Sunday 10/9/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Belmont Tip Sheet - October 9

October 8, 2022

BELMONT AT THE BIG A TIPS - SUNDAY, OCTOBER 09, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money % of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $77,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:35 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 6-1 1 Central Love J Castellano
PLACE 7-5 6 Bourbon Chase I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW 9-2 5 Dr. Kraft T McCarthy
WILD CARD 4-1 3 Starquist E Cancel
ALTERNATE 1 3-1 2 Lt. Mitchell M J Luzzi
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Storm the Empire K Carmouche

* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 3/5/6 BOX

RACE #2 $35,000 CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:10 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 SONIC SPEED

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 8 Sonic Speed J Toledo
PLACE 7-2 9 Aviano J L Ortiz
SHOW 9-2 3 Box N Score M Franco
WILD CARD 5-1 12 Dantes Fire J Castellano
ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1X Masked Marauder J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 10 Inflation Adjusted J Lezcano

* EXACTA: 8-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 3/9/12 BOX

RACE #3 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:47 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 BELDAME STAKES GRADE II

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 1-5 1 Nest I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE 4-1 2 First to Act J L Ortiz
SHOW 20-1 4 The Grass Is Blue J Toledo
WILD CARD 6-1 5 Travel Column J Castellano
ALTERNATE 1 20-1 3 Hybrid Eclipse M Franco

* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 2/4/5 BOX
COMMENTS: NEST is by far the class of the field here. FIRST TO ACT hit the board in each of her five career starts and increased her speed figure in all of them. THE GRASS IS BLUE could be a live longshot who has some late burst at times. TRAVEL COLUMN has been working bullets getting ready for today.

RACE #4 $95,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-5 5 Unlimitedpotential I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE 6-1 7 Matt Doyle J A Gomez
SHOW 7-2 2 Southern Flag J Lezcano
WILD CARD 8-1 6 Tiger Town Boy M Franco
ALTERNATE 1 30-1 3 Carpe Capella E Cancel
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 1 Watasha J L Ortiz

* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX

RACE #5 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:55 PM ET
BEST BET: #1A STREET VENDOR

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-2 1A Street Vendor I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE 8-1 10 Mad Magic J Alvarado
SHOW 9-2 11 Gregs Honor T McCarthy
WILD CARD 4-1 14 Hooky Player J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Ridewiththedevil K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 Media Sensation J A Gomez

* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-14 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/10/11 BOX, 10/11/14 BOX

RACE #6 $150,000 STAKES
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 FUTURITY STAKES GRADE III

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 2 Nagirroc M Franco
PLACE 3-1 3 Inflation Nation J L Ortiz
SHOW 12-1 4 Vacation Dance J Castellano
WILD CARD 6-1 8 Determined Jester F Boyce
ALTERNATE 1 3-1 7 Gaslight Dancer I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Dunedin J Rocco Jr.

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 3/4/8 BOX

RACE #7 $85,000 ALLOWANCE
1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:07 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 1-1 1 Sweet Mystery J Lezcano
PLACE 4-1 6 Know It All Audrey I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW 6-1 7 New York Banker M Franco
WILD CARD 7-2 3 Caramocha J A Gomez
ALTERNATE 1 20-1 2 Gringotts H K Harkie
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Mia Bea Star A Castillo

* EXACTA: 1-6 BOX, 6-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/6/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX

RACE #8 $150,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:44 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 KNICKERBOCKER STAKES

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-2 5 LImperator M Franco
PLACE 8-1 6 Pixelate J L Ortiz
SHOW 12-1 1 Lonesome Fugitive J Castellano
WILD CARD 7-2 10 Public Sector I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1 4-1 8 Pao Alto J Toledo
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 King Cause K Carmouche

* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/6/10 BOX
COMMENTS: L IMPERATOR should be in peak form in his third start after a layoff. PIXELATE has some of the best late numbers in this group and has some swift works getting prepped. LONESOME FUGITIVE has a win and second in two at Aqueduct. PUBLIC SECTOR hit the board in 13 of 15 on turf.

