UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    #91
    Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

    Comment

    • zY|
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2009
      • 8385

      #92
      Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

      265 lb 2009 NCAA champion Mark Ellis joins AKA.

      http://mmadiehards.com/features/mark-el ... ka-stable/
      Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

      Comment

      • Luke
        10 year vet
        • Oct 2006
        • 30060

        #93
        Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

        Originally posted by MMA_scientist


        Line keeps getting higher. No way I'm betting anymore than 1 unit at -130 or higher.
        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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        • edman5555
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2010
          • 6628

          #94
          Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

          Cain is going to finish off at +200 or better IMO. It's still early for bets on him but if you look at the trend...He started at -105 and now he is up to +150. As the fight nears everyone will pour in on Lesnar. Everyone will forget how close Lesnar came to getting beat when he fought Carwin. They will just remember him winning and sleep on Cain. Nobody has seen Cain fight in a while either, that doesn't help his cause. I think he has a great chance of winning. Just like Shane did, and still does.
          1 unit = 300 $

          Comment

          • edman5555
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2010
            • 6628

            #95
            Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

            I have a question. What will Brocks actual fight weight be. He said he was 265 for Carwin, not cutting any weight. Does anyone beleive that? It seems reasnable to me but I guess he could lie.
            1 unit = 300 $

            Comment

            • Luke
              10 year vet
              • Oct 2006
              • 30060

              #96
              Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

              Originally posted by edman5555
              I have a question. What will Brocks actual fight weight be. He said he was 265 for Carwin, not cutting any weight. Does anyone beleive that? It seems reasnable to me but I guess he could lie.

              I say 275 -280. I dont believe he was 265 for the Carwin fight but I have no proof.

              I mean if he wasnt cutting anything why would he have weighed right at 265? Why not 264 ,264.5 or 263? Again I have no proof so Im just guessing
              2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


              Comment

              • edman5555
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2010
                • 6628

                #97
                Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                Yeah exactly. That was suspect to me too. But he did make a beleivable point..since his disease which was diet induced, he has been eating a much healthier(im presuming lower fat) diet. And I bet his camp is the max of professional sports trainers so they could have decided that since brock was down to the 265 range because he dropped a lot of his body fat that he could work out and build muscle up to the 265 mark.

                I don't know if that makes sense when i type it but it does in my head. I'm saying they can keep his weight at exactly 265 pounds because they are the top of the line professionals at it. It sounds suspect that he weighs 265 but if he dropped enough fat and weighed 280 to begin with...with a proper regimen you could actually pinpoint your weight if you had the right group behind you.
                1 unit = 300 $

                Comment

                • SPX
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2009
                  • 23875

                  #98
                  Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                  It's also possible that he had to cut weight, but it was only something like 2 or 3 pounds. So for all intents and purposes, Lesnar essentially "doesn't have to cut weight" and maintains around the 265 mark.
                  I heart cock

                  Comment

                  • Luke
                    10 year vet
                    • Oct 2006
                    • 30060

                    #99
                    Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                    Jake Shields Announces UFC 121 Fight With Martin Kampmann .Its official now
                    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                    Comment

                    • SPX
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2009
                      • 23875

                      Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                      Should be a good fight.

                      WAR KAMPMANN!
                      I heart cock

                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                        Nice test for Shields... Kampmann impressed the hell out of me against Thiago, but I think Shields will win it.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

                        • Mr. IWS
                          215 Hustler
                          • Sep 2006
                          • 97588

                          Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                          Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                          Nice test for Shields... Kampmann impressed the hell out of me against Thiago, but I think Shields will win it.
                          agree on both counts.
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                          Comment

                          • Ludo
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 4931

                            Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                            Shields should win, if Kampmann doesn't sprawl and brawl him to death. That Technical striking is a killer for a guy like Shields.

                            I think in a three round fight Shields can win a decision. I don't see Kampmann having enough time in fifteen minutes to land the amount of strikes he'd need to for a TKO. I also don't think he can avoid the takedown forever while doing it in a three round fight. I'd put this at a 60-40 scenario leaning toward Shields.

                            The likely outcome is Shields will eventually get the takedown after eating a bunch of punches that didn't collectively scramble his eggs and ride Kampmann out or submit him from top position.
                            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                            2012: +20.311u

                            Comment

                            • Luke
                              10 year vet
                              • Oct 2006
                              • 30060

                              Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                              ^^^ If you think its 60/40 for Shields you wont be betting him .I'm guessing the line is going alot higher than 60/40 but I could be wrong
                              2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                              Comment

                              • Ludo
                                Senior Member
                                • Jan 2010
                                • 4931

                                Re: UFC 121 Lesnar vs Velasquez

                                Your right, Luke, I probably won't touch this fight either way. I want to see how Shields stacks up against a top level measuring stick. Thats not to say Kampmann is anywhere near top flight but he just exposed one guy who was over hyped, and he has the skill set to expose Shields if Shields is indeed not on par to be in the UFC. This fight will help Me truly gauge where Shields really is on the pecking order for future reference.
                                2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                                Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                                Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                                Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                                2012: +20.311u

                                Comment

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