Wednesday 10/18/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Presque Isle Downs - Race #2

#4 No Tappin Out	She wasn't a serious threat at 4/5 in her local debut last out, but she was running off the layoff that day and figures tough with any reasonable step forward off that effort.
#1 Quiero Dinero	She has shown a little bit of grinding finishing ability through two starts, but I think she's a slight cut below the top choice still and probably gives away a tactical edge there.
#2 Ophelia's Dream	She took a little cash in the debut run and turned in an OK effort, but she probably has some work to do to handle the top pair. Not impossible, but I'd want a fair price.
Race Summary	No Tappin Out probably commands a lot of cash in here, but she looks like she's going to be a handful here even with something similar to her last.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7

#2 Zip Line to Heaven	The Maryland turf form is decent enough, and he looks like a good fit with this group while getting back over a surface on which he has run well a couple times. Enough to like.
#7 Colonel Poppy	Cutback player has a little positional pace and might find a pretty nice spot in behind the quicker sprint pace runners. Really like his overall recent form.
#3 Outhustle	He and #4 Shakin It Up Larry both have some pace to get involved early, but I think this guy has a bit more pressing ability and might end up in the driver's seat into the lane.
Race Summary	Zip Line to Heaven has decent back form here, and he might get a decent trip with these while bringing form going shorter on the turf. Midrange price might be in the cards.

Presque Isle Downs - Race #8

#2 Digital Footprint	Guessing he's going to take cash in here, but he had trouble last time out when facing better and should get a dreamy trip from the fence while saving ground as the pace players sort themselves out from the wider draws.
#3 Clemson Tiger	His price might get a bit more appealing this time around after a sort of even effort last out, but he has honest enough form to think he'll bring something that keeps him in the mix for a piece again.
#5 First Homestead	He rattled off three easy odds-on wins at Mountaineer, and route horses making the move here from West Virginia are typically about 11% winners locally. Think he'll stack up well enough here.
Race Summary	Digital Footprint is a solid lean here with a race shape that should produce an honest tempo for him to kick at, and he's probably going to be tough if he can just hold form.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Delta Downs - Race #2

#10 MOR BIG LEE (3-1)	Takes on mostly elders, good fit in this spot if ready off layoff.
#4 RISK TAKER (4-1)	Has speed, switches barns, beaten at short prices in last three starts.
#1 GILDERSLEEVE (6-1)	Better horse than prior Delta go-round, sheds weight.
Race Summary	MOR BIG LEE, a steady low-70 Beyer type on the main track, figures tough on best on the class drop. He changes riders and draws outside for his first start in 2-1/2 months. Bet to win and place.

Delta Downs - Race #3

#4 BIG TAP BABY (6-1)	Makes seasonal debut for high-percentage layoff barn, adds blinkers.
#3 NATIVE STAR (7-2)	Debuts for hot trainer-jockey duo, well-prepped from the gate.
#6 SASSI D (5-2)	Exits fast turf route after solid debut effort, tries dirt for the first time.
Race Summary	BIG TAP BABY, well-regarded in two starts as a 2-year-old, returns from a one-year layoff as a gelding. He met two recent winners -- including $50,000/nw2 victory Calicoco – and wears blinkers for the first time. Play a 4-ALL exacta.

Delta Downs - Race #4

#4 GOOD BY FAITH (9-2)	Overhauled by closers in longer sprint, can make good use of her speed.
#8 GRITTY TORNADO (2-1)	Dam of morning-line fave won second start and an allowance at Belmont.
#5 SHE’S EXTRA (5-1)	Also showed speed, needs alert break, gets in light-weighted.
Race Summary	GOOD BY FAITH battled up front with a 3-1 shot who was later disqualified for a ‘positive test’ before the deep closers passed by both of them at 5-1/2F. She looms dangerous in this spot if the first-time starters don’t show a lot of speed. Bet to win and place.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

