UFC 162

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    definitely going to bet Roger and Munoz
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

    Comment

    • Luke
      10 year vet
      • Oct 2006
      • 30070

      Originally posted by MMA_scientist
      +1 except Lagasse's is at the Palazzo.

      Double super secret sports book ftw.
      Whoops, sorry. He's right , wiseman. I always get those two confused because they are side by side
      2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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      • Thewisemann
        Senior Member
        • Feb 2010
        • 1989

        Thanks guys.

        Comment

        • poopoo333
          MMA *********
          • Jan 2010
          • 18303

          Originally posted by Thewisemann
          Thanks guys.
          You're welcome.

          Comment

          • edman5555
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2010
            • 6630

            Originally posted by MMA_scientist
            definitely going to bet Roger and Munoz
            Why do you feel so confident in them both?
            1 unit = 300 $

            Comment

            • Thewisemann
              Senior Member
              • Feb 2010
              • 1989

              I may bet Roger.

              Comment

              • MMA_scientist
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2009
                • 9857

                Originally posted by edman5555
                Why do you feel so confident in them both?
                I'm not super confident in either of them.

                I think Munoz is just a better fighter than Boetch and had a bad showing against Weidman which is making him cheap here. I still believe Munoz is an elite fighter but is just a bit inconsistent. i really don't think Boetch is that good of a striker, his wrestling is not as good as Munoz. It will probably be a kickboxing match, and I think Munoz will win and maybe throw in a couple takedowns for good measure. I just think Munoz is faster and a little bit better. They are both big and powerful, but I think Munoz will get it done. I do think it will be close if it goes to decision.

                There is almost no chance that Kennedy can finish Roger here, and I think Roger may be able to pump his jab enough to get Kennedy frustrated enough to wade in for a takedown. Once that happens, it will be all Roger. Kennedy could win scoring takedowns and then not going down or possibly his striking is better than Roger's. Roger is really tall for 185 though, and Kennedy is not real fast to close the distance and land. I think Roger has him beat standing and on the ground. He may even be able to take Kennedy down. If Roger ends up on top of Kennedy, Kennedy is toast. Basically Roger could win a decision or win by submission. Neither man is going to score a KO. Kennedy could win a decision with a good enough gameplan. Roger is + Odds, so I will bet it.
                2012: +19.33
                2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                Comment

                • poopoo333
                  MMA *********
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 18303

                  A sample of Mark Munoz TD numbers: 0-4 against Hamill, 2-12 against Catone, 1-8 against Grove, and 1-15 (!) against Okami.
                  ,,,

                  Comment

                  • edman5555
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 6630

                    Damn those are shitty takedown stats. He does look good for this fight though.
                    1 unit = 300 $

                    Comment

                    • Luke
                      10 year vet
                      • Oct 2006
                      • 30070

                      A sample of Mark Munoz TD numbers: 0-4 against Hamill, 2-12 against Catone, 1-8 against Grove, and 1-15 (!) against Okami.


                      He got Maia down several times. Thats no easy task
                      2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                      Comment

                      • Luke
                        10 year vet
                        • Oct 2006
                        • 30070

                        Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                        definitely going to bet Roger and Munoz
                        I like both of them also. I was shocked when they both opened as PK's . I would have put Gracie at -175 and Munoz around -200
                        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                        Comment

                        • edman5555
                          Senior Member
                          • Apr 2010
                          • 6630

                          Leben was up to +155. I would have hit that for a unit. Now he is +115. I am hoping to get him +3.5 points.
                          1 unit = 300 $

                          Comment

                          • Thewisemann
                            Senior Member
                            • Feb 2010
                            • 1989

                            Weidman is +230 @ mgm. No lines out yet anywhere I've been. Should I wait??

                            Comment

                            • poopoo333
                              MMA *********
                              • Jan 2010
                              • 18303

                              I asked Kalikas and he said he has no idea on Weidman line movement. He says he can see it getting to +300 but at the same time he can see sharps making the line worse on Weidman on fight day.

                              Comment

                              • Thewisemann
                                Senior Member
                                • Feb 2010
                                • 1989

                                Yea I have no clue. I can see a lot of people betting Anderson. I may wait. Just debating on how much to bet. I only worry about Weidmans conditioning due to the layoff. Prolly gonna bet 3000. I seen Erick Silva and Gonzaga yesterday. Gonzaga isn't as big as I yhought

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