Sunday 3/28/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351014

    #16
    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



    03/28/21, GP, Race 7, 3.11 ET
    03/28/21,GP,7,1M [Turf] 1:31:02 CLAIMING. Purse $31,000 (includes up to $5,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 120 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since December 28 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile) (Rail at 60 feet).
    . . . .
    Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
    100.0000 4 Dr. Shane 9/2 Gaffalione T Gargan Danny TS 27 40.74 1.26/$1
    098.8510 7 All Good 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Maker Michael J. 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    097.6432 8 Dream Friend 4/1 Prado E S Croft Barry N. FL 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    097.5848 5 Traffic Pattern 5/1 Arroyo A S Danner Kelsey E 27 40.74 1.26/$1
    097.3525 9 Keep Quiet (FR) 6/1 Gonzalez E Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. J 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    095.0089 3 Apreciado 15/1 Maragh R Sweezey J. Kent 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    093.5041 1 Devoted Kitten 20/1 Berrios H I Cazares Alfredo W 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    092.6535 12 Til the End 12/1 Meneses M Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. C 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    092.5987 11 Rocket Joe Copper(b-) 15/1 Jaramillo E O'Connell Kathleen 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    092.1748 13 Zero Gravity 8/1 Meneses M Gallegos Jose A. 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    091.7520 10 Uhtred 30/1 Rios J M Sweezey J. Kent 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    090.4079 2 Projected (GB) 20/1 Leparoux J R Maragh Aubrey A. 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    088.9892 6 Can't Trump Kitten 20/1 Reyes L Morici Diane D. 319 25.08 0.88/$1
    Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 25.49, ROI 0.62/$1
    Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.1490
    [Category]Condition
    [DirtMdnMClm]*LastRaceWasOddsOnFavorite(notent)WithGreaterThan5 Horses
    *Scratches may change this condition If Race Is Off Turf

    Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.
    100.0000 4 Dr. Shane 9/2 Gaffalione T Gargan Danny TS 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    099.6678 7 All Good 7/2 Ortiz. Jr. I Maker Michael J. 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    098.8583 8 Dream Friend 4/1 Prado E S Croft Barry N. FL 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    098.5549 9 Keep Quiet (FR) 6/1 Gonzalez E Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. J 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    098.2217 5 Traffic Pattern 5/1 Arroyo A S Danner Kelsey E 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    095.8056 11 Rocket Joe Copper(b-) 15/1 Jaramillo E O'Connell Kathleen 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    095.0723 3 Apreciado 15/1 Maragh R Sweezey J. Kent 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    095.0685 12 Til the End 12/1 Meneses M Joseph. Jr. Saffie A. C 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    094.7190 13 Zero Gravity 8/1 Meneses M Gallegos Jose A. 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    094.3801 2 Projected (GB) 20/1 Leparoux J R Maragh Aubrey A. 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    094.3311 1 Devoted Kitten 20/1 Berrios H I Cazares Alfredo W 46 50.00 1.41/$1
    092.6102 10 Uhtred 30/1 Rios J M Sweezey J. Kent 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    092.0823 6 Can't Trump Kitten 20/1 Reyes L Morici Diane D. 292 31.16 0.77/$1
    Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 25.00, ROI 0.52/$1
    Rating gap to 2nd horse -0.3322
    [Category]Condition
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 351014

      #17
      NCAAB

      Sunday, March 28

      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Oregon @ USC
      Oregon
      Oregon is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing USC
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon's last 7 games when playing USC
      USC
      USC is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon
      USC is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oregon
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 351014

        #18
        NCAAB

        Sunday, March 28

        Sunday’s NCAA games

        Florida State (4) vs Michigan (1)
        Florida State (18-6)
        — ranked #13 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #89
        — Experience: #100
        — Continuity: #103
        — FSU is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.
        — Seminoles have #21 eFG% defense in country.
        — Florida State is shooting 38.2% on the arc (#16)
        — Deep team; they’re #25 in bench minutes.
        — Florida State is the tallest team in the country.
        — Since 1997, Hamilton is 1-3 in Sweet 16 games.

        Michigan (22-4)
        — ranked #3 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #246
        — Experience: #58
        — Continuity: #146
        — Michigan is 4-3 in its last seven games, after an 18-1 start.
        — Key player Livers missed last three games (check status)
        — Michigan has #6 eFG% defense in country.
        — Wolverines are shooting 38.5% on arc (#11)
        — Since 1998, Michigan is 1-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.

        — Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.
        — Three years ago, Michigan beat Florida State 58-54 in a regional final.

        Creighton (5) @ Gonzaga (1)
        Creighton (22-8)
        — ranked #20 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #143
        — Experience: #40
        — Continuity: #18
        — Creighton won five of its last six games.
        — Bluejays are shooting 55.9% inside the arc (#10)
        — Creighton has #28 eFG% defense in country.
        — Bluejays beat Cal-Santa Barbara/Ohio to get here.
        — This is as far as Creighton has ever gotten in this event.

        Gonzaga (28-0)
        — ranked #1 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #4
        — Experience: #248
        — Continuity: #179
        — Gonzaga has one win this season by less than 10 points.
        — Gonzaga’s first two tournament wins were by 43-16 points.
        — Zags are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#1)
        — Gonzaga gets 57.2% of its points on 2-point shots (#30)
        — Under Few, Gonzaga is 2-6 in Sweet 16 games, winning in 2015, 2019.

        — Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.

        Oregon (7) vs USC (6)
        Oregon (21-6)
        — ranked #17 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #227
        — Experience: #29
        — Continuity: #266
        — Oregon is 7-1 since their loss at USC February 22.
        — Oregon won 12 of their last 14 games.
        — Ducks are shooting 38.2% on arc (#15)
        — Oregon is 5-2 this season vs top 50 teams.
        — Under Altman, Ducks are 2-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.

        USC (24-7)
        — ranked #6 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #236
        — Experience: #201
        — Continuity: #317
        — USC won five of its last six games.
        — USC has #7 eFG% defense in country.
        — Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#1)
        — Trojans are shooting only 64.3% on foul line (#328)
        — USC gave up 56-51 points in its wins last week.
        — USC last made the Elite 8 in 2001, when Henry Bibby was coach.

        — Since 2002, when conference rivals meet in NCAA Tournament, from the Sweet 16 on, underdog was 7-4 ATS in those games.
        — Oregon lost 72-58 at USC February 22; game was 43-22 at the half.
        — Since 1987, favorites are 3-3 ATS when #6-7 seeds meet in this round.

        UCLA (11) vs Alabama (2)
        UCLA (20-9)
        — ranked #22 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #337
        — Experience: #279
        — Continuity: #29
        — UCLA has lost four in row before winning three games last week.
        — UCLA is shooting 37.4% on the arc (#28)
        — Bruins are 7-7 vs teams ranked in top 50.
        — Since 2009, UCLA is 11-7 in NCAAs.
        — Cronin is 9-11 in NCAAs, 3-5 after the first round.

        Alabama (26-6)
        — ranked #8 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #12
        — Experience: #136
        — Continuity: #152
        — Alabama won eight in row, 11 of last 12 games.
        — Crimson Tide has #17 eFG% defense in country.
        — Alabama gets 40.1% of its points on 3-pointers (#15)
        — Alabama is grabbing 32.1% of its missed shots (#53)
        — Crimson Tide hasn’t been this far in the last 24 years.

        — Since 2012, #11-seeds are 6-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

        NIT Final

        Memphis vs Mississippi State
        Memphis (19-8)
        — ranked #33 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #49
        — Experience: #323
        — Continuity: #78
        — Memphis won 13 of its last 16 games.
        — Tigers have #5 eFG% defense in country.
        — Memphis is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#313)
        — Tigers are shooting only 61.4% on foul line (#341)
        — Memphis is 9-3 outside the AAC (non-conf schedule #198)
        — Tigers made 14-27 on arc yesterday, scored 1.32 ppp.

        Mississippi State (18-14)
        — ranked #63 by KenPom
        — Tempo: #301
        — Experience: #315
        — Continuity: #253
        — Bulldogs are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
        — Miss State is grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#8)
        — Bulldogs have #39 eFG% defense in country.
        — Miss State is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#318)
        — Bulldogs are shooting 65.9% on foul line (#311)
        — Miss State allowed 65.7 ppg in its three NIT wins.
        — Bulldogs made 10-20 on arc, never trailed in yesterday’s win.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 351014

          #19
          627FLORIDA ST -628 MICHIGAN
          MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the current season.

          641CREIGHTON -642 GONZAGA
          CREIGHTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.

          643OREGON -644 USC
          USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

          643OREGON -644 USC
          USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 351014

            #20
            55NY RANGERS -56 WASHINGTON
            NY RANGERS are 22-12 ATS (17.5 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

            57COLUMBUS -58 DETROIT
            DETROIT is 10-42 ATS (-26.7 Units) against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

            59ANAHEIM -60 ST LOUIS
            ST LOUIS are 2-10 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games against poor passing teams - averaging 4 or less assists per game in the current season.

