middle allowed 5.4 ypc on the road LY and this season and lost 3 of top 4 tacklers and 8 of top 12.

[golden contender]

Rob V: Saturday Comp Play

Huge Saturday card up with College Football, MLB, NBA, NHL. Soccer and the Kentucky Derby. MLB Comp Play below.

The MLB Comp play for Saturday is on the Chicago Whitesox on the run line at 7:05 eastern. Chicago fits a late season road favorite system that is 55-15. The Sox are quietly on a 14-1 run as a road favorite. They have Giolito going and they have won 7 of his last 8 road starts. KC has Bubic going and KC has lost all 6 of his starts. The Royals are 1-7 of late vs Chicago. Look for the Sox to take another tonight. Saturday card has our Opening Week Play of the Year in College Football 2-0 already this year. An NHL Top game 7 Historical System, the NBA Total of the Week, the Kentucky Derby and a 5* Soccer Side and MLB Platinum Supreme. See us on facebook to jump on. For the MLB Free Play. Go with Chicago on the run line. RV- GC Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BOB BALFE

MLB
9:15 PM EST
Rotation #929/930
Diamondbacks/Giants Over 9 runs

Bumgarner/Cahill
Madison Bumgarner returns home to San Fran for the first time as a visiting pitcher. This has not been his year and clearly his arm isn’t right at this point as hitters have crushed him just about every inning. Trevor Cahill left his last game with a hip issue so I am not sure how healthy he is either. Both teams should chase these starters very quickly. Look for a lot of runs. Take the Over.

[FATMANWINS]

ats baseball
5 yanks over
4 cleveland

[FATMANWINS]

ats football
7 ark st

[FATMANWINS]

ATS CHURCHILL FULL CARD
1) 4531
2) 3176
3) 4697
4) 7 10 11 12
5) 8 10 4 5
6) 3 6 7 11
7) 7 5 9 10
8) 3584
9) 6792
10) 3 10 7 8
11) 3426
12) 9 10 8 6
13) 3418
14) DERBY
17 18 16 3 12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

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5% play with BOSTON CELTICS

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Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
10:06 AM

L.A. CLIPPERS -9
DENVER @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 9/05 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Clippers torched the Nuggets in Game 1 on their way to a 23-point win. They have now won each of their last three games against the Nuggets by at least 13 points. The Clippers are not missing any of their key rotation players while the Nuggets greatly miss the scoring prowess of Will Barton (knee). With Barton out, the Clippers can focus their defensive efforts on slowing down Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. Despite this lofty line, I’ll take the Clippers to cover again.

124-73-3 IN LAST 200 NBA ATS PICKS | +4370
5-1 IN LAST 6 DEN ATS PICKS | +390

4-1 IN LAST 5 LAC ATS PICKS | +290


Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
7:12 AM

OVER 222.5
DENVER @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 9/05 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Clippers held up their end of the bargain in Game 1, scoring 120 points as no Nugget stood a chance against Kawhi Leonard. Denver didn't do its part, but that is likely to change for Game 2. The Nuggets aren't going to shoot 9-of-36 from behind the arc again, and the odds of them getting only 27 points from the Nikola Jokic-Jamal Murray duo again are close to zero. The offense should pick up in Game 2.

2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC O/U PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

NBA
3* Denver +9

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Tom Fornelli

BYU -125
BYU @ NAVY | 9/07 | 8:00 PM EDT
11:12 AM
No offense needs the practice and repetitions to be run well like a triple-option attack. Thanks to a truncated offseason, Navy hasn't had the time it normally would to prepare its offense for 2020. That along would be problematic, but what makes it more difficult is that Navy also has to replace the best player its ever had. I do not like BYU laying the points, but there is value on BYU on the money line.

UNDER 73.5
ARKANSAS ST. @ MEMPHIS | 9/05 | 8:00 PM EDT
11:09 AM
Considering there wasn't much spring practice for anybody this year, and summer workouts didn't exist, and fall camp was an alien experience for all, I wonder how efficient offenses will be early in the season. Offenses rely on repetition, and those reps weren't there this offseason. As a result, I think offense will suffer more than defense to start the year, so when I see a total this high, I'm going Under it.

