Saturday 8/14/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351014

    #61
    Larry Ness

    Aug 14 '21, 7:10 PM in 3h
    MLB | Cardinals vs Royals
    Play on: Royals -106 at SC Consensus

    My free play is on the KC Royals at 7;10 ET.
    The KC Royals lost 104 games in 2018, 103 in 2019 and then went 26-34 in 2020. The Royals opened 16-9 in 2021 but then lost 11 straight. Right before the All Star break, they suffered a 12-game road losing streak and will take the field tonight at home against their Missouri rivals (St Louis Cardinals) 49-65 after a 6-0 Friday loss to said St Louis. The Royals reside in last place in the AL Central, 18 games behind the 1st-place White Sox (KC's back-to-back World Series appearances in 2014 and 2015 seem more like decades ago). The St Louis Cardinals fought through a major COVID outbreak to make the 2020 expanded playoff field, the team's SEVENTH postseason over a 10-year span (won a World Series title in 2011). They were expected to be a division and/or wild card contender in 2021 but at the moment, that prospect is NOT looking very promising. St Louis was eight games over .500 on May 29 (30-22) but enter the middle contest of this three-game series a modest 59-56, leaving them 10-1/2 games behind the first-place Brewers in the NL Central (the Cards are also 6 1/2-games behind in the race for the NL's No. 2 wild card spot).
    Tonight's starting pitching matchup features veteran lefty Jon Lester (3-6, 5.57 ERA) going up against KC righty Brad Keller (7-11, 5.79 ERA). Lester has had a distinguished career, as he's closing in on 200 career wins (he owns 196). Lester endured the worst season of his career with the Cubs in 2020, going 3-3 with a 5.16 ERA. He became a free agent after the season and signed a one-year, $5 million contract with the Washington Nationals for the 2021 season. He made 16 starts for the Nats (3-5 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.59 WHIP) but was traded to the St Louis Cardinals on Jul 30. He's made two starts for St Louis, lasting 10.1 innings while allowing 11 ERs in going 0-2 ( 9.58 ERA). Brad Keller is in his fourth season, having made 101 appearances (80 starts) with a career mark of 28-34 (4.06 ERA / 1.39 WHIP). Keller had been improving lately after starting the season poorly but he has lost his last two starts, including a defeat at St Louis on Aug 7, when he allowed five ERs on seven hits over five-plus innings.
    Keller will NEVER match Lester's career accomplishments but I'll take a chance with him here vs Lester, who is NO longer the pitcher he once was. Lester has made seven road starts in 2021, posting a 7.07 ERA and .331 BAA. I had the Cards last night but Lester is NO Jack Flaherty, who threw six scoreless innings in the Cards' 6-0 win to move to 9-1 with a 2.65 ERA on the season! Tonight, it's KC's turn.
    Good luck...Larry
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 351014

      #62
      John Martin

      Aug 14 '21, 7:10 PM in 3h
      MLB | Yankees vs White Sox
      Play on: White Sox -133 at pinnacle

      1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago White Sox -133
      The New York Yankees are missing a ton of players right now due to COVID or injuries. They have to try and overcome that, plus their disadvantage on the mound tonight against the Chicago White Sox. Dylan Cease is 5-2 with a 2.20 ERA in 11 home starts this season for Chicago. Jameson Taillon is 3-3 with a 4.62 ERA in 10 road starts for New York this season. The White Sox are 14-2 in Cease's last 16 home starts against an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse. Give me the White Sox.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 351014

        #63
        Brandon Lee

        Aug 14 '21, 7:10 PM in 3h
        MLB | STL vs KC
        Play on: OVER 9½ -112

        FREE PICK - Cardinals/Royals OVER 9.5
        RATING: 30*
        ROT#: 979/980
        I don't think it's asking a lot for the Cardinals and Royals to go OVER the total of 9.5. Neither starter in this one is any good. Jon Lester is on his last leg. He's 3-6 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.623 WHIP in 18 starts. He's got a 7.07 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 7 road starts and a 8.22 ERA over his last 3 outings.
        It's not a whole lot better for Royals' starter Brad Keller. He's 7-11 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in 23 starts. He's also got a 6.33 ERA an 1.531 WHIP in 10 home starts.
        It's also worth noting that high scoring games have been happening at a high rate at Kauffman of late. The OVER is 23-12 in Kansas City's last 35 at home in night games. The average score in these games is 10.5 runs. Give me the OVER 9.5!
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 351014

