Friday 7/23/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 07:42 AM

MLB

NL games
Arizona (29-68) @ Cubs (47-50)
— Gallen is 0-3, 5.21 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 2-8 in his starts.
— over 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— Arizona won its last four games.
— Arizona is 2-30 in its last 32 road games.
— over 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-98
— record in first 5 innings: 38-54-6

— Davies is 0-2, 4.50 in his last four starts.
— Cubs are 10-10 in his starts.
— under 9-6 last 15
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-4
— He is 4-2, 3.49 in seven starts vs Arizona.

— Cubs are 5-17 in last 22 games.
— Chicago is 4-7 in its last 11 home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-97
— record in first 5 innings: 41-44-12

Atlanta (46-48) @ Philadelphia (46-48)
— Fried is 4-1, 3.72 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 8-7 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-1
— He is 3-2, 4.08 in 12 games (6 starts) vs Philly.

— Braves are 3-4 in their last seven games
— Atlanta is 4-1 in its last five road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-95
— record in first 5 innings: 49-32-13

— Wheeler is 2-1, 3.76 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 11-8 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-6
— He is 1-1, 1.37 in three starts vs Atlanta this year.

— Phillies are 1-4 in their last five games.
— Phillies are 26-18 at home, 20-30 on road.
— over 13-1 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 36-36-22

San Diego (57-42) @ Miami (41-55)
— Musgrove is 0-1, 7.85 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 9-9 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-3
— He allowed a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Padres are 4-2 in their last six games.
— San Diego is 8-14 in its last 22 road games.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 29-99
— record in first 5 innings: 39-43-17

— Thompson is 2-2, 3.21 in six starts.
— Marlins are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Marlins are 12-20 in their last 32 games.
— Miami is 6-5 in last 11 home games.
— over 9-4-2 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-96
— record in first 5 innings: 34-43-19

St Louis (49-48) @ Cincinnati (49-47)
— LeBlanc is 0-2, 2.50 in four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-3
— He is 2-0, 1.62 in nine games (3 starts) vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 13-7 in last 20 games.
— St Louis is 5-14 in its last 19 road games.
— Under is 20-11-2 in their last 33 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-97
— record in first 5 innings: 40-39-18

— Mahle is 0-1, 5.81 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 12-7 in his starts.
— under 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-4-4
— He is 2-0, 3.75 in two starts vs St Louis this year.

— Cincinnati lost five of its last six games.
— Reds are 11-9 in last 20 home games.
— under 12-6 last 18 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-96
— record in first 5 innings: 39-41-16

Pittsburgh (36-59) @ San Francisco (60-35)
— Kuhl is 3-1, 2.30 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 8-4 (0-3 last 3)
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-3
— He is 0-0, 3.00 in two starts vs San Francisco.

— Pirates lost their last four games.
— Pittsburgh is 2-8 in last ten road games.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-95
— record in first 5 innings: 30-53-12

— Cueto is 0-2, 5.63 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-2
— He is 21-4, 2.17 in 32 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Giants won seven of their last ten games.
— Giants are 14-5 in last 19 home games.
— Over is 8-4 in last 12 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 53-29-13

Colorado (42-54) @ Dodgers (59-38)
— Gonzalez is 1-2, 5.57 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 5-10 in his starts.
— over 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-2
— He is 2-2, 4.78 in 8 games (5 starts) vs LA.

— Colorado is 17-13 in its last 30 games.
— Rockies are 33-20 at home, 9-34 on road.
— under 15-3 last 18 games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-96
— record in first 5 innings: 38-43-15

— Price is 0-0, 2.03 in five starts (13.1 IP).
— Most pitches he’s thrown in a game- 66.
— Dodgers are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 5-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He is 1-2, 4.76 in 7 games (4 starts) vs Colorado.

— Dodgers are 6-7 in last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 8-3 in last 11 home games.
— under 9-5-1 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-97
— record in first 5 innings: 49-32-16

AL games
Bronx (50-45) @ Boston (59-38)
— Cole allowed one run in 15 IP in his last two starts.
— New York is 10-9 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-5
— He is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts vs Boston this year.

— New York won nine of its last 12 games.
— New York is 7-6 in its last 13 road games.
— under 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-95
— record in first 5 innings: 40-36-19

— Rodriguez is 2-1, 2.38 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 12-6 in his starts.
— over 7-2-1 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 2-0, 2.65 in three starts vs New York this year.

— Boston won its last three games.
— Red Sox are 10-2 in last 12 home games.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 45-37-15

Tampa Bay (58-39) @ Cleveland (48-46)
— Fleming is 0-1, 8.16 in his last three games.
— Rays are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4
— He threw 2.2 scoreless IP, in one relief stint vs Cleveland.

— Tampa Bay won 11 of its last 14 games.
— Rays are 4-1 in last five road tilts.
— under is 6-2 in last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 37-37-23

— Plesac is 3-0, 5.34 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 5 IP, in one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Cleveland lost 16 of its last 24 games.
— Indians won three of last four home games.
— over 11-5-1 last 17 home games
— scores run in first inning: 30-94
— record in first 5 innings: 35-45-14

Angels (47-48) @ Minnesota (41-56)
— Cobb is 2-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 10-4 in his starts.
— over 10-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He is 3-3, 6.27 in seven starts vs Minnesota.

— Halos are 9-7 in last 16 games.
— Angels are 5-10 in last 15 road games.
— over 24-14-1 last 39 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-95
— record in first 5 innings: 41-42-12

— Happ is 1-2, 7.85 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 12-2 last 14
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He is 2-6, 5.14 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

— Minnesota lost six of its last eight games.
— Twins are 4-1 in last five home games.
— under 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 34-97
— record in first 5 innings: 29-48-20

Detroit (47-51) @ Kansas City (39-55)
— Peralta is 3-0, 0.75 in his last four starts.
— Detroit is 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He threw 1.1 scoreless IP in a relief stint vs Kansas City.

