Tuesday 8/3/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Mike Lundin

Aug 03 '21, 8:15 PM in 1h
MLB | Braves vs Cardinals
Play on: Braves -125 at BetVegas

Braves vs Cardinals Free Pick August 3, 2021
The Atlanta Braves have alternated wins and losses through their last 10 games and they are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a loss. With the Braves coming off a defeat to Milwaukee on Sunday, I think this looks like a good spot to back the Braves to snap back from a loss again.
Cards' left-hander Jon Lester (3-5, 5.02 ERA) will make his first start since coming over from Washington. He'll face a Braves team that is
4-1 in its last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in St. Louis.
Atlanta left-hander Max Fried (7-7, 4.32 ERA) has posted a 2.84 ERA through his last three starts. The Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Free pick on Atlanta Braves.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Aug 03 '21, 8:40 PM in 1h
MLB | Cubs vs Rockies
Play on: Cubs +128 at William Hill

The Cubs are a good price here to back. yes, the Cubs dumped everyone and they will struggle but the players they currently have won't be trying to tank. Do the Rockies really deserve to be laying such a price as a favorite here? Cubs do hit lefties well averaging over 5 runs a game.

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Brandon Lee

Aug 03 '21, 8:40 PM in 1h
MLB | Cubs vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -132 at BetVegas

FREE PICK - Colorado Rockies -132
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 910
I'll take my chances with the Rockies as a mere -132 home favorite against the Cubs. Chicago has lost 5 of 6 with the only win coming with Kyle Hendricks on the mound. This is a team that is going to really struggle down the stretch when Hendricks isn't throwing. They just don't have the offense or the pitching to be competitive on a consistent basis.
Rockies aren't a great team either, but they are a very strong 33-20 at Coors Field this season. Zach Davies hasn't been horrible this season, but I just don't see him doing enough to keep the Cubs in this game.
Colorado will have the red-hot Kyle Freeland on the mound, who has a 2.37 ERA and 1.053 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Freeland also owns a 2.75 ERA in 3 career starts against the Cubs. Give me the Rockies -132!
**GOM ALERT** Brandon Lee can't wait to exploit the books on the diamond Tuesday.

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Kenny Walker

Aug 03 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Giants vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks +154 at BetVegas

Free Pick on Diamondbacks

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Ben Burns

Aug 03 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | SFO vs ARI
Play on: UNDER 9½ -106

Yesterday's complimentary selection was on these same two teams to finish 'over' the total. That game would finish with 19 runs, an 11-8 final. Today, however, we're working with a pair of veteran starters, both of whom are in much better current form than yesterday's starters were. Cueto blanked the Dodgers for 5 2/3 innings last time out, a 5-0 final score. Eight of his past 10 starts have finished with eight or fewer combined runs. He's got a 2.30 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP his past three starts. Not to be outdone, Bumgarner has a 2.00 ERA and 0.83 his past three. Last time out, he allowed just four hits, through seven complete. The final score was 3-2. These two have had some memorable pitcher's duels against each other in years past. Consider the Under.

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Larry Ness

Aug 03 '21, 9:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Giants vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Giants -175 at pinnacle

My free play is on the SF Giants at 9:40 ET.
Arizona Diamondbacks host the San Francisco Giants Tuesday night in the second contest of a four-game series at Chase Field. San Francisco won Monday's series opener 11-8 (10 innings) and owns MLB's best record at 67-39. That gives them a 'modest' 34 1/2-game lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks, who check in with MLB's worst record of 33-74. San Francisco owns MLB's second-best money line mark (plus-$2,326 at $100/game) and its third-best run differential mark (plus-122 runs). In stark contrast, Arizona's moneyline record of minus-$3,368 and run-differential mark of minus-170 runs each ranks dead-last among MLB's 30 teams.
Tuesday's pitching matchup features a pair of past All Stars, who are seemingly well past their primes. Johnny Cueto (7-5, 3.84 ERA) will take the mound for the Giants, while Madison Bumgarner (5-6, 4.87 ERA) gets the start for the D'backs. Cueto began his career with the Reds back in 2008 and had two notable seasons, going 19-9 with a 2.78 ERA in 2012 and 20-9 (2.25 ERA) in 2014, finishing second in the NL's Cy Young voting that season. He was shipped to KC right before the trade deadline in 2015 and helped the Royals win the 2015 World Series. Cueto won Game 2 of the 2015 World Series 7-1 (KC took the series in five games), becoming the first AL pitcher to throw a complete game in the World Series since Minnesota's Jack Morris in 1991. Cueto signed with the Giants prior to the 2016 season and went 18-5 (2.79 ERRA) that first season. However, he fell to 8-8 (4.52 ERA) in 2017 and then went just 6-7 with a 4.49 ERA over a modest 25 starts from 2018-20.
Bumgarner was part of a San Francisco starting rotation that helped the Giants win World Series crowns in 2010, 2012 and 2014. His 2014 postseason was legendary, as he made seven appearances (six starts), with an ERA of 1.03 over 52.2 innings with a KW ratio of 45-6. He was named the 2014 World Series MVP, finishing the series with a 2–0 record and an 0.43 ERA (0ne ER allowed over 21 innings). However, his last good season was back in 2016, when he went 15-9 with a 2.74 ERA. He was just 19-25 with San Francisco from 2017-19 and then signed as a FA with Arizona in 2020. he made nine starts in 202, going 1-4 with a 6.48 ERA (team was 3-6).
Cueto is 7-5 with a 3.84 ERA in 17 starts this season, with the Giants going 9-8 in his starts. Bumgarner is 5-6 with a 4.87 ERA in 15 starts, with the D'backs going 6-9. The highlight of his 2021 season came back on April 25 when Bumgarner pitched seven no-hit innings in the second game of a doubleheader against the Atlanta Braves. However, because the game was only seven innings long, Bumgarner was not credited with a no-hitter. Cueto is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA in two 2021 starts vs the Diamondbacks but I will NOT ignore that he's 11-4 with a 3.45 ERA in 20 career starts against Arizona (teams are 15-5). The Giants will 'LOVE' beating their former teammate and Cueto is coming off a strong outing last Thursday, when he pitched 5.2 scoreless innings in a 5-0 win against the Dodgers.
Good luck...Larry

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Stephen Nover

Aug 03 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Astros vs Dodgers
Play on: Astros +163 at linepros

Is there anything that can propel you to step in front of Walker Buehler, who just finished July going 3-0 in five starts with a 1.67 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 32 1/3 innings?
Yes. Taking the Astros at a huge plus price like this. The Dodgers haven't been sharp going 6-8 in their last 14 games. Houston has a better overall record than LA, the second-best mark in baseball. The Astros aren't exactly pitching a stiff either going with Lance McCullers, who is 8-2 with a 3.23 ERA. McCullers has a 1.64 ERA in 11 regular-season lifetime innings facing the Dodgers. Much was made of the Dodgers picking up Max Scherzer at the trade deadline. The Astros didn't draw nearly that kind of attention. Houston, though, quietly upgraded its bullpen picking up four relievers, including closers Kendall Graveman and Yimi Garcia.