9-12-09

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

North Coast Sportsline

8 - 1 Last Week

Early Bird POW
Boise St.

4* Power Play
Pitt

Underdog POW
East Carolina

#2 Economy Club
SMU

Pac 10 GOW
Washington St

Big 12 GOW
Texas Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

IC

Indian Cowboy

3 Unit Play. #330. Take Tennessee -10 over UCLA (Saturday @ 4pm est). The Vols certainly remember the loss to the Bruins last year. I look for Kiffin to continue his era with a big win over a quality program this weekend. Tennessee is a buzz after the Vols put up 63 points in their last game and covered the spread while they were at it. With a big win over the Bruins program I expect Tennessee to be riding high going into week three. Kiffin understands that its not just about winning for him, he has to win now, and win big to continue providing fodder as to why he is given the wiggle room and the resources that he has been given so far by the program. I like Kiffin in some ways because he does talk a big game it forces him to put up or shutup. Hence, that is great for us spread backers.



3 Unit Play. #328. Take Under 37.5 between South Carolina @ Georgia (Saturday @ 7pm est). The total continues to go down. I think this will be a drag out, ugly game. South Carolina has limited offense and has to rely on their defense. This team went to NC State and yielded just three points on national television. Quite impressive. I suspect the only way they have a shot in Athens is through their defense and I look for Georgia's defense to be very strong as they showed some great signs of improvement in Oklahoma State. I look for this game to dip below the 38 and possibly even below 30 as both teams will have trouble finding the endzone in this game in my opinion. The Under is 10-3 for the Bulldogs when they are favored by this margin and the Under is 6-1-1in the last 8 games for the Gamecocks in September.



3 Unit Play. #319. Take Mississippi State +14 over Auburn (Saturday @ 7pm est). Mississippi State and the offense looked great in their first contest. Granted it was not against a major school, but I state that to say that the Bulldog offense looked good with their new ball coach. Auburn looked shaky against Louisiana Tech in the early going but managed to put up fourteen points on the board and consequently cash last week's spread. I don't see them doing that this week against a quality SEC foe. I like the dog here as when you give an SEC team fourteen points it is certainly quite a lot as who is to say the Bulldogs cannot win this game outright? The Tigers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 SEC Conerence games and the Tigers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as double-digit favorites or greater.

good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Doc's Sports

The Magnificent 7” Saturday, September 12th, 2009

6 Unit Play. #40 Take Auburn -14 over Mississippi State (Saturday 7 pm ESPN Gameplan) Top Selection of the Week. Auburn 42, Mississippi State 10.

5 Unit Play. #27 Take Fresno State +8 over Wisconsin (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) Top Big Ten Selection.
Wisconsin 27, Fresno State 24.

5 Unit Play. #7 Take Kent State +21 over Boston College (Saturday 2 pm ESPN Gameplan) Top Underdog Play. Boston College 24, Kent State 10.

4 Unit Play. #86 Take Under 45 ½ in Southern Cal at Ohio State (Saturday 8 pm ABC) Top Totals Pick. Would like to take the points, but I will not fall into that trap and just collect with the UNDER. USC 21, Ohio State 17.

4 Unit Play. #17 Take Central Michigan +14 ½ over Michigan State (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 2) MSU 24, Central Michigan 20.

4 Unit Play. #60 Take Buffalo +10 ½ over Pittsburgh (Saturday 12 pm ESPN Gameplan) Buffalo 27, Pittsburgh 24.

4 Unit Play. #94 Take UNLV +7 over Oregon State (Saturday 11 pm CBS College Sports) UNLV 28, Oregon State 24.



Strong Opinion Plays:
#49 Take Houston +15 ½ over Oklahoma St
#90 Oregon -12 over Purdue
#104 Cleveland +4 over Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

apache

22 N.C.
27 E.C.U.
14 V.T.
22 Northwestern
17 Duke
22 Fresno St
14 S Carolina
9 Tulane
12 Pitt
17 T.C.U.
18 Air Force over
22 Missouri over
12 S Miss
20 Houston over
18 Tulsa
27 San Jose St
17 Alabama
24 Memphis

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Lenny Del Genio 20* SEC GOM

Auburn Tigers

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Vegas Sports Informer

3 Unit Play. #318 Take Iowa St +6 ½ over Iowa (Saturday 9/12 12:00 PM)

The Iowa Hawkeyes were lucky to come away with a win in their opener (N Iowa) and they will surely not take any other opponent for granted. Iowa St possess matchup problems for Iowa and if they can make a few big plays they could get the home win. Taking the home underdog in this game! Iowa St is 10-1 ATS against Big 10 teams. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in this series.

