Sunday 11/5/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:53 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Hour Wagers

PURCHASE

Golden Hour Wagers - Race 1	Leg 1 of the Golden Hour Pick 4
SO $50,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 106 • Purse: $47,000 • Post: 4:02P
SA - R9 - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000 OR LESS IN 2021 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (MAIDEN AND CLAIMING RACES FOR $40,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * PATRON D'ORO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MOOSE MITCHELL: Horse rank s in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. IT'S MY HOUSE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. DISCO BALL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. REDLINE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	PATRON D'ORO	5/2	6/1
3	MOOSE MITCHELL	8/5	6/1
1	IT'S MY HOUSE	3/1	7/1
7	DISCO BALL	6/1	8/1
2	REDLINE	6/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	PATRON D'ORO	5	5/2	Front-runner	101	106	93.4	95.4	89.9
7	DISCO BALL	7	6/1	Front-runner	102	93	83.0	94.0	85.5
1	IT'S MY HOUSE	1	3/1	Front-runner	102	105	75.7	92.2	87.2
3	MOOSE MITCHELL	3	8/5	Stalker	103	106	76.0	101.0	97.0
2	REDLINE	2	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	102	96	67.2	92.8	86.8
6	STAY IN THE GAME	6	15/1	Trailer	84	85	64.0	79.2	67.2
4	MY RANSOM	4	30/1	Trailer	92	79	59.0	59.0	46.5

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:54 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for WoodbinePURCHASE

Woodbine - Race 3	Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)/ $1 Swinger
SO $15,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 96 • Purse: $41,000 • Post: 2:03P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500 OR LESS IN 2022 - 2023 OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $5,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * HELL BENT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SUNRISE DRIVE: Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days. SEVEN IS A BREEZE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. DESOLATOR: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. C C'S KINGDOM: Jockey/Train er combination return on investment is at least +20.
5	HELL BENT	12/1	6/1
4	SUNRISE DRIVE	3/1	7/1
3	SEVEN IS A BREEZE	20/1	7/1
1	DESOLATOR	5/2	7/1
9	C C'S KINGDOM	4/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	SPRING MOUNTAIN	7	6/1	Front-runner	82	77	80.6	78.0	67.0
9	C C'S KINGDOM	9	4/1	Front-runner	90	84	80.2	79.6	70.1
8	STRONG ENDING	8	10/1	Stalker	92	85	61.8	85.8	74.3
6	NATIVE PRINCE	6	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	92	85	90.0	85.4	73.4
5	HELL BENT	5	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	92	90	80.2	84.8	76.8
4	SUNRISE DRIVE	4	3/1	Trailer	92	90	77.8	88.2	80.7
1	DESOLATOR	1	5/2	Trailer	92	89	71.9	84.9	79.9
3	SEVEN IS A BREEZE	3	20/1	Trailer	81	92	67.3	87.0	74.0
2	NEWPORT AGENT	2	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	87	82	72.4	78.9	70.4

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:54 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 54

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 CAPACITY 5/1
# 5 ACCELERAY 3/1
# 1 GOTHAM'S FINALE 2/1

CAPACITY is my choice. Likely to see this animal to be close up on the wire versus these mounts. Has quite good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. With a sound 51 average speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. ACCELERAY - This gelding looks strong for this race since Uranga has a sharp win percent with horses going this distance. Overall, this handler has been lucrative at this distance/surface. GOTHAM'S FINALE - Lawrence is trying to score with this entrant by bringing him back so soon. Lawrence has him trained soundly to break rapidly out of the starting gate.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:54 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Mountaineer Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,800 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#8 KRUSIN ROCKET (ML=5/1)

KRUSIN ROCKET - I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback.

