12-19-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

NORTHCOAST FOOTBALL for TODAY

3* WYOMING +10.5 CFB
TOP OPINION OVER 53.5 NFL DALLAS
TOP OPINION UNDER 44 RUTGERS CFB
TOP OPINION OVER 54.5 WYOMING CFB
OPINION SAINTS NFL -7.5
OPINION TAKE RUTGERS CFB

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Kelso BB
Kelso FB
50 units Fresno St
25 units Cowboys
3 units UCent Fl

BB
50 units Miami Fl
10 units Villanova
5 units Magic
5 units Northwestern
4 units Wichita St
3 units Seton Hall

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Northcoast

3* Wym

Marquee NO Over

Regular Opinions

UCF Under
Wym Over
NO

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

RUTGERS -2.5

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this game is on Rutgers:

The Knights, who will be playing about 100 miles from campus, reached their third bowl game in five years. They didn’t make it to one last year, however, and lost their previous two.

This is a spot that the Knights have struggled in already this season; UCF is 0-1 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest; over the last two seasons they are a poor 1-4 ATS.

On the other side of the field: The Scarlet Knights will try to make it four bowl victories in a row when they face the Knights for the first time in the St. Petersburg Bowl on Saturday night.

Rutgers (8-4) made it to yet another postseason game this year after going 8-5 and beating North Carolina State 29-23 in the PapaJohns.com Bowl in 2008.

Rutgers got off to a poor start this season with a 47-15 loss to Cincinnati, the eventual unbeaten Big East champion. The Scarlet Knights then won seven of eight to crack the poll at No. 25, but lost 31-13 at last-place Syracuse on Nov. 21 and fell out immediately.

That defeat was the first of two in the Scarlet Knights’ last three games. Rutgers dropped its finale 24-21 to then-No. 24 West Virginia on Dec. 5 and earned the St. Petersburg Bowl berth after going 3-4 in the conference; however I expect a concerted effort on both sides of the ball on Saturday as Rutgers will look to close its season strong.

Rutgers’ ground attack is led by sophomore Joe Martinek, who rushed for 923 yards and a team-high nine touchdowns while averaging 4.8 yards per carry.

Keep in mind, Rutgers is 4-2 ATS its last six overall.

Bottom line: Expect the Scarlet Knights to settle down and take advantage of their opportunities; look for RUTGERS to move to 4-1 ATS this season when the line is +3 to -3 and for UCF to fall to 1-1 ATS in the same position.

*9* RUTGERS.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

AAA Sports

NCAAB: Missouri State Indians at Saint Louis Billikens - St Louis +2 -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 12/19/2009
Note: I am just going to be very brief here on a very busy morning of CBB Handicapping. Big Rival game here and I do know that Mizzu State is damn good. So are the Billikens on this court where they are 7-0, control the pace, and control the game. The home team has won this game 6 of the last 7, STL already has a Big 14 point win over Nebraska here and they have always been Giant Killers here at this arena. I think another Giant Falls today and even though I have this game handicapped as just a 1 point STL Win, the intangibles are very large and I think our boys get it done.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Tony George

Central Florida/Rutgers UNDER 44

Do not look at stats here for offense, UCF played Tulane, Houston and UAB to end the season, none play defesne, and Rutgers is more physical. Both teams strength is defesne neither allowing over 21 ppg on the season. This is a evenly matched game and the battle will be on the ground and in the trenches. I like a low scoreing 20-17 type game. UFC ranked 4th in the nation in run defense. A battle royale, I like the Under. WR Brown for Rutgers, a main weapon is out for this game, if he plays a sprianed ankle will nuetralize him.

Play 1 Unit on the Under.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Evan Altemus

RUTGERS -2.5

Rutgers has been a great bowl team in recent years under head coach Greg Schiano. He has won three straight bowl games, with his teams posting dominant performances in all of those games. They have been well prepared and focused for the post season during his tenure. Schiano should have no problem having his team put out a strong effort in this game because of their poor performance to end the season. They failed to show up against West Virginia, losing in their final game, and they also played horribly at lowly Syracuse two weeks earlier. Meanwhile, Central Florida had a tough time when they were asked to step up against better competition. They were dominated by Miami and Texas, as well as losing to Conference USA opponents East Carolina and Southern Mississippi. Central Florida’s weakness is their pass defense, and I feel that Rutgers will be able to take advantage of the Knights secondary with freshman quarterback Tom Savage. Overall I feel that the Big East is slightly under-rated as a conference while the Conference USA is over-rated. The Big East has also done well in bowl games over the last few years. Look for Rutgers to get the win and cover.