3 Unit Play. #322 Take Army -1 ½ over Duke (Saturday 9/12 12:00 PM CBSC)

Duke struggled at home against Richmond and now the Blue Devils play a much improved Army squad on the road. The Black Knights should once again lean on the run and yes the Army Black Knights could be 2-0. Army is 7-3 ATS in their 10 games.

3 Unit Play. #364 Take So Mississippi -15 over UCF (Saturday 9/12 7:00 PM)

Southern Miss are flying high following their opening win and they will now try to begin conference play in the same impressive fashion. Last year the Eagles beat UCF on the road by double-digits so Saturday night we should see the same outcome. Southern Miss will control this game from start to finish and emerge with an easy home win. Southern Miss is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.

2 Unit Play. #373 Take Under 45 ½ USC at Ohio St (Saturday 9/12 8:00 PM ESPN)

USC is 9-21-1 O/U in their last 31 games as a favorite. Ohio St is 1-5 O/U in their last 6 games as an underdog. Both teams will want to establish the run and both QB’s will be conservative.

5 Unit Play. #388 Take North Texas +3 over Ohio (Saturday 9/12 7:00 PM)

(Game of the Week) I’m not surprised about the turnaround by North Texas from last year and Saturday night at home we should see another solid game from the Mean Green. The Mean Green were solid against Ball State, and against a weaker MAC opponent (Ohio), North Texas should be able to grab another victory. Ohio is 9-19-1 ATS in the month of September.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Randall the Handle 9/12

Texas Christian -11 over VIRGINIA PINNACLE
At first glance this wager seems like a grave overreaction to Virginia losing to FCS opponent William and Mary. Unfortunately for Virginia, the loss wasn’t on a last second field goal or fluke play. The Cavaliers were legitimately beaten in time of possession, total yards and first downs to a team that hadn’t beat a BCS opponent since 1998. The ACC had an embarrassing weekend all around and it certainly seems as if the Big East has a challenger for worst BCS conference this year. Now Virginia must regroup against a team that has BCS aspirations itself in Texas Christian. With BYU and Utah winning over the weekend, TCU is highly motivated to prove that the upper half of Mountain West is a legitimate threat to any BCS team. Texas Christian has a suffocating defense that only allowed 11 points a game last year and hasn’t a allowed more than 18 in the past four seasons. Virginia runs a spread offense that obviously had disastrous results last week. If you look at teams that have installed the spread offense the past few seasons, two things are abundantly clear. One – you need spread oriented players, which after Virginia quarterbacks three interceptions and combined 137 yards passing is still a mystery, and two – it takes time to see positive results. Texas Christian returns six starters on offense, including quarterback Andy Dalton and running back Joe Turner to a unit that averaged 33.6 points a game. Texas Christian prefers to run the ball and limit mistakes, which means they lean heavily on their defense to create turnovers and limit clock killing drives. If you feel confident that Virginia’s offense can turn things around in seven days against a highly motivated TCU team and play at an elite level for 60 minutes – take the Cavaliers. I’ll back a Gary Patterson coached Texas Christian team that has proven it isn’t intimidated (11-5 vs BCS teams), has the defensive pedigree and absolutely must win this game if it has any chance of crashing the BCS. Play: #347 Texas Christian -11 (Risking 2.05 units to win 2)

