Saturday 1/7/23 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Fair Grounds - Race #4

#2 Huntress for Hire	Hoping she's a mildly playable price as something like the second choice in here, as she has some win-early appeal and is probably ready to go at this kind of trip.
#4 Topsy	She's another debuter in this short field, and she makes a lot of sense first out for a capable barn. Think the tote might tell the tale between these top two.
#1 War Saver	She showed a little bit of late interest here in the debut last month, and she has some room to come forward off that as one of only two in here with previous racing experience.
Race Summary	Huntress for Hire and Topsy both seem like logical players right out of the box, but I think the former might offer a slightly better price on the board here.

Fair Grounds - Race #8

#8 Charlie G.	Think this guy is worth a little swing in a race where a couple other runners listed below are likely to take most of the cash. His is a big question of quality today, but his turf form is pretty reliable and gives him a chance to get a bit of a jump on the deeper closers.
#7 Touchuponastar	He hasn't done much wrong and easily scored in the Classic here last month, but he's at least a little question mark while making his first turf start, and the price gets a lot shorter this time around.
#4 Who Took the Money	He finished too late and never really threatened Touchuponastar in the Classic, but he's perfect from two starts over this turf course and can come alive late.
Race Summary	Charlie G. has a little appeal on the move back to the turf, and he's sure to be a nice price while coming off the main-track dud here in November. Thinking he has some surprise potential for a piece.

Fair Grounds - Race #9

#7 Relentless Dancer	He might be in line for a pretty nice trip while spying the speed, and something like his last would keep him in the mix right back with this group.
#2 Bron and Brow	He has historically been pretty good over the local footing, and he turned in a pretty sharp effort off the layoff last time out. He's a stakes winner over the course, so this hike isn't all that concerning. Capable player.
#1 Win Ya Win	He's actually a pretty honest finisher considering his form seems all over the place, and I like that he can settle inside and save some ground before launching one run. Price player for a piece.
Race Summary	Relentless Dancer ran a good one here on Champions Day, and he might be able to sit just a touch closer in the early going with these. Interesting here.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Golden Gate - Race #2

#2 RUNAWAY KRISTIN (10-1)	Hit board in 5 of 10 starts last year, livelier pace helps, price attached.
#4 POLACCO (3-2)	Gave way chasing second fave in race dominated by closers, goes long way in here.
#3 LOVE OF THE SPORT (5-1)	Steady check-getter broke slowly with blinkers on last out.
Race Summary	RUNAWAY KRISTIN rallied for minor awards in 3 of his last 4 starts in the fall, chasing an odds-on winner once and a ‘moderate’ pace twice going a route of ground. He returns for a cheaper claiming price and gets a faster moving target to run at with morning-line favorite POLACCO in the race. Bet to win and place.

Golden Gate - Race #3

#5 WALKING BOSS (9-2)	Rallied into slow pace in last pair at one mile, gets class relief.
#1 BIG CITY BANE (6-1)	Fits conditions well, has some big number to run back to.
#7 EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER (8-5)	Lost momentum into turn, raced erratically in stretch, risky favorite.
Race Summary	WALKING BOSS tracked a slow pace, advanced steadily around the final turn and finished widest in the stretch against better. He bid 3-wide into the stretch when third in a slow-paced race before that. The class drop could push him over the top and into the winners’ circle. Play a 5-ALL exacta.

Golden Gate - Race #6

#6 HORSE DOCTOR (9-5)	Ideal race set-up is just what the ‘Doctor’ ordered at a proven distance.
#1 DARNQUICK (6-1)	Speed and rail, tracked fast pace in latest until he steadied while in tight on turn.
#3 PAPAPIFAS (8-1)	Drops, starts fresh, looks to build on $79k Golden Gate bankroll.
Race Summary	HORSE DOCTOR backed off a fast pace, took command turning for home and got caught in the closing yards at 6F. The same type of scenario could play out in here, with a different result at 5-1/2F. Bet to win and place and play a 1-3-6 exacta box.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park

PURCHASE

Oaklawn Park - Race 5	Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Maiden Claiming $30,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 66 • Purse: $33,000 • Post: 2:26P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. THORN CROWN is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * THORN CROWN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the high est average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
8	THORN CROWN	8/1	2/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	THORN CROWN	8	8/1	Front-runner	0	0	98.6	56.9	52.9
1	TWIRLING TIGRESS	1	12/1	Front-runner	0	0	30.3	32.2	22.7
9	FLY CONDOR	9	20/1	Alternator/Stalker	65	48	48.0	40.9	34.4
7	TRIBAL SPIRIT	7	5/1	Trailer	0	0	0.0	42.7	37.7
5	UNIFIED GURL	5	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	55.0	56.9	51.9

