Saturday 7/31/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 352936

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for North Dakota Horse Park



    North Dakota Horse Park - Race 2
    $2 Win, Place, Show $2 Second Half Daily Double $2 Exacta ($1 Exacta Box) $2 Trifecta ($1Tri Box) / $.10 cent Superfecta
    Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 67 • Purse: $2,750 • Post: 1:30P
    FOR THREE YEAR OLD AND UPWARD FILLIES AND MARES CLAIMING $2,500.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * FUNNY FLOWERS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a la yoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. DISTINCT FLIRT: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ALWAYS A TIZ: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MEMORABLE ANGEL: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
    3
    FUNNY FLOWERS
    5/2
    4/1
    6
    DISTINCT FLIRT
    5/1
    7/1
    1
    ALWAYS A TIZ
    2/1
    7/1
    5
    MEMORABLE ANGEL
    6/1
    10/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    ALWAYS A TIZ
    1
    2/1
    Front-runner
    68
    61
    46.0
    52.2
    45.7
    2
    TEARS OF FEAR
    2
    8/1
    Front-runner
    64
    39
    0.0
    40.4
    28.4
    3
    FUNNY FLOWERS
    3
    5/2
    Stalker
    70
    65
    57.3
    61.8
    58.8
    7
    HIT IT UP
    7
    3/1
    Stalker
    74
    60
    0.0
    48.4
    37.9
    6
    DISTINCT FLIRT
    6
    5/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    68
    63
    68.0
    51.2
    46.2
    5
    MEMORABLE ANGEL
    5
    6/1
    Alternator/Stalker
    64
    59
    51.3
    50.0
    42.5
    4
    SHACKETTE
    4
    5/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    63
    59
    0.0
    48.6
    37.6
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 352936

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ellis Park

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 6 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $53000 Class Rating: 106

      FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $7,500 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 31 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 4 LYKAN 6/1
      # 5 DIGITAL 12/1
      # 2 COLTONATOR 8/5
      LYKAN is the top wager in this race. He has recorded decent numbers under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this group. Exhibits the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 89 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the best in this group. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed figure - 98 - of his last affair. DIGITAL - With a +13 ROI, this jock and conditioner combo has produced strong returns as of late for risk takers. If you look closely, this horse has some longshot possibilities. COLTONATOR - He ought to be carefully examined given the solid speed figures. Has very good early speed and will most likely fare soundly versus this field.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 352936

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



        Del Mar - Race #6 - Post: 4:36pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 88

        Rating:

        #4 RAILSPLITTER (ML=3/1)
        #8 SILENT MUSKETIER (ML=15/1)
        #7 VERY IRISH (ML=20/1)


        RAILSPLITTER - This thoroughbred could be tough in this race, especially since Ortega rode last race out and now should be acquainted with this one. Have to like this gelding today. If you take a look at his PP lines you see a definite pattern, getting closer with each and every race. Taking a trip down the class scale; has the capability to make his presence felt. I like to invest in this handicapping theory, a pony coming back off a strong contest within the last month or so. SILENT MUSKETIER - You'll be generating money right and left by turning your bankroll onto this rider/trainer combination. VERY IRISH - I really like that last effort on Jul 5th at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbre where he ran first. He keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. DeAlba drops him in this affair in great shape.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DARK PRINCE (ML=2/1), #2 UNILATERAL (ML=7/2), #6 DR. HOFFMAN (ML=4/1),

        DARK PRINCE - I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Extended layoff and no drop in level of competition. UNILATERAL - This gelding finished off the board on May 28th and wasn't close to victory last time out either. Common speed rating in the last race at Santa Anita at 1 1/8 miles. Don't think this runner will improve too much in today's race. DR. HOFFMAN - A pattern of deteriorating speed figures 84/79/72 for this questionable contender.