Notre Dame -3 +1.01 over MICHIGAN PINNACLE
All was well for both historic college football powers in Week 1. Amid all the controversy surrounding both Charlie Weis and Rich Rodriguez, both coaches managed to pull of impressive victories against non BCS teams. Notre Dame finally looked like it had NFL caliber players on the defensive side of the ball as it pitched a shutout and managed to force three turnovers against Nevada. The offense, whose calling card all summer long was that it returned nine starters looked very impressive racking up 510 total yards of offense. Michigan’s offense also looked way better than last years, as highly touted freshman Tate Forcier threw three touchdowns as Michigan rolled over WMU. The key to this game for Michigan will be to repeat its offensive performance against a markedly better Notre Dame defense. Sure, Michigan looked great against WMU but they’re still very inexperienced at key positions to be counted on to score on every drive. A well-run spread offense is supposed to neutralize the talent disadvantage, but Michigan cannot be considered a team that has mastered the spread yet. With the inability to score, Michigan’s defense will have to hold the fort against a much more talented Notre Dame offense. For the first time since Brady Quinn suited up for the Fighting Irish, Notre Dame finally has an offense that will be capable of scoring against averages defenses like Michigan. Jimmy Clausen is an NFL caliber talent that can be trusted to make smart decisions and accurate throws. When backing a road favorite, especially at Michigan Stadium, it is extremely important to have the edge at the pivot as an inexperienced quarterback can single-handedly kill a wager, as Georgia backers will attest to last week at Boone Pickens stadium. The facts are that Notre Dame’s offense is more experienced and talented than the Wolverines and the same can be said on the opposite side of the ball. I expect Notre Dame to neutralize the inexperienced and less talented Michigan offense and continue to gain steam in the top 25 rankings. Play: #339 Notre Dame –3 +1.01 (Risking 2 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Wunderdog

Game: N. Carolina at Connecticut (Saturday 9/12 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Connecticut +4.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Last year the Tar Heels destroyed a then-ranked Huskies’ squad to the tune of 38-12. The game turned as the Huskies played an unusually mistake-prone game, with three INTs and the Heels blocked three punts, which turned the game completely around. When you look at the numbers from that game without knowing the final score you'd think UConn won. The Huskies outgained the Heels 378-263, but the special teams gaffs along with the three INTs changed the entire complexion of the game. Now the Huskies look for revenge at home where they have gone 11-2 over the last two years. When posted as a home dog, they have gone 12-6 ATS. Butch Davis has done a good job at Carolina, but when taking to the road as a favorite, his squad is 0-2-1 ATS, still seeking their first cover. The Huskies have reigned supreme in out-of-conference games going 30-14-1 ATS in their last 45, and are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four as a home dog of 3.5-10 points. They are also 20-8 ATS returning home from a road game and 9-2 ATS in the first two weeks of the season under head coach Randy Edsall. I'll go with the Huskies in this one. Game: Syracuse at Penn State (Saturday 9/12 12:00 PM Eastern)

Pick: 3 units on Penn State -28.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
At 80-years-old, Joe Pa was said to have seen the game pass him by. Looking at an 11-1 regular season a year ago and a team returning capable of doing the same, it looks like business as usual at Penn State. The Nittany Lions ran to a 31-0 halftime lead a week ago vs. Akron, and held the Zips to just eight first downs. The defense was excellent, allowing just 28 rushing yards on 30 carries. This one will see even more intensity, as these schools are in close proximity to each other and battle each other off the field for recruits. I'd expect starters to log more minutes here to get ready for a full game, and the intensity level showing no let up. Last year, Penn State was 27.5 point favorites on the road and won by 42 in week three. Not much has changed in the overall strength and weaknesses of these teams, and the line is similar to last year, but they are at home. Coach Paterno’s teams are not afraid to roll it up as heavy chalk coming in with a 9-3 ATS mark as a favorite of -17.5 plus in their last 12 such games.Penn State is 80-28 ATS over the past 17 years when they score 28+ points in a game and they will reach that figure here. Penn State can name the score here, and I think Joe Pa names this one big. I’m on Penn State in a blowout. Game: Iowa at Iowa State (Saturday 9/12 12:30 PM Eastern)

Pick: 3 units on Iowa State +6 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
This is one of those intrastate rivalries in which you can often through out the stats. You don't have to look at the relative strength or weaknesses of these teams when they meet. All you have to do is look at the history between these two. One thing for sure, Iowa State is going to show up here and play their best game of the season. Iowa looked weak against Northern Iowa last week, a school they should have dominated in all aspects of the game. But in the end they needed to block two late field goal attempts just to escape with a 17-16 win. In the last 11 games in this series, Iowa State is 10-1 ATS in this game, has won straight up as a dog of 17.5 points, 9.5, 3, 5 and 28 points! That is five underdog outright wins to an average line of +12.6. They have outperformed the line in the 10 wins by 14 points per game, or two TDs. The Hawkeyes are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five road openers. Iowa State is 22-9 ATS in their last 31 home games coming off a win. This one has too much history of Goliath getting slayed to not make this one a play. I will go with Iowa State in this one. Game: Kansas State at U L Lafayette (Saturday 9/12 7:00 PM Eastern)