RACE #9 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE OUTER TURF - POST TIME: 5:20 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 ROBYN AND ELI

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 6 Robyn and Eli M Franco
PLACE 9-2 13 Mo Damorninggrouch J Lezcano
SHOW 4-1 7 Eli Dancer J L Ortiz
WILD CARD 6-1 5 Laughter I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Gracefully Wild J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2 3-1 15 Laochi E Cancel

* EXACTA: 6-13 BOX, 13-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/13 BOX, 5/7/13 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Hotlist - October 9

October 7, 2022

Today’s Keeneland Hot List races to watch
Sunday, Oct. 9, 2022

By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman

Hot List Key:

A : A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches in the final 3 minutes and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worse
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.

2nd race – (1) Spoiler is a firster from Asmussen who has put in the kind of works that say he should win at first asking. (4) Notion is worth a look switching from turf to dirt. (7) Hit Show is another firster with excellent credentials. (5) Toast to Coast also seems ready for his first start. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-4-5-7.

5th race – (7) Closed Caption looked good in her dirt debut and merits top billing here. (5) Friendlypersuasion exits a stakes and looks like the one to fear. (3) Play the Music should be able to handle the switch from turf to dirt. (8) Aztec Nights could be a factor here. Betting strategy: 7 to win, place. Exacta box: 3-5-7-8.

7th race – (1) McEnroe debuts for Brisset and seems ready for a big effort. (7) Fashion King has been working in a manner that says he will be a factor here. (3) Cagliostro tired in his debut but may hang on here. (2) Perform could put on a show here. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3-7. Doubles: 1-2-3-7 with 2-9-10-12. Pick 3: 1-2-3-7 with 2-9-10-12 with 1-2-3.

8th race – (9) Gigante was a big winner of a Colonial stakes and deserves top billing here. (2) Panama looked sharp in his U.S. debut and should welcome the added ground. (12) Andthewinneris fits in nicely here. (10) Really Good could rebound in this spot. Betting strategy: 9 to win, place. Exacta box: 2-9-10-12. Doubles: 2-9-10-12 with 1-2-3.

9th race – (1) Malathaat returned to top form last time and looks best here. (3) Letruska has seen better days but is still a threat here. (2) Army Wife will benefit from a quick pace. Betting strategy: 1 to win, place. Exacta box: 1-2-3.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Tip Sheet - October 9

October 8, 2022

KEENELAND TIPS - SUNDAY, OCTOBER 09, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 63% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $61,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
1 1/16 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:00 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-2 5 Guana Cay F Arrieta
PLACE 6-1 1 Teller to Sing J D Ramos
SHOW 2-1 3 Lady Emily T Gaffalione
WILD CARD 3-1 4 Judys Way R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Kimberley Dream J L Castanon
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 2 La Tourista C J Lanerie

* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX

RACE #2 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:31 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 MO SATURDAYS

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 2 Mo Saturdays R Santana Jr.
PLACE 5-2 7 Hit Show F Geroux
SHOW 4-1 1 Spoiler T Gaffalione
WILD CARD 10-1 6 Creative Strategy L Saez
ALTERNATE 1 15-1 9 Bengals Go B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Toast to Coast R Bejarano

* EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX

RACE #3 $47,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:10 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-2 4 Sisaway Now F Arrieta
PLACE 8-5 5 Carbonite T Gaffalione
SHOW 6-1 1 Yono J Graham
WILD CARD 2-1 6 Olliemeister R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 1 30-1 2 Right of Rush C Villasana
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 7 Eyes of Glory F Peterson

* EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX

RACE #4 $130,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:45 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 CENTER AISLE

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-5 2 Center Aisle G Corrales
PLACE 7-2 3 Be Like Water R Bejarano
SHOW 10-1 6 Recoded L Saez
WILD CARD 8-1 1 Chandana F Geroux
ALTERNATE 1 2-1 5 Sarah Harper T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Current Climate D L Parker

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/6 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX

RACE #5 $110,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 9-2 3 Play the Music J Rosario
PLACE 5-2 8 Aztec Nights R Santana Jr.
SHOW 2-1 5 Friendlypersuasion J R Velazquez
WILD CARD 4-1 7 Closed Caption C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Up to Something R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 2 20-1 4 Red Jewel J Graham

* EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX

RACE #6 $250,000 STAKES
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:57 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 INDIAN SUMMER STAKES

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-5 5 Love Reigns P Lopez
PLACE 9-2 11 Private Creed J Rosario
SHOW 8-1 7 No Nay Hudson J R Velazquez
WILD CARD 6-1 8 Mounsieur Coco T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1 20-1 6 Numero Seis B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 2 30-1 10 Castelmola E Morales

* EXACTA: 5-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/7/11 BOX, 7/8/11 BOX
COMMENTS: LOVE REIGNS is undefeated in two in the US and has a fourth at Royal Ascot. PRIVATE CREED should be closing late as he has made up ground and won two of three starts. NO WAY HUDSON ran some better fractions in his first turf race after doing dirt in his first two. MONSIEUR COCO won his last two with ease on all weather which can translate to turf.

RACE #7 $100,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET
BEST BET: #2 PERFORM

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 2 Perform J R Velazquez
PLACE 3-1 3 Cagliostro L Saez
SHOW 6-1 10 What a Blast J Rosario
WILD CARD 9-2 7 Fashion King T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 McEnroe R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Aerator C J Lanerie

* EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-10 BOX, 10-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/10 BOX, 3/7/10 BOX

RACE #8 $350,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $350,000 CASTLE AND BOURBON STAKES GRADE II

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 10-1 12 Andthewinneris F Prat
PLACE 4-1 14 General Jim L Saez
SHOW 4-1 9 Gigante V Cheminaud
WILD CARD 7-2 3 Reckoning Force J Rosario
ALTERNATE 1 9-2 13 Mendels Secret G Corrales
ALTERNATE 2 9-2 6 Boppy O D Davis

* EXACTA: 12-14 BOX, 14-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/12/14 BOX, 3/9/14 BOX
COMMENTS: ANDTHEWINNERIS trainer Wayne Catalano wins at 42 percent the second time his horse tries a route. GENERAL JIM has been well bet in both of his starts and looks to have some decent late punch. GIGANTE won his last two with ease and has improved from race to race in his three starts. RECKONING FORCE got a big win in a 500k race at Kentucky Downs to break his maiden.

RACE #9 $600,000 STAKES
1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:45 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $600,000 SPINSTER STAKES GRADE I

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-5 1 Malathaat J R Velazquez
PLACE 5-2 3 Letruska T Gaffalione
SHOW 3-1 4 Played Hard J Rosario
WILD CARD 15-1 2 Army Wife L Saez
ALTERNATE 1 30-1 5 Princess of Cairo G Franco

* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
COMMENTS: MALATHAAT is undefeated in two at Keeneland and never missed the board at the distance. LETRUSKA does her best on the lead and should get that here. PLAYED HARD could challenge for the lead but has to be careful not to overdo it. ARMY WIFE has been in the money in 10 of 11 on a fast track.

RACE #10 $120,000 ALLOWANCE
1 1/2 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 6:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 6-1 2 Militarist R Santana Jr.
PLACE 5-2 8 Mud Pie T Gaffalione
SHOW 20-1 11 Always Above J Talamo
WILD CARD 6-1 4 Point Me By L Saez
ALTERNATE 1 15-1 15 Markitoff E Morales
ALTERNATE 2 20-1 6 February Son F De La Cruz

* EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX, 11-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/8/11 BOX, 4/8/11 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Woodbine Tip Sheet - October 9

October 8, 2022

WOODBINE TIPS - SUNDAY, OCTOBER 09, 2022
Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 65% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $7,000 CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-2 6 Haddassahs Devil L Salles
PLACE 8-1 8 Too Legit S Jones
SHOW 2-1 4 Beyond My Dreams K Kimura
WILD CARD 3-1 5 Highland Society J Stein
ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Street Legal D Moran
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Steel Wool J Crawford

* EXACTA: 6-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 4/5/8 BOX

RACE #2 $64,300 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 1:54 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 FASHIONABLY FAB

