Wednesday 1/3/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358030

    Wednesday 1/3/24 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 16966

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

    PURCHASE
    Parx Racing - Race 7
    Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 7-10) / 10 cent Superfecta
    Claiming $7,500 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up CR: 67 • Purse: $21,000 • Post: 2:47P
    (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 3 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Lone Stalker. CALIENTE RUM is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * RANDOM LUCK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. S HELL BELLE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SO SOFTLY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CALIENTE RUM: H orse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
    3
    RANDOM LUCK
    6/1
    9/2
    1
    SHELL BELLE
    5/2
    6/1
    10
    SO SOFTLY
    12/1
    7/1
    7
    CALIENTE RUM
    5/1
    8/1


    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    10
    SO SOFTLY
    10
    12/1
    Front-runner
    65
    59
    90.2
    47.0
    33.0
    1
    SHELL BELLE
    1
    5/2
    Alternator/Front-runner
    68
    60
    68.6
    51.4
    46.9
    7
    CALIENTE RUM
    7
    5/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    76
    44
    55.2
    47.8
    38.3
    4
    TOTAL DISCRETION
    4
    10/1
    Trailer
    63
    53
    35.6
    52.4
    40.4
    11
    SO SWELL
    11
    6/1
    Trailer
    69
    43
    29.2
    48.0
    31.0
    5
    MISQUILLO
    5
    15/1
    Trailer
    62
    48
    0.0
    39.9
    31.9
    3
    RANDOM LUCK
    3
    6/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    67
    67
    37.0
    50.4
    46.4
    2
    DEBBIE'S SURPRISE
    2
    10/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    61
    44
    67.0
    38.4
    17.4
    6
    LA LUISA
    6
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    64
    51
    62.8
    37.4
    18.9
    12
    THE FURMANATOR
    12
    10/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    56
    48
    62.0
    44.6
    31.6
    8
    AZTEC BAY
    8
    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    54
    56
    47.4
    41.2
    20.7
    9
    BULLET ON TAP
    9
    4/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    69
    54
    36.2
    46.6
    35.1

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 16966

      #3
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles TownPURCHASE


      Charles Town - Race 6
      Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
      Maiden Special • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 CR: 42 • Purse: $26,500 • Post: 9:21P
      FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
      Contenders
      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line
      Accept
      Odds

      Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. JUBA'S PUNCH is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JUBA'S PUNCH: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
      10
      JUBA'S PUNCH
      7/2
      9/5

      P#
      Horse (In Running Style Order)
      Post
      Morn
      Line
      Running Style
      Good
      Class
      Good
      Speed
      Early Figure
      Finish Figure
      Platinum
      Figure
      10
      JUBA'S PUNCH
      10
      7/2
      Front-runner
      55
      42
      58.8
      39.8
      36.8
      9
      BET YOUR BOOTS
      9
      12/1
      Front-runner
      33
      32
      51.2
      30.3
      20.3
      5
      TRUE INDY
      5
      6/1
      Stalker
      0
      0
      37.0
      39.8
      35.3
      4
      SHE'S A BRICKHOUSE
      4
      8/1
      Alternator/Trailer
      56
      41
      24.4
      33.0
      27.0
      1
      TRUE BUCKPASSING
      1
      12/1
      Alternator/Trailer
      0
      0
      15.9
      21.1
      9.1
      8
      IMADHI
      8
      20/1
      Alternator/Trailer
      0
      0
      7.7
      22.1
      11.6
      11
      SPECIAL KAYLEE
      11
      20/1
      Alternator/Non-contender
      51
      33
      28.6
      22.5
      13.0
      6
      S S FLAMINGO
      6
      20/1
      Alternator/Non-contender
      39
      31
      28.0
      16.3
      2.3
      Unknown Running Style: FLORIDIFIED (10/1) [Jockey: Araujo Denis Vicente - Trainer: Curtis Larry F], TOMORROW'S EDGE (5/2) [Jockey: Bocachica Arnaldo - Trainer: Runco Jeff C], UNITE THE GIRLS (5/1) [Jockey: Latchman Reshawn - Trainer: McKee Cynthia E]