— Detroit won its last seven games.
— Detroit lost its last four road games.
— over 24-13-1 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-98
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-2 last nine on road.

— Bubic is 0-3, 11.12 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 5-3 in his starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 5-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
— He is 0-0, 3.68 in 3 games (2 starts) vs Detroit.

— Royals are 10-28 in last 38 games.
— Royals are 2-5 in last seven home games.
— under 7-5 last 12 home games.
— scores run in first inning: 19-94
— record in first 5 innings: 33-48-13

Texas (35-62) @ Houston (58-39)
— Allard is 0-5, 6.59 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 1-8 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7-1
— He is 1-2, 2.25 in 5 games (2 starts) vs Houston.

— Texas is 2-12 in its last 14 games.
— Rangers lost last six games by combined 44-8.
— Texas is 4-27 in its last 31 road games.
— over 15-5-1 last 21 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 19-97
— record in first 5 innings: 31-53-13

— Odorizzi is 0-2, 5.79 in his last two starts.
— Astros are 4-7 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5
— He is 4-1, 3.26 in eight starts vs Texas.

— Astros are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— Astros are 5-7 in last 12 home games.
— over 9-3 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 51-32-14

Oakland (56-42) @ Seattle (51-46)
— Montas is 1-1, 2.70 in his last four starts.
— A’s are 9-10 in his starts.
— over 10-9
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
— He is 2-2, 3.31 in 8 games (5 starts) vs Seattle.

— A’s are 7-3 in last ten games.
— Oakland is 5-3 in last eight road games.
— Under is 16-7 in their last 23 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-98
— record in first 5 innings: 43-36-19

— Kikuchi is 0-2, 10.80 in his last two starts.
— Mariners are 8-9 in his starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-1
— He is 1-2, 2.54 in seven starts vs Oakland

— Seattle is 20-10 in its last 30 games.
— Seattle is 3-2 in last five home games.
— under 4-1 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-97
— record in first 5 innings: 44-46-7

Interleague games
Washington (45-49) @ Baltimore (31-64)
— Corbin is 1-3, 6.95 in his last four starts.
— Nationals are 9-9 in his starts.
— over 10-8
— allowed run in first inning: 9-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-3
— He is 1-2, 5.06 in 5 games (4 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Washington is 3-7 in its last ten games.
— Nationals lost last four road games.
— over 9-3-1 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-94
— record in first 5 innings: 39-36-19

— Lopez is 0-6, 7.29 in his last seven starts.
— Orioles are 5-14 in his starts.
— under 12-7
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 4-11-4
— He is 0-1, 3.21 in 4 games (1 start) vs Washington.

— Orioles are 7-11 in last 18 games.
— Baltimore is 18-34 on road, 13-30 at home.
— over is 41-18-1 in their last 60 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-95
— record in first 5 innings: 29-50-16

Toronto (48-44) @ Mets (50-43)
— Ryu is 4-1, 3.34 in his last five starts.
— Blue Jays are 11-7 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-1
— He is 5-1, 1.23 in nine starts vs New York.

— Toronto won four of last six games.
— Blue Jays are 1-4 in last five road games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-92
— record in first 5 innings: 4-7 last 11 on road

— Megill is 0-0, 2.63 in five starts.
— Mets are 4-1 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Mets are 15-18 in their last 33 games.
— Mets are 7-5 in their last 12 home games.
— over 4-2 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-93
— record in first 5 innings: 41-40-12

White Sox (58-38) @ Milwaukee (55-41)
— Giolito is 2-0, 1.88 in his last two starts.
— Chicago is 10-9 in his starts.
— over 7-0 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-3
— He allowed 2 runs in 6 IP in one start vs Milwaukee.

— Chicago won nine of its last 12 games.
— White Sox won their last five road games.
— over 10-3 last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-96
— record in first 5 innings: 53-27-16

— Peralta is 3-2, 2.23 in his last eight starts.
— Milwaukee is 11-6 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
— He threw 3 scoreless IP, in a relief stint vs Chicago.

— Brewers won three of last five games.
— Milwaukee is 7-8 in its last 15 home games.
— under 6-1-1 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 33-97
— record in first 5 innings: 45-33-19

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 07:46 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Late Pick 4 Analysis

July 23, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, the headliners at the Meadowlands are two-year-old pacers and trotters competing in the Kindergarten Series. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 begins in a Race 10. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

1-Niki Hill (3-1)-This filly is out of the same pair as Cattlewash and was also Dunn's pick which will probably mean a short price. Paced the 2nd half in 54.3 in the 7-17 qualifier, looks to be a major player and this might be the night for the Ryder barn to wake-up.
2-Always B Idyllic (7/2)-Wasn't Dunn's pick but did show nice speed in the 7-17 qualifier and will respect connections. Could look to take control early but might sit and stalk, Tetrick has choices.
4-St Nevis (4-1)-Was facing stakes company in Philly and now tries a large oval for the 1st time. Appears to have a big motor and may offer good value.
7-Find Happiness (5-1)-The Toscano barn has booked 21% winners over the past 30 days. Could offer a solid price and may like the bigger oval, previous starts have been on the 5/8's. Paced the back half in 55.2 in last, Zeron knows well and best to respect.

Race 11

4-Fast As The Wind (2-1)-You never know what to expect after only one real race but it was a powerful mile and a complete performance. Marched the 2nd half in 56.3 with a .28 last quarter. This Alagna trainee and #5 appear to stand above the rest.
5-Wall Of Moni (4-1)-Has faced stakes company and except for a race on a sloppy track has held its own. Tetrick is back and he has been the usual pilot. Looking for a strong effort and could get a nice pocket ride behind #4 and then roll by down the lane.

