Here is an advance copy of the post from Frank Benjamin's blog The Bettor News. I agree completely!
How the hell can I take the Brownies. Here is some food for thought:
Gmen Defense is:
#3 total ypg allowed=236.0
#6 rushing ypg allowed=82.0
#1 passing ypg allowed=154.0
Brownies Offense is:
#32 total ypg=210.8
#25 rushing ypg=87.0
#32 passing ypg=123.8
Gmen Offense is:
#1 total ypg=431.0
#1 rushing ypg=181.3
#6 passing ypg-249.8
Brownies Defense is:
#14 total ypg allowed=210.8
#23 rushing ypg allowed=126.0
#10 passing ypg allowed=187.0
I am waiting for the line I get from my local, but it will be hard for me not to bet the NYG looking at the numbers and just knowing the teams. The 2 organizations are just opposites of each other.
I do like the under in this game! Overs are always inflated for primetime games because Joe Public likes to bet overs. By my numbers this total is way inflated and should be closer to 37. The Brownies should allow some points, but may stop the Giants a few times. I'm not expecting much scoring from the Brownies.
The only problem is that it is hard for me to lay 8 or 9 points and also bet the under. But with the total at 43, it's not inconcievable!
Thinking along these lines I will probably be doing a parlay with the GMen and the under for a half unit. I will be putting a unit on either the GMEN or the under. I haven't decided yet.
To be continued...
How the hell can I take the Brownies. Here is some food for thought:
Gmen Defense is:
#3 total ypg allowed=236.0
#6 rushing ypg allowed=82.0
#1 passing ypg allowed=154.0
Brownies Offense is:
#32 total ypg=210.8
#25 rushing ypg=87.0
#32 passing ypg=123.8
Gmen Offense is:
#1 total ypg=431.0
#1 rushing ypg=181.3
#6 passing ypg-249.8
Brownies Defense is:
#14 total ypg allowed=210.8
#23 rushing ypg allowed=126.0
#10 passing ypg allowed=187.0
I am waiting for the line I get from my local, but it will be hard for me not to bet the NYG looking at the numbers and just knowing the teams. The 2 organizations are just opposites of each other.
I do like the under in this game! Overs are always inflated for primetime games because Joe Public likes to bet overs. By my numbers this total is way inflated and should be closer to 37. The Brownies should allow some points, but may stop the Giants a few times. I'm not expecting much scoring from the Brownies.
The only problem is that it is hard for me to lay 8 or 9 points and also bet the under. But with the total at 43, it's not inconcievable!
Thinking along these lines I will probably be doing a parlay with the GMen and the under for a half unit. I will be putting a unit on either the GMEN or the under. I haven't decided yet.
To be continued...
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