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 16966

        #4
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

        PURCHASE


        Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #5 - Post: 2:36pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,600 Class Rating: 92

        Rating:

        #5 TRIGZ TOO (ML=8/1)
        #3 ENZOEXPRESS (ML=6/1)


        TRIGZ TOO - This gelding might as well call Mahoning Valley Race Course home. Don't overlook how he races well over this racing venue. ENZOEXPRESS - I have to believe that this shorter trip should help this gelding. This gelding is in top form right now. Ran second last time around the track and comes back promptly. Recent Equibase speed figs show solid pattern of improvement.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #2 INSIDE STUNT (ML=5/2), #4 MAKING ME CRAZY (ML=7/2), #6 MALIBU CLASSIC (ML=4/1),

        INSIDE STUNT - Horse ran a great speed rating in the last race, but that was on the mud. A 'performance bounce' is likely to happen for this animal this time around. May rebound next time. MAKING ME CRAZY - Not likely that this equine will finish better than he did last time when finishing ninth. Will be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. MALIBU CLASSIC - This gelding notched a speed fig in his last race which probably isn't good enough today. This animal ran his best rating in awhile. May bounce and run poorly off that struggle.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #5 TRIGZ TOO to win if we can get at least 5/2 odds
        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [3,5]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        None
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 16966

          #5
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs

          PURCHASE
          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 48

          FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 5 JERSEY FACTOR 9/2
          # 7 PAMZ PALACE 7/2
          # 1 MISTYMORNINGSGIRL 5/1
          I think JERSEY FACTOR is a quite good choice. Expect a speed boost today from this equine going on blinkers. Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this group. Expect this equine to be close up at the finish line versus these mounts. PAMZ PALACE - This pick will feel the med change - on Lasix today. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Marquez will probably have this filly in excellent position to win the contest. MISTYMORNINGSGIRL - Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the key to a comeback. She has formidable class ratings, averaging 76, and has to be given consideration for this event.



          Comment

          • ConleyPicks
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2020
            • 16966

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            PURCHASE


            Turfway Park - Race #4 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 80

            Rating:

            #3 LADY IN HEELS (ML=8/1)
            #5 UP IN ARMS (ML=6/1)
            #4 BEACH KITTEN (ML=4/1)


            LADY IN HEELS - This mare should give a good account of herself in today's event. UP IN ARMS - This thoroughbred coming off a good race in the last month is a strong challenger in my opinion. When Terraza and Anderson partner up on equines the return on investment has been fantastic at +39. Mare is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a big race today. Could be an overlay right here in this race at odds of 6/1. Finished fourth in last race at Turfway Park but was close at the finish. BEACH KITTEN - When Peterson and Miller partner up on animals the return on investment has been wonderful at +142. That last work tells me this mare is set for a top performance. Mare hasn't won in her last three starts, but her last win came on Jul 6th at today's class and distance. This mare is obviously on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 54, 57, 73 last three out.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #11 GET NONE (ML=7/2), #12 MY TOMMY LEE (ML=6/1),

            GET NONE - The fourth place finish position in the last event was not the best. This mare garnered a speed rating in her last clash which probably isn't good enough in today's race. This morning-line choice ran on October 23rd and hasn't had a blow out after that. MY TOMMY LEE - This mare hasn't been showing me anything in the last couple of outings. In any affair of 6 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been sharp in short distance contests recently.

            GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BEACH KITTEN - Having the best speed fig last race of 73 at Turfway Park on December 1st. This mare has an excellent chance to win here.




            STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 LADY IN HEELS to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better
            EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with [4,5]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6
            SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [3,4,5] with [3,4,5] with [3,4,5,12,13] with [3,4,5,12,13] Total Cost: $36

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 16966

              #7
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

              PURCHASE
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.




