Sunday 11/20/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jeff Alexander

1* NFL - Rams/Saints FREE Pick on Saints -2.5


Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the New Orleans Saints as a 2.5-point home dog against the Los Angeles Rams. New Orleans should be a bigger favorite in this one. The Rams have been one of the most overrated teams in the league this season, which was to be expected after winning the Super Bowl. LA is just 3-6 SU and 2-6-1 ATS. I know it's been a similar story for New Orleans, but it only figures to get worse for the Rams now that they won't have Cooper Kupp to run their offense thru. Kupp has really been the entire offense for LA, as they are so bad at running the ball they don't even try to establish it. Kupp leads the Rams with 75 catches for 812 yards and 6 TDs. The next best in receptions and yards is tight end Tyler Higbee with 44 catches for 385 yards. There's also been just 3 other TD passes thrown to someone other than Kupp. I just don't think there's much fight left in this team and with an offense that can't score, it's going to take a lot to go right for them to just keep this game close. Bet the Saints -2.5!

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Mike Williams

1* on Panthers +13 -110

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Alex Smart

Free Play: College of Charleston +6 -113

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Playing at home makes a big difference here in CoC being able to cover here today. vs a top tier Virginia Tech program. The Cougars’ offense is explosive converting with a FG% of 51.6%, and rebounding is also strong as they grab 37.2% of offensive rebounds.
Young is 1-13 ATS after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH. Young is 15-32 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH.
Kelsey is 8-0 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents in all games he has coached since 1997. Kelsey is 12-4 ATS as an underdog as the coach of COLL OF CHARLESTON.COLL OF CHARLESTON is 16-4 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
Play on College Charleston

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Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Raiders/Broncos UNDER 41.5
Divisional UNDERS are 31-16 in 2022. This will be the second meeting between the Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders already this season. Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and I expect this to be a defensive battle in Denver Sunday afternoon.
These are two broken offenses that just aren't working due to injuries and poor play. Amazingly, Denver would be 8-1 if they just scored 18 points or more in every game this season. Instead they are 3-6, which just goes to show how good their defense has played. The UNDER is 8-1 in all Denver games this season.
The Broncos rank dead last (32nd) in the NFL in scoring at 14.6 points per game. They are also 27th averaging just 5.1 yards per play. The offensive line cannot protect Russell Wilson as he was sacked six times by the Titans last week. He is also holding onto the ball too long. Wilson's job gets even tougher this week knowing he's going to be down two of his favorite weapons in Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler. Jeudy left the Titans' game early and the Broncos couldn't do anything without him.
Denver is going to have to rely on its running game to move the football in this one. It will also be able to rely on a defense that is probably the most underrated in all of the NFL. The Broncos rank 1st in scoring defense allowing just 16.6 points per game. They also rank 2nd in total defense at 290.4 yards per game and 1st allowing just 4.6 yards per play.
The Raiders are broken on offense right now, too. They have averaged just 13.3 points per game in their last three games against the Saints, Jaguars and Colts. Derek Carr really misses two of his favorite weapons in TE Darren Waller and WR Hunter Renfrow. Those two have been his security blankets, especially on 3rd downs. They are too predictable now as teams just have to focus on stopping Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs.
This isn't the best Las Vegas defense, but they did hold the Broncos to 299 total yards in the first meeting this season. Their job will be much easier the second time around given the state of this Denver offense. Eight of the last 12 meetings between the Broncos and Raiders have seen 41 or fewer combined points. The UNDER is 9-3 in those 12 meetings. The UNDER is 45-21-1 in Broncos last 67 games overall. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

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Joseph D'Amico

Sunday’s FREE WINNER: Las Vegas Raiders.
Game 467.
1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.
This Sunday in a battle between two AFC West combatants that both had high hopes for the season, and I think we would all agree, both have fallen way short of expectations. I want to talk about the Las Vegas Raiders traveling to Mile High to take on the Denver Broncos. Both Las Vegas and Denver came into this season thinking that they were playoff contenders. Well as we passed the halfway point of the regular season campaign, they are a combined 5-13. Sports fans it would take a miracle for either one of these teams to make the postseason. However, being a resident of Las Vegas for 32 years, I know this Raiders team. I have made money going against them a few times this season, I’ll admit that (just last week with the Colts wink wink nudge nudge). However now knowing that their postseason hopes are basically nonexistent, takes a lot of pressure off of the Raiders. As far as the Broncos go, no matter how good your defense is, it just can’t compensate for an offense that scores less than 15-points a game. Having said that one of the few bright spots over the last few years for Las Vegas is that they have dominated Denver. Going back to 2018, they have taken seven of the last eight meeting straight up. Just since the beginning of last season they have won all three matchups over their division rival. As tough as Denver is, Vegas has manhandled them in recent matchups. Beating Denver is something that Las Vegas head Coach Josh McDaniels takes a lot of joy in doing. He was tossed aside from the team more than a decade ago. Trust me, this is a game that he and his squad can let out their frustrations. As I mentioned earlier, it doesn’t matter how good your defense is, when your offense can only muster a dismal 14.6-points per game, eventually your stop-unit is going to get overworked, fatigued, and tired. I look for Vegas to take advantage of a spent Denver “D” here, and get a well-needed win while earning their head coach a little bit of payback. The Broncos are 4-13 ATS their last 17 vs. the AFC and 4-9 ATS their last 13 games overall. Take the Raiders. Thank you.

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Brandon Lee

Sunday's Free NFL Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers +4


I'll take my chances with the Steelers as a 4-point home dog against the Bengals on Sunday. I just feel like there's too much value with Pittsburgh catching more than a field goal on their home field in this one.
I just think Cincinnati is getting a little too much respect coming off of last week's 42-21 blowout win at home against the Panthers. It wasn't even as close as the final score would indicate, as the Bengals led 35-0 at the half and 42-7 going into the 4th quarter.
It was quite the turnaround for Cincinnati's offense, which couldn't get anything going in their first game without Jamar Chase, losing 13-32 to the Browns. Thing is, it wasn't Burrow and the passing game that got things figured out. It was Carolina's inability to stop the run, as Cincinnati rushed for 241 yards with Joe Mixon rushing for 153 yards and 4 scores.
I just don't see the Bengals offense having that kind of success on the ground against this Steelers defense, especially now that T.J. Watt is back in the lineup. In Watt's first game back since Week 1, the Steelers held the Saints to just 29 rushing yards. Cincinnati did rush for 133 yards in the Week 1 meeting between these two teams, but only averaged a mere 3.9 yards/carry.
Keep in mind the Bengals offensive line had no answers for Watt and the Steelers pass rush in that game, as Burrow was sacked 7 times and hit 11 times. I just have a hard time seeing where the offense is going to come from for Pittsburgh without Chase, who had 10 catches for 129 yards in the first meeting.
I can't say I'm expecting a ton out of the Steelers offense either, but I think they can do enough here to at the very least get the cover. I really think if they can take care of the football and not put their defense in a bad spot, they can win this game going away. Either way I think it's at worst a field goal game. Give me the Steelers +4!

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Timothy Black

1* Best Bet on Oklahoma State -5 -110

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Bobby Conn

1* Free Play on Oklahoma State -5 -110

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Totals Guru

Free Total Annihilator On Panthers vs Blue Jackets over 6 1/2 -120

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Black Widow

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Penguins/Blackhawks over 6 -120
*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

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Steve Janus

1* Free Sharp Play on Tarleton St +6 1/2 -110
*All CBB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*