Friday 7/30/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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901PHILADELPHIA -902 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 39-51 SU (-23.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

903CHICAGO CUBS -904 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 0-9 SU (-10.8 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the second half of the season in the current season.

905CINCINNATI -906 NY METS
CINCINNATI is 1-12 SU (-13.3 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

907MILWAUKEE -908 ATLANTA
MILWAUKEE is 10-0 SU (10 Units) in road games when the total is 8 to 8.5 in the current season.

909LA DODGERS -910 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 21-37 SU (-20.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

911COLORADO -912 SAN DIEGO
COLORADO is 15-24 SU (-18.3 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the current season.

913KANSAS CITY -914 TORONTO
KANSAS CITY is 9-19 SU (-16.1 Units) in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

915BALTIMORE -916 DETROIT
DETROIT is 14-3 SU (14.8 Units) in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

917BOSTON -918 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 32-14 SU (19.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

919SEATTLE -920 TEXAS
TEXAS are 13-32 SU (-24.9 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

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MLB

Friday, July 30

Trend Report

Chi Cubs @ Washington
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Kansas City @ Toronto
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home

Baltimore @ Detroit
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing Detroit
Baltimore is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

NY Yankees @ Miami
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees

Cincinnati @ NY Mets
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
NY Mets is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against Texas
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Cleveland @ Chi White Sox
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

Minnesota @ St. Louis
Minnesota
Minnesota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Minnesota's last 19 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of St. Louis's last 19 games when playing Minnesota

Oakland @ LA Angels
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Angels's last 10 games

LA Dodgers @ Arizona
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
LA Dodgers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Houston @ San Francisco
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing Houston

Colorado @ San Diego
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
San Diego is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Colorado

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MLB
Dunkel

Friday, July 30

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MLB
Weather Report

Friday, July 30

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Diamond Trends for Friday July 30
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Dodgers are 17-0 SU since Jun 15, 2013 as a road favorite of at least -125 after they were shutout last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: L.A. Dodgers at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Diamondbacks are 0-10 SU since May 16, 2021 as a dog after they hit multiple home runs last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oakland at L.A. Angels (9:38 p.m. ET)

-- The Angels are 14-0-2 OU (3.41 ppg) since Sep 28, 2019 at home off a game as a dog in which they had more strikeouts than hits.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at San Diego (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockies are 0-8 SU since Jul 06, 2019 when Jon Gray starts on the road after they won in his last start against the current opponent.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

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Mike Williams

Jul 30 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
Play on: Phillies -130 at Mirage

1* on Phillies -130

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John Martin

Jul 30 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Phillies vs Pirates
Play on: Phillies -130 at Mirage

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Phillies -130
The Philadelphia Phillies sit at 51-51 and needing a big finish to make the playoffs. They should handle their business against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 1 of this series Friday. The Pirates have lost four straight games coming in while getting outscored 34-4. They are also 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. The Phillies should jump on William Crowe, who is 2-5 with a 5.82 ERA in 14 starts this season. Philadelphia is 8-1 in Vincent Velasquez's nine starts this season against teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game. Give me the Phillies.

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Jack Jones

Jul 30 '21, 7:07 PM in 2h
MLB | KC vs TOR
Play on: OVER 10½ +100

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Royals/Blue Jays OVER 10.5
The Toronto Blue Jays have one of the most potent lineups in baseball. They rank 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS. They just hung 13 runs on the Red Sox yesterday.
Now the Blue Jays should feast on Kansas City starter Daniel Lynch. He is 1-2 with a 7.87 ERA and 1.749 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 14 earned runs and 28 base runners in 16 innings.
The Royals will score enough runs off of Ross Stripling to help get this OVER. Stripling cannot be trusted, either. He is 3-6 with a 5.30 ERA in 16 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 6.06 ERA in eight road starts. Stripling is 0-2 with an 11.00 ERA in his last three starts coming in as well.
The OVER is 9-2-3 in Royals last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Toronto. The OVER is 4-1 in Blue Jays last five home games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Alexander

Jul 30 '21, 7:07 PM in 2h
MLB | Royals vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays -1½ -124 at pinnacle

1* MLB - Royals/Blue Jays FREE PICK on Blue Jays -1.5, -124
Friday's Free MLB Pick is on the Toronto Blue Jays on the -1.5 run line against the Kansas City Royals. The Blue Jays will be returning home to the Rogers Centre for the first time in two years. I think that gives Toronto a pretty big motivational boost in a game they already have a massive edge in. Look for the Blue Jays offense to carry the load, as they should feast on Kansas City starter Daniel Lynch. Even after throwing 8 scoreless against the Tigers in his last start, he has a 8.73 ERA over his last 3 outings. He's way overmatched here. Play the Blue Jays -1.5, -124!