Race 12

1-Four More Years (5/2)-Takter pupil has been off since 8-25-20 but raced big in a 7-10 qualifier at M1. That race went in 149.4, and it was a qualifier. This 3-year-old finished in 150.1, two lengths back and appears ready to roll.
3-Pirate Hanover (3-1)-AMac's choice over #7 has been facing some tough customers. This looks like a better spot to take its 3rd picture in 15 starts.
6-Somewhereinverona (7/2)-Granted it was a PcD but this colt has sub-1.50 speed. Has hit the board once at the Big M and has shown improvement in 3 of the last 4 starts. The exception being on a "good" track at M1 on 7-3. Could be sitting on a big try and Zeron is making his 2nd tour of duty tonight.
7-Always B Sweet (4-1)-Drew off by >4 lengths at Phl and now David Miller takes the lines. This colt is fast and meets a field without an abundance of gate speed. Looking for an aggressive steer and should be put in play early. The post helps the price and best to not overlook.

Race 13

1-Bionic (3-1)-This colt is only 1-10 lifetime but might have more speed to work with than the others. Mark Mac gets the drive and he should get a good early seat. This race is a hodgepodge of poor form so will toss the last start at Phl and the previous 2 races at M1 were on an off-track. Has a top pilot and will respect chances tonight and hope the price is at least 3-1.
6-Odss On Walkover (8-1)-Will swing for a price and this Hoosier invader had a rough trip here on a sloppy track on 7-2. Showed an improved effort at HoP in the start after a sick scratch and then left town. That was also the 1st race on Lasix, using and hoping the upswing can continue on a dry track.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,2,4,7/4,5/1,3,6,7/1,6
Total Bet=$32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 07:48 AM

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Analysis - Friday, July 23, 2021

July 23, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-We All Agree; 7-Seven Exes

Forecast: Maiden $50,000 claiming juvenile fillies sprint five furlongs in the Friday opener in a race in which four of the seven entrants are making their racing debuts. There’s lots of guesswork involved in identifying the major contenders, so tread lightly. Seven Exes looked fairly decent in a team drill 10 days ago while appearing to display enough ability to act at this level. She lands the cozy outside draw, and with a clean break she should be able to show her best stuff. We All Agree has the benefit of two prior outings and seems to be improving with experience. After finishing a distant second in a hot straight maiden dash at Los Alamitos last month, the L. Mendez-trained daughter of Unified drops into a seller and should be prominent throughout and have every chance. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but if you have the budget to include a few more, go right ahead.
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RACE 2: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 4-Man Friday; 6-Vantage Point

Forecast: This $40,000 claiming turf miler is restricted to 3-year-olds. Man Friday exits a series of much more difficult races, picks F. Pat, and appears to have found his friends based on his tactical speed and numbers that are better than par for this level. The son of American Pharoah brought $325,000 as a weanling but his connections have decided to move on, thinking that if somebody wants him, they can have him. Vantage Point broke his maiden for a high priced tag two runs back but then found first level allowance company too strong, so he, too, is dropped to a realistic level. The son of Uncle Mo earned a number two races back that puts him squarely in the fray. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with the edge on top going to Man Friday.
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RACE 3: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-Mad Catter; 7-Union Bliss

Forecast: Here’s a bottom-rung maiden claiming sprint that probably should be left alone. Rolling exotic players may choose to spread; for those with a smaller budget we suggest you go two-deep, with slight preference on top to Mad Catter. The L. Powell-trained gelding has just two prior outings so he may have more room for improvement than the others and based on our pace projection he looks the quickest of the quick. Off for six weeks but showing a healthy, steady work pattern, the sophomore gelding may be able to get clear early and then hold on. Union Bliss is a strong fit on speed figures and should be running on late, especially over a main track that promotes the rally-wide types. He’s seen better competition in his three race career and this group could easily be within his scope.
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RACE 4: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-Bold Endeavor; 3-Family Biz

Forecast: At first glance Bold Endeavor appears to have much in his favor in this second-level allowance main track miler for older horses. A two-time winner over the Del Mar main track and with good recent races that have produced strong speed figures, the veteran gelding should have every chance to regain his winning form. However, he’s been stuck on seconds (four in a row) and has been a beaten favorite in each of those four runner-up efforts, so he may be a bit hard to trust. We still like him on top, but not as a single. New York shipper Family Biz is a first-off-the-claim for P. Miller (27% with a high ROI) and seems sure to improve for these connections. The Fed Biz gelding likes to settle and produce a late run, a style that is usually extremely productive over the rally-wide biased Del Mar main track. A couple of recent sharp workouts since arriving in the West should have him on edge for what could be a career top effort.
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Del Mar Race 5: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 1-Tacoflavoredkisses; 4-Chasing Fame; 8-Man On the Moon; 9-Twilight Rider

Forecast: This $20,000 claiming main track miler for 3-year-olds looks treacherous, with lots of moving parts and a severe track bias from the past weekend that makes any result plausible. We’ll go four deep and hope that’s enough. Tacoflavoredkisses lands the dreaded rail but if he can extract himself and manage to find the outside lanes from off the pace the class-dropping Bay Area invader may be able to tag the speed close home. He’s won over this main track in the past, hails from a high percentage outfit, and hopefully will receive the patient ride he requires from U. Rispoli. Chasing Fame stretches out again and has a good look at this level if, like our top pick, he is taken back early and allowed to produce a late run. The Tapiture gelding received that type of ride in a good recent sprint and today drops to his lowest level ever while retaining regular jockey M. Gutierrez. Trainer J. Wong is extremely proficient with the first-off-the-claim angle (34%) and has two in this field sporting that angle. Man On the Moon ships in from Churchill Downs after being haltered for $30,000 and is capable of producing a dangerous late kick off his winter Fair Grounds form, while Twilight Rider, raised from the $16,000 level, vans down from the Bay Area and is guaranteed a good trip from the favorable outside lanes after leaving from the 9-hole. He’s light in the speed figure department but could step up considerably in his first start for this outfit.
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RACE 6: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Thanks Mr. Eidson; 6-Commander; 9-Distant Vista

