10-13-11

[timbob]

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[timbob]

Ben Burns

main event 10* cal +3.5
blue chip 10* cal/usc under 58.5

[timbob]

BIG AL

89.5% (17-2) BASEBALL ELITE INFO WINNER
4* Tigers

17-4 BASEBALL PLAYOFFS OVER/UNDER PAYOFF
3* Brewers/Cardinals Over 8.5

100% PERFECT THURSDAY NCAA FOOTBALL SMASH
3* California +3

BIG AL's SLAPSHOT CLUB: NHL TOTALS WINNER; 7-1 RUN
3* Lighting/Islanders under 6

[slim]

Man, both of those guys had a rough day yesterday... Happy to see Burns is on the Bears and under tonight!

[timbob]

Ben Burns

nhl
9* ottawa

[timbob]

* MLB* BIG AL's 89.5% (17-2) BASEBALL ELITE INFO WINNER!
At 4:19 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Tigers over the Texas Rangers. Like the Brewers over in the National League, this is pretty much a must-win game for Detroit, and today will be the chance for Tigers ace Justin Verlander to show that he really is not only one of the best pitchers in the game, but also one of the most valuable players in all of baseball. Verlander hasn't exactly shown that so far in the 2011 post-season, as he had a 5.00 ERA in two ALDS starts against the Yankees, and in his only start in this series, the veteran righthander only lasted four innings while taking the loss in game one in Texas. But now Verlander is back home and once again his opposing starter will be southpaw CJ Wilson of the Rangers and like Verlander, Wilson hasn't pitched that well in this post-season although the Rangers managed to win Wilson's last start in the opening game of this series. But a problem for the Rangers may be the fact that Wilson has never really liked pitching in Detroit's ballpark as he is just 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in five appearances (one start) there in his career. Verlander pitched well this season no matter where he took the mound, but he did have a slightly better ERA at home than on the road and he obviously loves pitching in front of his hometown fans, as Detroit is 38-11 his last 49 home starts! The Tigers are also 17-2 behind their ace when he's priced -125 to -175. Take Detroit. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

3* MLB* BIG AL's 17-4 BASEBALL PLAYOFFS OVER/UNDER PAYOFF
At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals 'over' the total. It's time for the #4 starters on these respective teams to take the stage in the NLCS in a game which is much more important for the Brewers than it seems to be for the Cardinals, as the Red Birds took a 2-1 series lead on Wednesday night behind their ace Chris Carpenter. Now it's righthander Kyle Lohse's turn and unfortunately for St. Louis, Lohse's post-season numbers do not inspire confidence as the 32-year-old veteran is 0-3 with a 4.82 ERA in seven post-season appearances (two starts) heading into this critical game. Those numbers include a disastrous outing in game one against the Phillies in which Lohse gave up six runs (five earned) in 5 1/3 innings as the Phils bombed the Cards 11-6 at Citizens Bank Park. The only good news for him tonight is that as bad as Lohse has been in the playoffs, he's no worse than his opposing starter, lefthander Randy Wolf. In three posts-season starts, the veteran southpaw is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA, including a very poor outing against the D-Backs in game 4 in which Wolf surrendered seven runs on eight hits in just three innings. Oddly, the score of that game was almost exactly the same as that in Lohse's game one against the Phils as the Brewers were man-handled by the D-Backs 10-6. The over is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 games, and 8-2-1 in St. Louis' last 11 games. Take the 'over.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

3* CFB* BIG AL's 100% PERFECT THURSDAY NCAA FOOTBALL SMASH
At 9 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over USC. When we last saw Jeff Tedford's men, they were getting blasted in the 2nd half by Oregon, and lost 43-15 to the Ducks as 24-point underdogs. That loss dropped Cal to 3-2 on the season, and now they'll try to snap a 7-game losing streak to the Trojans. According to my database, Cal should do just that tonight, as winning teams rebound off 21-point losses to conference foes, when they're matched up against another conference opponent, if they're playing with revenge against that opponent. Since 1980, our 'play-on' teams (here, Cal) are a super 146-99 ATS! And, if our 'play-against' team (here, USC) comes into the game off a SU win, then our 146-99 system improves to 96-55 (64%). This will be USC's 2nd road game of the season, and the Trojans were routed by Arizona State, 43-22, in their first road game. And that continued a USC trend, as the Trojans are a miserable 6-11 ATS their last 17 road games. Even worse, USC is 0-7 ATS its last seven after scoring more than 35 points. With the Trojans off a 48-41 win over Arizona, they fall into this negative 0-7 ATS team situation. Take the points with California. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

3* NHL* BIG AL's SLAPSHOT CLUB: NHL TOTALS WINNER; 7-1 RUN
At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning and New York Islanders 'under' the total. The Lightning made it all the way to the Eastern Conference Finals last season, but so far the team from Central Florida has gotten off to a slow start in their follow-up to their surprising run of 2010-2011. Tampa only managed to score one goal in against Boston last Saturday, and then they put five in the net against the Washington Capitals in their third game, but they were facing a very nervous Tomas Vokoun in net for his Caps debut in front of the crowd in DC so don't be surprised if the Tampa offense regresses back to the form it had in its previous contest. The Islanders have also had scoring issues so far, tallying a total of just two goals in their first two games, but this is not surprising for a team that only won 30 games last season. But the Isles may be tough to score on as well this season, as they have the services of defenseman Mark Streit back from injury (Streit missed all of the 2010-2011 season) and when healthy, Streit is one of the top defenders in the game. The Islanders also feature a very good goalie tandem of Rick DiPietro, Al Montoya, and Evgeni Nabokov, which could keep this team in a lot more games this season. This series has seen 19 of 30 go 'under' the total. Take the 'under.' As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

[timbob]

Ben Burns

nhl
9* ottawa

10* MAIN EVENT
California Golden Bears +3.5

10* BLUE CHIP TOTAL
USC Trojans-California Golden Bears UNDER 58.5

[slim]

holy crap...

big al 1-3

burns 1-2