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Will Rogers

Jul 30 '21, 7:07 PM in 2h
MLB | Royals vs Blue Jays
Play on: Blue Jays -1½ -122 at pinnacle

KC (Lynch) vs Jays (Stripling)
After struggling in his first visit to the Bigs in May, Daniel Lynch returned with a monster start, throwing 8 innings in a 6-1 win. Well, that was against Detroit. Now he faces the mighty Jays’ bats and their somewhat rebuilt bullpen. The Jays, warmed up after a 13-1 thumping of the Red Sox, can struggle against a new fresh face, but if you look at Lynch’s Triple A stats, 8 innings of 1 run ball is not the norm. His minor league Omaha ERA and WHIP were not pretty. Often, after the first Cinderella start, the Adrenalin subsides and the real pitcher emerges. And let us not forget a few things, like KC’s road underdog record (5-12) or their record against right-handers (29-42). Can anyone remember Jay’s wunderkind Alek Manoah’s second start, a very similar situation? I can, because I bet on it, and lost my shirt! This time around, I expect the Jays will have their way will Lynch in a vital game for their wild card run. Take Toronto – 1 ½.

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Kenny Walker

Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Yankees vs Marlins
Play on: Yankees -150 at Caesars

Free Pick on Yankees

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Dustin Hawkins

Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Orioles vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -143 at Caesars

1 Dimer on Tigers -143

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Sal Michaels

Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Reds vs Mets
Play on: Mets -132 at BetVegas

Free Play on Mets -132

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Larry Ness

Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Reds vs Mets
Play on: Reds +126 at linepros

My free play is on the Cin Reds at 7:10 ET.
The 54-47 NY Mets are the lone team in the NL East with a winning record and they welcome the 54-49 Cincinnati Reds to Citi Field Friday night for the opener of a three-game series. The Mets sit atop the NL East, 3 1/2-games ahead of the 51-51 Phillies and four games up on the 51-52 Braves, who have won the division in each of the last three seasons. The Reds ended a six-year playoff drought last season and were expected to contend in the NL Central (or for an NL wild card spot) in 2021. Cincy visits Queens SEVEN games back of the first-place Brewers in their own division but also trail the 60-45 Padres by five games (San Diego currently holds down the NL's No. 2 wild card spot).
Tonight's starting pitchers are Sonny Gray (2-6, 4.50 ERA) for the Reds and Carlos Carrasco for the Mets. Gray looked like an "up and comer" early on while with Oakland, posting back-to-back 14-win seasons in 2014 and 2015. However, he was traded to the Yankees during the 2017 season and NEVER fulfilled his promise. The Yanks dealt him to the Reds prior to the 2019 season and he pitched well, going 11-8 with a 2.87 ERA in 31 starts (teams was 19-12). However, he was mediocre in 2020 and has been less than mediocre in 2021. The Reds are just 6-8 in his 14 starts and he comes into this game off back-to-back 'ugly 'efforts, lasting just EIGHT innings while allowing 13 ERs (14.63 ERA).
Carlos Carrasco was acquired by the Mets (from Cleveland) last winter in the Francisco Lindor deal and entered spring training with the idea he would be the No. 2 starter in the rotation, surrounded by Jacob deGrom and Marcus Stroman. However, before Carrasco could even pitch in the exhibition season, he tore his right hamstring while running. The New York Mets have waited more than half a season for Carrasco to make his Big Apple debut. Carrasco had back-to-back excellent seasons for Cleveland in 2017 (18-6) and 2018 (17-10) but the 34-year-old did very little in 2019 and 2020.
Carrasco threw just 6.2 innings over three rehab starts, so he will clearly be on a pitch-count, maybe even for the rest of the season (assuming he stays healthy). As noted, Gray is off two miserable starts but it is promising that his road ERA of 3.33 is almost TWO full runs less than his home ERA (5.23). It's difficult to even guess how long Carrasco can last and/or how effective he may be. The teams have similar records but the Reds are a way better offensive team, averaging 4.89 RPG (6th) to the Mets' average of 3.81 RPG (29th). Take the Reds.
Good luck...Larry

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Totals Guru

Jul 30 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | CIN vs NYM
Play on: UNDER 8 -105

Free Total Annihilator On Reds vs Mets under 8 -105