            61NEW JERSEY -62 BOSTON
            NEW JERSEY is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games off 2 consecutive losses against division rivals over the last 2 seasons.

            63FLORIDA -64 DALLAS
            DALLAS are 3-15 ATS (-15 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

            67NASHVILLE -68 CHICAGO
            NASHVILLE is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 351014

              #21
              NHL

              Sunday, March 28

              Trend Report

              NY Rangers @ Washington
              NY Rangers
              NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
              NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
              Washington
              Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
              Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

              Columbus @ Detroit
              Columbus
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Detroit
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 7 games on the road
              Detroit
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Columbus
              Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

              Anaheim @ St. Louis
              Anaheim
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
              Anaheim is 14-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
              St. Louis
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
              St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim

              New Jersey @ Boston
              New Jersey
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Boston
              New Jersey is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
              Boston
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games

              Florida @ Dallas
              Florida
              The total has gone OVER in 9 of Florida's last 11 games when playing on the road against Dallas
              Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
              Dallas
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

              Nashville @ Chicago
              Nashville
              Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
              Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
              Chicago
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Nashville
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 351014

                #22
                551PHOENIX -552 CHARLOTTE
                PHOENIX is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing their 4th road game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons.

                553PORTLAND -554 TORONTO
                PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

                555ATLANTA -556 DENVER
                ATLANTA is 12-30 ATS (-21 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

                557ORLANDO -558 LA LAKERS
                Steve Clifford is 24-9 ATS (14.1 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games (Coach of ORLANDO)

                557ORLANDO -558 LA LAKERS
                ORLANDO is 24-9 ATS (14.1 Units) in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 351014

                  #23
                  NBA

                  Sunday, March 28

                  Phoenix @ Charlotte
                  Suns (30-14)
                  — Phoenix won 22 of its last 28 games (21-7 ATS).
                  — Suns are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games.
                  — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

                  Hornets (23-21)
                  — Charlotte won seven of its last ten games SU.
                  — Hornets are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games.
                  — Under is 4-1 in Charlotte’s last five games.

                  — Hornets won six of last eight series games.
                  — Suns are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
                  — Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

                  Portland @ Toronto
                  Trailblazers (27-18)
                  — Portland won 10 of its last 14 games.
                  — You’re reading ***************.com
                  — Blazers are 3-4 ATS in last seven road games.
                  — Over is 10-5 in Portland’s last 15 road games.

                  Raptors (18-27)
                  — Toronto lost 12 of its last 14 games.
                  — Raptors are 6-4 ATS in their last ten home games.
                  — Nine of last 13 Toronto games went over the total.

                  — Raptors won seven of last ten series games.
                  — Portland is 3-2 ATS in last five road series games.
                  — Four of last six series games went over.

                  Atlanta @ Denver
                  Hawks (23-22)
                  — Hawks are 9-2 SU since they fired their coach (7-3-1 ATS).
                  — Hawks are 4-7-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
                  — Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

                  Nuggets (27-18)
                  — Denver is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games overall.
                  — Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in last seven home games.
                  — Under is 3-1 in Denver’s last four road games.

                  — Atlanta won three of last four series games.
                  — Hawks are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
                  — Four of last five series games went over.

                  Orlando @ LA Lakers
                  Magic (15-30)
                  — Orlando lost 20 of its last 26 games.
                  — Magic is 5-11 ATS in last 16 road games.
                  — Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

                  Lakers (29-17)
                  — Lebron James (ankle), Anthony Davis are out.
                  — Lakers lost four of their last five games.
                  — Lakers are 7-9 ATS in their last 16 home games.
                  — Under is 9-3 in their 12 home games.

                  — Orlando is 6-4 in last ten series games.
                  — Magic is 3-2 ATS in last five series games played here.
                  — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 351014

                    #24
                    NBA

                    Sunday, March 28

                    Trend Report

                    Phoenix @ Charlotte
                    Phoenix
                    Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                    Phoenix is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                    Charlotte
                    Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

                    Portland @ Toronto
                    Portland
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                    Portland is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
                    Toronto
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
                    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

                    Atlanta @ Denver
                    Atlanta
                    Atlanta is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Denver
                    Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
                    Denver
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
                    Denver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

                    Orlando @ LA Lakers
                    Orlando
                    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
                    LA Lakers
                    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games at home
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