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Re: 10-10-10
Akmens Baseball
Atlanta braves.
Akmens Baseball
Atlanta braves.
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Re: 10-10-10
Derek Mancini
Today's Winner...
50 Dime release on the Bills over the Jaguars. Buffalo is currentaly between a -1 and -1 1/2 point favorite in this contest.
I'm not going to sit here and sugar coat either one of these teams. They're both in the bottom 3rd of the NFL, and have issues up and down their rosters. That being said, this is an excellent spot to play the Bills, who come in not only with some match up advantages, but also a couple situational edges that can't be ignored.
Let's start with the match ups, and while at first glance you might think the Jaguars have an edge, you have to account for David Garrard's inability to play on the road. He's averaged 55 fewer yards per game, and has twice as many interceptions as touchdowns when in hostile territory. Honestly, I don't know of another quarterback that has such a split personality depending on the venue. You are not going to see the same quarterback you saw last week against the Colts - trust me.
While most bettors are talking about Maurice Jones-Drew vs the Bills defense, I happen to like Fred Jackson versus the Jaguars run D even more. With Lynch now gone to Seattle, the Bills can concentrate on giving their most talented back the carries he deserves. We'll see some CJ Spiller sprinkled in, but I'm telling you the reason why Lynch was so expendable, was that the Bills know what they have in Jackson. Buffalo does give up more yards on the ground, but they've had success limiting Jones-Drew in the past. On the flip side, the Jags D-line simply cannot stop the run, surrendering 5.0 yards/carry this season.
Another interesting match up will be Ryan Fitzpatrick against one of the worst passing defenses in the NFL. He was solid at New England (71% completion, 241 passing yards, 2 TDs 2 INTs), and decent against the Jets vaunted stop unit (2 TDs no picks), so don't tell me he can't move the chains against this god-awful Jags pass defense. Bills on the other hand, have some talent in the secondary (Byrd, Whitner, and McKelvin), and only allow 208 passing yards per game on the season.
The final and most critical factors in this contest are the situational edges the Bills enjoy in this spot. The first and most obvious is the tremendous letdown factor for the Jaguars following a hugely emotional divisional win over the Colts last week. That win has the public falling in love with the Jaguars in this match up, but there's a reason why the 0-4 Bills are favored here! Look for a major letdown - starting with Garrard - to be the Jags downfall today. Secondly, the Bills are going into their bye week, so that means two things: They can go "balls to the wall" this week knowing their getting some time off. And, they will do anything they can to avoid going into the bye 0-5... This team is desperate, and they couldn't have asked for a better match up (or situation) than the Jags, on the road, off a huge win. Lay it with the Bills over the Jaguars Sunday.Comment
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Re: 10-10-10
1. Asa 2 4- cn, 3-buff
2. Ats 7-cn, 6-gb, 4-hou, sd, jax
3. Ben burns 8 10-sd under, dall
4. Big money 3t sf
5. Blazer 3-sd, kc
6. Carolina sports 11 7-goy: Balt, 3-cn, chi
7. Doc enterprises 5- sd, 4- det, sf
8. Dr. Bob 3- kc, 2-buff, clev, wash
9. Gameday 1 3- cn, 2-atl, wash
10. Inside info 3-kc, 1-sd
11. Joe d 5 20-hou, 15-sf
12.kelso 50-no, 10-atl, chi, chi under, 3-st l, jax, phil
13. Lt profits 4-stl, 2-jax, sd
14. Lenny stevens 20-gb, balt, 10-ariz phil
15. Million club 3t 2- jax under
16. Nationwide (goldst) 12 super 7: Sf, top: St l, reg: Den, atl
17. Neri 3-kc, clev, sd
18. Northcoast 6t 31/2-hou, 3-no, chi
19. Pointwise
20. Preferred 4-tn, 3-kc
21. Private players 5-kc, no, 4-chi, sd, 3-gb, sf
22. Pure lock 9t tb
23.ras
24.underdog 9t tenn
25. Wildcat 10-tenn, 7-sd, 5-sf
patron
ness 6t 10: Indy, st l over, 9-sf, 8-det, buff, caro, baltComment
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