Vulnerable Contenders: #14 STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR (ML=5/2), #5 MYSTIC MINISTER (ML=3/1), #11 HAPPY YEARS (ML=4/1),

STEALTHTHIRTYFOUR - I'd like to see better recent outings with oddsmaker's morning line of 5/2. MYSTIC MINISTER - This colt raced very well on October 10th placing second, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign. When examining today's Equibase class figure, he will have to register a better speed fig than last time around the track to compete in this dirt sprint. HAPPY YEARS - Not easy to bet on any horse in a short distance race at 4/1 when he hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last sixty days. Mediocre speed figure last time out at Mountaineer Park at 1 mile. Don't think this racer will improve too much in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #8 KRUSIN ROCKET on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	8 with [5,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	8 with [5,9] with [4,5,9,10] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	8 with [5,9,10] with [2,4,5,9,10] with [2,4,5,9,10] Total Cost: $36

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:55 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Santa Anita - Race #7 - Post: 3:02pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating:

#3 I'M A LUCKY MAN (ML=10/1)
#1 TAHOE SECRETS (ML=4/1)
#4 NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) (ML=15/1)
#7 HEARTBREAK KID (ML=6/1)

I'M A LUCKY MAN - Ran last time out against tougher competition at Golden Gate Fields. The move down in the class scale should suit him well. This horse is tops in earnings per race. He looks sharp in today's event. TAHOE SECRETS - Many positive 'vibrations' joined to this pony and his connections. NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) - Jock jumped on this gelding's back for the first ride on October 9th. Should 'know' the horse even better this time. HEARTBREAK KID - Looking at today's class rating, this horse is meeting an easier group than last out at Santa Anita.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 TOO MUCH INFO (ML=7/2), #9 KISLOVODSK (ML=5/1), #6 STAN FROM MALIBU (ML=5/1),

TOO MUCH INFO - This runner ran a mediocre speed figure last race out. He shouldn't improve and will probably get beat today running that figure. KISLOVODSK - 5/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint event recently. STAN FROM MALIBU - In any race of 5 1/2 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been looking good in sprint contests recently.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - I'M A LUCKY MAN - At Golden Gate Fields on Mar 19th this gelding posted a speed figure of 81 in his last race. He has the top last figure in the field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 I'M A LUCKY MAN to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,3] with [1,3] with [4,7] with [4,7] Total Cost: $4
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:55 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 78

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $8,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 FREESTANDING 15/1
# 7 BY ITS ABSENCE 6/1
# 4 JUDY'S ARMY 5/2

FREESTANDING looks to be a very good contender especially at a such a nice price. Shows solid speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group of horses. Should come out very solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved speedily to the front end recently. He has very good class ratings, averaging 82, and has to be considered in here. BY ITS ABSENCE - Ran a sharp last race. Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this animal a solid contender.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:56 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs

Churchill Downs - Race 9	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Super Hi-5
Allowance • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 •Purse: $127,000 • Post: 5:05P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING, OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE SEPTEMBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE AND ONE SIXTEENTH MILE.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Stalker. TALL BOY is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TALL BOY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. KING CURLIN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 d ays. IDRATHERBEBLESSED: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MIRANDA RIGHTS: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. BABA VOSS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating .
12	TALL BOY	5/1	5/1
3	KING CURLIN	5/1	6/1
5	IDRATHERBEBLESSED	8/1	7/1
10	MIRANDA RIGHTS	6/1	8/1
4	BABA VOSS	3/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	CLEAR THE AIR	2	30/1	Front-runner	85	94	89.1	67.1	43.1
6	READ ON	6	15/1	Front-runner	76	81	85.2	69.8	42.8
13	SHERLOCK'S JEWEL	13	20/1	Front-runner	95	83	70.8	77.0	56.0
14	GATLINBURG	14	5/1	Front-runner	97	100	69.7	81.7	61.2
12	TALL BOY	12	5/1	Stalker	95	93	103.9	95.2	87.2
5	IDRATHERBEBLESSED	5	8/1	Stalker	97	96	94.5	93.8	80.8
10	MIRANDA RIGHTS	10	6/1	Stalker	97	95	92.8	93.1	79.1
3	KING CURLIN	3	5/1	Stalker	98	97	83.8	94.0	85.0
11	STONEMONT REUNION	11	30/1	Stalker	97	92	77.7	91.0	77.0
4	BABA VOSS	4	3/1	Trailer	98	103	97.4	94.8	89.3
1	OSCAR AWARD	1	20/1	Trailer	87	81	77.2	83.0	64.5
16	MIDNIGHT RISING	16	12/1	Trailer	97	88	72.1	86.0	76.0
7	KARMA DIRECTOR	7	30/1	Trailer	63	65	59.7	67.3	37.8
8	OK BOOMER	8	7/2	Trailer	91	87	57.7	80.2	62.7
9	EVENT DETAIL	9	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	93	99	80.5	88.3	74.3
15	EL AHIJADO	15	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	91	81	80.7	83.9	62.4

