Saturday 10/28/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[ConleyPicks]

ASA

#162 ASA FREE PLAY ON Colorado State +15 vs. Air Force, 7:00 PM ET - We are on the home dog here with the Rams plus the points in this rivalry. The points are a premium here with the oddsmakers projecting around 46 total points being scored. Air Force has played three road games with wins at 0-8 Sam Houston State, at 3-5 San Jose State and 3-4 Navy. The Falcons have put up some impressive offensive numbers, but they’ve come against Utah State, San Jose State, San Diego State who all rank 91st or worse in total defense and Wyoming who is 73rd. Granted, Colorado State is bad defensively, one of the worst in college football, but they have given up the majority of their yards via the pass at 308 passing yards per game allowed. The Rams actually allow just 3.9 yards per rush which is around the national average. Air Force relies heavily on their running game which is best in the nation in rushing yards per game at 306. Colorado State is coming off a close loss against an improved 6-1 UNLV team where they managed 5.8 yards per play while allowing 5.9YPP. The Falcons are coming off a game against the option Naval Academy and now must travel to CSU to face an entirely different offense. The Rams complete 63.7% of their pass attempts which is 37th best in college football and complete 28.6 pass attempts per game for 336.4YPG which is 6th most in CFB. Last year the Falcons were favored by 22-points at home and won by 12. They are clearly over-valued here so let’s grab the live home dog with backdoor ability.

[ConleyPicks]

Ray Monohan

Colorado State +14

There's a big football game happening this Saturday between two teams that are having different types of seasons: Air Force (7-0, 4-0 Mountain West, 3-3-1 ATS) and Colorado State (3-4, 1-2, 4-2 ATS). It's happening at Canvas Stadium in Fort Collins, Colorado, at 7 pm ET, and you can watch it on CBS Sports Network. In their last games, Air Force beat Navy 17-6, and Colorado State lost to UNLV 25-23.

The current betting odds are: Air Force is favored with -550 on the Moneyline, while Colorado State is the underdog with +400. If you want to bet on spread, Air Force is favored by -14 points. The total points expected in the game are set at 46.5 (O/U).

This rivalry goes back to 1957.

This is going to be such a slowly played game, grabbing the points is the smart move.

Neither offense is going to light up the scoreboard. They are both very one dimensional and will slow things down tremendously. The Falcons in particular are going to run their triple option set and really chew the clock like they have all season long.

Colorado State isn't overpowering any one either. This Falcons defense is tough to crack and the Rams aren't going to find themselves making big plays.

With neither side having an explosive playmaker, this should be a game where points are at a premium.

Looking at their history, Colorado State hasn't beaten Air Force since 2015. They've played each other 60 times, with Air Force winning most of the matchups. The overall series record is 38 wins for Air Force, 21 wins for Colorado State, and 1 tie.

Some trends to note, the Rams are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, are 4-0 ATS in their L4 games as a DOG, are 8-2 ATS in their L10 games, and they're 6-1 ATS in their L7 games against an opponent in the MWC.

Keep an eye on the weather, we could have some SNOW in the forecast. It'll be cold.

I'm backing the Rams on Saturday to keep this one within the number.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Saturday 5* FREE CFB ATS Play

[ConleyPicks]

Matt Fargo

This is a play on the COLORADO BUFFALOES+17.5 -112 for our Saturday Free Play. Colorado has been a play against team for a while now but the value is back its way in an excellent spot. The Buffaloes went seven straight weeks without a bye and with their style of play, it started to catch up. That might have not been the whole story in their last game against Stanford, but blowing a 29-point halftime lead could have had fatigue being a part of it. They are coming off their bye week finally and come in more healthy and rested and catching too big of a number. Colorado has played the No. 30 ranked schedule and while its defense has been a liability, this offense is ranked No. 37 and can keep them close, especially with big numbers like this. UCLA is 5-2 following a big win over Stanford which came after those two losses in a three-game span. The Bruins preach balance on offense and that is the case this season as they are ranked in the top 50 in all stat categories while their defense is an underrated unit. The problem is that they have not faced any sort of offense in six of their seven games and seeing the one potent offense, Oregon St., they allowed their most yards and points on the season. Look for a closer than expected game than what this line is telling us. Play (173) Colorado Buffaloes

[ConleyPicks]

John Martin

1 Unit FREE PLAY on UCLA -17

The Colorado Buffaloes have been exposed as frauds in recent weeks after a surprising start to the season. The Buffaloes have gone 2-3 SU & 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games overall and are coming off an upset home loss to a terrible Stanford team. Now the Buffaloes face their toughest test since a 42-6 loss at Oregon. UCLA will put a similar beat down on Colorado. The Bruins just went on the road and beat Stanford 42-7 last week to give them a common opponent with Colorado, which lost 46-43 to Stanford. UCLA made the switch at QB to Ethan Garbers and he is much better than Dante Moore, and certainly makes fewer mistakes than the freshman was making. He is completing 67.4% of his passes compared to just 51.8% for Moore. He is also more of a threat to run the football. The Bruins are going to be able to run it at will on this soft Colorado defense that allows 474 yards per game and 6.2 per play this season. UCLA only allows 283 yards per game and 4.4 per play with one of the best defenses in the country. UCLA beat Colorado by 28 last season and by 24 the year prior and it should be more of the same here. Give me UCLA.

[ConleyPicks]

Rob Vinciletti

Huge Saturday card has the Mountain West Conf. Game of the Year, an Executive Level TIER 1 in PAC 12 Action 2 more CFB Best Bets and our highest rated Canadian League play. There is also Game 2 of the World Series, NBA Opening week Power Systems NHL and Soccer. CFB comp play

The Comp play for Saturday is on Georgia Tech plus the 12 points at 8 eastern. This is more of a play against North Carolina here as the Heels are in a big let down spot following their loss to Virginia last week. Road favorites off a home favored loss last week as a 24+ point favorite which was their first loss of the season in week 8 or later have one cover the last 30+ Seasons vs a team off a loss. The Yellow Jackets have won 10 of 12 here at home against North Carolina. The Heels have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 as a road favorite. Look for GA. Tech to keep it close here. On Saturday Rob has a huge card up with 5 Top CFB Plays including the Mountain West conf. GOY and a big TER 1 PAC 12 Play. There is also our CFL iIghest rated play, NBA,NHL and Game 2 World Series Historical system plays. Jump on tonight as Rob stays hot. For the CFB Comp play. Take GA.Tech plus the 12 points. Rob V-

[ConleyPicks]

Mike Lundin

Mike Lundin's Rangers/Canucks Free Pick

Both teams are coming into this game on three-game winning streaks and with identical 5-2-0 records on the season. The Rangers are a solid 4-1-0 on the road, while the Canucks are undefeated in two home games, but I like the price we get on the Rangers in this matchup.

The Canucks will play their second game of a back-to-back situation, and they're in a potential flat spot after beating the Blues 5-0 last night. The Rangers have had a day off since their 3-0 win at Edmonton Thursday night.

The Rangers won both meetings last season. They are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division and 18-4 SU in their last 22 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.

The Canucks are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games against an opponent in the Metropolitan Division division and 11-27 SU in their last 38 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

2* FREE PICK ON NEW YORK RANGERS-146

[ConleyPicks]

Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Kings-105 (NHL)

[ConleyPicks]

Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Golden Knights+103

No analysis provided.

[ConleyPicks]

Hunter Price

1* Free Pick on CF Monterrey+155 (Soccer)