Thursday 3/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 10:57 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#6 Sexy Dream Showed some speed and lacked a big finish against much better and will find her courage as she takes this class drop.
#5 Sassy Beast Tired in a stronger spot last out and has a steady string of workouts; bred to scoot and can be in the mix throughout this one.
#4 Corey Was up in time in her first of the year and was second in an optional claiming race at Keeneland last fall; will get much of the play.
Race Summary Sexy Dream faltered running longer last time and will appreciate the turn back in distance.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#7 Hard Game Goes for his third straight win on his way up the class ladder; has been claimed in his last two -- most recently by Preciado. Has figured it out and is ready for this level.
#6 Braccio Di Ferro Has been good in three of four races and comes off a runner-up performance in fast time; wins if he runs back to that one.
#3 Hercules Was up in time in his latest and likely will make a serious late run.
Race Summary Hard Game has defeated softer company than this, but he's made winning a habit lately and can make a run at it.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#8 Kroy Lost a photo last time out and has been against much tougher in his career; does well over the course and has the class to prevail.
#5 Dominate Themoment Faltered late last time after making a move into contention; tough if he times it right from off the pace.
#2 Freedom Matters Has been on the board in his last five races and was claimed last out by Breen; fits, and getting a rider switch to Lopez is a plus.
Race Summary Kroy is a proven veteran and will fight it out on the front end; should have enough to last here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 03:53 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 3	Pick 5 (3-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 3-4
Claiming $20,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 67 • Purse: $8,100 • Post: 3:35P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 28 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 18 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, FOR EACH $2,000 TO $16,000 2 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WONDERFUL LADY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. FANTOSMIA: Horse's win p ercentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MILIONAIRE MOVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster P ower Rating. MI VAQUITA: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
5	WONDERFUL LADY	9/2	4/1
4	FANTOSMIA	9/5	6/1
6	MILIONAIRE MOVE	5/1	7/1
1	MI VAQUITA	3/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
4	FANTOSMIA	4	9/5	Stalker	61	58	58.4	53.3	47.8
5	WONDERFUL LADY	5	9/2	Stalker	77	65	49.0	59.2	56.2
3	WHAT A BULLET	3	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	65	58	60.2	42.6	33.1
6	MILIONAIRE MOVE	6	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	68	62	48.8	53.2	47.2
1	MI VAQUITA	1	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	65	63	44.8	49.6	40.6
2	CIELO SANTO	2	4/1	Trailer	61	53	24.6	49.2	40.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 03:57 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 8	Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double
Optional Claiming $17,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 4 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $56,000 • Post: 4:23P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JANUARY 18 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 5 AND 1/2 FURLONGS.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ZERO TO SIXTY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. MOON OF LOVE (IRE): Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. COBRA CASABLANCA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LEA'S PRINCESS: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlon g of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SAVVY ALLY: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff.
1	ZERO TO SIXTY	7/2	5/1
3	MOON OF LOVE (IRE)	8/1	6/1
8	COBRA CASABLANCA	6/1	7/1
2	LEA'S PRINCESS	5/1	9/1
7	SAVVY ALLY	5/1	10/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
8	COBRA CASABLANCA	8	6/1	Front-runner	92	91	102.6	76.8	72.3
3	MOON OF LOVE (IRE)	3	8/1	Front-runner	93	92	96.1	63.4	56.9
4	OOOH BARRACUDA	4	15/1	Front-runner	72	70	88.9	67.3	53.8
9	AMERICAN LEGEND	9	12/1	Front-runner	90	82	67.6	72.8	58.8
6	LADY ANNA	6	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	82	87	79.2	78.4	64.9
5	DAWN'S DANCER	5	10/1	Stalker	81	86	110.9	81.5	69.5
1	ZERO TO SIXTY	1	7/2	Stalker	86	90	88.9	86.5	82.5
2	LEA'S PRINCESS	2	5/1	Stalker	92	84	76.8	81.8	72.8
7	SAVVY ALLY	7	5/1	Trailer	85	82	69.2	84.6	75.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 03:58 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Gulfstream Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating:

#7 CHARLIECANDO (ML=4/1)
#1 DISCREET TUNE (ML=8/5)
#3 GRAND UNION (ML=5/2)

CHARLIECANDO - This animal obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has notched the highest speed figure on the grass at the distance and surface. Gaffalione and Danner partnered up are a horseplayer's friend. Gaffalione was aboard this gelding in the last race and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This horse collects a lot of dough per race. I believe he will add to the lifetime bankroll in this race. The recent speed figure of 77 is the best last race speed fig in the field. DISCREET TUNE - Has happened upon a good situation this time around. GRAND UNION - The rider and trainer combination have a profitable ROI when they join forces.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MARSAC (ML=9/2),

MARSAC - In the last event this entrant finished sixth. Doesn't show much potential for his chances today. This gelding hasn't had any positive results in short distance events in the last two months. Hard to invest in a less than sharp equine that lays up for a long time then doesn't hit the board off the long vacation.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#7 CHARLIECANDO is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 04:01 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sam Houston

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $19500 Class Rating: 72

FOR TEXAS ACCREDITED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 18, 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 UNBROKEN SONG 9/2
# 5 JESSICAS ARCH 7/2
# 6 SINGING ACES 1/1

UNBROKEN SONG is the top bet in this race. The class rating of today's race is much lower than his last race. If you examine closely, this one has some longshot possibilities. Must be given a shot given the class of races run recently. JESSICAS ARCH - Ran a sharp last race. Has run quite well when racing a dirt route race. SINGING ACES - Asmussen has this gelding running well and is a formidable choice based on the quite good Equibase Speed Figs garnered in route races recently. Win percentage with this jockey and trainer combo - 23 percent - solid.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 04:02 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