Unknown Running Style: LOVELY JOYCE (30/1) [Jockey: Bowen Rocco - Trainer: Prather Jr John Henry], ANDREA BEACH (4/1) [Jockey: Cheminaud Vincent - Trainer: Correas IV Ignacio], FANCY HILL (20/1) [Jockey: Cabrera David - Trainer: Martin Timothy E], SU

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Santa Anita ParkPURCHASE

Santa Anita Park - Race 10	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 Leg 3 of the $1 Golden Hour Pick 4 Leg 1 of the $5 Golden Hour Double
Stakes • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 103 • Purse: $200,000 • Post: 4:30P
UNUSUAL HEAT TURF CLASSIC S. PRESENTED BY CITY NATIONAL BANK - (RAIL AT 10 FEET). FOR GOLDEN STATE SERIES ELIGIBLE CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $100 EACH IF MADE ON OR BEFORE THURSDAY, DECEMBER 29, 2022, CLOSED WITH 15 OR BY SUPPLEMENTARY NOMINATION OF $25,000 AT TIME OF ENTRY FOR NON GOLDEN STATE SERIES ELIGIBLE HORSES OR $4,000 FOR GOLDEN STATE SERIES ELIGIBLE HORSES. ALL HORSES TO PAY $1,500 TO ENTER AND AN ADDITIONAL $1,500 TO START WITH $200,000 GUARANTEED OF WHICH $110,000 TO THE WINNER, $38,000 TO SECOND, $22,000 TO THIRD, $12,000 TO FOURTH, AND $6,000 TO FIFTH, $4,000 TO SIXTH, $4,000 TO SEVENTH, $4,000 TO EIGHTH. 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A SWEEPSTAKES AT ONE MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER AT ONE MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 4 LBS. A TROPHY WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * ALIGATO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. COALINGA ROAD: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CARMELITA'S MAN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BANG FOR YOUR BUCK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KINGS RIVER KNIGHT: Horse's win percentage at today's di stance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
1	ALIGATO	5/2	6/1
4	COALINGA ROAD	5/1	7/1
8	CARMELITA'S MAN	2/1	7/1
6	BANG FOR YOUR BUCK	15/1	7/1
5	KINGS RIVER KNIGHT	6/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	KINGS RIVER KNIGHT	4	6/1	Stalker	98	94	104.9	93.2	83.2
6	BANG FOR YOUR BUCK	5	15/1	Stalker	103	100	95.4	96.4	87.4
2	DOC ADAMS	2	6/1	Stalker	97	94	83.1	88.0	76.5
7	ROYAL 'N RANDO	6	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	98	93	78.8	82.7	70.7
8	CARMELITA'S MAN	7	2/1	Trailer	100	97	81.6	97.2	92.7
4	COALINGA ROAD	3	5/1	Trailer	104	104	81.2	98.5	94.0
1	ALIGATO	1	5/2	Trailer	101	100	77.8	93.2	85.7
9	LUVLUV	8	15/1	Trailer	101	96	75.4	93.0	82.5

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Turf Paradise - Race #10 - Post: 3:55pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,400 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#6 JOKER MATT (ML=8/1)
#3 COASTAL WATERS (ML=6/1)
#1 BARNFIELD (ML=5/1)


JOKER MATT - Martinez has a very strong win pct in grass routes. This colt should be fit and ready to go. A thoroughbred coming back this soon after a sharp outing is a good sign. Coming off a fourth place finish at Turf Paradise, some may skip over this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has respectable morning odds today. COASTAL WATERS - A win pct like 33 is outstanding for any rider/handler duo. This gelding is in fine form. Ran third on Dec 17th. BARNFIELD - Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (sixth). Should improve in this event, with some pretty good odds. You have to like that latest race fig, 88, which is the top recent race speed fig of this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 NO SLO MO (ML=3/1), #2 UNCLE JEFF (ML=4/1), #4 LIGHT CRUISER (ML=9/2),