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:57 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:52pm - SO - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $35,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#1 PARDY PLEASER (ML=4/1)
#8 DERBY GIFT (ML=8/1)
#6 BUCCHERA (ML=4/1)

PARDY PLEASER - Really believe this mount is going to be on the money near the finish line. DERBY GIFT - Filly has shown some early speed. This shorter distance should be better for her. After the race aboard this horse on September 10th, the jockey is going to be in touch with the filly much better. This horse wins a lot of money per start. I believe she can augment that total in today's race. BUCCHERA - This jockey and conditioner have a high winning percent together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BEDROCK BIRDIE (ML=3/1), #7 HEAVEN IN MIND (ML=7/2), #3 KAITIE KAIT (ML=6/1),

BEDROCK BIRDIE - It appears like too much zip is signed up in this event. This speed merchant will probably get baked up front. HEAVEN IN MIND - Tough for anyone who saw this entrant in her last affair to wager on her this time around.KAITIE KAIT - She's almost certainly going to get baked up front.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 PARDY PLEASER on top if we're getting at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,6,8] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Pass

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:57 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating:

#4 TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS (ML=6/1)
#1 COPPER BO TEN (ML=9/5)
#3 HEAVENLY VIOLET (ML=7/2)

TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS - Chavez and Steiner perform well when they team up. It's hard to beat a +37 ROI for a jockey and trainer. Was in a Maiden Special race at Golden Gate Fields in the last race. That event had a class rating of 84 and she is moving down in this field. A certain strong challenger. Gets help from Steiner with the addition of Lasix. COPPER BO TEN - I think that this race's shorter distance should help this filly. Looking at today's class figure, this horse is up against an easier field than in the last race at Del Mar. She has the highest earnings per start. Take a long look at this horse. You have to consider the solid works of late.HEAVENLY VIOLET - I like the fact that this first timer's recent works have been over this track. A winning percentage the likes of what Roman and Tamayo have achieved together is terrific. A solid handicapping angle is going on Lasix for the first time. Tamayo gives it to this one for this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DORINE'S WILD CAT (ML=5/2), #6 VALERIE (ML=5/1), #2 CHURCH HARBOR (ML=8/1),

DORINE'S WILD CAT - Way too far back on September 22nd for me to support at the probable odds in today's sprint clash. Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance races recently. Not probable to see her doing it this time around either.VALERIE - Tough to keep stabbing at this kind of 'hanger' horse. Golden Gate Fields is not nice digs to this steed. CHURCH HARBOR - Just don't figure that she is offering enough value at the likely odds.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#4 TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	4 with [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,4] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,3,4] with [1,3,4] with [1,2,3,4,5] with [1,2,3,4,5] Total Cost: $36

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:58 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Cumberland Run

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 8
7	7	MYSTERY DRAGON	5/1	Spriggs, Dein - 24	463.13
3	3	DONTHOLDANYTHINBAK	7/2	Dinges, Tony - 21	462.02
1	1	SPADES IT IS	3/1	Conrad, Carson - 10	434.59
5	5	DOUGSMONKEYBUSINES	7/2	Bertrand, Richard - 13	429.64
2	2	CYCLONE KIWI N	9/2	Arnold, Jazmin - 25	404.61
6	6	AYR PIONEER GB	9/1	Frazier, Jafari - 0	385.50
4	4	MACH DIESEL	10/1	Brown, Jill - 11	375.78

