Service Plays Saturday 12/7/24

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358092

    Service Plays Saturday 12/7/24

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Jerry Ryan
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2024
    • 1520

    #2
    Football Jesus LV
    11/30 Early Text message Bet for SAT CFB
    if your on text list, more on way

    12/7 Oregon Ducks ML bet -156
    Will Text More early CFB/ NFL bets or check website
    CFB 2024 168 -73 after last week)

    Comment

    • Jerry Ryan
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2024
      • 1520

      #3
      Jesse Schule

      5*Texas -130

      ( CFB paid picks 2024 17-37 )
      Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 12-07-2024, 07:48 AM.

      Comment

      • citybeat
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 407

        #4
        THE PREZ

        (119) Penn State at (120) Oregon



        Date/Time:
        Dec 7 2024 8:00 PM EST
        Line Provider:
        Consensus Line
        Play Rating:
        5%
        Odds:
        -110
        Play:
        Total Under 49.5 (-110)

        So James Franklin is 1-13 against Top 5 teams in his career at Penn State. They're 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS as an underdog since 2022. But Franklin did win a Conference Championship while Dan Lanning is 0-1 after losing to Washington last year. Penn State, like Wisconsin, knows it can win this game by playing keep away from Oregon's offense. Both teams have top 10 scoring defenses and both defenses give up only 30.2 points a game. Penn State is live to win this game and if they do, this game goes way Under the total. I expect them to have a chance to win this one late. I think there's a ton of value in the UNDER 49.5 in this game. Penn State 24-20.
        Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 12-07-2024, 07:48 AM.

        Comment

        • One Pocket
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2023
          • 269

          #5
          Originally posted by citybeat
          (119) Penn State at (120) Oregon


          Date/Time:
          Dec 7 2024 8:00 PM EST
          Line Provider:
          Consensus Line
          Play Rating:
          5%
          Odds:
          -110
          Play:
          Total Under 49.5 (-110)

          So James Franklin is 1-13 against Top 5 teams in his career at Penn State. They're 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS as an underdog since 2022. But Franklin did win a Conference Championship while Dan Lanning is 0-1 after losing to Washington last year. Penn State, like Wisconsin, knows it can win this game by playing keep away from Oregon's offense. Both teams have top 10 scoring defenses and both defenses give up only 30.2 points a game. Penn State is live to win this game and if they do, this game goes way Under the total. I expect them to have a chance to win this one late. I think there's a ton of value in the UNDER 49.5 in this game. Penn State 24-20.
          Who is the Capper ?
          tia

          Comment

          • Jerry Ryan
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2024
            • 1520

            #6
            Steve Fezzik CFB

            3* Penn st +4
            2* AZ state -120
            2* SMU +1
            3* Texas -125

            ( 2024 CFB paid picks 68-62-6)

            Comment

            • Jerry Ryan
              Senior Member
              • Mar 2024
              • 1520

              #7
              Gianni Greek wagertalk

              4*Penn State +4
              ( CFB 2024 paid picks 124-120)

              Comment

              • Jerry Ryan
                Senior Member
                • Mar 2024
                • 1520

                #8
                Originally posted by Jerry Ryan
                Jesse Schule

                5*Texas -130
                ( CFB paid picks 2024 17-37 )

                Comment

                • Jerry Ryan
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2024
                  • 1520

                  #9
                  Ben Burns NCAA football

                  3% Iowa State +2.5 (-110)
                  5% Clemson SMU Total Under 56

                  ( 2024 paid college football picks 28-21)
                  Last edited by Jerry Ryan; 12-05-2024, 03:17 AM. Reason: added play

                  Comment

                  • citybeat
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 407

                    #10
                    The Prez
                    from Wagertalk

                    Comment

                    • Bob
                      Junior Member
                      • Nov 2023
                      • 17

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Jerry Ryan
                      Ben Burns NCAA football

                      3% Iowa State +2.5 (-110)
                      5% Clemson SMU Total Under 56

                      ( 2024 paid college football picks 28-21)

                      thanks for posting this Jerry.

                      one caveat with Burns and his won/loss record is that he plays very chalky money lines in all sports (football, hockey, baseball) so that 28-21 record may not reflect his overall win/loss because a few heavy (-150 to -200) favorite money line losers and it kills any profit a guy like Burns and his record needs to be based on what the final return on investment is.

                      Comment

                      • HackmanLeonard
                        Member
                        • Mar 2022
                        • 36

                        #12
                        Kyle Anthony
                        5%
                        Alexandre Pantoja & Ciryl Gane parlay

                        Comment

                        • Bigred
                          Junior Member
                          • Nov 2024
                          • 4

                          #13
                          Yes really hurts losing -200 ml
                          Have Boise at -180

                          Comment

                          • Jerry Ryan
                            Senior Member
                            • Mar 2024
                            • 1520

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Bob


                            thanks for posting this Jerry.

                            one caveat with Burns and his won/loss record is that he plays very chalky money lines in all sports (football, hockey, baseball) so that 28-21 record may not reflect his overall win/loss because a few heavy (-150 to -200) favorite money line losers and it kills any profit a guy like Burns and his record needs to be based on what the final return on investment is.
                            whats MIS leading ? ML bets are USED all the time in NHL, MLB , Soccor and the BOOKS OFFER them in FOOTBALL !! and smart bettors Steve Fezzick BEN BURNS, Football Jesus LV picks do well

                            would you rather bet POINT spreads and LOSE sweating out every bet in the last 5 minutes? and ML bets DO LOSE as well I would say its BETTER not dealing with end of the game LUCK of referees, Kickers, coaches going for it, bad weather seriously the teams dont care if they COVER they are just trying to win

                            Its NOT like STEVE FEZZIK giving out -900 ML favorites ( Miami vs UVA earlier this year) or like in NCAA March Madness when he gave out PURDUE -4800.00 !!!! thats a bit outrageous
                            Last edited by Jerry Ryan; 12-06-2024, 05:46 PM.

                            Comment

                            • Gmoney121
                              Senior Member
                              • Sep 2017
                              • 455

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Jerry Ryan

                              whats MIS leading ? ML bets are USED all the time in NHL, MLB , Soccor and the BOOKS OFFER them in FOOTBALL !! and smart bettors Steve Fezzick BEN BURNS, Football Jesus LV picks do well

                              would you rather bet POINT spreads and LOSE sweating out every bet in the last 5 minutes? and ML bets DO LOSE as well I would say its BETTER not dealing with end of the game LUCK of referees, Kickers, coaches going for it, bad weather seriously the teams dont care if they COVER they are just trying to win

                              Its NOT like STEVE FEZZIK giving out -900 ML favorites ( Miami vs UVA earlier this year) or like in NCAA March Madness when he gave out PURDUE -4800.00 !!!! thats a bit outrageous


                              I think you are totally missing the point. All the Original Poster was pointing out was you can’t solely go on a handicappers record, if they are known you use ML’s of -180,
                              -200, etc. as they can have a “winning record” but be in the negative, due to those ML’s. Never was it mentioned that ML are bad wagers as you’re implying they said.

                              Comment

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