NO SLO MO - Awfully hard to bet on this mount when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness lately. UNCLE JEFF - If this affair shapes up right, all the speed horses will force a fierce speed battle early. Too bad this animal is one of those front runners. Run-of-the-mill speed rating in the last race at Turf Paradise at 1 mile. Don't feel this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race. LIGHT CRUISER - I cannot play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the task done from time to time. Could be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #6 JOKER MATT to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	[1,3,6] with [1,3,6] with [1,3,5,6,7] with [1,3,5,6,7] Total Cost: $36

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 79

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 22 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 7 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 7 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 MAREMAR 3/1
# 6 PLAYA INCLUSION 2/1
# 5 GONE SOUTH 5/2

MAREMAR is the most favorable wager in this race. She looks decent in this slot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. The average Equibase class figure alone makes this one a definite contender. Has very good Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet in this competition. PLAYA INCLUSION - Put up a strong Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this contest. With a nice class figure average of 80, has one of the most respectable class advantages in this group. GONE SOUTH - Is a sharp contender based on figs posted recently under today's conditions. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Riveralopez have shown very solid results recently.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Hour Wagers

PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 2 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 93

GG-R11 - FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE OCTOBER 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. (CAL-BRED

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 SHEZA GIRLY GIRL 6/1
# 4 LUXURY LINER 7/2
# 8 ANGEL'S ADVOCATE 2/1

SHEZA GIRLY GIRL gets the edge as the wager in here. Is a strong contender based on figures posted lately under today's conditions. Look for a quite good pace improvement from this horse who enters on Lasix today. With Alvarado getting the mount, watch out for this pony. LUXURY LINER - This horse enters today's competition on Lasix. Rivera will almost certainly be able to get this mare to break out quickly for this event. ANGEL'S ADVOCATE - Will probably come out solid - I have liked the way this mare has moved quickly to the front end recently. This mare has posted some nice finishes in her last couple of efforts.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Laurel Park

PURCHASE

01/07/23, LRL, Race 5, 2.21 ET
01/07/23,LRL,5,7F [Dirt] 1:21:00 CLAIMING. Purse $17,000. (PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 7 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. Weight, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since November 7 Allowed 3 lbs. Claiming Price $5,000 (Races Where Entered For $4,000 Or Less Not Considered In Eligibility).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	This Ill Defend	5/1	Rodriguez J	Ness Jamie	JTW	845	29.47	0.84/$1
098.7197	9	Spotted Bull	9/2	Barbosa J	Magee Kieron		845	29.47	0.84/$1
097.7172	8	Tom Terrific	6/1	Paredes J	Albert Linda L.	S	845	29.47	0.84/$1
097.6924	3	Top Boss	5/1	Butterfly B L	Mohan David R.	F	845	29.47	0.84/$1
096.7182	2	All for Love	8/1	Perez X	Robb John J.	E	845	29.47	0.84/$1
096.6910	10	Bad Guy	8/1	Karamanos H	Klesaris Robert P.	C	845	29.47	0.84/$1
096.5924	1	Fort Fortitude	6/1	Crispin A	Pickett Crystal G.		845	29.47	0.84/$1
095.3718	6	Sheriff Chip	10/1	Latchman R	Rawlings Amanda Collee	L	845	29.47	0.84/$1
094.9310	7	Chrome Finish	10/1	Corujo L	Rodriguez Jose S.		845	29.47	0.84/$1
092.3866	11	Stalking	20/1	Rosado J	Garibay Andres		845	29.47	0.84/$1
092.2325	4	Lifespan	30/1	Trejos J	Ramirez Jose A.		845	29.47	0.84/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 36.84, ROI 1.02/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2803
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Default Category Stats

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

PURCHASE

Sam Houston - Race #4 - Post: 2:21pm - Stakes - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#2 COME TO THE PARTY (ML=3/1)
#5 WAVING BYE (ML=2/1)


COME TO THE PARTY - Sophisticated handicappers will tell you that this horse has strong pace. Is ranked at the top in (EPS) earnings per start. A strong performance today can increase the lifetime total. WAVING BYE - This filly should give a good showing of herself in today's affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 IZATIZ (ML=8/5), #3 THE NEXT BIG BLING (ML=6/1),

IZATIZ - Somewhat easily forgotten rating last time out at Delta Downs at 5 furlongs. Don't think this horse will improve too much in today's event. THE NEXT BIG BLING - Don't think that this filly has value at 6/1 today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 COME TO THE PARTY is going to be the play if we are getting 3/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

Free Winners for Saturday, January 7th 2023 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
OAKLAWN PARK
RACE #8
TIME: 5:22 PM EST
PICK: BET #8 Misty Veil 15/1 odds to win @ Bovada