4 UNIT SELECTION RUTGERS.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Marc Lawrence

DALLAS COWBOYS +7

We recommend a 3-unit play on Dallas.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Greg Shaker

ST. LOUIS +1

Big Rival game here and I do know that Mizzu State is damn good. So are the Billikens on this court where they are 7-0, control the pace, and control the game. The home team has won this game 6 of the last 7, STL already has a Big 14 point win over Nebraska here and they have always been Giant Killers here at this arena. I think another Giant Falls today and even though I have this game handicapped as just a 1 point STL Win, the intangibles are very large and I think our boys get it done. Take St. Louis.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

GoodFella

NORTHWESTERN -4.5

I backed Stanford in their last game-a 1 pt loss AT HOME vs Okie St- as Okie St. had played only one true road game until that game- and now we have Stanford who has only had 1 true road game, which was their 1st game of the season , losing to san diego by 13. other then L. Fields , and PG Mann, Stanford is very limited athletically, & Northwestern has been playing very good ball lately & I really like them in this spot today at home & I look for a 8-12 pt win today out of the Wildcats. Lay the pts with Northwestern fellas.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Bob Balfe

Wyoming/Fresno St UNDER

Fresno should have no problem winning this game against a Wyoming offense that is just not good at all and has played in 6 games this year scoring 10 pts or less. The only reason why I cannot take the Bulldogs is because they cant force turnovers and they cant sack the QB. I expect Fresno to keep everything in front of them when playing defense playing bend but don’t break defense. When a team is such a big favorite they usually have to force turnovers to win big. Fresno has not proven that this season. Both teams have pretty bad defenses, but I think Fresno should be able to contain a young Wyoming offense lead by a good QB in Canta-Samuel, who is just a freshman. Neither team has real deep threat scoring ability. The only player who can really break this game open is running back Ryan Matthews for Fresno. Matthews should get a ton of carries which will chew up the clock. Fresno is the better team and all four losses have been against really good teams. Both teams have great punters which will pin each other deep all game. This is just one of those games where the talent level to score a ton of points just isn’t there. Neither team really has a defense that can score so breaking 55 is going to be a challenge. Fresno might not be up for the task to be playing in such a small bowl game and on the other hand Wyoming isn’t as talented and is lucky to even be in a bowl game. Look for a low scoring game. Wyoming probably wont score too much. Fresno should control the clock. Take the Under.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Andre Gomes

UTAH Jazz +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Spartan

DALLAS COWBOYS +8

The Dallas Cowboys have a tall order saturday night as they venture into the Superdome to deal with the unbeaten Saints. The public is all over the Saints and they got away with it with the Colts over the Jags. The Saints have been looking more human lately and if ever a team was desperate it is the Cowboys. They are the poster child here of desperation as Wade Phillips literally is coaching for his job and Tony Romo is trying to win a key game in december. I'm not prepared to call for an outright here but I do feel this Cowboys squad sucks it up and comes through with a huge effort and keeps this thing competitive throughout. I cannot ignore the fact that as I write this DeMarcus Ware is a really big question mark and without Ware, their sack leader in there to pressure Brees, it will put more pressure on the Dallas defense to stunt and blitz more than usual. I totally realize most of the public look for the Saints to roll here and pile up the points. I am no Dallas supporter or fan by any means, this is strictly business and I look for them to step up here and for Barber and Jones to have a solid night running the ball, thus keeping Brees and his scoring machine on the sidelines as much as possible. I expect another close and exciting game much like thursday, only this time around I'll gladly accept a 4 point difference at the end. We very well could get it guys. Double Star on the Dallas Cowboys +8.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Lenny Del Genio

WYOMING +11

In these early bowl games, we tend to stray towards the underdogs, particularly when they are in this price range. Sure most are likely to gravitate towards Fresno State in this matchup as they fall in love with the rushing numbers, but what they are overlooking are the serious motivational edges Wyoming has as well as the looming potential for the backdoor cover. Yes, the Cowboys were just 6-6 SU in HC Dave Christensen's 1st year in Laramie and were fortunate to benefit from a 4-0 SU record in games decided by three points or less, but this is also the program's first bowl game in five seasons and just its second since the now defunct Copper Bowl in 1993. Wyoming will be up for this game. Can the same be said for Fresno State, who logged more travel miles this year than Tiger Woods trying to keep track of all his girlfreinds? The Bulldogs played at Wisconsin, Cincinnati, Hawaii and Illinois already this year and thought they would be spending Christmas Eve in Hawaii before Nevada got the shot instead. This will be their second straight trip to this Bowl and last year they lost outright to a Colorado State team, who you guessed it, came in at 6-6 and had not been to a bowl in several seasons. Fatigue might also be a factor here as FSU's regular season ended uncharcteristically late with that weird finale vs. Illinois (that they almost lost). Back to the rushing game, which allegedly favors FSU so much. The Bulldogs defense surrendered 230+ rushing yards in each of their final five regular season games, so Wyoming will be able to run the ball here as well. Also, the Cowboys D-line is made up of mostly seniors and will want to go out with a proud performance. Wyoming is our 10* Bowl Opener.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 12-19-09

Executive

250 Wyoming Football
400 Detroit
300 Northwestern
300 Ill St