PURCHASE

Evangeline Downs - Race 4	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Allowance • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 78 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 6:50P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FIDELITY TLC: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. WAGON KISSES: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. TRUMPS GOT GAME: Horse ranks in the top three in average E quibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MY FLASHY PILOT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. JJ EAGLE HY LUCK: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
3	FIDELITY TLC	7/2	6/1
5	WAGON KISSES	2/1	6/1
4	TRUMPS GOT GAME	20/1	7/1
2	MY FLASHY PILOT	5/2	9/1
6	JJ EAGLE HY LUCK	10/1	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	EAGLES FLY WEST	1	15/1	Fast	63	59	3.2	0.0	0.0
2	MY FLASHY PILOT	2	5/2	Fast	71	70	0.0	0.0	0.0
3	FIDELITY TLC	3	7/2	Fast	79	70	3.4	0.0	0.0
4	TRUMPS GOT GAME	4	20/1	Slow	79	72	6.4	0.0	0.0
5	WAGON KISSES	5	2/1	Fast	76	73	3.2	0.0	0.0
6	JJ EAGLE HY LUCK	6	10/1	Fast	73	66	2.9	0.0	0.0
7	ANGEL IN THE WAGON	7	12/1	Fast	69	57	0.0	0.0	0.0
8	REGARDLEZZ	8	9/2	Slow	79	63	7.7	0.0	0.0

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta DownsPURCHASE

Delta Downs - Race 3	Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta/Daily Double (Races 3-4)/Pick 3 (Races 3-5)
Maiden Special • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $43,000 • Post: 6:11P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $20,000 IN THEIR LAST THREE STARTS).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SASSI D is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SASSI D: Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. HEZA SEXY ZONG: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
6	SASSI D	5/2	5/2
9	HEZA SEXY ZONG	12/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	SASSI D	6	5/2	Front-runner	67	71	91.0	67.3	57.8
9	HEZA SEXY ZONG	9	12/1	Front-runner	71	65	63.0	48.8	43.8
4	BIG TAP BABY	4	6/1	Front-runner	59	41	36.0	38.9	21.4
10	APRIORITY AVENGER	10	6/1	Stalker	70	58	61.8	59.8	53.3
8	GRAY DANE	8	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	66	56	62.8	57.4	47.9
11	POPPA MAGIC	11	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	41.8	46.6	35.6
7	RACY BILLE	7	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	67	66	42.2	51.4	42.9
5	SONYA KNOWS BETTER	5	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	72	63	19.8	41.9	37.4
1	SAUCER EYES	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	41.3	39.4	23.4

Unknown Running Style: TINCAN CAT (15/1) [Jockey: Munoz Sergio - Trainer: Lara Jorge], NATIVE STAR (7/2) [Jockey: Fusilier Casey - Trainer: Gelner Jayde J], WEILAREE (8/1) [Jockey: Rosier Chris R - Trainer: Breaux Samuel].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Parx Racing - Race #7 - Post: 3:22pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#3 NANCY SPAIN (ML=9/2)
#4 WILD GIRL (ML=10/1)


NANCY SPAIN - There's something to be said for a change of surface. Last race this equine didn't like the terrain, but if you look two back on the dirt at Fair Grounds, there was a great effort. I look for that again today. The August 31st race at Delaware Park was at a class level of (77). Dropping to a lower class level considerably, so she should be in a good spot. This filly should get an idyllic trip in this spot. She looks like the only 'stalker' in this affair. Last ran at Delaware Park and finished sixth. Reviewing her Past Performances, I see she was close at the wire, within 5 of the winner. WILD GIRL - This filly ran well in her last race but just couldn't beat the winner. Note that she was well ahead of the third horse, and looks like a major contender in this field. I'll bet that this filly even surprised her connections when she made her initial start on Jul 7th and finished second. I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the 2nd time. This one fits the bill.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CONFIRMED STAR (ML=7/2), #9 COCOA'S VIVIAN (ML=4/1), #8 EXPECTATIONS MET (ML=5/1),

