Wild Card Weekend Betting Info

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  • New York Knight
    IWS Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 4965

    #46
    Bookmaker ... on ATL-LAR


    Rams open -6, get to 7, dip to 5.5, now 6.

    "Action has been a bit of a roller coaster as the early money was on Atlanta, and then nothing but Rams money for the next four days."

    On Thursday/Friday, "We’ve attracted more action on the underdog. The under is a popular pro play here, but the betting public loves the over." Total opened 49, now 48.

    Comment

    • New York Knight
      IWS Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 4965

      #47
      CG Technology ... on ATL-LAR


      Opened Rams -6, now back to 6 after trips to 6.5 on high end and 5 on low end.

      "We're seeing strong sharp action on both sides of this line. The public is split as well."

      Wagering includes $50K bet on Falcons ATS. "We are also seeing money on account on Falcons moneyline." Sharps also betting the under. Total opened 49.5, now 48.

      "Rams winning but not covering, along with the over, is our ideal situation."

      Comment

      • New York Knight
        IWS Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 4965

        #48
        Top Bet ... on ATL-LAR


        Rams open -5.5, reach 6.5, now back to 5.5. Until Friday

        "This was the only game where we had any kind of line move in favor of the underdog." 59% of cash, 63% of bets are on Atlanta.

        Comment

        • New York Knight
          IWS Member
          • Aug 2017
          • 4965

          #49
          Bet The Greek ... on Wild Card needs


          "Dogs in all four games, just like everyone else probably."

          On today's two games, slightly more sharper action on Chiefs.

          Comment

          • New York Knight
            IWS Member
            • Aug 2017
            • 4965

            #50
            The past two seasons favorites of a touchdown or more are 58% (76-56-3) against the spread

            Comment

            • New York Knight
              IWS Member
              • Aug 2017
              • 4965

              #51
              No Idea Why NFL Trend of the Day ...

              Since the 2010 season, 70% (yes, seventy percent) of home games for the Kansas City Chiefs have went UNDER the total

              The UNDER during this time is 43-18-4 versus the number.

              Comment

              • New York Knight
                IWS Member
                • Aug 2017
                • 4965

                #52
                Rams lead the league in scoring (29.9 ppg)

                In the past 15 years, teams that have scored 28 PPG or more are 24-33 ATS (42.1%) in the playoffs

                Comment

                • New York Knight
                  IWS Member
                  • Aug 2017
                  • 4965

                  #53
                  The Greek Sportsbook‏ ...


                  Sharp Action

                  Chiefs (small)
                  TEN-KC under
                  ATL-LAR under

                  Comment

                  • New York Knight
                    IWS Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 4965

                    #54
                    MARKET UPDATE : TEN vs KC


                    TIX-COUNT = CHIEFS 1.5 to 1 ... UNDER 2 to 1

                    $$$-BET = CHIEFS 1.25 to 1 ... UNDER 1.25 to 1


                    Greatest RISK for Books = TEASERS (All KC)

                    Comment

                    • New York Knight
                      IWS Member
                      • Aug 2017
                      • 4965

                      #55
                      CG Technology ... Update


                      "Not surprising since it is first game of weekend KC has become our biggest football liability as of now. When factoring in Teasers (which almost all include KC) this is a huge game for the book to start the weekend"

                      Comment

                      • New York Knight
                        IWS Member
                        • Aug 2017
                        • 4965

                        #56
                        Biggest Upsets - Wild Card History (Since 1978)

                        2010: Seattle (+10) over New Orleans
                        1996: Jacksonville (+8.5) over Buffalo
                        1983: Los Angeles (+8.5) over Dallas
                        2011: Denver (+8) over Pittsburgh

                        Comment

                        • New York Knight
                          IWS Member
                          • Aug 2017
                          • 4965

                          #57
                          In the last 6 wild card games (dating back to 2013) with a spread of -6 or greater. The Under is 6-0

                          The underdog is averaging 11.2 ppg in those 6 games.

                          The Under is also 13-5-2 (72.2%) overall in wild card games over the last 5 years

                          Comment

                          • New York Knight
                            IWS Member
                            • Aug 2017
                            • 4965

                            #58
                            Favorites of a touchdown or more have won 9 straight playoff games and 13 of the last 14.

                            Comment

                            • New York Knight
                              IWS Member
                              • Aug 2017
                              • 4965

                              #59
                              Favorites favored by a touchdown or more last 5 years in the wild card round

                              16-3 SU (84.2%)

                              11-7-1 ATS (61.1%)

                              Comment

                              • New York Knight
                                IWS Member
                                • Aug 2017
                                • 4965

                                #60
                                BetOnline ...


                                House needs Titans

                                62% of cash on Chiefs -8

                                83% of cash on KC -450

                                O/U 44.5 is split 50/50

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