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(55) WAS Capitals
(56) PIT Penguins
Take "Over"
A couple of strong offensive teams here. The Pittsburgh Penguins don't expect to go much longer with minimal output from stars Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin. For now, they're getting by with goals from players whose scoring for a season sometimes doesn't match a week of Crosby's. Pascal Dupuis scored on a slap shot from along the edge of the left circle with 10.8 seconds left in overtime and the Penguins in a 3-2 win over the Flyers. Washington is averaging almost 5 goals per game and is allowing just over 3 goals per game. With so much offensive firepower, this one sails over. Play the Capitals/Flyers over the total.
(303) BYU
(304) TCU
Take "Under"
Tonight's MWC clash between BYU and TCU is a big one. The Cougars are looking to crash the BCS party, and need to keep winning to get their shot. While they're a program renowned for offense, it's actually the BYU defense that has been the more consistent unit this season. Over their last four games, BYU has two shutouts, led 34-0 vs. Utah State before giving up a couple of meaningless scores and held New Mexico to one field goal. TCU gave up a bunch on the road to Oklahoma. But in their other six games, the Horned Frogs have surrendered a grand total of 45 points. I expect the two stop units to be at their respective best in this important game, and I look for the Under to come home a winner.
Winning 6 of the last 8 Comp Selections and 4 OF 5 Winners.
TCU -1
There is a lot of interesting things going on in this game. For starters, BYU is playing for a BCS Bowl Birth and TCU is one of the few competent teams that stands in their way. The line which opened up for BYU as a -1.5 favorite with around 65% of the public on them has now gone down to a pick-em in most places despite most of the public on BYU. In fact, there are places now where you will find BYU as the Underdog. Note, that the Quarterback for TCU Dalton is questionable for this game. Even with that, the line has significantly and still moves toward TCU. BYU beat this team 27-22 last year in a hard fought game at home which TCU covered the touchdown spread on the road. Folks talk about BYU's great winning streak thus far as they have won their last 10+ games including being ranked 8th in the nation. But, did you know that TCU has won 9 of its last 10 games? Heck, this team beat New Mexico on the road 26-3. This team is also 6-3 ATS over its last 10 and has defeated other teams at home 41-7 (San Diego State), Stanford 31-14 and won on the road decisively at SMU and gave Oklahoma a bit of a fight before being overwhelmed. Having said that, BYU continues to roll comfortably with Max Hall behind the helm having thrown for 20 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Look, I can't make this an official pick for me for a couple of reasons including not knowing how the quarterback stands for TCU. But, let me ask you something. What has BYU proved on the road? Barley defeating Washington in a controversial game on the road is their only pad to success on the highway - Utah State does not count. It's not an official play, but I'm rolling with TCU as my comp play today as they are 4-0 ATS when playing teams with a winning road record and 4-1 ATS coming off an ATS loss.
5 units-Nc State (+11) over Florida State
7:30 PM -- Carter-Finley Stadium
N.C. State (2-4) is getting healthy again and gets back three defensive players, including two starters for this game. This is not to suggest the Wolf Pack can beat Florida State (4-1) but a healthy defense figures to slowdown the one thing FSU does well, and that is to run the football. It is obvious the Seminoles have shown a preference for running the football and that is what I believe they will do here and that alone is going to slowdown the scoring. N.C. State comes into this off a bye and appears ready to fire its best shot. Considering all the circumstances, the number is simply too high.
10* Take TCU (-1) over BYU (NCAA Power Play)
8:00 PM EST
TCU
• 11-3 ATS when playing in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 years
• 6-0 ATS coming off 2 or more consecutive wins
• 16-4 ATS in home games when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points
Bonus Play
5* Take N.C. State (+11) over Florida State (NCAA Bonus Play)
Wunderdog NHL
Game: New Jersey at Atlanta (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total OVER 5 -130
The New Jersey Devils will bring their 2-1 record to Atlanta tonight to face the 1-1-1 Thrashers. The Thrashers were impressive in their opener winning 7-4, but they have struggled since. They are allowing 3.67 goals a game and that has been their problem. New Jersey had been solid behind Martin Broduer, but the net was leaky in his last outing allowing four goals. These teams have a history of lighting up the nets when they play in Atlanta. Over the last three years, which includes the last six times these teams have met, this matchup has produced 48 goals, or an average eight per contest! This one looks like another one ready to produce some scoring, so I'll back the OVER here.
College Football
NC State +11 over Florida State
Florida State has finally found some offense, but I do not think they are as good as their point per game total would indicate. NC State has been beat up this year, but they proved they could win the big game when they beat then ranked ECU a few weeks back. FSU might have given their rivals Miami all they had last week and this will be more of a letdown game. Bottom line FSU should not be favored by double digits yet. Take NCState
BYU +1.5 over TCU
This is a very interesting game. I will say more people are betting on BYU, but it seems like the big money is heavy on TCU. TCU has a great defense, but lets not forget about BYU's Defense which is pretty good. TCU Is great at stopping the run, but BYU passes the ball and their offense is as good as any in the nation. BYU has the longest winning streak in the nation and when you don't get that feeling of being a loser you don't find ways to lose. This will be a great game. Take BYU.
Major League Baseball
Rays/Redsox Over 9 runs
Kazmir/Matsuzaka
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