Friday 1/20/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Golden Gate - Race #1

#1 THUNDER OF ZION (5-1)	Second to speedball, steps up in class, good value play.
#5 UNION GIG (8-5)	Often bet, broke maiden at this level two back, stalked solid pace last out.
#3 BIG STORY (5-2)	Takes the plunge, recent workout encouraging for second start since 2021.
Race Summary	THUNDER OF ZION chased the fleet-footed favorite around the track to finish second at 6F. He returns with time off between starts again and can handle the class hike at 5-1/2F if he avoids a front-end battle. Play 1-3 and 1-5 exactas.

Golden Gate - Race #5

#2 CIELO DIAMANTE (12-1)	Rallied for 6/2-3-1 record in non-stakes short sprints in the last year.
#5 SMILIN EVIE (4-1)	Overcame another troubled start to win in lone start here two back.
#1 MAGICAL LADY (8-5)	Takes big class jump in bid for fourth consecutive victory.
Race Summary	CIELO DIAMANTE lunged late at the winning 1-to-2 favorite and galloped out in front. She has a solid sprint record for this barn and should get enough pace flow to make a run at an upset victory. Bet to win and place.

Golden Gate - Race #6

#6 RHONDA’S COOKIN (6-1)	Needed race to figure it all out, expect big effort at good odds today.
#1 DIZZY DAZMURA (9-2)	More experience to handle ‘green’ behavior, needs alert start from rail.
#5 GRANOLA GIRL (8-5)	Didn’t handle surface switch well to cap winless 2022 season.
Race Summary	Not crazy about morning-line favorite GRANOLA GIRL, who takes the class drop and adds blinkers after she finished last in a six-horse field at 3-to-5 odds on the all-weather surface. RHONDA’S COOKIN took some play in her debut, broke a step slow and lacked room on the backstretch, then finished with good late energy behind the upset winner and tiring leader. Bet to win and place.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

PURCHASE

Delta Downs - Race 6	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 6-7) ($1 min.) /Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 4 (.50 min) (Races 6-7-8-9)
Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $43,000 • Post: 7:20P
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 20 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 20 ALLOWED 6 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * HOLIDAY DIAMOND: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HEZA PICKLE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JAMAICAN ME: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the dist ance/surface. JOSAN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
2	HOLIDAY DIAMOND	9/2	9/2
8	HEZA PICKLE	5/2	5/1
6	JAMAICAN ME	7/2	6/1
4	JOSAN	12/1	9/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	WILLIE THE MAN	1	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	57	67	47.2	56.8	45.3
5	KING OF CONTRABAND	5	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	70	68	32.0	53.6	41.1
4	JOSAN	4	12/1	Trailer	64	63	55.8	63.4	52.9
8	HEZA PICKLE	8	5/2	Trailer	73	81	32.9	68.6	65.1
3	SOULOLOGY	3	6/1	Trailer	58	64	27.4	48.0	34.0
2	HOLIDAY DIAMOND	2	9/2	Alternator/Trailer	80	73	49.2	68.8	63.8
6	JAMAICAN ME	6	7/2	Alternator/Trailer	74	69	42.8	66.4	61.9
7	GOTMY MO JO WORKIN	7	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	75	69.8	60.6	50.6

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sam Houston Race ParkPURCHASE

Sam Houston Race Park - Race 5	WPS / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 5 (Races 5-6-7-8-9)
Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4-5 • CR: 66 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 2:48P
(PLUS UP TO $5,950 ATB) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR AND FIVE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF LESS THAN $20,000).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SENSEOFEXCELLENCE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LIAM'S NESSY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. I'M ALL SHOOK UP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
2	SENSEOFEXCELLENCE	6/5	3/1
5	LIAM'S NESSY	4/1	7/2
3	I'M ALL SHOOK UP	8/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	LIAM'S NESSY	5	4/1	Front-runner	70	58	68.8	49.6	45.1
6	GOSPEL FLOW	6	30/1	Front-runner	0	0	65.4	12.3	0.8
2	SENSEOFEXCELLENCE	2	6/5	Front-runner	71	62	61.1	63.6	60.1
3	I'M ALL SHOOK UP	3	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	66	54	64.5	45.2	38.7
1	LEARNING TO WIN	1	5/2	Trailer	0	0	20.9	18.0	8.0
7	LEXINGTON DIVA	7	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	66	51.9	42.3	36.8

Unknown Running Style: MIZZ ALL AMERICAN (20/1) [Jockey: Oliveros Charle - Trainer: Garza Joaquin E].