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8-5 7 Fashionably Fab R M Hernandez
PLACE 3-1 8 Bedazzle Me S R Bahen
SHOW 4-1 6 Caught an Edge K Kimura
WILD CARD 6-1 1 Sensational Sarah L Contreras
ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Whats My Name J Stein
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Indiana Road L Salles

* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX

RACE #3 $100,000 STAKES
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:28 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 ETERNAL SEARCH STAKES

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 1-1 4 Lorena G Boulanger
PLACE 6-1 3 Mitzi D Moran
SHOW 5-2 2 Golden Vision R M Hernandez
WILD CARD 4-1 1 November Fog K Kimura
ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Bobbis Legacy L Salles

* EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
COMMENTS: LORENA is undefeated in two on Woodbine grass. MITZI won four of her last six races including the highest last race speed figure. GOLDEN VISION is a very consistent performer and should try to close at the end. NOVEMBER FOG could be at her best in the third off the break following a bullet workout.

RACE #4 $101,200 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
1 1/16 MILES ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:02 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 SOUPER COHIBA

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 6 Souper Cohiba K Kimura
PLACE 2-1 2 Rocket Joe Copper D Carroll
SHOW 8-1 7 War Court C Husbands
WILD CARD 4-1 4 Malibu Edge S R Bahen
ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Finalist E Flores
ALTERNATE 2 12-1 3 Reliability J Stein

* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX

RACE #5 $64,300 MAIDEN OPTIONAL CLAIMING
7 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 3:43 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 THREE SONNY SIDEUP

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 6 Three Sonny Sideup S Jones
PLACE 2-1 1 Guns n Rojas K Kimura
SHOW 12-1 2 Quiet Vista S Chernetz
WILD CARD 8-1 4 Mias Lil Angel S R Bahen
ALTERNATE 1 12-1 8 DeSantis O Moreno
ALTERNATE 2 8-1 3 Quiet Speed D Moran

* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX

RACE #6 $101,200 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 4:18 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 4-1 8 Sugar Ray L Contreras
PLACE 8-1 4 Mr Crowley R M Hernandez
SHOW 5-1 3 Constitution Gal J Stein
WILD CARD 5-2 5 Twenty Four Mamba S Civaci
ALTERNATE 1 9-2 2 Aim for the Sky K Kimura
ALTERNATE 2 7-2 1 Souper Legacy S Jones

* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX

RACE #7 $250,000 STAKES
1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:53 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $250,000 CUP AND SAUCER STAKES

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 2-1 13 Philip My Dear K Kimura
PLACE 6-1 12 Cool Kiss S Civaci
SHOW 10-1 4 Gran Spirited D Carroll
WILD CARD 8-1 10 Battle Strike R M Hernandez
ALTERNATE 1 12-1 5 Stayhonor Goodside E Wilson
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 2 Sooner Lunar D Moran

* EXACTA: 13-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX, 4-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/12/13 BOX, 4/10/12 BOX
COMMENTS: PHILIP MY DEAR ran the top last race speed figure and drops in class. COOL KISS won his debut with a string rally in the last half. GRAN SPIRITED won his last two and has improved from race to race in his first three outings. BATTLE STRIKE ran better internal numbers and fractions in his last.

RACE #8 $108,700 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 5:28 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 7-2 5 Macleans Posse L Contreras
PLACE 4-1 1 God of Love R M Hernandez
SHOW 5-2 7 Souper Watson K Kimura
WILD CARD 6-1 10 Concealed Carry O Moreno
ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 Swot Analysis P Husbands
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Have a Souper Day S Civaci

* EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/7/10 BOX

RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES
7 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:59 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 OVERSKATE STAKES

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 8-5 6 Not So Quiet R M Hernandez
PLACE 3-1 5 Told It All D Fukumoto
SHOW 8-1 9 Theres No Joe S R Bahen
WILD CARD 6-1 7 Avoman A A Gallardo
ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Dun Drum S Jones
ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Masons Gamble L Contreras

* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/9 BOX, 5/7/9 BOX
COMMENTS: NOT SO QUIET has won three of four on Woodbine turf. TOLD IT ALL improved nicely in his last and could be better in the third start off the bench. THERES NO JOEs resume says he will step forward in the second start after a layoff. AVOMAN is coming off his best effort and is another looking to step it up in race two off the sidelines.

