6-27-10

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Re: 6-27-10

Greg Shaker | MLB Total Sun, 06/27/10 - 4:05 PM

triple-dime bet 973 PIT / 974 OAK Under 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Pittsburgh Pirates at Oakland Athletics - Under 8.5 (Ohlendor/Gonzalez)(Best Bet) -120 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 6/27/2010
Note: I am getting somewhat of a late start today with some clubbing last night and something that I don't do very much. But my brain is clicking as good as it ever has and I think that we have a goodie with this play right here. We don't get the opportunity to have a total as high as this one often at this park and the reason why it is as high as it is, in the Pitt Thrower who has not been on his game of late. But looking into the numbers a little further tells me that he might be today. He has thrown his last 3 verses the Red Hot WhiteSox, a very good hitting Tiger Squad, and his last one was at the Best Hitters Park in the AL, at Arlington Texas. This venue is not even close to that, and A's offense is not nearly as prolific as those 3 teams have been. The Weather Pattern here is pretty neutral and that is actually better than average here and there is no doubt that the Oakland starter loves to throw here. His numbers are just plain Nasty pitching here, with an ERA of right at 1.5 Runs over 4 games and last year pretty much the same. UNDER has been Money in the Bank for a long time here and currently 24-14-1 this year, with most posted total lower than what we have today. It is probably only going to take a solid effort by one of these teams today for us to win and that is most likely going to be done by the A's Hurler as he is throwing at a very weak Hitting Posture verses the visitors. They have managed just .212 Batting verses lefties in their last 10 played, and just .232 on the road all year. This number actually opened at 9 and Big Money grabbed it quickly. I still see plenty of value at the current number and I will play this one harder than usual. I would not wait to play this one as we might see some 8's out there before the betting is over..

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Re: 6-27-10

Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost on Saturday with his "Pure Chalk" play on the Marlins -$220/Padres.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes the Reds -$180/Indians.

"Mr Chalk" is 48-36 -$800 for the 2010 MLB season.

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Re: 6-27-10

Marc Lawrence | MLB Money Line Sun, 06/27/10 - 2:05 PM

triple-dime bet 966 CWS (-135) BetUS vs 965 CHC
Analysis: Play On: Chicago White Sox w/ Danks vs Dempster (Game 966)
Note: The White Sox and Cubs conclude their cross town rivalry Sunday afternoon when John Danks matches serves with Ryan Dempster at U.S Cellular Field Sunday afternoon. When Danks takes the mound he will do so knowing he is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 2.05 ERA. He's also 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his only career start against the Cubs. On the flip side, Dempster is 0-2 with a 16.03 ERA in his career team starts in this park. He is also 1-5 in his last six road team starts and 1-8 in his last nine road team starts during June, including 0-4 his last four. In addition, the Cubs are 2-10 in their last 12 Interleague games against teams from the A.L. Central while the White Sox stand 10-1 in their last 11 games against opponents fro the N.L. Central. With the Cubs falling apart at the seams away from Wrigley (7-14 last 21 road games) and the Pale Hose having won 11 games in a row and owning the best Interleague record in the majors this season at 15-2, including 11-0 the last 11, look for more of the same here today. We recommend a 5* Play on the White Sox

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Re: 6-27-10

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Sun, 06/27/10 - 2:05 PM

double-dime bet 966 CWS (-130) BetUS vs 965 CHC
Analysis:
The Chicago White Sox have won 11 in a row and 15 of 16 ballgames. Meanwhile, the Cubs batted .193 and scored 1.2 R/G while losing 4 of their last 5. And today, we get the ChiSox at an extremely reasonable -130. Much like we successfully fatded the Yankees yesterday and the highly exploitable uber-public line that came along with it, we do the same v the public-loving Cubbies today. Dempster has 3 quality starts in his last 4 appearances and has posted a 3.08ERA over the stretch. Problem is, those 3 starts were v Hou, Sea, and Oak, not exactly a murderers’ row of offensive firepower. Dempster is the rare right-handed pitcher who actually doesn’t pitch as well to righties as he does to lefties. Right-handed batters hit .036 points higher against him than left-handed batters. The Sox are a right-handed hitting-laden team w Beckham, Rios, Konerko, Quentin, Ramirez, and Beckham all hitting from the right side of the plate. In keeping with that, the Sox, as a lineup, hit righties (.255) better than they do lefties (.227). Danks has a 1.93ERA in 6 interleague starts and a 0.90ERA in 20IP v ChC. He’s coming off 3 consecutive quality starts. Danks is that rare lefty who owns righties, holding them to a .209BA in 2010. The Cubs are a right-handed hitting-laden club w Theriot, Lee, Ramirez, Byrd, Soriano, Soto, and Castro all hitting from the right side of the plate. Dempster’s 4.18FIP is 0.67 runs higher than Danks’ 3.51FIP, double the discrepancy in their ERAs. Again, when public love mutes the price to our benefit against the data, it’s our duty to jump on it. I see 12 in a row for the ChiSox.