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 3 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $8100 Class Rating: 79

FOR NATIVE FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 5 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 20 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 20 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 COQUETEO 2/1
# 3 TABARDILLO 10/1
# 2 EL PROFESOR 3/1

COQUETEO is the top bet in this race. Has a sharp record at the distance and surface, which makes me give my vote to this colt. The speed figure of 79 from his last affair looks very good in here. Strong average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a solid choice. TABARDILLO - This colt with Cruz in the irons makes him a solid contender. Should definitely be carefully examined in here if only for the decent speed rating posted in the last contest. EL PROFESOR - Vaunts formidable speed figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group. Rivera will most likely be able to get this horse to break out early for this event.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Golden Hour Wagers - Race #1 - Post: 4:07pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $72,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating:

#9 SUNRISE JOURNEY (ML=4/1)
#8 LET'S REJOYCE (ML=6/1)


SUNRISE JOURNEY - Ran last time out against a tougher field at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbre. The move to a lower class rank should suit him well. Don't throw this animal out due to his last race at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbre where he ended up eighth on an off track. I look for an improvement today. LET'S REJOYCE - Faces state bred foes today after finishing fourth versus 'open' company on December 11th. This jock and trainer's animals have been generating a profitable return on investment. This horse likes to win on different ovals. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MY MAN BAGS (ML=7/2), #7 GOLD RUSH CANDY (ML=4/1), #2 WHAT IN BLAZES (ML=4/1),

MY MAN BAGS - Not probable that the speed rating he notched on Dec 9th will hold up in this race. GOLD RUSH CANDY - Today's race is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance event in the last couple of months. Not the best of omens. The speed figures continue to fall, 81/78/68. Not a positive sign. WHAT IN BLAZES - Difficult to play this horse this time out. Make him show you something in a sprint race before you bet on him in a race of 6 furlongs. Finished third in his most recent race with a substandard rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #9 SUNRISE JOURNEY on top if we're getting at least 3/1 odds

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $26000 Class Rating: 78

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,750 TO $12,500 1 LB.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 LOVE GONE WILD 6/1
# 6 SILENT BEAUTY 6/1
# 1 BIG BELL 7/2

My pick for this race is LOVE GONE WILD. This pony has a terrific win percentage in dirt sprints. Looks decent against this group and should be one of the leaders. She has put up respectable figs under today's conditions and will probably fare well versus this group of animals. SILENT BEAUTY - Put up a strong speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. The average Equibase class figure of 64 makes this entrant hard to beat. BIG BELL - Is worth looking at and may be a wager - strong speed figs (70 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this mare a formidable shot.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Gulfstream Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating:

#5 WILDCAT STAR (ML=4/1)
#1 SONGTELLER (ML=12/1)
#7 KATZ THAT GAL (ML=4/1)
#9 NYSSA (ML=6/1)


WILDCAT STAR - I have to like this filly's chances at the shorter distance. Faced tougher last out at Gulfstream Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of choice plays. SONGTELLER - This filly likes to be near the lead. Today's event is a shorter distance and should enhance her chances. Duffy drops her down to this level. You don't need too much more handicapping info to think this thoroughbred will be one to beat at this level. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. KATZ THAT GAL - Ortiz is back for another race today after riding aboard this animal for the first ride on Dec 23rd and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. This rider and conditioner have a fantastic winning pct when they are put together. Just missed hitting the board on Dec 23rd at Gulfstream Park. With decent odds right here, she has my interest. This mare's last speed fig notched on Dec 23rd is tops in last race speed figs. NYSSA - This jock and conditioner's animals have been generating a positive return on investment. This thoroughbred could be tough this time around, especially since Sutherland rode last time out and now should be acquainted with this one. Based on this mare's recent efforts, she should be aided by this shorter trip. This horse coming off a nice try in the last 30 days is a contender in my opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 THEODOROPOULOS (ML=3/1), #10 TEMERITY (ML=6/1),

