Service Plays Sunday 7/16/23

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over25tips


Stabaek vs Viking FK, Over 2.5 Goals

GAIS vs Gefle IF, Over 2.5 Goals

Elfsborg vs IFK Goteborg, Over 2.5 Goals

Bodo/Glimt vs Haugesund, Over 2.5 Goals

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probettingclub-soccerlays

Finland - Veikkausliiga
Lahti - SJK : LAY Lahti @ 5.00

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mlbtotal

Toronto Blue Jays – Arizona Diamondbacks
Over 9

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edwardmlb

Kansas City Royals - Tampa Bay Rays

TB Rays -2

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Ross Benjamin

Sunday MLB 3-Game Power Sweep

Brewers ML
Guardians ML
Yankees -1.5 AH

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Jim Feist
Orioles rl

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Joe Damico
Rays rl

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Marc Lawrence
Angels

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Price
7
Gom
Dbacks

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Dwayne Bryant-
3* Boston;
3* OVER Houston

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Tony George

2 Units #957 / #958 LA Dodgers / NY Mets (Under 8.5) -110 *1:40 EST

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GUS AUGUSTINE


TODAY'S PLAY

The Pick: 75 Dime Houston Astros Run Line


The Line: At 8:15 am eastern, the number is -1.5 runs, +115


Instructions: Javier and Anderson MUST GO.

Your Analysis

I'm going to get some money back tonight with the Houston Astros on the Run Line, against the Los Angeles Angels.


While I will admit things have been hit or miss for Houston starter Cristian Javier this season, this kid can't beat himself up for a 4.34 ERA when he's 7-1 on the year. Tonight he has the chance to improve both numbers against the Angels, whom he's dominated two times this season.


With his two starts against the Halos - on May 10 and June 3 - he is sporting a 2.25 ERA and 0.83 WHIP, winning both while allowing just three runs on nine hits across 12 innings. Overall, in 10 starts against them during his four-year career, he is 5-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.84 WHIP.


I'm much more comfortable backing Javier, as the Astros look to close this series out and stay on the Texas Rangers' heels, than I am his counterpart, Angels' starter Tyler Anderson.


Anderson is just 4-2 with a 5.25 ERA, and has an alarmingly high 1.52 WHIP this season. And when it comes to facing the Astros, not good at all.


In his five career starts against Houston, he's 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA with a 1.61 WHIP, while the Astros are hitting .283 against him.


Great spot for the Astros to dominate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CHRIS JORDAN
TODAY'S PLAY
The Pick: 600♦ Atlanta Braves Run Line



The Line: At 5:50 am pacific, the line is -1 1/2 runs, +115



Instructions: Allard and Cease MUST GO.



TODAY'S ANALYSIS



Complete mismatch here, as I see the Atlanta Braves destroying the Chicago White Sox in this Interleague showdown.



The White Sox are starting Dylan Cease, who is only 2-1 with a 4.60 ERA in nine road starts. He hasn't had a decision in eight starts, during which he's got a 3.89 ERA. It's not as if he's pitched badly on the whole as much as it's the fact he doesn't throw with domination and can't seem to find consistency.



Cease, who is 6-7 in 19 career Interleague starts, faces a dangerous Braves team that will be looking for revenge after losing 6-5 on Saturday.



Going back to the first half of the season, the Braves are 28-6 since June 3, hitting .296 and slugging .551. They've also hit 79 home runs in 34 games - an average of more than two per game.



Kolby Allard, who didn't debut this season until June 28, will make his fourth appearance of the season, and I like his chances much better after facing increasingly good lineups from Minnesota, Cleveland and Tampa Bay, the latter two on the road.



Allard has just 10 career Interleague appearances - three this season - and is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA lifetime against the opposite league.



Look for the Braves to romp and Allard to dominate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TRACE ADAMS


TODAY'S PLAY

The Pick: 1500♦ on the Chicago White Sox (Cease) over the Atlanta Braves (Allard).


The Line: At 6:30 am eastern time, the White Sox are +150.


Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or this is a NO PLAY.


Your Analysis


Somehow the Chicago White Sox managed to end a 3-game losing streak, and also 7 game losing streak in Atlanta on Saturday when the Pale Hose walked away with the 6-5 win over the team with the best record in baseball.


I understand siding with the 39-55 visitors who are taking on the 61-30 Braves is a bit of a stretch, but this Chicago release today is predicated on local boy Dylan Cease coming up with a huge effort against the untested Kolby Allard.


Allard is making just his 3rd start of the season and his last mound work came last Sunday before the All-Star Break when he allowed a pair of runs in one inning of work against the Tampa Bay Rays.


Cease has not recorded a decision since May 23rd, a stretch of 8 starts, when he recorded a win over the Cleveland Guardians. Cease grew up in Milton, Georgie, just north of Atlanta, and will be facing Atlanta for the first time in his career.


You can assume that he will have family and friends in attendance today, and you can also assume that he will be extra juiced for this meaningful start in pretty much his home town.


They don't lose all that often, especially 2 games in a row, but I think today is all about Dylan Cease wowing them in his home town.


Play Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ANSON MUNSON


TODAY'S PLAY

The Pick: 100 DIME - Minnesota Twins (Ryan) -1 1/2 runs over the Oakland Athletics (Sears).


The Line: At 6:30 am eastern time, the Twins are -1 1/2 runs, -115.


Note: As long as Ryan goes for Minnesota, this play is action, it does not matter who goes for Oakland.

Your Analysis

A stop in Oakland is exactly what the Minnesota Twins needed to open the second half of the season, as back-to-back weekend wins - 5-4, and 10-7 - have pushed the Twins back into first place in the A.L. Central Division, 1 1/2 games ahead of the Cleveland Guardians, and I will call for the broom to come out this afternoon versus the 25 win Oakland A's.


Oakland has lost 3 straight and 8 of its last 10 games played versus the Minnesota Twins, and today Joe Ryan will make his first ever start versus the Athletics.


Ryan grew up in San Francisco and will be making his first start as a professional in the Bay Area. He has pitched his best baseball when working during the daylight hours, as he comes into this road start at 5-3 with a 2.95 ERA when he starts during the day.


JP Sears is listed to make his team-leading 19th start of the season, but when you are just 1-6 is that necessarily a good thing?


The Oakland losing streak has reached 6 in a row dating back to before the break, and it really doesn't matter who is starting today's game for the A's, I see another 2 runs or more loss on the horizon.


Go with the Twins on the RUN LINE.