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Re: 6-27-10

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Sun, 06/27/10 - 8:05 PM

double-dime bet 979 NYY (+110) Bodog vs 980 LOS
Analysis:
Play on LA Dodgers at 8:00 EST – the Dodgers beat the Yankees yesterday 9-4, but they’ll have a much stiffer test tonight against Pettitte. The NY starter is having a tremendous season with an 11-3 team start record and 2.48 ERA. His last three starts have been against these weak hitting NL squads and in all three starts he’s allowed only two runs, averaging 7 innings of work. Kershaw gets the start tonight for LA and he was shaky his last time out allowing five earned runs to the LA Angels in only 6 2/3 innings of work. That was his only start in IL play this season. If you’re looking for a pitcher to back on the road in the first half of the season it’s Pettitte as he’s posted a 16-5 mark over the past 3 years. A good pitcher to play against in night games over the past two seasons has been Kershaw as he has a 14-19 team start record. The Dodgers are an under .500 team against lefties this season at 9-11 and we don’t see them hitting Pettitte tonight. Yankees win the series tonight. Play on NY Yankees.

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Re: 6-27-10

Stan Sharp | MLB Total Sun, 06/27/10 - 8:05 PM

triple-dime bet 979 NYY / 980 LOS Under 7.5 BetUS
Analysis: Stan is Betting YANKEES/DODGERS UNDER today. Stan notes that he along with several Wise Guys in Vegas jumped on this total early today. Expect a good old fashion pitchers duel here. Andy Pettitte has always been a Big Game pitcher and he has excelled on the Big Stage. Saturday & Sunday games are always the most attended games and Pettitte gets up for the Sunday starts as over the last 3 seasons when he starts on a Sunday his games have gone Under 11 of 12 times. Add in the fact that Clayton Kershaw has given up 3 runs or less in 8 of last 9 games and 6 of them have been 2 runs or less sets up a classic. Stan is looking for a 3-2 type of game either way. TAKE YANKEES/DODGERS UNDER as STAN'S INTERLEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR

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Re: 6-27-10

Andre Gomes | MLB Money Line Sun, 06/27/10 - 3:35 PM

triple-dime bet 972 ANA (-110) Bodog vs 971 COL
Analysis:
World Cup Soccer - Argentina vs Mexico

*TRIPLE Dime Play*

*Last16 Round Game of the Year*

For this contest my projecting line is Argentina with 65-70% chances of defeating Mexico so my true odds are around [-235, -189 usa odds] or [1.43-1.53 eur odds]. With yesterday’s odds we would have a slight edge with Argentina as the books were offering them at arou‚nd -180. However due to some late inexplicable line movement we can now get Argentina at -145 / 1.69 and this changes everything. We have now almost 12.6% of edge – good enough for a Triple Dime Play!

Into the game now… regardless the quality of both teams this is a terrible matchup for the Mexicans. They are an exciting team to watch but they are undisciplined on the defensive end and this is extremely problematic for them because on the other side Argentina has the best forwards and strikers present in the World Cup. In order to be competitive Mexico’s side wingers Salcido and Osorio must attack to support their midfield however I don’t think that they will be able to do that and at the same time having the energy to defend Argentina’s dangerous wingers Di Maria and Tevez.

Likely Mexican Marquez will be in charge of marking man to man Lionel Messi but I doubt about his efficiency in such role because honestly it is impossible to mark the best player of the world.

The only way to beat Argentina is having a conservative approach in the game trying to score in counter attack and Mexico simply doesn’t have such style, instead they want to play their attractive offensive system and against a more talented team they will be pounded in here. Take Argentina ML as my Triple Dime Play.

