Super Bowl Betting Info

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  • New York Knight
    IWS Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 4965

    Super Bowl Betting Info




    Playoff betting stats


    Favorites: 1-9 ATS
    Home Teams: 3-7 ATS
    Home Favorites: 1-7 ATS
    Home Underdogs: 2-0 ATS

    Over/Under: 5-5
    Over/Under Outdoors: 3-5
    Over/Under Indoors: 2-0
  • New York Knight
    IWS Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 4965

    #2
    Bill Belichick is the most profitable coach in the Bet Labs database (2003) with 8 or more days between games:

    40-28-3 ATS (+10.42 units)

    Comment

    • New York Knight
      IWS Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 4965

      #3
      Eagles are 9th team to win Conference Champ Game by 30+ points in Super Bowl Era.

      Previous 8 teams went 2-6 in Super Bowl.

      Comment

      • New York Knight
        IWS Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 4965

        #4
        Playoffs included, the Patriots and Eagles are both 12-6 ATS, which ties them for 1st as the best bets this season.

        Comment

        • New York Knight
          IWS Member
          • Aug 2017
          • 4965

          #5
          Eagles points allowed at home: 12.4

          Eagles points allowed on the road: 23.5

          That's the biggest disparity in the NFL

          Comment

          • New York Knight
            IWS Member
            • Aug 2017
            • 4965

            #6
            The Super Bowl has gone to the dogs in the past 16 years with underdogs paying out at a profitable 12-4 ATS clip. In fact, five of the past six Super Bowls have been won outright by dogs, and eight of the past 10 have gone the same way at the betting window.

            Comment

            • New York Knight
              IWS Member
              • Aug 2017
              • 4965

              #7
              The last Super Bowl favorite of more than a field goal to cover the spread?

              Colts -7 vs the Bears in 2007

              SB favorites of -3.5 or higher are 1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS since Rex Grossman’s 4th quarter pick 6

              Comment

              • New York Knight
                IWS Member
                • Aug 2017
                • 4965

                #8
                Early line action has bettors leaning Philadelphia +5.5. Per Sports Insights

                52% of spread tickets on the Eagles.

                No surprise 62% have Philly on ML, 61% on the OVER (48)

                Comment

                • New York Knight
                  IWS Member
                  • Aug 2017
                  • 4965

                  #9
                  The Patriots have covered the spread 10 straight times when favored by less than seven points.

                  Comment

                  • New York Knight
                    IWS Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 4965

                    #10
                    Brady in seven Super Bowls: 15 TDs / 5 INTs / 95.3 QB rating

                    Comment

                    • New York Knight
                      IWS Member
                      • Aug 2017
                      • 4965

                      #11
                      Taking a look at the OVER/UNDER total which is hovering in the 48-point range, the UNDER has been the way to go in Patriots games, as it’s hit in 10 of their last 14, including six of eight outside of New England. Given how stingy their defense has been lately, it shouldn’t come as a shock to hear that the Eagles have gone UNDER in three of their last four games. Of course, recent Super Bowl history inconveniently works against all these UNDER trends, as the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games.

                      Comment

                      • New York Knight
                        IWS Member
                        • Aug 2017
                        • 4965

                        #12
                        Offensively, the game matches up the New England Patriots' No. 2-ranked offense (28.72 PPG) against a Philadelphia Eagles defense that ranks No. 2 at 17.33 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 280.67 yards per game, more than the Eagles give up through the air (227.5 YPG on average).

                        Defensively, the Eagles feature the league's No. 2-rated road run defense, allowing 88.88 yards per game. The Patriots, meanwhile, rank No. 14 in rushing offense at home.

                        Comment

                        • New York Knight
                          IWS Member
                          • Aug 2017
                          • 4965

                          #13
                          Eagles are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 5 points or more.

                          Comment

                          • New York Knight
                            IWS Member
                            • Aug 2017
                            • 4965

                            #14
                            Real advantage for the Patriots is special teams

                            NE has 3rd best special teams per Football Outsiders, Philly ranked 18th



                            Comment

                            • New York Knight
                              IWS Member
                              • Aug 2017
                              • 4965

                              #15
                              Eagles DEF was 17th in NFL vs. TEs and 19th in defending middle of field (per Football Outsiders)

                              Patriots need a healthy Gronk



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