Pick: 4 units on U L Lafayette +7 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
You really have to question this Kansas State team. They scheduled a non-FBS team at home (UMass) and had to hold on to squeak out a 21-17 win. Now they must take to the road where they are 4-17 SU in their last 21 games and lay a touchdown. Last year, Kansas State had the Cajuns at home and were outgained and torched for over 500 yards as a three TD+ favorite. Despite laying 21, they won that game by just 8 points and it was withing 5 in the fourth quarter. The Cajuns return 17 starters and get this one at home where they piled up 42 points and over 500 yards last week. Yes, the competition wasn't as great, but neither was it for Kansas State. The Wildcats have been more like “Mildcats” as a road chalk as they are just 1-8 ATS in their last nine, and the Ragin’ Cajuns have more than held their own when facing a Big-12 school as they are 8-3 ATS against the BCS power conference. I like the dog here. Game: Bowling Green at Missouri (Saturday 9/12 7:00 PM Eastern)

Pick: 4 units on Missouri -19.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
Last week we cashed with Missouri as they won outright as a 7-point dog to Illinois. I am on them again this week. Last week no one believed that the formerly high-octane offense of Missouri could still win without Chase Daniels and Jeremy Maclin. They proved the doubters wrong as they went into Illinois and hung 37 on a stout defense on the road. The defense held a potent Illini offensive attack lead by Juice Williams to just 9 points. Opponents beware... the demise of the Tigers is unfounded! Bowling Green looked premier taking to the road in similar fashion - a TD dog and rolling over Troy State. That's the good news. The bad news is that last year, three teams won on the road as a dog, and came back the following week on the road, were torched 120-17 going 0-3 SU and ATS. Missouri has been abusing out-of-conference opponents to the tune of a 9-1 ATS mark in their last 10 such games. Bowling Green might be lavishing in a surprising road win, but that feeling won't last long. Missouri gets the call here, hanging 50+ on the Falcons and winning big. Game: Central Florida at Southern Miss (Saturday 9/12 7:00 PM Eastern)

Pick: 3 units on Southern Miss -14.5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Last year, Central Florida had one of the worst offenses in college football. This season things don't look much brighter as they managed to gain just 282 yards against Samford last week. That certainly doesn't bode well for them here as Southern Miss was putting together a high-octane display of offense in their opener, good for 631 yards. Southern Miss head coach Larry Fedora has put up a 26.6 points per game win margin when the Golden Eagles win as the offense leads the way. And as the offense gets better, the covers keep coming as the Golden Eagles covered their final five a year ago, including their Bowl win as an underdog. When you play at home against Samford, get out-gained and have to come from behind to win, it doesn't bode well heading on the road against a high-octane offense, especially when you've proven that you can't move the ball. Under George O'Learly, UCF is 0-8 ATS on the road following a non-conference game. I'm going with Southern Miss in this one. Game: Tulsa at New Mexico (Saturday 9/12 8:00 PM Eastern)

Pick: 4 units on New Mexico +17.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
The Golden Hurricane dispatched lowly Tulane in their opener 37-13. That has put a bump in this line. Heading on the road is one thing, but when you look at the schedule and see Oklahoma coming up for Tulsa next week, you can be sure they will have part of their minds on that game. That can result in a lack of emotion in this one. After all, they trounced the Lobos 56-14 a year ago, so how will this one get their attention, especially with the Sooners on deck? The Golden Hurricane haven't fared well on grass as they have turned in a 3-8 ATS mark recently. They are 1-10 ATS in their last eleven road games after allowing 325+ yards the game before. Under head coach Todd Graham, they are 1-8 ATS on the road after scoring 37+ points the week before. The Lobos have been getting it done after a straight-up loss by following it up with a 12-5 ATS mark. They have also covered each of their last four at home. All eyes on Oklahoma here on the Tulsa sidelines opens the door for a Lobo’s cover to an inflated spread. I'm backing New Mexico here.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