          #64
          ASA

          Aug 14 '21, 7:30 PM in 3h
          NFLX | Jets vs Giants
          Play on: Giants +2½ -103 at pinnacle

          #124 ASA FREE PLAY ON NY Giants +2.5 over NY Jets, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - The Jets QB rotation just might be the worst in the NFL for pre-season purposes. The starter will be rookie Zach Wilson from BYU and he has struggled in camp to say the least. In their first scrimmage on Saturday, Wilson was just 11 of 24 with 2 interceptions. In his 7 possessions in the scrimmage, the Wilson led offense scored only 3 points. The next 2 in line at signal caller, Morgan & White, have never taken a snap in an NFL game meaning their top 3 QB’s are as inexperienced as any in the NFL. The Giants counter with Daniel Jones who will be starting his 3rd year and then Mike Glennon who has over 6,000 career yards passing. The G-Men will also have a large edge defensively. They finished in the top 10 in YPP allowed and PPG allowed last year while the Jets finished outside the top 20 in both of those categories. The Giants should also have continuity on their side with 2nd year head coach Joe Judge (both offensive and defensive coordinators are back) facing a Jets team with an entirely new coaching staff. We like the NYG to win this one by a FG or more.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 351014

            #65
            Cole Faxon

            Aug 14 '21, 8:00 PM in 4h
            Soccer | New England vs Toronto FC
            Play on: New England +160 at Mirage

            FREE PLAY on New England +160
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 351014

              #66
              Bobby Conn

              Aug 14 '21, 8:00 PM in 4h
              Soccer | New England vs Toronto FC
              Play on: Toronto FC +190 at linepros

              1* Free Play on Toronto FC +190
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 351014

                #67
                Mike Williams

                Aug 14 '21, 9:00 PM in 5h
                NFLX | Seahawks vs Raiders
                Play on: Seahawks +3 -110 at William Hill

                1* on Seahawks +3 -110
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 351014

                  #68
                  Black Widow

                  Aug 14 '21, 10:10 PM in 6h
                  MLB | Blue Jays vs Mariners
                  Play on: Mariners +142 at William Hill

                  1* Free Wiseguy Play on Mariners +142
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 351014

                    #69
                    Jimmy Boyd

                    Aug 14 '21, 10:10 PM in 6h
                    MLB | Blue Jays vs Mariners
                    Play on: Mariners +132 at SC Consensus

                    1* Free Pick on Mariners +132
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 351014

                      #70
                      Hunter Price

                      Aug 14 '21, 11:15 PM in 7h
                      Fighting | John Riel Casimero vs Guillermo Rigondeaux
                      Play on: Guillermo Rigondeaux +195 at William Hill

                      1* Free Pick on Guillermo Rigondeaux +195
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 351014

                        #71
                        Cappers Access

                        Sat (NFL) Jets
                        Sat (NFL) 49ers
                        Sat (MLB) Royals
                        Sat (MLB) Yankees
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 351014

                          #72
                          951CINCINNATI -952 PHILADELPHIA
                          PHILADELPHIA is 13-2 SU (10.8 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

                          951CINCINNATI -952 PHILADELPHIA
                          JOE GIRARDI is 13-2 SU (10.8 Units) in home games when playing on Saturday (Manager of PHILADELPHIA)

                          953ATLANTA -954 WASHINGTON
                          WASHINGTON is 21-35 SU (-20.6 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

                          955CHICAGO CUBS -956 MIAMI
                          MIAMI is 23-14 SU (11.1 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .245 or worse in the current season.