        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #4 RAILSPLITTER to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
        EXACTA WAGERS: 4 with [7,8]

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        Box [4,7,8] Total Cost: $6
        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 352936

          #19
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



          Arlington - Race #6 - Post: 4:58pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 75

          Rating:

          #2 UNPREDICTABLE BAY (ML=5/1)
          #6 DEGREE OF RISK (ML=7/2)
          #4 RUSSIAN TANK (ML=6/1)


          UNPREDICTABLE BAY - Loveberry and Ali partnered together are a punter's friend. This colt made his bow on Jun 26th and ran well to finish third at big odds. I'm looking for another big effort from him today. DEGREE OF RISK - Bowen rode this horse for the initial time last time out and comes right back this time. Based on morning drills, I look for this colt to run a big race. Harty drops this one in today for only his second outing. Should do better than last out. RUSSIAN TANK - Finished outside the top 3 last out at Arlington, but was within 5 lengths of the winner. Opening at 6/1 makes me think he's got a chance.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SPORT PEPPER (ML=5/2), #3 FORE FLAG (ML=3/1),

          SPORT PEPPER - This probable favorite ran on July 8th and hasn't had a morning drill since. FORE FLAG - This colt probably won't be really close at the wire.


          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #2 UNPREDICTABLE BAY is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
          EXACTA WAGERS: 2 with [4,6]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 352936

            #20
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Cross Country Pick Four

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.




            Race 1 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $250000 Class Rating: 91

            MONMOUTH OAKS MTH - R10 - GRADE 3 FOR FILLIES, THREE YEARS OLD. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $250 EACH, WHICH SHOULD ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION, $1,500 TO PASS THE ENTRY THE ENTRY BOX AND $1,500 TO START. THE OWNER OF THE WINNER TO RECEIVE $150,000, $50,000 TO SECOND, $25,000 TO THIRD, $12,500 TO FOURTH, $7,500 TO FIFTH AND $3,500 TO SIXTH THROUGH LAST. WEIGHT: 121 LBS.

            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            # 9 EDIE MEENY MINY MO 4/1
            # 8 COPPELIA 6/1
            # 3 LEADER OF THE BAND 9/2
            My selection in this race is EDIE MEENY MINY MO. Has very strong speed figures and has to be considered for a bet in this race. Espinoza ought to be able to get this filly to break out sharply for this event. Is a solid choice - given the 100 speed rating from her most recent race. COPPELIA - Has performed soundly recently in route races, posting a nifty 89 avg speed figure. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed figure - 89 - of her last outing. LEADER OF THE BAND - One of the best win percentages between this rider and conditioner make this filly dangerous. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Servis have shown strong results recently.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 352936

              #21
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga



              07/31/21, SAR, Race 9, 5.39 ET
              07/31/21,SAR,9,1 1/8M [Dirt] 1:46:03 STAKES. Jim Dandy Stakes. Grade 2. Purse $600,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. This is a Non-Lasix race pursuant to 4043.2 (7)(e)(5) Lasix not permitted within 48 hours of post time. By subscription of $600 each which should accompany the nomination; $4,500 to pass the entry box and an additional $4,500 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental payment of $9,000 along with the entry and starting fees may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. The purse to be divided 55% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. Weight 124 lbs. Non-winners of a Grade One at a mile or over in 2021 allowed 2 lbs.; of a Grade Two at a mile or over in 2021 allowed 4 lbs.; of a Graded Sweepstake at a mile or over allowed 6 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, July 17, 2021 with 17 Nominations.
              . . . .
              Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
              100.0000 5 Essential Quality 1/2 Saez L Cox Brad H. TSE 134 38.81 1.26/$1
              096.9637 1 Dr Jack 15/1 Ortiz J L Pletcher Todd A. L 134 38.81 1.26/$1
              096.7333 3 Weyburn 6/1 Ortiz. Jr. I Jerkens James A. J 134 38.81 1.26/$1
              095.8371 2 Masqueparade 4/1 Mena M Stall. Jr. Albert M. F 134 38.81 1.26/$1
              094.0819 4 Keepmeinmind 6/1 Rosario J Diodoro Robertino WC 134 38.81 1.26/$1
              094.0190 6 Risk Taking 15/1 Franco M Brown Chad C. 134 38.81 1.26/$1
              Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 33.33, ROI 0.92/$1
              Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.0363
              [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
              [All Dirt] Race Sex Not Females
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 352936

                #22
                Ed Sehon

                Saratoga

                DAILY DOUBLE (Races Nos. 1-2, 1:05 p.m. ET/10:05 a.m. PT)

