11-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section.

note:
ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE HAS BEEN SOME BAD INFO BEING PASSED AROUND LATELY, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

John Harrison

5 UNIT* Indiana Pacers +1.5
5 UNIT* NJ Nets/Charlotte Bobcats over185
5 UNIT* NO Hornets +5
5 UNIT* NO Hornets/Houston Rockets over202

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

Bobby Maxwell
Wednesday's winner...
1,000-Unit College Mid-Week Game of the Year - RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS

Rutgers has had amazing success against South Florida since this Big East rivalry was born in 2005. After losing the first game, the Scarlet Knights have won the last four, and done so in amazing fashion. Look for the big double-digit ‘dog to rise up tonight and certainly keep this one close. Grab the points with Rutgers in this one.

It was 2007 when the Bulls were ranked No. 2 in the country and lost at Rutgers, 30-27 as two-point road favorites. Then in 2008, Rutgers went to South Florida and delivered a 49-16 beating as eight-point ‘dogs. Last year at home, the Knights against whipped the Bulls, winning 31-0 as 1 ½-point favorites and knocked them out of the Top 25.

Last year it was Rutgers’ sophomore Joe Martinek who rushed for 128 yards and a TD against the Bulls and he’s back this season, although he has just 253 yards this year, but did look OK against Pittsburgh last week with 52 yards and a TD.

South Florida has been a strange team this season, not scoring an offensive TD in its first two Big East games and then going to Cincinnati and scoring a 38-30 shootout win over the Bearcats as 9 ½-point underdogs.

The Bulls have a tough time stopping the pass, so look for QB Chas Dodd to get plenty of time and find some open receivers. Rutgers has had 10 days off since losing to Pitt, so the gameplan should be in place to take down the Bulls in South Florida.

The Scarlet Knights are on ATS surges of 8-3 on the road, 18-7-1 as road ‘dogs, 14-6 as a ‘dog anywhere, 5-1 in November games, 6-1 on the road against winning home teams, 4-1 after a bye week and 8-2 as a ‘dog of 10.5 or better. South Florida is on ATS skids of 1-4 in November, 1-4 after a bye week, 1-5 after a straight-up win and 6-16 against winning teams.

The underdog has cashed in four of the five series clashes and I’m banking on that happening again tonight. Grab the points and play Rutgers.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

Jimmy Boyd

Big play Milwaukee Bucks +8

Normal play Houston Rockets -4,5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

Marc Lawrence's Playbook Newsletter
SOUTH FLORIDA over Rutgers by 6

[golden contender]

Re: 11-3-10- GC NBA PLay

Wednesday 5* NBA Power System Play leads the card. NBA 7-1 on the season. NCAAF Power Angle side with 6 Big Qualifying Angles. Tuesday card Sweeps with Arky. St and the Atlanta Hawks.


On Wednesday the NBA Free Play is on the Boston Celtics. Game 510 at 8:05 eastern. The Celtics just missed making the late phone cut here. They do qualify in a nice system here that has cashed 8 of the last 9 times. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites with no rest that scored 100 or more on the road last night vs an opponent that scored 90 or less as a home favorite in their last game. Milwaukee is off a bad loss last night by double digits at home vs Portland. The Celtics smashed Detroit by 23 points. This is a nice free play tonight. However the line was just a tad to high for unit rated status. If the line were to get down to 6 I would rate Boston as a 3 unit play. For now though they are a nice free play. On Wednesday I have my first 5 * NBA play,backed with a 32-4 system that dates to 1995. I also have the college football side with 6 Big Power Angles. On Tuesday we swept the board again in college football and the NBA. Football overall is 21 games over .500 and the NBA moved to 7-1 on the year. For the free Play take the Boston Celtics. GC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

Karl Garrett 100 dimer- Rutgers Scarlet Knights plus the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

ACCUSCORE NHL TOTALS

4 UNIT* 9 New Jersey Devils/Chicago Blackhawks Under 5½
4 UNIT* 13 Detroit Red Wings/Calgary Flames Under 5½

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

Teddy Covers

Road warrior
Pacers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

ROCKETMAN
3* DOUBLE DIME* Pittsburgh Penguins -115
3* DOUBLE DIME* Phoenix Coyotes -135

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

DOC SPORTS

4-unit Play #509 Take Milwaukee +8 Over Boston (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

The Bucks have not gotten off to a great start. They have had some chemistry issues since they had a bunch of injuries in the preseason and it has been rough going so far as this team looks to gel together. This is a very good team, however, make no mistake. This squad will put it together soon and tonight's line looks very attractive. The Bucks have been a great road bet stretching back to last season and they are 19-7-1 ATS in road contests for their last 27 games. Both teams are coming in on a back-to-back so fatigue isn't an issue for this line. These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA and when the total is low, like it is for this game tonight, then the points you get for the underdog are that much more valuable. We are also strong believers in the key NBA number of 7 and we are on the right side of that number tonight. The Bucks always play tough in Boston and they have covered 9 of the last 12 games here.

3-Unit Play #509 Take Milwaukee/Boston UNDER 186 (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

These are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA and we expect a full defensive battle tonight. We think there is some nice value in this line since the Celtics scored a bunch on Detroit last night and the Knicks in their previous game, but neither of those teams has the same defensive capabilities that the Bucks do. The Bucks defense hasn't been their problem in their slow start, it has been their offense. They are allowing only 92 PPG defensively (compared to 90 for Boston) but averaging only 87 on offense. Both teams come in on a back-to-back and that might hurt the chances of both teams making easy jumpers.