TONY BRUNO WINS

10x BOISE STATE

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Trushel
20* Dog GOY...........Ohio St

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

C-Star Sports

5000 Units College Football Hammer Play Of The Month! Virginia Tech minus the points over Marshall

1000 Units Top Play Michigan State minus the points over Central Michigan
1000 Units Ohio State plus the points over USC
50 units Notre Dame at Michigan over the total
50 units Kansas at Texas El Paso over the total

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

FantasySportsGametime

Saturday MLB Plays

MLB Baseball


25* Play Detroit (-180) over Toronto (MLB PLAY)

Edwin Jackson has won 8 consecutive games as a home favorite of -150 or higher and he has also won 5 consecutive games at home when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs. Edwin Jackson is 7-1 at home this season with an ERA of 3.18.


25* Play Chicago Cubs (-170) over Cincinnati (MLB PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 5 consecutive games and they have also lost 17 of the last 22 games when playing on a Saturday. Johnny Cueto has lost 7 of the last 9 games when playing on a Saturday and he has an ERA of 5.93 over the last 3 starts.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

ATS LOCK

8 utep +13
8 unlv +7
7 aub -14
2 rr
6 vandy +14 1/2
5 n c -4

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Dave Malinsky

4* #349 KENT over BOSTON COLLEGE

"There are going to be problems with any job. No one needs to feel sorry for us and what I inherited. What I inherited was a great job at a great job at a great university, with great people and great players. Now, do we have our work cut out for us? Yes. Do we have a plan? Yes. Is the future bright? Yes. There's a lot of positive things."

That was how new Boston College head coach Frank Spaziani made his entrance, taking over a program filled with issues throughout (three head coaches in three years can do that). Yet the Eagles opened with a 54-0 lambasting of Northeastern, and the marketplace is treating them as though all is well this week. It isn’t. Whipping an FCS team that lost 10 games LY does not mean a whole lot, and if anything it could actually be construed as a negative opener, in that some of the key issues were not able to be addressed. So we gladly take the value being offered here.

The Eagles have problems on both sides of the ball. There is not a QB that has ever taken a snap in a lined game, and by using Jason Tuggle (red-shirt freshman), David Shinskie (playing football again after six years as a pitcher in the Minors, and not around for spring practice), Cody Boek (played FB and on the special teams LY) and Mike Marscovetra (true freshman) all on Saturday none of them got a chance to get the kind of reps needed to run the offense well. Having split the snaps through fall practice as well, the chemistry of the passing game is an awkward mix.

Meanwhile that usually staunch defensive interior has to cope with the loss of 1st round (B. J. Raji) and 2nd round (Ron Brace) NFL draft picks, and injury and illness has taken away key LB’s Mark Herzlich and Mike McLaughin, with starter Will Thompson also missing Saturday, though he should return this week. Without Thompson they started two freshman and a sophomore at LB, and since Thompson is only a soph himself they are extremely untested. And while many times established programs can look to veterans to help steady the ship while young players develop, B. C. only has seven senior starters, and only two more on the second unit. This is a team that will be a work in progress, and there is absolutely no scoreboard urgency here, with a brutal cycle of six straight games against bowl opponents on deck, starting with a revenge affair at Clemson next week.

This is not all anti-Boston College, however. Kent State brings play-on potential in several areas, with a veteran OL leading the way for the cut-back runs of Eugene Jarvis, which can be especially effective against young LB’s; an emerging offensive weapon in freshman WR Tyshon Goode (six catches for 84 yards in his debut); and the defense has a chance to be vastly improved. Michigan transfer Cobrani Mixon quickly made his presence felt at MLB, earning M.A.C. defensive Player of the Week honors in his first game with the Golden Flashes, while Kevin Hogan (3rd in career sacks at Kent) adds a pass rush up front, and there are six members of the secondary with starting experience. They should never lose contact with a favorite that lacks the explosiveness, cohesion and any real intent to get this one by a big margin.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: 9-12-09

Bob Valentino

25 DIME College Football Winner ...
25 DIME: LSU (minus the points vs. Vanderbilt)



NOTE: At the time of publishing this release, LSU was favored by 14 1/2 points. If that's still the case as you read this, I want you to play it safe and buy the half point and only lay 14! I highly recommend you get on this game early, because this number is only going to go up!