RACE #10 $23,500 CLAIMING
5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE ALL WEATHER TRACK - POST TIME: 6:29 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 5-2 2 Veery K Kimura
PLACE 12-1 4 Flippin K Nicholls
SHOW 8-1 6 A Maize Zing Dotie A A Gallardo
WILD CARD 3-1 1 Jill S Jones
ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Bid Once S R Bahen
ALTERNATE 2 4-1 3 Old Secrets E Wilson

* EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX

RACE #11 $123,200 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 6:59 PM ET

PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY

WIN 3-1 5 Cappy K Kimura
PLACE 5-2 10 Cape Cod A A Gallardo
SHOW 9-2 3 Guard of Honour D Carroll
WILD CARD 6-1 1 Go Take Charge S Civaci
ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Opus North K Nicholls
ALTERNATE 2 10-1 4 Rebel Faith J Stein

* EXACTA: 5-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/5/10 BOX, 1/3/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
PURCHASE
Evangeline Downs - Race 3

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)


Maiden • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 6:25P
QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ONE RELENTLESS JET: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. JESSWONPUM: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
ONE RELENTLESS JET
2/1

5/2
7
JESSWONPUM
3/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ONE RELENTLESS JET
1

2/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
76

86

6.1

0.0

0.0
2
MS SANDRA LYNN
2

20/1
Slow
0

0

7.7

0.0

0.0
3
MR RAGLEY KID
3

9/2
Average
68

72

5.7

0.0

0.0
4
DRESS ME IN BLUE
4

15/1
Slow
0

0

6.4

0.0

0.0
5
DUMB COUNTRY
5

6/1
Average
70

58

5.1

0.0

0.0
6
AH THE REASON
6

12/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
72

65

6.4

0.0

0.0
7
JESSWONPUM
7

3/1
Average
70

70

4.7

0.0

0.0
8
CAJUN ELSA
8

20/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0

0

8.9

0.0

0.0
9
GJR VETCH
9

10/1
Slow
67

65

6.4

0.0

0.0
10
GIAS DYNASTY
10

15/1
Average
69

41

5.0

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

What You Need to Know - Santa Anita - 10/09/22

October 9, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
by Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, and Workout Commentary identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 3-Tecumseh Caroline
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Several of these exit a maiden state-bred turf sprint won by Smiling Molly in late August at Del Mar – a weak race based on our numbers - so let’s take a stand and single Tecumseh Caroline, who finished a highly respectable third behind the improving Flame McGoon in a dirt sprint down south in her first outing following a 10 month layoff and just her second start overall. The Phil D’Amato-trained daughter of Grazen seems certain to improve with experience, and this switch to turf shouldn’t be an issue for her. With a steady, healthy series of workouts in the interim, she looks ready to graduate and will offer good value at or near her morning line of 5-1.

Notable Workouts:

Tecumseh Caroline (Sept. 29, Santa Anita, 4f, :50.2h TT). Grade: B-
Breezing through the lane outside Rose Caroline (same time), final three furlongs in :37.1. Looks solid and seems sure to improve with experience.
View Workout Video


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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: C
Main ticket: (in order of preference): 8-Careless Kitten; 1-Rogue Son
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: When 17-race maiden Careless Kitten is listed as the morning line favorite in a bottom-rung $20,000 claimer – and on paper looks it – you know we’re dealing with a woefully weak race. It’s hard to believe but he actually finished first in a race almost a year ago but was disqualified, so he’s still in there trying. In the money in his last four and with speed figures good enough to win, he’s certain to get plenty of play but will hardly offer any wagering value even if he does manage to finish first. Rogue Son, a not-so-terrible third in his only prior outing last spring, is largely unexposed, and if he can run at all this would be a good place to show it. Both should be included in rolling exotic play in a race that probably is best left alone.


