6-01-10

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Re: 6-01-10

ROBERT FERRINGO

SIDES
1-Unit Play. Take #970 Detroit (-170) over Cleveland
0.5-Unit Play. Take #970 Detroit (-1.5, +120) over Cleveland
1-Unit Play. Take #974 Boston (-150) over Oakland
1-Unit Play. Take #975 L.A. Angels (-110) over Kansas City
1-Unit Play. Take #966 San Francisco (-125) over Colorado
0.5-Unit Play. Take #968 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, 120) over Baltimore
0.5-Unit Play. Take #951 Chicago Cubs (-145) over Pittsburgh
0.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Florida (-150) over Milwaukee
0.5-Unit Play. Take #958 Houston (-120) over Washington
0.5-Unit Play. Take #964 L.A. Dodgers (-125) over Arizona
0.5-Unit Play. Take #961 N.Y. Mets (-105) over San Diego

TOTALS
1.5-Unit Play. Take Over 8.0 Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh
1-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 Washington at Houston
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 9.0 Tampa Bay at Toronto
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 7.5 Philadelphia at Atlanta
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 8.0 Arizona at L.A. Dodgers
0.5-Unit Play. Take Over 8.0 Colorado at San Francisco
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 9.0 Texas at Chicago White Sox

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Re: 6-01-10

WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING

Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
951 CUBS ML -147 $21
953 PHIL ML +121 $11
958 HOU ML -118 $17
960 STL ML -116 $12
962 NYM / SD UN 6.5 +107 $8
968 NYY ML -225 $19
968 NYY -1.5 -112 $10
970 DET ML -172 $25
970 DET -1.5 +115 $11
971 TB ML -138 $21
974 BOS ML -149 $10
975 LAA ML -110 $10
977 TEX ML +111 $5
980 SEA ML -107 $15

WNBA
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
601 PHOX - 6.5 -103 $7

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Re: 6-01-10

SPORTS WAGERS

Philadelphia +1.22 over ATLANTA

The Braves are hot while the Phillies are not. Tim Hudson is considered to be one of the premier pitchers in the league and he’s put up great numbers so far this year. In fact, Hudson comes in with a 5-1 record and a 2.24 ERA and over his last three starts, he’s 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA. Now, most will look at Hudson, they’ll look at how hot the Braves are and how cold the Phillies are and then they’ll see the Braves as a seemingly cheap –1.30 favorite and pull the trigger. It all looks good on paper, but let’s have a closer look. The Braves have been beating up on the Pirates and Marlins. They’ve faced 10 stiffs over its last 10 games that included Joe Blanton last night and prior to that it was Maholm, Burres, Duke (twice), Robertson, Ohlendorf, and Charlie Morton to name a few. Before facing a slew of stiffs they were scratching a clawing to score anything. They also faced the Brewers recently with Dave Bush and Doug Davis going and those two guys couldn’t be the 10th pitcher on 99% of the teams in this league. So, yeah, they’re scoring runs but will face a quality starter tonight in Cole Hamels. Hamels (103 BPV, 5-2-2-5-3) hasn't pitched like his vintage 2008 self, but he's not that far off, either. His ERA has dropped about 1½-runs over his last half dozen games and he’s looking sharper with each outing. He’s whiffed 63 batters in 63 IP and he doesn’t issue many walks. Cole Hamels is sharper than Hudson indeed despite the numbers that don’t reflect that. Hudson's (19 BPV, 3-3-5-3-0 PQS) 5-1 record and gaudy ERA don't reflect his skills. Even with his elite GB%, Hudson has to rely on some breaks, such as an 83% strand rate to get results. His luck will turn at some point and this is the perfect spot for that to occur. Hudson has faced the Padres in San Diego, the Giants at SBC park, the Astros, the Cards in St. Louis, the Pirates and the list goes on. The books are begging for Braves money here. You’ve been warned. Play: Philadelphia +1.22 (Risking 2 units).


Cincinnati +1.12 over ST. LOUIS

The Cards came up big in the opener of this series but Bronson Arroyo was long overdue to get rocked and he did. Johnny Cueto (95 BPV, 4-5-5-5-5 PQS) is one of the hottest starters going in the majors. His command has been outstanding with 54 k’s and just 17 walks in 61 frames. On the road he has a BAA of just .213 and his BAA in May was .182. The Reds are scoring runs in droves these days and should be able to put up plenty against P.J. Walters. Walters is in the rotation because of an in jury to Kyle Lohse. His debut was a decent one but it came against that weak hitting group in San Diego and that works out beautifully for this one. He’s appeared in 10 games in his career with the Cards and in 25 IP he’s allowed 28 hits with six of those going yard. He has a career WHIP of 1.64 and an ERA of 6.84. That’s only a handful of games and not a true measure but in his first start of the year in San Diego he only lasted five innings and of the 22 batters he faced, 10 of them flied out. In the minors this season he had an 81% strand rate and that’s a number that won’t repeat itself at this level. So, we get a tag on one of the premier pitchers in the business with an offense that usually gives plenty of support against the most overvalued team in the majors with an unproven rookie pitcher on the hill and an offense that is feeble at best and gets way too much credit. Play: Cincinnati +1.12 (Risking 2 units).