Forecast: Distant Vista was a very impressive winner over this course and distance last year in a fast, highly-rated first-level allowance race, but then disappeared. The Irish-bred gelding returns for a barn that boasts superior stats with layoff runners (24% with a massive ROI) and the works, while not flashy, indicate the P. D’Amato-trained gelding is fit and ready. From his outside draw he can settle in the second flight and then blast home. Commander, like our top pick a prototype late-running sprinter, also won sprinting on grass here in 2020, doing so with a powerful late kick when facing claiming company. He’s a better type now and always has been genuine and consistent, having finished first or second in eight of 16 career starts. With a little help up front and with good racing luck the P. Miller-trained gelding will be heard from late. Mr. Eidson, yet another major player with a prior win over the Del Mar turf course, should settle into an ideal stalking position and have every chance from there. He’s not big on winning (just 2-for-16) but should at least get a piece of it.
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RACE 7: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: B+
Single: 2-Closing Remarks

Forecast: Let’s take a stand (and a leap of faith) by singling a filly who has never raced on dirt in this year’s renewal of the Fleet Treat S. for state-bred sophomore fillies. Closing Remarks hasn’t sprinted since winning her debut with a furious late kick in a five furlong grass dash here 11 months ago, and while she’s performed quite well in subsequent outings over a distance of ground she may in fact be most effective around one corner. Exiting a pair of graded stakes races, she’s certainly faced tougher foes than she’s seeing today and a recent blistering five furlong workout over the Del Mar main track (:58 3/5 seconds, fasted of 25) that earned her a spot on our Clocker's "Primed and Ready List" gives hope that the switch to dirt won’t be an issue. At this extended sprint distance, the daughter of Vronsky can settle early, maneuver (hopefully) to the best lanes outside and then produce a winning late kick.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Takelessworkmore; 10-Donner Lake; 12-Really Big News

Forecast: Half of the 14 entrants – including the three main contenders in this race - exit the same race, the six furlong turf sprint at Santa Anita June 18 won by Constant Conflict. This stretch out to a mile should positively affect a few of these, so let’s concentrate and those that figure to improve around two turns. Takelessworkmore was given a race in his debut but still closed with interest and galloped out well in the aforementioned event, winding up fifth but beaten less than four lengths. The barn generally does well with second-timers and this gelded son of Summer Front is bred to improve going long, so in a wide open affair let’s put him on top. Really Big News, second in that same after racing in traffic to the head of the lane, finished willingly with a grinding late kick that indicates the son of Mr. Big should be well suited by the stretch out in trip. The main concern is the 12-hole post and likelihood that the T. Yakteen-trained colt will have to overcome a wide trip, but if he can get over and save some ground he’ll be the one to fear most. Donner Lake stretches out after flashing speed and then weakening late to wind up third in a race that should tighten him quite a bit. The R. Baltas stable does very well with second-timers (25% with a powerful ROI) and with three good workouts at San Luis Rey Downs in the interim the son of Hard Spun may be quick enough to make the lead and take this field a very long way.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 07:49 AM

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis - Friday, July 23, 2021

July 23, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 5-Not Yet Charlie; 6-Good Skate; 8-Buckingham Prince

Forecast: Buckingham Prince was nosed out after relinquishing a two length lead in mid-stretch when runner-up over a sloppy track at Ellis Park earlier this month, a race that if repeated today probably will be good enough to win this conditioned (auction restricted to $45,000 through the ring) maiden juvenile sprint. The question is whether he requires a wet track to fire his best shot. Not Yet Charlie, one of two newcomers from the R. Rodriguez barn, worked a quarter mile in a quick :22 flat at the Timonium sale while looking reasonably decent, while stable mate Good Skate breezed a furlong at the same sale in :10 3/5 without need of urging and seems to have some ability, as well. We’ll include all three in our rolling exotics while slightly preferring Buckingham Prince on top.
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RACE 2: Post: 1:41 ET Grade: B-
Use: 10-Fetching; 9-Kinky Sox; 1-Time Limit

Forecast: We’ve identified three main contenders in this turf sprint for state-bred second-level allowance/optional claimer fillies and mares, with top billing going to Fetching. The daughter of Afleet Alex makes her first start off a $45,000 claim by G. Weaver (super stats from a small sample for this angle) after finishing a strong second (nailed close home) in a similar affair at Belmont Park last month. Perhaps most effective when held up early and allowed to run late, the veteran mare has run well over this course in the past, lands rail, and with good racing luck should be capable of tagging the speed. Time Limit must leave from the extreme outside post but should have enough gate zip to get over and secure her coveted front-running trip. This will be her third start off a layoff, and with another forward move the M. Maker-trained filly could be hard to catch. Additionally, she’s reunited with “win rider: I. Ortiz, Jr., who was aboard the daughter of Bustin Stones in an off-the-turf. sloppy track score two runs back. Kinky Sox has races that put her right there and is a “must use” as well. She was sharp in victory when easily winning a lesser race at Belmont Park last time out while earning a career top speed figure. Her main issue today is the shorter distance by a furlong and one-half that could be a bit too sharp for a veteran mare who has always been most effective a deep-closing sprinter.
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RACE 3: Post: 2:15 ET Grade: B-
Use: 4-Big Everest; 6-American Law; 11-Realm of Law