              Race 6 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $27500 Class Rating: 93

              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              # 1 AQUITANIA ARRIVAL 9/5
              # 2 AGNELLO'S DREAM 4/1
              # 5 CENTSOFWANDER 6/1
              AQUITANIA ARRIVAL looks to be a solid contender. His 92 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figs in this contest. Looks strong to be on or close to the lead at the first call. Could beat this group given the 88 Equibase Speed Fig garnered in his last outing. AGNELLO'S DREAM - He has to be given consideration given the solid speed figures. Will probably be one of the front-runners of the group going into the midpoint of the race. CENTSOFWANDER - Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. Recent figures for the jockey - 27 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group.

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 16966

                #8
                Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.




                Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $28000 Class Rating: 43

                FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. PENNSYLVANIA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.

                RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                # 6 BEEN REAL BUSY 7/2
                # 10 MOON AT NIGHT 5/1
                # 9 HYACINTH BUCKET 6/1
                BEEN REAL BUSY has a very strong shot to take this race. Expect this animal to be right there at the wire versus these horses. MOON AT NIGHT - This filly has some longshot angles I like to take a chance on. The big drop in class can only help out this one this time out. HYACINTH BUCKET - Last time out, this filly faced a stronger field.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 16966

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park

                  Turfway Park - Race 6
                  Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Double 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
                  Optional Claiming $25,000 • 1 1/4 Miles • All-Weather • Ages 4 and up CR: 88 • Purse: $74,000 • Post: 8:25P
                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $7,500 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $18,600 OVER A MILE SINCE DECEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Dominant Stalker. WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
                  6
                  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS
                  6/5
                  9/5

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  6
                  WHENTHEDAWNBREAKS
                  6
                  6/5
                  Stalker
                  90
                  90
                  97.7
                  87.7
                  85.7
                  1
                  CANT KEEP ME DOWN
                  1
                  9/2
                  Stalker
                  82
                  80
                  78.9
                  70.1
                  63.1
                  5
                  EVITA
                  5
                  4/1
                  Stalker
                  80
                  72
                  70.2
                  62.6
                  52.1
                  7
                  BIRDIE ROSE
                  7
                  15/1
                  Stalker
                  77
                  71
                  24.0
                  54.8
                  39.3
                  8
                  LITTLE DIXIE
                  8
                  5/1
                  Trailer
                  85
                  75
                  73.2
                  75.0
                  67.0
                  3
                  COLOR CRUSH
                  3
                  12/1
                  Trailer
                  87
                  79
                  43.6
                  72.0
                  65.0
                  2
                  ENDLESS
                  2
                  20/1
                  Alternator/Trailer
                  79
                  78
                  63.6
                  66.6
                  56.1
                  4
                  TOWER BRIDGE
                  4
                  12/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  70
                  77
                  86.7
                  68.2
                  57.7

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 16966

                    #10
                    Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Dover Downs


                    CompuBet Free Pick!


                    CompuBet 01/03 DOVER DOWNS

                    Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

                    Race#: 1- - PACE 01/03 DOVER DOWNS

                    8 Arkell 5/2 581.29 100 130.0 77.0 1:54.3 Allard, Simon 18

                    2 Just Call Me Song 10/1 542.92 90 10.0 80.0 1:55.4 Tetrick, Tim 29

                    6 Woodmere Leah 9/2 529.76 90 55.0 77.0 1:55.3 Morgan, Anthony 24

                    4 Strawberry Fields 7/2 528.49 70 23.3 78.0 1:55.7 Davis, Allan 18

                    3 Somara 6/1 518.79 80 10.0 79.0 1:55.6 Callahan, Corey 18

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 16966

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Dover Downs

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 13 - Post: 8:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$8000 - FILLIES/MARES NW $6,001
                      CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                      # 3 SPELLCHECK HANOVER 7/2
                      # 8 SWEET BOBBIE 10/1
                      # 9 PEAKS CRUISER 5/2
                      If you want a respectable play for this one, feast your eyes on SPELLCHECK HANOVER. This trainer, and the driver Teague, go together like peaches and cream. Their results together are excellent. Recent figures for the driver - 20 percent win - make this mare a stand out in the grouping. SWEET BOBBIE - Dover Downs has been playing to this horse's running style, we're looking for a substantial effort. With a respectable 78 TrackMaster Speed Rating last time out, will definitely be a factor in this affair. PEAKS CRUISER - This contender may have some hidden form, a win would be a pleasant surprise.