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__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 3: Post: 2:02 PT Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Fore Flag; 5-Donner Lake
Backups/savers: none

Forecast: Here’s another race that offers little to no value. Fore Flag looks like the right horse on paper in this California-bred maiden special weight turf miler for older horses, but he’s already had 12 chances and isn’t one to trust. The good news is that he’s finished in the money seven times and recently earned a career top speed figure when second in a similar affair at Del Mar, so maybe he’s finally found a winning spot, though at 2-1 on the morning line there’s really not much we can do with him. Fore Flag’s Michael McCarthy-trained stablemate Donner Lake has run decently over this course in the past and should have every chance from a pace stalking position. He’s never been one to count on under pressure but against this group he may get brave. Tread lightly.

Notable Workouts:

Fore Flag (Oct. 2, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h). Grade: B-
Slightly best outside Donner Lake (same time), both being ridden in the closing stages, final three furlongs in :37.1. Both seem about the same.
View Workout Video


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__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 4: Post: 2:34 PT Grade: C
Main ticket (in order of preference): 8-Smiling At Val; 1-Sonic Breeze; 2-Tom Bombadil
Backups/Savers: none

Forecast: Smiling At Val is comfortably drawn outside in this modest restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming sprint and should have no excuses after finishing a solid second (more than two lengths clear of the rest) in a similar affair at Los Alamitos last month. He’s not fast on numbers but at least on paper looks healthy. Sonic Breeze just missed at 60 cents on the dollar with no excuse at this level last month and was claimed by a low percentage outfit, and in his race before that he was voided claim when also winding up second as the favorite. He has races that can win but isn’t one to bank on. Tom Bombadil has several back speed figures that would easily handle this assignment. but he appears off form. Hard to say what version we’ll see today. Best advice is to spread the race or pass it altogether.


__________________________________________________ ___________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 5: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 3-Comanche Country
Backups/savers: 8-Excelia

Forecast: Comanche Country looks very much like another in a long list of imported Irish fillies with modest form that have developed into stakes quality performers for trainer Phil D’Amato. After a couple of average runs overseas, she arrived at Del Mar and broke her maiden cleverly in her U.S. debut before stepping forward and winning the Juvenile Fillies Turf Stakes with a strong late kick that earned a solid speed figure. She is likely to continue to improve as she develops and matures, so the daughter of Highland Reel – listed as the 8/5 morning line favorite in this year’s renewal of the Surfer Girl Stakes – may be a short price worth taking. The stable’s other Irish-bred entrant, Excelia, was a reasonable third behind Comanche Country when making her U.S. bow after pressing a strong pace throughout and stayed on well under the circumstances. She has every right to improve and is worth including somewhere on your ticket as a backup or a saver.


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 6: Post: 3:38 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 6-Arabian Lion
Backups/savers: 5-Elwood Blues

Forecast: The two Bob Baffert-trained first timers will get the bulk of the play in this hot maiden sprint for juveniles. Arabian Lion has trained like the real deal (see below) and has been geared up for a major effort for a barn that hits at an amazing 29% with debut runners. He’s 8/5 on the morning line and it would not be surprising if he went lower. His workmate, Elwood Blues, was slightly second best when they squared off in a five furlong flat drill last Sunday. They both are good prospects; ‘Lion might be a lot better than just good.

Notable Workouts:

Arabian Lion (Oct. 2, Santa Anita, 5f, :58.4h). Grade: A-
Looked terrific inside Elwood Blues (same time), neither asked much, with ‘Lion a tad the best approaching the wire and then continuing out to the seven furlong pole, splits of :23.3, :35 flat and :58.4 to the wire before being coaxed out a full six furlongs in a sparkling 1:11.3 on our watches. ‘Blues, like his workmate a son of Justify, worked very well, too, and was only slightly second best. ‘Lion brought $600,000 at the OBS April sale and could be the goods. His pedigree is a little light in the first two generations, but his third dam is the immortal Personal Ensign.
View Workout Video


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 7: Post: 4:08 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Hamwood Flier
Backups/savers: 3-Sugar Fix; 5-Counterparty Risk