Forecast: We’ll spread the third race, a maiden inner turf miler for older horses. Though he’s burned money in each of first three career outings, Realm of Law continues to impress in the morning (he’s on our “Primed and Ready List”) and may have been a tad unlucky when a closing third in a strong race vs. similar at Belmont Park last month. The C. Brown-trained colt likely will be taken back from his outside draw and then attempt to get cover before producing his best stuff from the quarter pole home. He’s certainly no single but we’ll give him one more chance and put him on top. American Law, in the money in all four career outings but a disappointing third as the odds-on favorite in his most recent outing at Churchill Downs, tries grass today while picking up I. Ortiz, Jr. and shouldn’t have any excuses. Big Everest, fourth in the same race Realm of Law exits, was rank and pulled hard and probably cost himself his best chance but retains J. Rosario and will be dangerous if he can drop his head and settle.
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RACE 4: Post: 2:49 ET Grade: X
Single: 8-Dark Money

Forecast: Dark Money crushed a similar state-bred $25,000 claiming field at Belmont Park in early June, was claimed by G. Weaver, and returns for the same price in his first start in seven weeks. The veteran gelding, a winner of nine races from 23 career starts, has changed barns six times in his last 10 starts and has a prior win at Saratoga on his resume, so if he has one good one left the son of Central Banker should be able to continue his winning ways. In a race that won’t likely offer any real wagering value, you can use him as a short-priced rolling exotic single or perhaps better yet just pass the race.
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RACE 5: Post: 3:21 ET Grade: C+
Use: 2-Dame Time; 5-Tuscan Queen; 8-Six Feet Apart

Forecast: There’s little to separate the three main players in this state-bred turf sprint for older fillies and mares, so we’ll triple the race in our rolling exotics but otherwise sit it out. Six Feet Apart appears the quickest of the group, though she’s been suspect under pressure in her first two outings, most recently taking a clear early lead but then weakening late to wind up third in a six furlong affair at Belmont Park in early June. The W. Ward-trained filly shortens up a bit today, retains Johnny V., has worked well since and may be able to hang on this time. Tuscan Queen, a decent third at 16-1 in her debut in a similar grass dash, has a right to improve for a barn that has solid stats with the second-time starter angle and should draft into a good stalking position and have every chance from there. Dame Time, in the frame in both starts with improving speed figures, should settle in the second flight and then have dead aim from the quarter pole home.
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RACE 6: Post: 3:55 ET Grade: C+
Use: 3-Carom; 5-Opry; 6-Dot Matrix; 7-Ajourneytofreedom

Forecast: This allowance optional ($80,00) claiming turf marathon is quite intriguing. Some of these haven’t had the chance to run this far and a few may enjoy the trip, so we’ll go four-deep and hope that’s enough. Ajourneytofreedom wants to run all day and was a very respectable third in the Belmont Gold Cup-G2 last time out. He tries easier foes today while retaining J. Rosario, and though he’s never been big on winning the son of Hard Spun gets ideal conditions and should make the most of it. Dot Matrix, a 10-time winner and proven at the trip, adds blinkers (not sure if he’s ever worn them) and switches to J. Ortiz after failing to hit the board in his last four starts. Perhaps the hood and the stretch out in trip will wake him up, and if so he’ll have a legitimate look. Opry was a stakes winner over this course as a 2-year-old and earned a career top speed figure when an improved dead-heat runner-up at this level at Belmont Park last month. He’s never been this far but there’s no reason he won’t be able stay the trip. Carom absolutely can cope with this distance and should settle close to the pace (perhaps in a stalking position behind Real Factor and then have his chance to grind away.
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RACE 7: Post: 4:29 ET Grade: X
Use: 10-Air Show

Forecast: Air Show certainly doesn’t show a healthy pattern – he was claimed for $50,000 in April and today shows up for $16,000 after failing at 2/5 in a $32,000 seller at Indiana Downs last time out – but if there’s anything left in the tank the T. Amoss-trained colt should handle this group. Of course, that’s a big “if.” Given that he’s so much faster on numbers than the others in the field, the son of Street Sense surely will be a very short price in a race that offers no real wagering value. You can use him as a rolling exotic single; better yet you can pass and look for a better gambling opportunity.
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RACE 8: Post: 5:05 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Ninth Hour; 6-Big Bobby; 7-Judge N Jury

Forecast: Here’s a strong race but a tough one featuring entry-level allowance state-bred older horses over seven furlongs. Big Bobby is fast enough on pure numbers to win right back after graduating over a wet track at Belmont Park in his second career start in late May. He has trained steadily since, so we’re expecting the W. Mott-trained gelding to step forward at this extended sprint trip that is made to order for his pace-stalking style. Ninth Hour, first off a $25,000 claim by an outfit that hits at a strong 21% with this angle, is protected in a sign of confidence by his new connections, and with eight career victories from 20 starts he certainly knows where the wire is. If the son of Bustin Stones breaks sharply from the rail he should be on or near the lead throughout. Judge N Jury returns as a gelding following an 11 month layoff after winning a state-bred juvenile maiden race over this main track in good style in just his second career outing. The works look good and the D. Gargan stable has a superlative record with comebackers, so this son of Tapiture may come back as well as he left, perhaps even better. You have to use him.
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RACE 9: Post: 5:39 ET Grade: B
Use: 3-Jouster; 7-Tobys Heart; 10-Minaun

Forecast: This year’s edition of the Lake George S.-G3 for sophomore fillies over a mile on the inner turf is typically very contentions with several possibilities to consider. Jouster projects as the controlling speed, and after being worn down late in the nine-furlong Wonder Again S.-G3 at Belmont Park she shortens to what might be her best trip, a flat mile. She’s a proven graded stakes winner and is likely to benefit the projected race flow that should really bring out her best. Tobys Heart, a sprint stakes winner over the Saratoga lawn last year, rallied against slow fractions to finish an excellent second in the Tepin S. at Churchill Downs last month and may be the most dangerous of the closing types. That said, she’ll need some help up front to have her best chance. Minaun will need to work out a trip from the 10-hole and is another that requires decent early splits to have her best chance. If Jouster is allowed to stroll on the front end her chances will be compromised, but if not the Irish-bred filly will have a legitimate late look.
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RACE 10: Post: 6:13 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Thrill/1A-Miss Domina; 3-Epicurean