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 16966

                        #12
                        Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at The Meadows

                        P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                        RACE 12
                        7 7 JOEY 2/1 Zendt, Brian - 6 532.82
                        5 5 MCMATTERS 7/2 Jenson, Brady - 10 511.87
                        4 4 THE FUNK 5/2 Merriman, Aaron - 16 503.52
                        9 9 MIND YOWN BUSINESS 15/1 Lems, Chris - 8 474.40
                        1 1 BLUE DEVIL 8/1 Indof, Jeremy - 10 471.10
                        2 2 SWIPE RIGHT 15/1 Killeen, Jack - 6 470.12
                        3 3 MAKE IT A DOUBLE 15/1 Brown, Brady - 7 440.05
                        6 6 GOLDEN COMPASS 20/1 Walters, Justin - 6 420.55
                        8 8 STORMONT PARK 20/1 Myers, Hunter - 13 396.56

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 16966

                          #13
                          Handicapped by Compubet Standard at Monticello Raceway


                          CompuBet Free Pick!


                          CompuBet 01/03 MONTICELLO

                          Prog Contestant M/L Points Pre Mud_Q X_>21 Form "I"Class Fav Adj SpdDriver Points

                          Race#: 6- - PACE 01/03 MONTICELLO

                          2 Major Show 5/2 563.88 100 33.3 85.0 1:56.8 Sowers, Mcgwire 17

                          7 Yankee On The Move 7/2 509.04 90 45.0 80.0 1:57.5 Devaux, Jim 27

                          6 Caviart Skipper 8/1 505.53 80 16.7 80.0 1:56.4 Merton, Thomas 14

                          4 Barrywhite Hanover 4/1 499.23 80 13.3 81.0 1:57.0 Stratton, Cory 19

                          8 Hestons Lucky Chip 12/1 489.79 80 68.3 80.9 1:57.3 Aldrich, Bruce Jr 22

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 16966

                            #14
                            Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Northfield Park

                            P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                            RACE 13
                            3 3 MEETMEINTHEHALLWAY 9/2 Ebersole, Luke - 9 479.74
                            6 6 SADODAKA 8/1 Mc Kirgan, Don - 11 475.42
                            1 1 MANHATTANUP NO ICE 2/1 Sugg, Kurt - 10 466.78
                            2 2 AUNT RITA 25/1 Grismore, Greg - 6 453.87
                            4 4 BIG CHUCKY 10/1 Merriman, Aaron - 24 453.20
                            8 8 TRIUMPHANT'S CHIP 25/1 Lems, Chris - 12 452.93
                            7 7 FLY JESSE FLY 25/1 Stahl, Ryan - 9 443.59
                            10 10 VROOM N VONNIE 25/1 Kash, Keith Jr - 5 435.70
                            5 5 CHASIN' DREAMS 5/1 Myers, Hunter - 13 432.14
                            9 9 MAKING DREAMS 4/1 Thompson, Jason - 6 424.24

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 16966

                              #15
                              Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley

                              Always check program numbers.
                              Odds shown are morning line odds.



                              Race 6 - Post: 5:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$9000 - HORSES & GELDINGS N/W $2251 LAST 4 STARTS
                              CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                              # 9 MADELINES BLK JACK 5/2
                              # 6 POWER SWEET 9/2
                              # 5 BAZOOKA HANOVER 8/1
                              MADELINES BLK JACK is the clear stand out play in the eyes of the panel of smart guys. Could provide us a trip to the winner's circle based on competitive recent TrackMaster Speed Ratings - earning an avg of 89. Enters this race with good TrackMaster class stats as compared to the group of animals - take a good look. Many race players will recognize the excellent TrackMaster speed fig in the last contest. Stacks up against any horse in this bunch. POWER SWEET - A competitive class horse should not be be passed over. With an average class rating of 86 all signs point to this one being the winner. Certainly did like this gelding's last race. Ran a big 84 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Major contender. BAZOOKA HANOVER - When the starter calls, interesting entrants starting out of the 5 hole have more wins than is normal.


                              Comment

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