CONFIRMED STAR - Can't play this steed in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance event of late. I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Extended vacation and no drop in level of competition. COCOA'S VIVIAN - Just don't think she is offering enough value at the expected odds. EXPECTATIONS MET - Didn't perform too well last time out. Probably won't make an impact in today's race. This filly hasn't had any recent accomplishments in short distance affairs. No picnic to play her in this race.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - NANCY SPAIN - Changing surface from the grass, at Delaware Park, to the dirt today, this noble animal has a good chance to get her first victory.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #3 NANCY SPAIN on top if we're getting at least 8/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,4]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $26700 Class Rating: 86

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 CIVIL SERVICE 5/2
# 2 ASAP RESTORATION 5/1
# 3 ACH DU LIEBER 6/1

I've got to go with CIVIL SERVICE. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 83 speed fig which is one of the most competitive in this group. Must be carefully examined for this event if only for the formidable Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last contest. He looks decent in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. ASAP RESTORATION - Has to be given consideration versus this field displaying very good figures lately and an average speed rating of 74 under similar conditions. Win percentage one of the strongest in this field. ACH DU LIEBER - Appears to have a quite good class edge based on the recent company kept. Win percentage one of the best in this group.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 68

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $12,000 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 THREE CARATS 5/2
# 6 LADY LANCER 7/2
# 4 STEPHANIE MY LOVE 6/1

I have to consider THREE CARATS here. Might best this group of horses here, showing very strong figs of late. She has a very good distance/surface win record - 1 for 4. Ought to be given a chance based on the decent speed rating posted in the last competition. LADY LANCER - This lot is much softer than the last one she was up against. Sepulveda has one of the top winning percentages in this group of horses in this race with entries running at this distance and surface. STEPHANIE MY LOVE - Has to be given consideration in this event if only for the solid speed figure garnered in the last race. Lucas and Beato have a good win percent together.

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Keeneland - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $47,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#6 VELOCHEETAH (ML=3/1)


VELOCHEETAH - Trainer DeVaux moves this horse down the class scale to face much lower class horses. Look for a strong race in here. This filly is number one in earnings per race. Give the once over to this horse in the saddling ring.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 STAGE BELL (ML=7/2), #2 LADY FREE WILL (ML=4/1), #10 IMPERATOR FURIOSA (ML=6/1),

STAGE BELL - Doubtful for this thoroughbred to make a winning move with no success lately in a sprint clash. Tough to bet on any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk. LADY FREE WILL - Doubtful that this horse will finish better than she did last out when finishing sixth. IMPERATOR FURIOSA - Today's event is 7 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint race in the last couple of months. Not the best of signals. Finished sixth in her most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #6 VELOCHEETAH to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with 10
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 8 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13700 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 18, 2023 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 RAISE A SPEIGHTS 12/1
# 4 CURLIN'S MALIBU 15/1
# 1 ELVIRUS 2/1

RAISE A SPEIGHTS looks to be a very strong contender especially at a long price. Looks very good versus this group and should be one of the leaders. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately. Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed department alone. CURLIN'S MALIBU - Must be in sound condition if the handler is bringing him back so quickly. Has decent Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of horses - worth a look. ELVIRUS - Has been moving strongly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Win percentage one of the most favorable in this group of animals.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 6	$2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 3 (races 6-8) $1 Wheel
Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $8,300 • Post: 9:05P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 18, 2022. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ALFIE SOLOMONS is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ALFIE SOLOMONS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2	ALFIE SOLOMONS	7/5	9/5

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
2	ALFIE SOLOMONS	2	7/5	Front-runner	86	78	81.6	79.4	76.9
6	SOFIA'S SLUGGER	6	6/1	Stalker	82	71	65.2	55.8	46.8
1	SWITHER'S SHORTCUT	1	9/2	Stalker	69	70	56.8	60.4	50.9
5	COLONEL MIKE	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	76	50.0	68.2	60.7
7	SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE	7	6/1	Trailer	72	66	32.6	66.6	56.6
3	TOMMY TUESDAY	3	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	73	62	19.6	60.8	47.8
4	ROLLIN ON TEQUILA	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	73	59	54.0	30.8	18.3
8	SKYSCANNER	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	60	26.6	60.4	53.9

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 77

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18, 2023 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 18 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 SWEET BAKER 5/2
# 2 HUNTER QUICK 6/1
# 7 HIT ONE OUT 6/1

I think SWEET BAKER is a very strong choice. He has to be given consideration given the solid speed figures. Manrrique has one of the top jock ROI's on the grounds, returning to wagerers +122 percent. With Manrrique in the saddle guiding him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early in this race. HUNTER QUICK - Has formidable front-end speed and should fare very well against this field. Has very strong Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. HIT ONE OUT - Recorded a quite good speed figure last time out. Is a very solid contender based on numbers put up lately under today's conditions.