FLORIDA /Milwaukee over 9 –1.16

Totals is something we try and stay away from but damn, this one looks too good to pass up on. The Brewers starter and pen here is a combination that has been disastrous all year long and there’s no reason to expect a change. Dave Bush has been batting practice all year with a BAA of .297, a WHIP of 1.68 and the following are the scores in his five road starts this year: 7-6, 8-1, 3-0 (in San Diego), 7-3 and 15-3. Bush has walked 27 batters and struck out 27 in just 51 IP and he’s also allowed eight bombs. Ricky Nolasco has never been able to get these Brewer batters out. The current Brewers hitters are batting a robust .367 off Nolasco and it’s also worth noting that Milwaukee is second in the NL in runs scored, they’re second in home runs and they’re pretty much in the top three in all major offensive categories. They lose so much because they feature the worst pitching staff in the majors. Furthermore, Nolasco has been prone to giving up the long ball this year and has already allowed nine of them. He’s also allowed 18 hits and 11 runs over his last 9.1 IP. In three games in his career against the Brew Crew, Nolasco has an ERA of 11.81 and has lasted a combined 10.1 innings in those three starts. The Brewers pen will make an appearance here for sure and that’s a horror story in itself. Play: Florida/Milwaukee over 9 (Risking 2.32 units to win 2).


TAMPA BAY –1½ over Toronto

Brian Tallet gets the start for the Jays in place of Dana Eveland, who will likely never pitch for the Jays again. Brian Tallet is not far behind him. Tallet is one of the biggest stiffs you’ll ever see. None of his pitches are strong and he serves up juicy and hittable pitches in every single sequence of pitches to a batter. He had forearm stiffness and was out for a while but he was lousy before that in three starts with an ERA of 6.11 and giving up six bombs in 17 IP. In two rehabs starts, Tallet was brutal, going 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and surrendering 11 hits over 5.1 innings. Tallet was 0-1 with an 11.05 ERA in three starts last season against Tampa Bay and the Rays had an off year last season. The Rays bats will wake up tonight. Jeff Niemann does not have to be perfect or anything close to it for this ticket to cash. Still, Niemmann is a quality starter with a ton more upside than his counterpart. Play: Tampa Bay –1½ +1.23 (Risking 2 units).

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Re: 6-01-10

Mike Lineback

4* (pod) boston red sox -150 action / lackey

4* pittsburgh pirates +1.5 -125 action / karstens
4* san francisco giants -125 hammel / zito

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Re: 6-01-10

ATS LOCK CLUB

Major League Baseball
4 units on White Sox -115 over Rangers
4 units on Dodgers -125 over Diamondbacks

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Re: 6-01-10

CAPPERS ACCESS

Detroit Tigers(RL)
Chicago White Sox

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Re: 6-01-10

GAMBLERS DATA

Chicago White Sox -115

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Re: 6-01-10

Pitchers Report - June
By Marc Lawrence

If it's June, school is out. And so too will be the NBA (we think). It's also the time of the season when MLB pitchers look to ace exams in hopes of keeping their teams in the pennant chase. To get a better feel on what to expect, let's examine their results from exams in the past.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of June. On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in June team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each June over the last three years. I'll be back next month with July's Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Gavin Floyd - Chicago White Sox: 10-2
Dan Haren - Arizona Diamondbacks 13-4
Felix Hernandez - Seattle Mariners: 12-2
Scott Kazmir - L.A. Angels: 8-4
John Lackey - Boston Red Sox 11-4
Ricky Nolasco - Florida Marlins: 8-2
Andy Pettitte - N.Y. Yankees: 11-5
Tim Wakefield - Boston Red Sox: 11-5
Carlos Zambrano - Chicago Cubs: 14-3

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Bronson Arroyo - Cincinnati Reds: 4-13
Joe Blanton - Philadelphia Phillies: 5-12
Jon Garland - San Diego Padres: 5-11
Livan Hernandez - Washington Nationals: 6-12
Tim Hudson - Atlanta Braves: 4-8

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Re: 6-01-10

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 8 runs bet. Colorado and San Francisco

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Re: 6-01-10

Free Silver Key Pick for Tuesday ML Baseball

Texas Harden -R +110 over WHITE SOX (8:05 et)

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Re: 6-01-10

Wunderdog

MLB | Jun 01
Oakland Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox Oakland Athletics
+1½-156 at 5dimes > 6h.
Like the Yankees, the Red Sox are typically overpriced. But unlike the Yankees, the Red Sox have not won enough to cover that price as they are just 16-13 this season at home, sitting at negative units. Against the runline, it's even worse as they are 10-19 for -6.4 units. John Lackey has put up a very pedestrian 5.52 ERA at home this season. Gio Gonzalez has been better than that, posting a 4.23 road ERA. In his last three starts, he's averaged 7.1 innings and put together a great 2.53 ERA. Sure, the A's have batting problems but Boston is just 4-15 vs. the runline this season vs. AL teams hitting .255 or worse. I like Oakland to keep this close.

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Re: 6-01-10

KELSO

25 units LA Dodgers -125
15 units TB Rays -140
10 units Phillies/Braves UNDER 7.5

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Re: 6-01-10

GAMBLERS WORLD
TIP OF THE DAY:

Date: 6.1.10 at 7:05PM
Game: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Current Line: New York (-245)

Over/Under: 10.5

Play On: UNDER 10.5

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Re: 6-01-10

Power Play Wins POD

Los Angeles Dodgers

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Re: 6-01-10

VEGAS RUNNER

LINE-PREDICTION :
1.) 962 SD PADRES -105...

TO WIN 2010 NBA FINALS….5* SERIES FUTURE BET OF THE YEAR :
5* LA LAKERS -180 (Or Better)

MORNING MOVES
** MLB MORNING MOVES 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
BRAVES -125....(2*)....HUDSON over Hamels