                I’ll take a shot with a pair in each contest. In the first, I like two first-time starters, #2 Master Game (5-2 morning line) & #5 Hoist the Gold (8-1). In the second, #1 Fast Gordon (3-1) & longshot #10 D’vinicris (10-1) are my picks. Wager: $4 Daily Double of 2,5 with 1,10. ($16)

                PRICE PLAY (Race No. 4, 2:47 p.m. ET/11:47 a.m. PT)
                It’s time for underachieving 3-year-old #6 Noble Contest (6-1 morning line) to fulfill his potential. Manny Franco returns to ride for improving trainer Jorge Abreu. Wager: $5 Win, Place & Show on #6. ($15)

                EXACTA EXTRA (Race No. 5, 3:23 p.m ET/12:23 p.m. PT)

                I like a quartet of New York-bred fillies: #4 Behind the Couch (7-2 morning line), #5 Honey Money (9-2), #7 Shanes Pretty Lady (4-1), and #8 Out First (9-2). Wager: $2 Exacta Box of 4,5,7 & 8. ($24)

                SPECIAL $1 PICK 3 (Races Nos. 5-7, 3:23 p.m. ET/12:23 p.m. PT)

                Race 5: 4,5,7,8

                Race 6: 4

                Race 7: 2,6,7,8 ($16)

                BEST BET (Race No. 6, 3:55 p.m. ET, 12:55 p.m. PT)

                Word from inside Repole stable is all signs point to a major debut for pricy son of super-sire Into Mischief. Wager: $10 Win & Place on #4 Royal Spirit (5-2 morning line). ($20)

                LATE PICK 4 (Race No. 8, 5:03 p.m. ET/2:03 p.m. PT)

                Race 8: 2,3,4,5,6,9

                Race 9: 5

                Race 10: 1,2,5,7,8

                Race 11: 3,8,13 ($45)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 352936

                  #23
                  Duane Colucci

                  Saratoga

                  Race No. 8 (5:03 p.m. ET/2:03 p.m. PT)

                  Duane Colucci likes #8 Montauk Traffic (15-1 morning line) in the Grade 1 Alfred G. Vanderbilt Handicap. “Linda Rice trainee has done little wrong, winning two of last three. Second-place finisher in his last is a return winner. This colt needs pace for his closing kick and he will be flying late for the money. Bet 8 to win and key 8 over 2,3 & 9 in exactas, trifectas and reverse.”

                  $0.50 Pick 4 (cost $64)

                  Race 8: 2,3,8,9

                  Race 9: 3,5

                  Race 10: 1,2,3,7

                  Race 11: 1,3,11,12


                  Del Mar

                  Races Nos. 8-11 (8:36 p.m. ET/5:36 p.m. PT)

                  Duane Colucci likes the following $0.50 Pick 4 (cost $50)

                  Race 8: 1,2,3,4,8

                  Race 9: 5,6,8,9,11

                  Race 10: 3,8

                  Race 11: 1,7
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 352936

                    #24
                    John Lauro

                    Woodbine

                    Race No. 8 (4:45 p.m. ET/1:45 p.m. PT)

                    #6 One Timer (9-5 morning line) in the $125,000 Victoria Stakes. “My best bet this weekend is One Timer. He almost broke the track record first out at Arlington Park.”
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 352936

                      #25
                      2. Insider Sports Report MLB Brewers -145 2-3 (-130) 3-1 (+200)
                      3. Doc's Picks MLB Phillies -165 2-3 (-155) 3-1 (+190)
                      4. Top Rank Sports Picks MLB Detroit -110 4-0 (+415) 4-2 (+110)
                      5. Profit On Sports 4-0 (+455) 4-3 (+80)
                      6. National Sports Service MLB Astros +100 2-2 (-20) 3-3 (-15)
                      7. The Spot Player 0-0 (+0) 3-3 (-65)
                      8. The Sports Consensus MLB Rays over 8.5 4-1 (+295) 3-4 (-145)
                      9. Elite Sports Picks 5-0 (+570) 1-6 (-545)
                      10. Primetime Sports Picks Boston +100 3-1 (+180) 1-6 (-690)
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 352936