                          957MILWAUKEE -958 PITTSBURGH
                          MILWAUKEE is 14-0 SU (14 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

                          959LA DODGERS -960 NY METS
                          NY METS are 8-23 SU (-18.1 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.

                          961SAN DIEGO -962 ARIZONA
                          ARIZONA is 4-22 SU (-19.3 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better in the current season.

                          963COLORADO -964 SAN FRANCISCO
                          COLORADO is 6-21 SU (-22.5 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

                          965BALTIMORE -966 BOSTON
                          BALTIMORE is 11-27 SU (-19.1 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

                          967CLEVELAND -968 DETROIT
                          DETROIT is 11-2 SU (11.7 Units) in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season in the current season.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 351014

                            #73
                            MLB
                            Dunkel

                            Saturday, August 14


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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 351014

                              #74
                              MLB

                              Saturday, August 14


                              Trend Report

                              Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh
                              Milwaukee
                              Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                              Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                              Pittsburgh
                              The total has gone OVER in 18 of Pittsburgh's last 24 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home

                              Cincinnati @ Philadelphia
                              Cincinnati
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                              Cincinnati is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
                              Philadelphia
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
                              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games

                              Baltimore @ Boston
                              Baltimore
                              Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
                              Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
                              Boston
                              Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

                              Atlanta @ Washington
                              Atlanta
                              Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
                              Washington
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

                              Cleveland @ Detroit
                              Cleveland
                              Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                              Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                              Detroit
                              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
                              The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 14 games

                              Chi Cubs @ Miami
                              Chi Cubs
                              Chi Cubs is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
                              Chi Cubs is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
                              Miami
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
                              Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs

                              Oakland @ Texas
                              Oakland
                              Oakland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                              Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas
                              Texas
                              Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games

                              Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh
                              Milwaukee
                              Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                              Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                              Pittsburgh
                              The total has gone OVER in 18 of Pittsburgh's last 24 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home

                              LA Dodgers @ NY Mets
                              LA Dodgers
                              LA Dodgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
                              LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                              NY Mets
                              NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
                              NY Mets is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers

                              NY Yankees @ Chi White Sox
                              NY Yankees
                              NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                              NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
                              Chi White Sox
                              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
                              Chi White Sox is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

                              St. Louis @ Kansas City
                              St. Louis
                              St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                              St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                              Kansas City
                              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
                              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games at home

                              Tampa Bay @ Minnesota
                              Tampa Bay
                              Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
                              Minnesota
                              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

                              San Diego @ Arizona
                              San Diego
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
                              The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Diego's last 17 games
                              Arizona
                              Arizona is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against San Diego
                              Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

                              Colorado @ San Francisco
                              Colorado
                              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing San Francisco
                              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
                              San Francisco
                              San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                              San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

                              Houston @ LA Angels
                              Houston
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
                              Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                              LA Angels
                              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Houston
                              The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games when playing at home against Houston

                              Toronto @ Seattle
                              Toronto
                              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games on the road
                              Toronto is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
                              Seattle
                              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 10 games
                              Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 351014

                                #75
                                Diamond Trends for Saturday August 14
                                Vince Akins

                                SU Play ON Trend of the Day
                                Matchup: Colorado at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. ET)

                                -- The Giants are 9-0 SU since Sept. 16, 2020 as a favorite after they didn't score after the third inning last game.

                                SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                                Matchup: Cleveland at Detroit (6:10 p.m. ET)

                                -- The Indians are 0-11 SU since Jun. 4, 2021 on the road after they scored at least six runs last game.

                                OU Trend of the Day
                                Matchup: N.Y. Yankees at Chi. White Sox (7:10 p.m. ET)

                                -- The Yankees are 0-12 OU (-2.83 ppg) since Sept. 24, 2019 as a road dog after their bullpen allowed multiple runs last game.

                                Starter-Based Trend of the Day
                                Matchup: Colorado at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. ET)

                                -- The Rockies are 0-8 SU since May 19, 2019 when Kyle Freeland starts on the road when they won in his last start.

                                Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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