MIDDLE TENN. +3.5
MIDDLE TENN. @ ARMY | 9/05 | 1:30 PM EDT
11:07 AM
I have a rather simple philosophy when it comes to betting games featuring service academies. First, we look to the Under. If we don't like the total, we move to Plan B. Fade academies as favorites and take them as dogs. Army is 10-15-1 as a home favorite under Jeff Monken, and is going against an MTSU team that will have the best QB on the field. So take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
YESTERDAY 1:13 PM

SMU -22.5
SMU @ TEXAS ST. | 9/05 | 4:30 PM EDT
This is a lot of points to lay on the road, but SMU is going to be dangerous offensively. The Mustangs come off a 10-3 season, their most wins since 1984. Head coach Sonny Dykes returns seven starters on offense and six on defense. The offense is led by QB Shane Buechele, who passed for almost 4,000 yards and 34 TDs. He can also run the football. The Mustangs averaged 43 points per game last year, seventh in the nation. Buechele still has several weapons on offense at his disposal. Texas State was 3-9 last year and finished 121st in the nation at just over 18 points per contest. The Mustangs clobbered the Bobcats last season, 47-17.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL

N.Y. METS -153
PHILADELPHIA @ N.Y. METS | 9/05 | 7:10 PM EDT
7:20 AM
The Phillies are 0-8 before Game 100 in the second game of a road series as underdogs when they had more strikeouts than hits in the series opener. The Mets, on the other hand, are 11-0 in the second game of a series as 140-plus favorites after a game in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent. We are on NY.

50-30-1 IN LAST 81 MLB PICKS | +267
5-2 IN LAST 7 PHI ML PICKS | +354

CINCINNATI -125
CINCINNATI @ PITTSBURGH | 9/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
7:18 AM
Cincinnati was upset 4-3 in the nightcap yesterday as a 200 favorite. Anthony DeSclafani has been excellent at picking up his teammates in this spot. Cincinnati is 8-0 since the start of last season with DeSclafani when seeking immediate revenge for a loss as a favorite. DeSclafani has allowed an average of 1.38 runs in these eight starts. Since last June, the Pirates are 0-8 after a one-run win as an underdog in which it used more than three pitchers. The Pirates lost these eight games by an average of 4.25 runs, and in their last active date, they were no-hit by Lucas Giolito. We are on Cincinnati.

50-30-1 IN LAST 81 MLB PICKS | +267

TAMPA BAY -250
MIAMI @ TAMPA BAY | 9/05 | 6:40 PM EDT
7:16 AM
Miami had a lead after four and a half innings yesterday, but lost 5-4. They have not responded well to similar defeats, as the Marlins are 0-29 as 160-plus underdogs before Game No. 125 coming off a loss in which they held the lead. Tampa is a reliable 20-0 before Game 95 as a favorite of more than 135 in the second game of a home series when it used five-plus pitchers and allowed runs in at least two innings in the series opener. We are laying the number.

50-30-1 IN LAST 81 MLB PICKS | +267

CHI. WHITE SOX -216
CHI. WHITE SOX @ KANSAS CITY | 9/05 | 7:05 PM EDT
7:14 AM
The offensive machine of the White Sox is difficult to contain. The Royals have not been competitive after allowing a lot of runs. Kansas City is 0-25 before Game 107 as a 160-plus home underdog after a home game in which they allowed five or more runs. Chicago has not exhibited any type of letdown after a win like yesterday’s. The White Sox are 13-0 as favorites off a win as favorites in which they never trailed, outscoring their opponent by an average of 4.08 runs per game. Eleven of the 13 wins are from this season. We make Chicago the play.

50-30-1 IN LAST 81 MLB PICKS | +267
8-0 IN LAST 8 CHW ML PICKS | +800

11-3 IN LAST 14 KC ML PICKS | +542

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

3 padres-even