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:58 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Leamington Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Post: 2:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 66 - Purse:$4900 - N/W $1500 LAST 3 STARTS OR $2500 LAST 5 STARTS.AE - N/W $12000 LIFETIME

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 2 OKEEHEELEE 2/1
# 4 JOONER 8/5
# 1 PANZANO 4/1

Hey, listen up! OKEEHEELEE is the educated bet if you like to win. This entrant looks very good. Check out the 71 avg speed figure. Has a bang-up shot in this contest, if she can perform to her back racing class. Many analyzers will recognize the great TrackMaster SR in the last outing. Stacks up against any horse in this field of starters. JOONER - Could provide us a trip to the winner's circle based on really good recent speed figs - earning an average of 69. The 71 average class rating may give this gelding a distinct advantage in the race. PANZANO - This race horse recorded a competitive speed rating last time out. Looks fresh to come right back.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:58 AM

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Post: 9:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$11000 - $10,000 GUARANTEED PICK 4 FILLIES & MARES NON WINNERS 4 PARI-MUTUEL RACES OR $30,000 LIFETIME. AE: N/W 7 PM RACES OR $40,000 LIFETIME CLAIMING $30,000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
	# 5 PREMIER SWEETALKER 8/5
# 9 CARMEN N THE DEVIL 7/1
# 3 SUNBURNT 5/2

PREMIER SWEETALKER is the top wager in this gathering. The consortium knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This fine animal will unlock our way to a nice win. Has a strong shot in this contest, if she can repeat her back class. Really liked this mare's last race. Ran a solid 77 TrackMaster SR. Major contender. CARMEN N THE DEVIL - Many selectors know speed is is such an important factor. This harness racer has credentials with a 79 average statistic. Nice driver/handler, winning 19 percent of the time. Is tough to overlook as a magnificent wager. SUNBURNT - Is a bang-up choice given the 77 TrackMaster Speed Rating from her most recent race. When the trainer Burke puts Wrenn up for the drive good things happen. All you need to do is look at the 33 win percent.

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:59 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Harrah's Philadelphia

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 7
5	5	R CAPTAIN HANOVER	6/1	Callahan, Corey - 12	500.72
7	7	IDEAL STAR N	7/2	Morgan, Anthony - 15	496.32
8	8	BEACHCHIP HANOVER	3/1	Allard, Simon - 17	494.34
4	4	NOTA REPLICA A	20/1	Pelling, Jack - 10	485.77
2	2	SILENT SPLENDOR	8/1	Warren, Ridge - 13	475.18
6	6	TOPVILLE OLYMPIAN	7/1	Ahle, Johnathan - 9	464.65
1	1	ROCKNTOUCH	6/1	Tetrick, Tim - 25	463.02
3	3	THREE WAYS N	5/1	Miller, Marcus - 7	447.95

**ConleyPicks** · 11-05-2023, 10:59 AM

Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs

P#	PP	HORSE NAME	M/L	DRIVER - WIN%	POINTS
RACE 10
1	1	MIDNIGHT MIRACLE	2/1	Cullen, Travis A - 27	541.29
3	3	POWER AND GRACE	5/2	Macdonald, Brett A - 16	485.83
4	4	ESQUIRE	6/1	Mackenzie, Paul G - 8	467.95
7	7	RUN LIKE HILL	9/2	Henry, Travis J - 19	454.89
6	6	LUNE DUHARAS	8/1	Gueriel, Loic - 16	431.73
8	8	IMPRESSIVE DUDE	10/1	Ryan, Jason D - 14	431.11
2	2	BASTIANO	4/1	Desroche, Ryan P - 8	428.47
9	9	DELCREST BRENT	3/1	Hudon, Steven - 7	404.36
5	5	TAKEAPEEK AT ME	12/1	Borth, Tyler J - 14	382.27

Sunday 11/5/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 11/5/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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