THEODOROPOULOS - Can't play this morning-line favorite off the long layoff. This equine hasn't been close in either of her last couple of efforts. Will be tough for this mount to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put her on the vulnerable competitors list. TEMERITY - This filly hasn't had any recent good results in short distance races. Tough to play her in this race. This thoroughbred hasn't shown much effort in the last two contests.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Have to go with #5 WILDCAT STAR on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	[1,5] with [1,5,7,9] with [1,5,7,9] with [1,2,5,7,9,10] with [1,2,5,7,9,10] Total Cost: $72

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

PURCHASE

01/20/23, OP, Race 3, 1.28 CT
01/20/23,OP,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $48,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. Weight, 121 lbs. Claiming Price $50,000, if for $45,000, allowed 4 lbs.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Midsummer Soiree	5/2	Arrieta F	Hartman Chris A.	TSFEL	77	41.56	1.06/$1
096.7379	6	Stay Fabulous	2/1	Castillo I	Asmussen Steven M.		203	20.20	1.04/$1
095.0974	1	I'm Beth Dutton	8/1	Baze T	Puhich Michael		38	31.58	1.07/$1
094.6655	4	Naughty Madam	6/1	Bejarano R	Moquett Ron		203	29.06	0.84/$1
094.4875	2	Jumpin Judy	8/1	Medellin E	Milligan Allen		203	29.06	0.84/$1
094.3321	8	I Got a Name	10/1	Garcia M	Morse Randy L.	W	203	29.06	0.84/$1
094.0808	9	Sweet Shugs	10/1	Harr K	Cline Robert N.		203	29.06	0.84/$1
092.5003	7	Mor Happy Hours(b+)	20/1	Talamo J	Vance David R.		16	62.50	1.53/$1
091.2634	5	Her Name Was Lola	20/1	Jordan K R	Jordan Todd James	JC	35	40.00	1.22/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 31.97, ROI 0.88/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.2621
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt MdnMClm] Best Speed

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Kristpicks

aqueduct racetrack - friday, january 20, 2023 // post time - 12:50 p.m. Est

- daily selections for january 20 -

race 1:
1 - wine goddess 3-1
6 - take charge lisa 6-1
5 - frannie lew 8-5

race 2:
6 - wicked lady 2-1
5 - ice cold gold 7-5
4 - r girl faith 6-1

race 3:
6 - confirmed genius 7-2
4 - chloe rose 2-1
5 - olive kat 4-1

race 4:
6 - russian to win 9-2
3 - doctor love 9-5
4 - labarde 7-2

race 5:
2 - strange fruit 6-1
4 - magnolia wind 9-2
8 - pretty miss keens 4-1

race 6:
3 - holiday jazz 5-1 - best bet
4 - ricelle 8-1
5 - freudian 3-1

race 7:
6 - be better 7-2
3 - locally owned 3-1
4 - little demon 5-2

race 8:
7 - brass monkey 15-1 - longshot
1 - super coach fred 6-1
8 - ee yah 9-2

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Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Friday, January 20th 2023 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
FAIR GROUNDS
RACE #7
TIME: 5:15 PM EST
PICK: BET #4 Apache Tears 8/1 odds to win @ Bovada