Forecast: Thrill, away for 11 months, returns in a claimer for the first time so we’re guessing whether or not she’s the same filly this year as last. She’s now four years old for connections that focus on good young prospects, so perhaps they are simply being realistic. Based on her previous form the Candy Ride filly can handle this moderate group for a trainer who has strong stats with layoff runners. Additionally, she ran well over this course and distance last year while earning a speed figure that is more than good enough to win today. As a bonus, entry mate Miss Domina (different owner, same trainer) has a reasonable look as well, most recently missing by a neck in a grass dash at Gulfstream Park last month with a speed figure that puts her right there. For protection, you may want to consider Epicurean, likely the quickest in the field but somewhat suspect under pressure. The lightly-raced daughter of Speighster from the W. Ward barn is fairly competitive on speed figures and will appreciate this shortened five and one-half furlong trip.

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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 07:50 AM

Race of the Week: Baltimore/Washington Int'l Turf Cup

July 22, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
$200,000 GRADE 3 BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON INTERNATIONAL TURF CUP AT PIMLICO
Saturday, July 24, 2021

The Lead:
Back after a 1-year absence, no thanks to the COVID-19 schedule shuffles a year ago, the Grade 3 Baltimore/Washington International Turf Cup anchors a 4-stakes Saturday at Pimlico. The quartet of co-features total $500,000 in purses and are all to be contested on the grass. The Race 8 BWI Turf Cup is joined on the undercard by the Bald Eagle Derby (Race 2), the Sensible Lady Turf Sprint (Race 4) and the Big Dreyfus (Race 6).

Field Depth:
PIXELATE is a Grade 2 stakes winner, while multiple Grade 3 winner FIELD PASS and Grade 3 winner/Grade 2-placed ENGLISH BEE also have wins at the level. TALK OR LISTEN is Grade 2-placed. FIELD PASS has consistently held the strongest company lines.

Pace:
For a turf mile, there's very little of it. RAMSEY SOLUTION should be sent to the front from the outside 6-post and try to take them as far as he can. FIELD PASS likely sits second and the rest will try to keep in touch from midflight or farther. This race looks capable of being stolen up front.

Our Eyes:
PIXELATE returns from his Fair Hill, MD base for a third try at the meet, missing the photo in the Henry S. Clark before winning the mile and one-eighth Prince Georges County from off the pace. The mile trip will be a challenge, but he did win over the distance in the Woodchopper at Fair Grounds earlier this year. Trainer Mike Stidham has last year's Del Mar Derby winner in good form; which does beg some question as to why they aren't returning west this year? But with 16 superfecta finishes in 16 tries below the Grade 1 level, there's no doubt he fits fine in this spot.

FIELD PASS has lost his last 7 turf starts, but has taken on considerably tougher competition than these. Trainer Mike Maker is 4-9 in Pimlico raids at the meet and is on fire nationally during the month of July. This one should get a dynamite trip inside with little pace pressure, sitting second to RAMSEY SOLUTION. While not a pure miler, he was beaten just over 4 combined lengths in 2 of America's premier turf miles, the Mathis Brothers at Santa Anita and the Maker's Mark at Keeneland. That should play effectively here.

ENGLISH BEE has been defeated by BWI Turf Cup rivals PIXELATE, TALK OR LISTEN and RAMSEY SOLUTION in just his last 4 starts. He's a local turf course stakes winner at age 3 who has not scored a victory in the past 2 years. Trainer Graham Motion has enjoyed great success at the Pimlico meet in grass stakes, but this deep closer should be compromised by the lack of early pace.

TALK OR LISTEN appears better at shorter trips and could find the mile to his liking. He made a middle move and lost starch over the 9-furlong Prince Georges County when giving way late to PIXELATE. TALK OR LISTEN posts consistent low-90s to 100 BRIS late pace figures in 1-1/16 miles races, and could be sharper over the mile Saturday. He's not without a chance for excellent turf trainer Arnaud Delacour. But he's only 1-7 since coming to the US and it's easy to attach to others.

RAMSEY SOLUTION has the lone speed possibility for trainer Wesley Ward. This one won the Tapit at Kentucky Downs last fall over a mile and 70 yards, but it's his runner-up last out an overnight stakes at Churchill that may be as telling. That day he chased Set Piece, the 6-5 favorite for Brad Cox who came back to win the Grade 2 Wise Dan Stakes in his next start. So while RAMSEY SOLUTION doesn't have the graded credentials on his resume to date, he has faced a rival in Set Piece that gives us a pretty good measuring stick at his potential. Jockey Mychel Sanchez has been riding turf outstanding this summer at Delaware Park.

POSTERITY completed the field as a rank outsider from the claiming ranks.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
PIXELATE has credentials over the course and has never missed the superfecta when below the Grade 1 level.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
RAMSEY SOLUTION or TALK OR LISTEN would be the potential price players, but don't expect anything too large in a 6-horse field with at least one obvious toss in POSTERITY. I'll take the lone speed at a square price.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$50 win RAMSEY SOLUTION. $25 exacta part-wheel RAMSEY SOLUTION over PIXELATE and FIELD PASS ($50).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 07:51 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Evangeline Downs - Race #7

#5 Tourrista	There isn't a whole lot of turn form to write home about in this group, so this filly offers some intrigue while trying turf for the first time. She has been in with some tougher groups than this and can make some noise here if she handles the footing.
#2 Kappa Hill	She's probably the one to beat off a pair of decent turf tries, but she doesn't seem to tower over these and might be a bit overbet.
#9 Racy Jaycee	Turf and two-turn debut for this one, and she has shown some decent tactical speed going short on the main track. Forward player seems in the frame with these.
Race Summary	Tourrista has every right to handle the new footing here. Sire Tourist has been seven points better on the turf than on the dirt (16% vs. 9%) and generally better going shorter, so this tight 7 1/2f route might suit this guy well well.

