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The Super Bowl has gone to the dogs in the past 16 years with underdogs paying out at a profitable 12-4 ATS clip. In fact, five of the past six Super Bowls have been won outright by dogs, and eight of the past 10 have gone the same way at the betting window.
Taking a look at the OVER/UNDER total which is hovering in the 48-point range, the UNDER has been the way to go in Patriots games, as it’s hit in 10 of their last 14, including six of eight outside of New England. Given how stingy their defense has been lately, it shouldn’t come as a shock to hear that the Eagles have gone UNDER in three of their last four games. Of course, recent Super Bowl history inconveniently works against all these UNDER trends, as the total has gone OVER in four of the last five games.
Offensively, the game matches up the New England Patriots' No. 2-ranked offense (28.72 PPG) against a Philadelphia Eagles defense that ranks No. 2 at 17.33 PPG. The Patriots passing attack has averaged 280.67 yards per game, more than the Eagles give up through the air (227.5 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Eagles feature the league's No. 2-rated road run defense, allowing 88.88 yards per game. The Patriots, meanwhile, rank No. 14 in rushing offense at home.
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