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1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Mavericks pk
2. Gameday Network NBA – Magic +1
3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Pacers +11
4. Vegas Line Crushers NBA – Lakers +7
5. VegasSI NBA – Jazz under 229.5
6. Sam Casey CBB – Kent St -8
7. Henry Brown Sports CBB – Marist -2.5
8. Winning Big Sports CBB – Toledo -5
9. Lou Panelli CBB – Boise St under 146
10. Platinum Info Club CBB – Stonehill -5.5
11. William E. Stockton NBA – Lakers +7
12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Pacers +11
13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Mavericks pk
14. SCORE NBA – Hawks -3.5
15. Tony Campone NBA – Pelicans -1
16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – Toledo -5
17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Siena -8.5
18. VIP Action CBB – Canisius +5
19. South Beach Sports CBB – Kent St -8
20. LV Sports Commission CBB – Iona over 139.5
21. NY Players Club NBA – Mavericks pk
22. Fred Callahan NBA – Jazz -7.5
23. LV Private CEO Club NBA – Lakers +7
24. Michigan Sports NBA – Hawks over 228.5
25. National Consensus Report NBA – Pelicans -1

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Mike Williams

Jan 20 '23, 7:40 PM in 30m
NBA | Knicks vs Hawks

Play on: [B]Hawks -2

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Jeff Alexander

Jan 20 '23, 7:40 PM in 30m
NBA | Knicks vs Hawks

Play on: Knicks +3 -110 at YouWager

1* NBA - Knicks/Hawks FREE Pick on Knicks +3
Friday's Free NBA Pick is on the New York Knicks as a 3-point road dog against the Atlanta Hawks. This feels like a game where the Hawks are going to maybe sit some guys in the front end of a back-to-back. Young seemed to tweak his ankle in Wednesday's 130-122 win at Dallas. However, he left the game and came back. He ended up playing 35 minutes. Now he's showing up as questionable for this game. So is Bogdan Bogdanovic, who played 33 minutes off the bench and was not injured. They are listing him with knee soreness.
So while the Knicks aren't exactly a team I'm looking to back right now, this is just too good a price to pass up on New York if the Hawks end up playing this short-handed. Even if Young and Bogdanovic both play, I like New York in this spot. Knicks are 29-16 ATS last 3 seasons in road games vs a team with a winning record and 13-3 ATS last 16 on the road vs a team that allows their opponents to shoot 46% or better from the field (Hawks are allowing 47.2% for the 2022-23 season). Bet the Knicks +3!

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Sean Murphy

Jan 20 '23, 7:40 PM in 30m
NBA | Heat vs Mavs

Play on: Heat -1 -110 at YouWager

Friday NBA Free play. My selection is on Miami minus the points over Dallas at 7:40 pm et on Friday.
It may seem a little strange to see the Mavericks catching points at home against the Heat (at the time of writing) but I believe the line is warranted. Miami is playing terrific basketball right now, having gone 9-4 SU and 8-4-1 ATS over its last 13 games. The Heat have knocked down 42, 45, 43 and 50 field goals over their last four contests while limiting the opposition to fewer than 40 made field goals in seven of their last 10 games overall. Meanwhile, the Mavs are really missing Christian Wood right now and check in playing awful defensive basketball, allowing 44, 49, 43 and 49 made field goals over their last four contests. Even Luka Doncic's exploits haven't been enough to lift them out of their doldrums and I expect them to stay down for at least one more game before their homestand resumes with a date with the Clippers on Sunday. Take Miami.

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Jack Jones

Jan 20 '23, 9:10 PM in 2h
NBA | Pacers vs Nuggets

Play on: Nuggets -11 -105 at linepros

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Denver Nuggets -11
The Denver Nuggets have won eight consecutive games and are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games overall. They are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now. I did fade them last time out successfully when they were on the 2nd of a back-to-back against the Timberwolves, but I like them to win in a blowout in this spot tonight.
The Indiana Pacers have been terrible without Tyrese Haliburton (20.2 PPG, 10.2 APG), one of the most underrated players in the NBA. They have gone 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with the last four coming without Haliburton. They lost the last three in blowout fashion by 20 at OKC as 3.5-point dogs, by 13 at Milwaukee as 5-point dogs and by 18 at home to Memphis as 7.5-point dogs.
The Nuggets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last nine home games. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games when playing on one day of rest. The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Bet the Nuggets Friday.