Evangeline Downs - Race #8

#4 Mr. Snowflake	The addition of blinkers might do the trick for him tonight in a spot without a ton of front-end pace. He has been able to sit close early in a couple recent starts, and the blinkers might put him on the engine where he could get brave.
#5 Willy Mc	He's got a versatile enough pedigree to give him a look on the move to the main track tonight, and he seems to work well enough over the main track here.
#6 Cool Power	He's a big threat here, but I couldn't see getting that excited about something like the 7/5 ML price. Forward player might land this, but he has given away ground late in all four starts and probably gets bet.
Race Summary	Mr. Snowflake isn't going to be a big price, but the hope is he'll be a playable one with Cool Power here to take some cash. Hoping the blinkers put him in the mix a bit earlier.

Evangeline Downs - Race #9

#2 Datswhatilike	Finisher handled the turf fine last out when trying the footing for the first time, and he might offer a fair price with the other listed pair in here likely to take some cash.
#4 Preferred Prospect	He looks like the one to beat with these, but that solid last effort isn't exactly the rule to his overall form, and I wouldn't trust him to run back to it at too short a price.
#1 Wild One Forever	He's capable with something similar to that last one, but his form leads to asking most of the same questions I have with Preferred Prospect.
Race Summary	I have questions about the two most obvious horses, both of whom are coming off solid efforts I don't really trust them to repeat. Datswhatilike can probably do better with that first turf route under her belt.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 07:52 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #1

#1 GINGER TREE LERUE	Fits well on best, good value play from the rail.
#7 SKYWAY BILLY	Held clear lead through :56.2 middle half, caught late.
#6 LUZIANA	Earned top recent speed figure in defeat, driver's choice on a triple call.
Race Summary	Ginger Tree Lerue chased the favorites and faded in a fast-paced race for a higher claiming tag last week. He could be forwardly placed a long way in this spot against older rivals. Play a 1-ALL exacta.

Meadowlands - Race #4

#3 KEN'S WALNER	Solid debut, should live up to favoritism this time around.
#5 FAMOUS FATHER	Son of champion 2yo stayed flat and won in his second qualifier.
#7 HL BALOU	Trotted evenly in useful first start on a sloppy track.
Race Summary	Ken's Walner, bet down to 6-to-5 in his debut, bid past the 5-2 pace setter at the stretch call but settled for third after a :27.3 final quarter mile. The race winner came back and finished a troubled second next out. Play 3-5 and 3-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3

#7 IM THE MUSCLE	Closed wide and fast at notch above, gets driver upgrade.
#3 BRONZE YANKEE	Trailed until stretch against odds-on winner, joins class droppers, nearing $100k.
#2 MADAME SHERRY	Mare paced evenly behind 8-5, pace-setting winner, moves outside in.
Race Summary	IM The Muscle, last at the top of the stretch, flew home to finish third and continued strong on the gallop out. He picks up Filion to drive and gets class relief, making him today's Best Bet.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 07:53 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Del Mar - Race #6

#3 Thanks Mr. Eidson	Won on the turf here last year and has been competitive in tough spots lately; turns back in distance and can run a big one here.
#4 Love My Jimmy	Extremely quick and comes off a third in the Desert Code; should love the short distance.
#6 Commander	Ran on well for second in the Siren Lure last out and will have to get wound up earlier; solid player.
Race Summary	Thanks Mr. Eidson enters this in good form and has the ability to adjust to pace; he can get a perfect trip in this one.

Del Mar - Race #7

#2 Closing Remarks	Has run longer on turf but those were mostly against open graded stakes company and she can make a strong run vs. these.
#1 Fi Fi Pharoah	Won the Melair Stakes last out and has figured this out; take very seriously and expect her to be battling at the end.
#3 Respectfully	Was solid in her last two dirt races, with turf performances between them, and is extremely rapid; will be hard-pressed to get the seven but has a chance to put it off if she dictates moderate fractions.
Race Summary	Closing Remarks has done her racing on turf and moves over to the dirt. She is accustomed to graded races and is the one to hold off in this Cal-bred spot.

Del Mar - Race #4

#1 Order and Law	Won three of his last four and type of surface doesn't matter. Most recently was all out in a narrow win on Santa Anita turf and two back was a clear winner on dirt. Just runs hard, and he can be a strong factor throughout.
#2 Bold Endeavor	Won in February but has now been second four straight times at this level; had a legit shot to win any of them and just couldn't hold off rivals late. Has been in fast races and would not be a surprise.
#3 Family Biz	Was claimed last out for $50K at Belmont by Miller, who is 27 percent first after claim; last win came at Aqueduct in April.
Race Summary	Order and Law is ready to give his best and a good effort has become a habit; loves it on the front end but can still come up big if he doesn't get to lead the way early.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 11:32 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Del Mar