Forecast:Hamwood Flier is extremely fast but doesn’t want to be rated and most likely will blaze away from the gate, set hot fractions, and then try to hang on in this year’s renewal of the Swingtime Stakes over a mile on grass for fillies and mares. Maybe with the switch to Mike Smith the Irish-bred filly will relax early and never look back. It’s basically up to her. Sugar Fix and Counterparty Risk will be waiting in the wings should ‘Flier run out of air in the closing stages. ‘Fix is a real pro (11 wins, eight seconds, from 29 starts) and makes her first start since being claimed for $62,500 for Bob Hess, Jr, at Kentucky Downs last month. She’s competitive on numbers and is most effective from a second flight position. ‘Risk earned a career top number when winning a second level allowance turf miler at Del Mar and a similar effort today puts her in the hunt.


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 8: Post: 4:38 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference): 4-Hero Status
Backups/savers: 6-Street Ruckus; 2-Perfect Flight

Forecast: Hero Status always has been highly regarded and may finally be approaching his potential after earning his diploma last month at Del Mar by more than six lengths with a powerful speed figure. Interestingly, he returns on the one level raise with blinkers on, and if this turns out to be a positive equipment change the son of Flatter could step forward even more. He’s 9/5 on the morning line and probably will go lower. Street Ruckus is a one-paced grinding type but has numbers that make him dangerous, and he was a sharp winner over the local main track last spring. He prefers to stalk and pounce and should inherit a good second flight trip. Perfect Flight was scratched yesterday for this spot and the lightly raced sophomore, a close fourth in the same strong race Street Ruckus exits, has finished first or second in three of six starts with further improvement likely.


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 9: Post: 5:08 PT Grade: B
Main ticket (in order of preference): 5-Yeng Again
Backups/savers: 10-Time to Party; 3-Silent Fury

Forecast: Yeng Again was away almost two years when he resurfaced in an abbreviated turf sprint at Del Mar last month and the 5-year-old gelding came back as well as he left – perhaps better – when finishing second by a neck in a legitimate race for first level allowance sprinters. Can he repeat that effort today? He shows two easy breezes at San Luis Rey Downs to tick him over so in this Hillside turf sprint the son of Carpe Diem will be tough to deny if he can. Time to Party lands the cozy outside post and probably can improve after finishing a close sixth in the same race Yeng Again exits. The Kantharos gelding likely will inherit a soft stalking position and have every chance from there. Silent Fury has been on the shelf since March of 2020 but it’s encouraging that he returns protected in a sign of confidence. He actually defeated Yeng Again when breaking his maiden in a dirt sprint way back then, and his recent workouts indicate he may have still have his old speed.


__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 10: Post: 5:38 PT Grade: B+
Main ticket (in order of preference: 5-Packs a Whalop; 4-Dandy Man Shines
Backups/savers: 8-Giver Not a Taker

Forecast: Packs a Wahlop is a perfect two-for-two since being transferred to grass, both wins quite impressive, and accomplished with authority. In a similar affair last month – the Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.-G3 – the son of Creative Cause pressed the pace to the head of the lane before kicking clear like a good colt. The Jeff Mullins-trained 2-year-old will be hard to beat with a similar performance today. Mullins other entrant, Dandy Man Shines, finished a respectable fourth (beaten five lengths) without being knocked about in that same race and seems certain to be more serious today. With a clean trip and a little help up front the Irish-bred colt will be heard from late. Giver Not a Taker is California-bred stakes winner moving into open company, stretching out, and trying grass. If he can route as well as he sprints and duplicate his dirt form on the lawn, the Peter Miller-trained son of Danzing Candy may have a say in the matter. Toss him in somewhere on your ticket.

Notable Workouts:

Packs a Wahlop (Sept. 30, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00h TT). Grade: A-
Broke off several lengths behind Oculus (5f,, 1:01.3h TT) and cruised on by when ready while just breezing along, splits of :24.2, :36.1 and 1:00.1 on our watches, never taking a deep breath. Was impressive in a pair of wins at Del Mar and looks even better now.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: Northfield Park Early Pick 4 Analysis

October 9, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Northfield Park has a 15-race card on tap with the features going in Race 2 and Race 10, both Open Handicaps with an $18,000 purse. The $1.00 Early Pick 4 starts in Race 2, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 2

3-Crisp Mane (5/2)-Wasn't driven aggressively off the gate and closed nicely after being boxed in 5th on the rail. The trip should change with Wrenn taking the lines, and that could be a winning difference.
6-Plzdontlietome N (7/2)-Comes off a gutsy win after being parked out for 3/4's of mile and grinded it out. That start came after a sick scratch and Lems takes over for Myers as he steers #1. NFLD debut was perfect, will look for another strong try and will fade the 9/5 program chalk #5.

