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Bob Balfe
Nationals -120 over Marlins
Parker/Luzardo
MLB
1:35 PM EST
Rotation # 904
Nationals -120 over Marlins
Parker/Luzardo
We cashed in with the Under yesterday, as both teams are horrible against left-handed pitching. Miami has been historically bad to start June, as they are the worst team in baseball against lefties by a mile. I will take any team at the -120 price against them. There is little to lose. To make matters worse for the Marlins, their starter, Jesus Luzardo, has struggled this year. You can’t win if you can’t score. Take the Nationals.
⚾️#MLB (2x-Rated)
901) Cardinals vs Cubs (10:05am) Pick: Over 10.5 (-115)
Risk: $2,300 to win $2,000
7-2 on the week
Analysis: This total is one of my favorite picks on the board!
Over 75% of the tickets and 85% of the money is on the Under,
but I expect this game to be explosive! The first two games went Under the posted total,
but this matchup should be different. Both teams are starting middle-of-the-pack pitchers.
Miles Mikolas is 4-6 with a 4.85 ERA this season, coming off two solid outings this month,
but I anticipate he'll struggle this morning. Jameson Taillon will be pitching for the Cubs;
he's 3-2 with a 3.09 ERA but has struggled against right-handed batters, with the Cardinals
hitting .324 against him.
The Cardinals have been seeing the ball well, scoring 12 runs over their last three road games.
Both bullpens have been subpar, with Cardinals relievers allowing 4.11 runs per nine innings
and the Cubs allowing 5.07 runs per nine innings. My projections have this game closer
to the 12-14 run range.
Take the Over!
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