Del Mar - Race 6	$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta $2 Rolling Double / 50 cent min. Pick Three $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $2 WPS Parlay
Optional Claiming $62,500 • 5 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 112 • Purse: $74,000 • Post: 6:30P
(RAIL AT 12 FEET). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500 (MAIDEN RACES AND CLAIMING RACES RACES FOR $50,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * COMMANDER (FR): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combinati on win percentage is at least 30. THANKS MR. EIDSON: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TILTED TOWERS: Horse ranks in the top three in Tr ackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). RAGER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6	COMMANDER (FR)	3/1	5/1
3	THANKS MR. EIDSON	6/1	5/1
8	TILTED TOWERS	6/1	6/1
1	RAGER	10/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	LOVE MY JIMMY	4	8/1	Front-runner	93	92	107.2	82.2	69.2
8	TILTED TOWERS	8	6/1	Front-runner	104	105	103.8	101.2	91.7
3	THANKS MR. EIDSON	3	6/1	Stalker	107	105	100.8	103.8	97.8
2	LIEUTENANT DAN	2	5/1	Stalker	111	100	77.7	101.4	91.4
9	DISTANT VISTA (IRE)	9	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	97	98	111.9	97.6	82.1
1	RAGER	1	10/1	Trailer	101	101	106.4	101.4	92.4
6	COMMANDER (FR)	6	3/1	Trailer	110	113	95.8	108.2	101.2
7	CITRUS BURST	7	10/1	Trailer	104	96	79.0	95.6	86.6
5	FIGHT ON	5	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	110	92	63.5	96.7	88.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 11:32 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 6	$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
Optional Claiming $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $52,000 • Post: 4:46P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES)(MAIDEN RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LIZA STAR: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. R PREROGATIVE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. AWESOME AN NMARIE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MERSEYSIDE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	LIZA STAR	3/1	3/1
1	R PREROGATIVE	7/2	4/1
2	AWESOME ANNMARIE	2/1	7/1
5	MERSEYSIDE	9/2	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	LIZA STAR	6	3/1	Front-runner	93	85	93.6	84.6	82.1
1	R PREROGATIVE	1	7/2	Front-runner	92	88	63.6	86.8	80.8
3	DOMINEERING	3	12/1	Stalker	70	78	46.6	63.9	52.4
5	MERSEYSIDE	5	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	96	85	78.0	77.4	71.4
2	AWESOME ANNMARIE	2	2/1	Trailer	91	81	68.8	76.2	69.2
4	PENS STREET	4	5/1	Trailer	79	72	58.1	68.7	60.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 11:33 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at North Dakota Horse Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $2500 Class Rating: 67

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 OCEAN WONDER 5/1
# 4 DEAL ME A JESS 8/5
# 1 SPEED BALL CHIEF 2/1

OCEAN WONDER looks to be a respectable contender. This racer has to be in good form coming back to race so soon. The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Haar running at this distance are the best in this group. DEAL ME A JESS - Strong average speed figures in short races make this equine a definite contender. Could best this group of animals based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 64 - of her last effort. SPEED BALL CHIEF - Looks solid for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figures in short races recently. His 56 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures for this race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 11:34 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,200 Class Rating: 62

Rating:

#2 MELDON (ML=5/1)
#5 LUCKY PENGUIN (ML=8/5)

MELDON - This thoroughbred could be tough in today's contest, especially since Hiraldo rode last out and now should be better acquainted with this one. Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. This bullring favors front-runners starting from the inside. Seeing as this is what we have with this horse, I'm going to take a long hard look at this one. LUCKY PENGUIN - Have to like the way Brown has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Animal is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today. Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a nice effort on July 2nd. You have to be keen on that latest race speed figure, 59, which is the best recent race speed fig of this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ANY WAY NOW (ML=7/5), #1 CHESTNUT LIME (ML=6/1),

ANY WAY NOW - Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance races recently. Improbable to see him doing it in today's event either. This gelding finished out of the money on May 22nd and wasn't close to winning last out either. CHESTNUT LIME - Tough to take this runner at the price after the result (seventh) in the last race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#2 MELDON to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 11:34 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Pimlico

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 9.0f on the Turf. Purse: $25000 Class Rating: 74

FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $12,500, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 THIRSTY OWL 10/1
# 9 ONE MOST WANTED 5/2
# 1 BRIDGE OF HOPE 20/1

THIRSTY OWL looks to be a solid contender and is a very strong value-based bet given the 10/1 line. In against a much easier field of horses than last time out. This horse could surprise this lot at a decent number. Has been travelling in the most competitive company of the group lately. ONE MOST WANTED - He has been running well and the speed figures are among the most respectable in this group. Should be given consideration - I like the figures from the last race. BRIDGE OF HOPE - Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this field in his last race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-23-2021, 11:35 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Saratoga - Race #6 - Post: 3:55pm - Optional Claiming - 12.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $105,000 Class Rating: 113

Rating:

#7 AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM (ML=3/1)
#11 HE'S NO LEMON (ML=7/2)
#6 DOT MATRIX (ML=6/1)
#2 JAIS'S SOLITUDE (ML=8/1)

AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM - This animal should make a move at the top of the lane. Great late early speed This jockey/conditioner duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +59. HE'S NO LEMON - The thoroughbred with the top average class rating in turf events is usually a solid play. This thoroughbred fits the bill. This jock fits well with this animal. The gelding and Castellano together win at a rate of 50 percent. DOT MATRIX - Horses out of the barn of Cox have been strong on the turf. Should do well. Last ran at Belmont Park and finished fifth. Reviewing his PP lines, I see he was close at the finish line, within 5 of the winner. Gelding will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance. JAIS'S SOLITUDE - This thoroughbred has shown the class ability to win at different tracks. Making the move from Churchill Downs for today's event, I have to believe he's ready to run. Coming off a tenth place finish at Churchill Downs, some may skip this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good M/L odds today. Horse has improved at least 2 speed rating points in last two races. I look for that positive increase to continue in this event. I know the barn is serious today. The gelding gets Lasix for the 1st time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #13 MATH WIZARD (ML=2/1), #12 DACK JANIEL'S (ML=3/1), #15 CHRIS AND DAVE (ML=7/2),

MATH WIZARD - Tough to bet on at 2/1 odds after the most recent showings. Can't play this probable favorite off the long layoff. DACK JANIEL'S - This steed ran a pedestrian fig last race out. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose in today's event running that fig. CHRIS AND DAVE - Caution must be used since front bandages were added on Jul 3rd.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM - This gelding has the best turf speed rating in a route in the last eighteen months. Expect good things today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #7 AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/2 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	7 with [2,6,11]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	7 with [2,6,11] with [2,6,11] Total Cost: $6