Race 3

2-Jogging Sweets (2-1)-Tried a new plan, got on the engine, and almost wired the field. This mare likes the track (26-8-2-5), and Miller has won 28% of his drives. Should race near the top of the stack again.
3-Herecomescharlie B (5/2)-This 5-year-old was on my ticket last week and fell a neck short of making every call a winning one. The owner/trainer steers again and will look for another big try.

Race 4

3-Bowery (4-1)-Returned to Nfld, drew the 7-hole versus this kind and took the long way around. Will toss that start and look for much better leaving from post 3. This sophomore is usually in the hunt and could be sitting on a big try.
4-Future Ex-Wife (2-1)-Merriman takes the lines for Davis Jr who got on the point and was never headed versus this kind last week. Looking for the same game plan and if the 1st half rolls in only .57 it could be picture time once again.

Race 5

1-Fashion Chocolate (3/2)-Should have an edge if minds manners but not feeling the 3/2 morning line for this 10-year-old. Could be the best, and will respect but will look to the one below for more juice in the Pick 4 payout.
7-Sheswildnfree (9/2)-Broke in the 1st start for the Rhoades barn and went off as a big chalk. Merriman sticks and should be better in the 2nd Nfld start. May leave and land on top or in the pocket behind the one above.

$1.00 Early Pick 4

3,6/2,3/3,4/1,7
Total bet=$16

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Keeneland - Race #2
Picks Notes
#2 Mo Saturdays Hoping a couple of the intriguing firsters will keep the price playable enough on this guy after the solid Saratoga debut rally fell short on the turf. Think there is a good, tactical trip waiting for him at this distance.
#7 Hit Show Tough team sends out this first-timer with a big pedigree, and this seven-furlong trip might be long enough for her to show something solid with a route career likely in her future.
#1 Spoiler Debuter gets a tricky draw from the fence at a tricky distance, but it wouldn't be surprising to see this team come out with a live one here.
Race Summary Mo Saturdays will move turf to dirt for this second career start, and a cleaner getaway coupled with some added ground might give him the upside to step forward here.

Keeneland - Race #8
Picks Notes
#12 Andthewinneris He turned in a good effort when going long for the first time in that Saratoga stakes try, and he was impressive here landing the maiden win over this course back in April. Capable here.
#2 Panama His North American debut was pretty sharp when rallying to score nicely at Kentucky Downs, and he'll get a class test here while stretching out. Think he's in the mix.
#7 Hendrickson He scratched from a spot at Presque Isle in favor of this one, and obviously the barn thinks he's better on the grass than he showed in the debut run at Monmouth. Think he's a sneaky player here.
Race Summary Three potential price players on top for me in a race where I think you can make a case for quite a few of them. Andthewinneris has enough tactical pace to find a good spot from the outside, and he proved his class with similar last time out.

Keeneland - Race #9
Picks Notes
#3 Letruska Let's see if she can defend her title in this one as what is likely to be the second choice here. She's probably the controlling pace again today, and she was very sharp in her only previous local try last year.
#1 Malathaat Top-heavy race between this pair, and there are no real arguments from me with anyone who thinks she's the right one here at a short price. Obvious player is another with a perfect local record.
#4 Played Hard She can probably be the thorn in the top choice's side, but maybe she settles enough and accepts a pressing spot behind that one. First jump trip gives her a chance, but I don't totally see her outlasting the top choice AND finding enough to hold the chalk late.
Race Summary Letruska figures to go again, and she was a solid winner in this race last year with a frontrunning score. If Played Hard doesn't prompt her too much in the early going, she might have enough in the tank to hold off the capable Malathaat.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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