Sunday 11/5/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Pistons+5.5

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Sean Murphy

Sunday NBA Free play. My selection is on Toronto minus the points over San Antonio at 3:40 pm et on Sunday.

Difficult spot for the young Spurs on Sunday as they return home after inexplicably sweeping a two-game series in Phoenix. The Raptors check in off a double-digit loss in Philadelphia on Thursday but should rebound here noting that they're a long-term 152-117 ATS when coming off a loss by 15 points or more. Meanwhile, the Spurs are just 33-50 ATS in their last 83 games as an underdog. Take Toronto.

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Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Colts/Panthers OVER 44 -109

The Indianapolis Colts are a dead nuts OVER team right now. They have had the worst defense in the NFL over the last three weeks, and their offense has been forced to try and keep pace. Even this weak Panthers offense is going to find success against this Colts defense in what should be a shootout Sunday afternoon.

The Colts have gone 6-2 OVER in their eight games this season with 51 or more combined points in six of those eight games. They are down three starters in the secondary plus run-stuffer Glover Stewart, who was suspended for six games. Starting LB Zaire Franklin didn't practice on Thursday and is also questionable to play Sunday.

All these injuries are a big reason why the Colts have allowed 37 points to the Jaguars, 39 to the Browns and 38 to the Saints the last three weeks. The Saints were previously terrible offensively this season prior to facing the Colts, and then erupted to 511 total yards last week.

That's why I believe this previously dead Carolina offense will have their way as well. The Panthers had a bye two weeks ago, and head coach Frank Reich swallowed his pride and handed over play-calling duties to Thomas Brown. He simplified things for rookie QB Bryce Young, while also adding more motion and taking more downfield shots last week against Houston. It wasn't spectacular going up against a good Houston defense, but the Panthers won 15-13.

I think the fact that the Panthers played in such a low scoring game last week is keeping this total lower than it should be. The first game with a new offensive coordinator didn't go perfect as expected, but Brown and Young should be more on the same page this week against the Colts. Look for them to open things up and to take shots against what is arguably the worst secondary in the NFL.

The Colts will get their points just as they do every week. They are the only team in the NFL to score at least 20 points in every game. They average 25.6 points per game and 362 yards per game this season. Gardner Minshew makes plenty of plays for his own team, but he also makes plenty of plays for the other team as he has been a turnover machine. The Colts have nine turnovers the last three weeks, which is a big reason they are 0-3 during this stretch. That has created easy scoring opportunities for opponents.

The Panthers also have key injuries on defense. They were already without Jeremy Chinn, Jaycee Horn and Shaq Thompson, which are three of their best defensive players. Now they are without LB Justin Houston and SS Vonn Bell. This is a poor Carolina defense that allows 28.4 points per game and 5.7 yards per play this season. It's actually a big step down in defensive class for the Colts after facing the Saints, Browns, Jaguars and Titans the last four weeks.

The forecast looks good for a shootout in Carolina on Sunday with temps in the 70's, sunny skies and only 5 MPH winds at Bank of America Stadium. I really like OVERS in non-conference games because these teams just aren't familiar with one another. That favors the offenses and that will be the case in this one. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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Matt Fargo

This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS-1.5 for our Sunday Free Play. The first coaching casualty of the season took place in Las Vegas as Josh McDaniels was let go in what was a very toxic environment and we will see a different energy this week. The Raiders have lost two straight games, both coming on the road and the organization had finally seen enough after the offense put up just 157 total yards against the Lions this past Monday night. The Raiders are now 3-5 and this is just their fourth home game of the season where they are 2-1 with the loss coming against Pittsburgh in a game they could have won but lost the turnover battle 3-0. The first order of business is a change at quarterback as Jimmy Garoppolo has been benched in favor of rookie Aiden O'Connell who has made one start which was not horrible and also came in against Chicago after Brian Hoyer was benched. He now has had a full week with the first team offense. The Giants have played much better over the last three games after a horrific 1-4 start. They have gone 1-2 over this stretch but both losses could have been wins against the Bills and Jets as both came down to the last play with the latter defeat coming in overtime. This had coincided with quarterback Tyrod Taylor taking over for the injured Daniel Jones but now Taylor is out with an injury and Jones will return with his future on the line. He has his breakout season last year but has regressed considerably as he has posted a 71.7 rating while throwing for only 884 yards with two touchdowns and six interceptions. It has not all been his fault as he is working behind one of the worst offensive lines in the league with Andrew Thomas still likely out. Play (470) Las Vegas Raiders

