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The Boston Red Sox are in Cigar City playing a four-game set against the host Tampa Bay Rays. The home team had little trouble with the Red Sox in Game One, winning 10 to 5 on Monday night. We have the Red Sox in a pitching revenge situation as the Rays send Corey Kluber to the bump and his last outing was against this Red Sox team back on the 6th of this month. Kluber threw six shutout innings, giving up three hits with five strikeouts in the Rays' 7 to 1 victory over the Sox.
A database check reveals a power system that tells us to Play ON MLB favorites when seeking same-season revenge versus their opponent's starting pitcher, 771-460 SU (62.6%) (+$10,681). Kluber takes the mound with a record of 4-5 on the season and an ERA of 3.62 this season. The Red Sox will give the ball to Chris Sale, who will be making his first start of the season. Our TPR Index projects a run advantage of 1.56 runs. Our next set of metrics looks at the overall Pitcher's Power Ratings. In this game and situation, Sale has a projected rating of 114 while Kluber has a rating of 106 with a league average of 100. The SIM Matrix projects a 73.92 percent advantage for the Red Sox in tonight’s contest.
With the Sox having just seen Kluber six days ago, they should be able to take advantage of him in this situation. The Rays are struggling with injuries, and it has affected their bullpen. A quick look at the offenses we see over the last month the Rays are averaging 3.88 runs per game while the Red Sox are averaging almost five runs per game with an average of 4.92 runs per game. With solid support for the Red Sox both at the bump and the plate, we will lay the short price on Tuesday night in Cigar City as the boys from Boston even the series with a huge win tonight.
MLB BETTING PENTATHLON PICKS
(Tuesday favorite + underdog; Wednesday run line; Thursday prop)
Follow The Money: Mariners (-110) vs. Nationals; Brewers (+126) vs. Twins
A Numbers Game: Twins F5 (-144) vs. Brewers
Rush Hour: Twins ML (-138) vs. Brewers;
Greg Peterson: Astros (-116) vs. Angels; Rays (+107) vs. Red Sox
PRIME TIME ACTION
Matt Brown
British Open Outrights
Cameron Smith 27/1
Sam Burns 56/1
Max Homa 110/1
Keith Mitchell 250/1
Adrian Meronk 285/1
Matchups
Sam Burns > Viktor Hovland
Xander Schauffele > Matt Fitzpatrick
Jordan Spieth > Collin Morikawa
Kelley Bydlon
Outrights
Justin Thomas 22-1
Sam Burns 48-1
Tony Finau 50-1
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1
Max Homa 100-1
Props
Will There Be A Hole In One?
NO -135
THE NIGHT CAP
Shaun King
Saints over 8 wins (-130)
Kansas State to win Big 12 16/1
FOLLOW THE MONEY
Matt Youmans
British Open Outrights
Jordan Spieth 18-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 20-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Max Homa 64-1
Top 20 & Matchups
Seamus Power +225
Kurt Kitayama +550
Spieth (-115) over Zalatoris
A NUMBERS GAME
Reid Fowler
British Open
Tony Finau 50-1
Hideki Matsuyama 50-1
Max Homa 80-1
Rory McIlroy 14-1 First Round Leader
Seamus Power 75-1 First Round Leader
Mark Borchard
Twins ML/Yankees ML Parlay +128
Giants ML /Braves ML Parlay +128
Rockies +1.5 -130 v Padres
THE LOMBARDI LINE
Will Hill
Reds-Yankees F5 Un 4.5
Braves (-145) > Mets
Mariners-Nationals F5 Un 5
The Open Championship: Sam Burns 40/1
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