UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

Im leaning Florini's way too.

GL

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

I think I'll stay away from the Florian fight. I think it really all depends on Gomi. If he actually has a real training camp instead of just kicking his students around and actually works conditioning, he absolutely has a good shot at winning. If not, well Florian will probably mop him up. Either way I don't want to put that much on Florini.

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I would take a bet finishing inside the distance. Florian rarely goes to decision with anyone anymore. Those elbows are sharp as fuck and once someone gets busted open they get frantic, thats when he finishes.

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

I finish fights!

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

My plays:

3u on Nelson
3u on Florian
0.5u on Linhares

I am contemplating Tibau... I really think he will beat Uno.

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion


I think Florian could probably beat Gomi 2005. But the fact is that that Gomi is gone... it has been 4 years since we have seen the good Gomi. In the off chance that Gomi shows up good again, I still think Florian will deal with him. Florian is good and has the very best training partner in the world in GSP.

I have 5u on Florian
5u on Nelson, I see no way for Struve to beat Nelson, great match-up for Roy

I think Linhares has some value, but probably won't bet it, because I do feel that Okami will win.

I am seriously considering Pearson. @ -188 he has value. The only reason I hesitate is that we have not seen him fight another striker yet. I watched tape on Siver, and he basically looks like a less potent version of Perason. Plus he's German, so how much training can he be getting.

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

On my to-research list:

Pearson/Siver
Emerson/Lentz
Uno/Tibau
Harris/Miranda

I think that Tibau is just too fucking big for Uno (and too big to big a lightweight, really), but I want to go back and watch some tape. My guess is Tibau just muscles him around the whole fight.

Harris is my boy (Hurricane FTW!) but I know nothing of Miranda except that he's apparently 11-0.

I might like Torres against Volkmann. Torres looked pretty good overall against an improved and always-capable Guillard. Volkmann on the other hand has been relatively unimpressive. Also, what the fuck? Volkmann's a lightweight now? Has he ever even made that cut before?

I'd like to take Quarry, but his current line is just unappetizing. Even though he won, Quarry really didn't look that great at all against Tim Credeur.

I also might drop .25u on Struve. The forum is full of fucking haters, but I don't think that "Struve has no way to win" as some of you are saying. He's game, he's tall and long, and if he can keep Roy on the outside then he can win that fight. Also, the danger of a sub is always there with that guy.

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

You just hate Roy because he is fat.

Struve will not be submitting Roy.

Maybe he will win the standup, but I doubt it. He has pillow hands, while Roy has a rock for a head.

Roy has very good takedowns, and he is going to use them, if and when he needs them. Roy should be -600.

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

oh and my research list:

Dos Anjos, Pelligrino, Torres, Harris, Veach, Madsen, Demarquez Johnson.

I am looking seriously at Pearson now, probably go a little smaller on him, like 2 or 2.5u


When I am done with Pearson, I am gonna look at Friday's fights on Strikeforce Challengers. I really like Galvao if the odds are right. Galvao is up there with the best grapplers in the world... if the odds are right I am taking him. Also Daniel Cormier. Cormier is a 2x runner up in NCAA wrestling, would have been a multiple champ if some guy named Cael Sanderson was not in his weight class. He has made noise internationally, a beast in wrestling. One of the best wrestlers in MMA.


someone make a strikeforce challengers thread. Galvao and Cormier.

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I could get over his slovenly I-just-don't-give-a-fuck lack of self-respect if he had a good personality, but the guy just sucks all around.

For the sake of all things good in the world I hope you're wrong.

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

I jumped on him early and I'm surprised you didn't. I mean Christ, he opened at +185 against Terry Etim? That shit's WAY off. Seems like a pick 'em fight to me.

You know you don't need special permission or anything to do that, right?

Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

yeah, i wanted to make sure I wasn't missing anything on Etim though. I still don't know why Dos Anjos is the underdog. I would make him the favorite to like -150 or so.

yeah, but I don't like to make threads no one cares about.

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I do it all the time,its called my all my boxing threads

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^^ ha. I read those. I just don't have anything useful to add.