3-Unit Play #519 Take Memphis/Golden State OVER 219 (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

Even though this is a very high total we still had this one handicapped at 224 ½ so we think there is some nice value here. Four of the last five meetings between these clubs would have gone over this posted number. Both of these teams like to get down the court and there will be a very fast pace tonight. Both teams are among the worst defensively in the NBA and both have given up an average of 105+ so far on the season and the scoring tonight should surpass that since both teams have the same mindset. Stretching back to last season the Grizzlies are on a 6-2 run for the over and the over has cashed in 9 of the Warriors last 12 home games.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

DAVID MALINSKY

4* DALLAS over DENVER

The Dallas Mavericks showed a lot of veteran maturity on the road LY, winning outright in 11 of 19 tries as a road underdog, and suffering an O.T. loss in one of the other eight. We believe they are built even better for road success this season, and the points being offered are an excellent value here in a setting in which the usual Denver home court advantage is not in force.

The issue with the Mavs in the past had been a defense that was too soft, but that has changed now. With Caron Butler and Brendan Haywood having had ample time now to assimilate, and Tyson Chandler brought in during the off-season, size and toughness are no longer issues. So while we do not want to over-react to the first week of play, there is some legitimacy to rating #2 on our best defensive charts in the early going, including allowing just 37.4 percent shooting. That is a better pace than they will be able to maintain, but it tells us much about the personnel on hand, and the commitment. And the fact that they have Caron Butler and Shawn Marion to rotate against Carmelo Anthony (no one can stop him but those two can at least make him work hard for what he gets), brings a positive matchup element here.

As for the Denver altitude, it is a different story tonight. Rarely does a team get to a venue as far in advance for a road game as the Dallas trip here, and the Mavericks had a full practice session at the Pepsi Center yesterday afternoon. That sets them up well for another road triumph tonight, especially with the Nuggets still without Kenyon Martin and Chris Anderson, the two guys they usually rely on to guard Dirk Nowitzki. It leaves George Karl with very awkward options at that key matchup (neither Nene nor Shelden Williams are effective when guarding that far away from the basket), and helps to open the door for an underdog more than capable of winning the game outright.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

Maddux Sports Handicapping

Wednesday November 3rd

#517 - NBA - 10 units on San Antonio & Phoenix Over 207.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

SPORTS WAGERS

Charlotte +1.20 over NEW JERSEY

We’ll go back to the well and keep playing the desperate team angle, as the Bobcats are one of the last five teams without a win but are undoubtedly the most talented of any of those squads. Expectations in Charlotte this year are to make the playoffs and with their Hall of Fame coach and strong starting lineup it should be a realistic goal. The fact that they have started the year with losses to Dallas, Indiana, and Milwaukee isn’t a great sign, especially the home loss to the Pacers, but reason for optimism exists and it starts with Ray Felton’s replacement at point guard. D.J. Augustin is firmly entrenched as the new point guard and has responded by averaging close to 17 a game while only turning the ball over six times on the year. That kind of ball protection is the one needed to strive in Larry Brown’s grind it out offense – one that should score against the fifth worse defense in the East. New Jersey made a lot of changes in the off-season but this is still a team with serious talent problems. Brook Lopez and Devin Harris are good players but the Nets still give big minutes to guys like Travis Outlaw, Kris Humphries, Terrence Williams and Anthony Morrow, guys who are good for 10-15 minutes a night but not rotation players on playoff teams. Charlotte hasn’t played since Saturday and surely must be looking at this game as the one to get their season rolling. New Jersey is going to improve simply because they won a grand total of 12 games last season but we still would be very prudent laying points with them against potential playoff teams. The Bobcats should get their first win here and do it taking back money. Play: Charlotte +1.20 (Risking 2 units).


CHICAGO -½ -1.08 over New Jersey

Things are going from bad to worse for the Devils and there’s no relief in sight. Not only did they lose its most valuable player in Zack Parise, they’ll also be without defenseman Anton Volchenkov and they join a slew of other players on the rack. More than that, however, is the current state of mind of this team, which is at an all-time low. The Devils can’t score, they can’t defend and they can’t win. In fact, they have just three wins all year in 13 tries. On its current six-game road trip they’ve scored six goals in five games and will conclude its trip here. They’ve lost five of its last six and have been outscored over that stretch 21-7. This is not going to turn around anytime soon and it sure doesn’t help that they’re putting a heavy burden on Marty Brodeur. We’ve been saying for two years now how this guys play is deteriorating and that’s not going to improve either. Brodeur is a beaten down goaltender that has too many miles on him and this is going to be his last season as a #1 netminder (if he even lasts that long). The Blackhawks have just two wins over its last six games so there’s no taking a night off here. They lost its last home game to the Oilers but they also have some very nice wins this year that include victories over Vancouver, St. Louis, Buffalo, Los Angeles and in Minnesota. If the Blackhawks show-up tonight and there’s nothing that suggests they won’t, they’ll bury this intruder just like every other team has been doing. Play: Chicago -½ -1.08 (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 11-3-10

BIGSPORTSPICKS

NBA* LA Lakers -5
CFB* Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10.5
NHL* Boston Bruins -121
NHL* Pittsburgh Penguins -110
NHL* TB Lightning/Anaheim Ducks OVER 5.5