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Dan Kaiser

When you talk about heated rivalries in the NFL this is one of the fiercest. The Philadelphia Eagles come it at 7-1 while Dallas is 5-2. These matchups haven't been close recently — the average margin of victory over the last eight meetings is 16.1 points. We didn't get a Dak -Jalen matchup last year as Dallas won the last game 40-34 on Christmas Eve of last year. That was a Dak Prescott/Gardner Minshew battle. In October of 2022, Cooper Rush was defeated by Jalen Hurts, 26-17. The Eagles will need to establish a running game with Swwift and Hurts. D’Andre Swift ranks fourth among running backs and Jalen Hurts is second among quarterbacks in rushing yards. The Eagles' front should be able to generate a push and open holes and they will need to as they do not want to get into long passing downs as the offensive line has allowed the 15th most pressures and 19 sacks which is the ninth most. They will be going against a Dallas defense that has four defensive touchdowns, nine interceptions, and a +6 turnover margin.

The Eagles' defense just doesn't seem, right to me. They are allowing just 65 rush yards per game, that’s the least amount in the NFL. They generate a high amount of sacks and with their stout defensive front, teams are still finding the ability to put points on the board. They rank 19th in points allowed and at home they are allowing an average of 25 points per game which is fifth-most. The Cowboy's offensive line is allowing the third-fewest pressures and has found better success with the ground game when on the road.

Both teams need this one as they both have a tough stretch of five games on the schedule against top teams. This is going to be a close game but I just don't trust Dak to get the job done.

Play on Philadelphia-155 on the money line. This is a FREE PLAY.

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John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Giants +2

The Las Vegas Raiders have new life with the firing of Josh McDaniels. The problem is their team just isn't very good, and they are starting a rookie QB in Aidan O'Connell this week. They are on a short week after facing the Lions on Monday Night Football, where they gave up 486 yards and their defense was on the field for 2/3 of the game. The Giants get their starting QB in Daniel Jones back this week to give them a boost. Their defense has been balling out, holding their last three opponents to an average of 11.3 points per game. They clearly have the better defense and have played the tougher schedule to this point. They are up against a Raiders offense that averages 15.8 points per game and 268 yards per game. The Giants should be favored in this contest. Give me the Giants.

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Stephen Nover

Free Play: Raiders-130

Free of Josh McDaniels and his moronic decisions, the Raiders have a new atmosphere. I'm looking for a rejuvenated Raiders squad to beat the Giants, who have even a worse offense and are making a cross-country journey for their first West Coast time zone game since Week 3. A big effort should be forthcoming from Las Vegas after a much-needed house-cleaning swept away McDaniels and general manager Dave Ziegler.

Antonio Pierce, a former Giant, is Las Vegas' interim coach.

The Giants get back Daniel Jones, who has missed the last three games with a neck injury. Jones hadn't been playing well, though, and he has maybe the NFL's worst offensive line in front of him. The Giants are averaging a puny 9.1 points on the season if you discount their 31-point Week 2 game against the hapless Cardinals. Jones won't have the Giants' top receiving target either with tight end Darren Waller out. The Giants' offensive line figures to have major problems handling Maxx Crosby.

The Raiders made another significant and right decision - bench NFL interception leader and Statue of Liberty impersonator Jimmy Garoppolo. Rookie Aidan O'Connell, who looked so good during preseason, replaces Garoppolo. O'Connell's main task will be simple, get the damn ball to Davonte Adams. The Giants' defensive line took a hit when Leonard Williams was shipped to the Seahawks.