Pick: 5 units (Triple Dime Play) on Argentina ML @ -145 on 5 Dimes

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Re: 6-27-10

Larry Ness | MLB Money Line Sun, 06/27/10 - 3:35 PM

triple-dime bet 972 ANA (-135) Sportbet vs 971 COL
Analysis: My 10* IL Game of the Year is on the LA Angels at 3:35 ET.
The Angels have won three straight AL West titles (five of last six) but struggled out of the gate this year. The team lost seven straight from April 30-May 6 but have gotten things turned around since then. Most felt as if the team's momentum was dashed when catcher Kendry Morales was lost for the season with a broken leg back on May 29 but the Angels have gone 18-8 since that time, averaging a healthy 5.38 RPG! The problem lately has been that the Rangers have caught fire, going 19-5 in June (including an 11-game win streak from June 12-24). Texas leads the Angels by 4 1/2 games heading into Sunday's action, with the teams slated for a three-game series in Anaheim come Tuesday. The LAST thing the Angels want to do is head into that series off a loss. Rookie Jhoulys Chacin will be on the mound for the visiting Rockies today. He made a few appearances last season and has made 10 starts since May this year. He opened 2-0, not allowing an earned run in 14.1 innings (14-5 KW ratio). However, he was 1-6 with a 5.59 ERA over his next seven starts and took a four-game losing streak into his Tuesday start vs the Red Sox and Jon Lester. He came up big in that game, not allowing a run in 6.2 innings, despite allowing five walks and four hits (Rockies won 2-1). Ervin Santana goes for the Angels and he's off a 6-3 win vs the Dodgers on Tuesday, allowing eight hits and three ERs in seven innings. That ended a BRUTAL two-start stretch in which he had allowed 17 hits and 10 ERs over just 10 innings (9.00 ERA). However, Santana had been pitching VERY well entering that stretch. After opening the season 1-3 with a 4.40 ERA in his first seven starts (team was 3-4), Santana had won five straight outings (from May 15-June 5), posting a 1.80 ERA. Chacin is just "learning the ropes" while Santana's been a solid home pitcher since arriving in Anaheim back in 2005. What's more, he'll face a Colorado team which has struggled all season vs righties away from home. The Rockies are 11-14 in those games but more importantly, are averaging a WOEFUL 3.62 RPG in those 25 contests. As for the Angels, they are a PERFECT 6-0 at home in day games this season, averaging 6.0 RPG! "Sixes are wild" this afternoon in Anaheim and the Angels get the EASY win!

Good luck...Larry

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Re: 6-27-10

KELSO
50 units NY Yankees ML
25 units Oakland A's -1.5 RL
10 units SD Padres ML (1PM)
3 units Seattle Mariners ML (2PM)

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Re: 6-27-10

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Sunday Baseball

100* Play Cincinnati (-180) over Cleveland
Game starts at 1:10 PM EST

Cleveland has lost 11 of the last 12 games and they have also lost 7 of the last 8 games vs. Cincinnati on the road. Cleveland has lost 16 of the last 20 games coming off five or more road games and pitcher, Mitch Talbot is 0-2 over the last 3 games with an ERA of 6.48.
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50* Play Tampa Bay (-190) over Arizona

Game starts at 1:00 PM EST

Arizona has lost 8 of the last 11 games and they have also lost 19 of the last 22 games as an underdog of +175 to +250. Arizona has lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a Sunday and they have also lost 12 of the last 14 day road games.
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Sunday World Cup Soccer

50* Play UNDER 2 Goals England/Germany

50* Play Argentina over Mexico

***Extra Over-Time and Penalty Kicks do not count in UNDER***

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Re: 6-27-10

Paul Leiner


50* Giants -115
25* Cardinals -145

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Re: 6-27-10

hey guys i just posted a big play in the mlb forum!!!
good luck!!!

viewforum.php?f=6

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Re: 6-27-10

Scott spreitzer
3* nyy/lad under
from the nc line

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Re: 6-27-10

DAVID MALINSKY

4* BALTIMORE over WASHINGTON

When you read ”I think it’s huge. No matter what we get down by, we’re going to be able to swing and get our way back into it. I think it’s a big boost.”, and ”I think we can even play better baseball.” from players after a Saturday win, you would likely start looking at the top of the standings to see where it came from. Instead try the lower regions, and the Baltimore Orioles, with Matt Wieters and Adam Jones responsible for the quotes. What had been an under-achieving team has won three games in a row, including back-to-back wins over Washington despite trailing by big early margins, and we are going to back that newly found confidence and energy in a setting that is drastically under-priced.

Baltimore has scored 33 runs in five games on this home stand, and note that facing the Marlins and Nationals meant a rare chance to step down in class – when this home set began, it had nearly been a full month since they had last faced a team with a losing record (Oakland, on May 27th). And no one understands this more than Jeremy Guthrie. While Guthrie’s 4.28 ERA is going to elicit yawns in the marketplace, take a closer look. There are 128 pitchers that have worked at least 60 innings, and he is #2 in difficulty of batters faced. He has only had four games all season against losing teams, working to a solid 2-1/3.03 in those outings, and he can check a slumping Washington offense that has only produced 31 runs in a 2-9 slide, with the only two wins each coming by a single run over Kansas City.

Guthrie should get plenty of offensive support. That resurgent lineup can take advantage of Luis Atilano, who brings much less to the table than his 6-4/4.52 bottom line indicates. Atilano nearly has as many W’s (25) as K’s (30) over 65.2 innings, and if you are going to survive with K counts that low your ground ball ratios better be real high. His are not, at 1.43:1, and with seven HR’s allowed in 37.2 road innings pencil him as clearly vulnerable for this setting. And having completed seven innings only one time, including just 14.2 frames in his last three starts, he does not provide much respite for what has been an over-worked bullpen already in this series.

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Re: 6-27-10

Joe Wiz Pay After You Win - Minnesota
Joe Wiz Executive Service - Cincinnati
Joe Wiz ESPN 100,000 Star Parlay - LA Dodgers & Over