                        #26
                        R and R Totals MLB BALTIMORE ORIOLES/DETROIT TIGERS u9.5 2 1 +90
                        Tys Terrific Tips MLB CINCINNATI REDS +115 3 2 +80
                        Top Dog MLB TEXAS RANGERS +150 1 1 +35
                        Vegas Investment Picks MLB HOUSTON ASTROS +100 1 1 0
                        Joe Wiz MLB ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ‑120 1 1 -10
                        Ace / Sleeper Selections MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑155 1 1 -25
                        Silvas Sports MLB DETROIT TIGERS ‑105 0 1 -100
                        Mikey Money MLB ATLANTA BRAVES ‑145 0 1 -120
                        Tommy King Wins MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS ‑140 1 2 -150
                        Top Shelf Sports Pick MLB TORONTO BLUE JAYS ‑245 0 1 -160
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 352936

                          #27
                          Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks Place A Bet
                          1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Astros +110 Line @ Bovada
                          2. Gameday Network MLB – Orioles -105 Line @ Bovada
                          3. Winning Big Sports MLB – Blue Jays -1.5 Line @ MyBookie
                          4. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) MLB – Reds +115 Line @ MyBookie
                          5. VegasSI.com MLB – Phillies -170 Line @ Bovada
                          6. Sports Action 365 MLB – Padres -1.5 Line @ GT Bets
                          7. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Blue Jays over 9.5 Line @ GT Bets
                          8. NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) MLB – Rangers +125 Line @ Bovada
                          9. Lou Panelli MLB – White Sox -150 Line @ Bovada
                          10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Twins over 8.5 Line @ GT Bets
                          11. William E. Stockton MLB – Astros +110 Line @ MyBookie
                          12. Vincent Pioli MLB – White Sox -150 Line @ Bovada
                          13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Orioles over 9.5 Line @ Bovada
                          14. SCORE MLB – Angels +120 Line @ GT Bets
                          15. Tony Campone MLB – Padres -1.5 Line @ Bovada
                          16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Reds under 9 Line @ Bovada
                          17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Phillies -170 Line @ Bovada
                          18. VIP Action MLB – Reds +115 Line @ GT Bets
                          19. South Beach Sports MLB – Blue Jays -1.5 Line @ Bovada
                          20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Angels under 10 Line @ Bovada
                          21. NY Players Club MLB – Orioles -105 Line @ GT Bets
                          22. Fred Callahan MLB – White Sox -150 Line @ Bovada
                          23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Twins +120 Line @ MyBookie
                          24. Michigan Sports MLB – Rangers +125 Line @ GT Bets
                          25. National Consensus Report MLB – Red Sox +105 Line @ Bovada
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 352936

                            #28
                            Mike Lundin

                            Jul 31 '21, 6:10 PM in 1h
                            MLB | Orioles vs Tigers
                            Play on: Orioles -102 at Caesars

                            Orioles vs Tigers Free Pick July 31, 2021
                            The Baltimore Orioles have won five of their last seven and seven of their last 10 games.
                            Baltimore southpaw John Means (4-3, 2.94 ERA) is 3-2 with a 2.03 ERA on the road. Means has been roughed up in back-to-back outings as he's been working his way back from a shoulder injury, but it's only a matter of time before he finds his rhythm.
                            Tigers' righty Matt Manning (2-3, 6.00 ERA) is undefeated at home, but I think the Orioles will get to him and Manning can't expect much backup from one of the worst bullpens in baseball.
                            Free pick on Baltimore Orioles.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 352936

                              #29
                              Hunter Price

                              Jul 31 '21, 6:30 PM in 1h
                              Fighting | Philip Rowe vs Orion Cosce
                              Play on: Philip Rowe +140 at William Hill

                              1* Free Pick on Philip Rowe +140
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 352936

                                #30
                                Ben Burns

                                Jul 31 '21, 6:30 PM in 1h
                                Fighting | Philip Rowe vs Orion Cosce
                                Play on: Orion Cosce -148 at linepros

                                The line keeps falling. Down below -150 at some shops, as of this writing, I feel we're starting to see some value with the favorite. Keep in mind that (Orion) Cosce is undefeated and looking to keep it that way. Rowe, on the other hand, has dropped three straight. Rowe has a big frame (for this division) but he's proven to be vulnerable. Cosce doesn't quit. We saw that in his comeback win against Matt Dixon. Note that Dixon had been 9-0 prior to that fight. I like Cosce's chances of winning his UFC debut and remaining undefeated. Consider Cosce.
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