[ConleyPicks]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 3	Exacta/Trifecta/Superfecta/Daily Double (Races 3-4)/Pick 3 (Races 3-5)
Maiden Special • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 72 • Purse: $43,000 • Post: 6:11P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $20,000 IN THEIR LAST THREE STARTS).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SASSI D is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SASSI D: Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. HEZA SEXY ZONG: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
6	SASSI D	5/2	5/2
9	HEZA SEXY ZONG	12/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	SASSI D	6	5/2	Front-runner	67	71	91.0	67.3	57.8
9	HEZA SEXY ZONG	9	12/1	Front-runner	71	65	63.0	48.8	43.8
4	BIG TAP BABY	4	6/1	Front-runner	59	41	36.0	38.9	21.4
10	APRIORITY AVENGER	10	6/1	Stalker	70	58	61.8	59.8	53.3
8	GRAY DANE	8	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	66	56	62.8	57.4	47.9
11	POPPA MAGIC	11	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	0	0	41.8	46.6	35.6
7	RACY BILLE	7	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	67	66	42.2	51.4	42.9
5	SONYA KNOWS BETTER	5	8/1	Alternator/Trailer	72	63	19.8	41.9	37.4
1	SAUCER EYES	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	41.3	39.4	23.4

Unknown Running Style: TINCAN CAT (15/1) [Jockey: Munoz Sergio - Trainer: Lara Jorge], NATIVE STAR (7/2) [Jockey: Fusilier Casey - Trainer: Gelner Jayde J], WEILAREE (8/1) [Jockey: Rosier Chris R - Trainer: Breaux Samuel].

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Presque Isle Downs - Race #6 - Post: 5:15pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating:

#8 HENRY'S WORLD (ML=5/2)


HENRY'S WORLD - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a nice outing in the last race within the last 30 days. Wired the field on Oct 3rd at Presque Isle Downs. Quite possible he can do it again in this race. Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (68-80-92) make this thoroughbred a solid contender. This horse picks up a lot of money per race. Tops in this clash.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MERLIN'S SONG (ML=3/1), #2 AMERICAN UNION (ML=7/2), #1 J W RUCKUS (ML=9/2),

MERLIN'S SONG - Won't be easy for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list. AMERICAN UNION - This gelding earned a speed figure in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. J W RUCKUS - I cannot play this repeated non-winner. Gets the assignment fulfilled infrequently. Will not be easy for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put him on the questionable challengers list.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - HENRY'S WORLD - At Presque Isle Downs on October 3rd this gelding posted a speed figure of 92 in his last race. He has the best last figure in the field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #8 HENRY'S WORLD on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Pass
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[ConleyPicks]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Keeneland - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $47,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#6 VELOCHEETAH (ML=3/1)


VELOCHEETAH - Trainer DeVaux moves this horse down the class scale to face much lower class horses. Look for a strong race in here. This filly is number one in earnings per race. Give the once over to this horse in the saddling ring.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 STAGE BELL (ML=7/2), #2 LADY FREE WILL (ML=4/1), #10 IMPERATOR FURIOSA (ML=6/1),

STAGE BELL - Doubtful for this thoroughbred to make a winning move with no success lately in a sprint clash. Tough to bet on any thoroughbred to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk. LADY FREE WILL - Doubtful that this horse will finish better than she did last out when finishing sixth. IMPERATOR FURIOSA - Today's event is 7 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint race in the last couple of months. Not the best of signals. Finished sixth in her most recent race with a run-of-the-mill speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Play #6 VELOCHEETAH to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	6 with 10
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None