03/18/21, OP, Race 2, 1.31 CT
03/18/21,OP,2,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $27,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $10,000.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	3	Gainer	7/2	Cabrera D	Moquett Ron	SFWL	150	30.67	1.52/$1
098.6902	9	Axis	9/2	De La Cruz W	Puhl Kim A.		228	28.07	1.31/$1
097.8015	4	That Dude	6/1	Bowen R	Milligan Allen		228	28.07	1.31/$1
097.1066	2	Rock Ridge(b+)	2/1	Arrieta F	Asmussen Steven M.	JE	228	28.07	1.31/$1
095.5031	6	Harry	12/1	Quinonez L S	Durham Danele		228	28.07	1.31/$1
093.5833	8	Beggarthystar	10/1	Wales T	Hewitt Michael		228	28.07	1.31/$1
092.6103	7	Moral Standard	12/1	Morales J	Ortiz John Alexander		135	24.44	0.83/$1
092.3925	1	Samurai Saint	5/1	Mojica O	Contreras Cipriano	T	59	33.90	1.35/$1
092.1436	5	Ponti Poker	15/1	Camacho. Jr. S	Soto Fermin		135	24.44	0.83/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 27.27, ROI 0.92/$1
Rating gap to 2nd horse -1.3098
[Category]Condition
[AllDirt]*2ndHorse98RatingAndTopHorse100Rating
*Scratches may change this condition

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 04:03 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden - 330y on the Dirt. Purse: $21600 Class Rating: 72

QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 WIEBURG 9/2
# 2 DF FABULOUS ACE 5/2
# 8 CAPO DUPREE 5/1

WIEBURG is the strongest wager in this race. Should best this field here, showing formidable figures of late. Could best this group of horses based on the speed figure - 75 - of his last race. Is worth serious consideration and may be a wager - strong Speed Figures (65 average) at today's distance and surface recently. DF FABULOUS ACE - May best this group here, showing very strong numbers of late. Looks formidable to be on or close to the lead at the first call. CAPO DUPREE - Posted a solid Equibase Speed Fig last time out. With a reliable 54 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's outing.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 04:04 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Turf Paradise - Race #4 - Post: 3:00pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,300 Class Rating: 72

Rating:

#5 IZERIGHT (ML=7/2)
#1 SMOKING GUN (ML=5/2)

IZERIGHT - My expertise says this is the lone stalker in the race. The jockey and conditioner combination have a beneficial return on investment when they partner up. I am keen on that most recent effort on February 24th at Turf Paradise where he ran third. SMOKING GUN - Cruz was aboard this gelding last time out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This gelding is in top form right now. Ended up second last time out and comes back quickly. Just see his latest speed figure, 73. That one fits in this field. I like this gelding. Has the highest earnings per start in this one.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 SIR DEPUTY (ML=9/2), #3 TEQUILA TIME (ML=5/1), #7 DON WITH THE WIND (ML=6/1),

SIR DEPUTY - This horse just hasn't looked fit of late. The fifth place finish last out coming after the long layoff is undeniably not a positive signal. TEQUILA TIME - I just don't have a 'use' vibe about this questionable contender in this clash. DON WITH THE WIND - This mount will almost certainly be at the back of the pack as this field crosses the finish.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 IZERIGHT is going to be the play if we are getting 8/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 06:12 PM

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	NBA – Trailblazers -1	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	NBA – Lakers -8	Line @ Bovada
3.	VegasSI.com	NBA – Knicks over 206.5	Line @ Bovada
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	NBA – Wizards +11.5	Line @ GT Bets
5.	Sports Action 365	NBA – Thunder +7	Line @ GT Bets
6.	Point Spread Report	NBA – Lakers over 226	Line @ MyBookie
7.	Lou Panelli	NBA – Timberwolves +10.5	Line @ Bovada
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	NBA – Knicks -6	Line @ Bovada
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	NBA – Wizards +11.5	Line @ GT Bets
10.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Thunder +7	Line @ MyBookie
11.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Trailblazers -1	Line @ Bovada
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Wizards over 236	Line @ Bovada
13.	SCORE	NBA – Timberwolves +10.5	Line @ GT Bets
14.	East Coast Line Movers	NBA – Timberwolves under 230	Line @ MyBookie
15.	Tony Campone	NBA – Knicks -6	Line @ Bovada
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CBB – Appalachian St -3	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	CBB – Texas Southern +1	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	CBB – Michigan St -2	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	CBB – Drake -2	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	NBA – Knicks -6	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	NBA – Timberwolves +10.5	Line @ GT Bets
22.	Fred Callahan	NBA – Lakers -8	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	CBB – Boise St -1.5	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	NBA – Trailblazers -1	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	CBB – NC St +1.5	Line @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 08:09 PM

711NORFOLK ST -712 APPALACHIAN ST
NORFOLK ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

713DRAKE -714 WICHITA ST
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.

717UCLA -718 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

719NC STATE -720 DAVIDSON
DAVIDSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

721SMU -722 BOISE ST
SMU is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 08:10 PM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 18

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NORFOLK ST (16 - 7) vs. APPALACHIAN ST (17 - 11) - 3/18/2021, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORFOLK ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DRAKE (25 - 4) vs. WICHITA ST (16 - 5) - 3/18/2021, 6:27 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
DRAKE is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DRAKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MOUNT ST MARYS (12 - 10) vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (16 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 5:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCLA (17 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN ST (15 - 12) - 3/18/2021, 9:57 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
UCLA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
UCLA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (13 - 10) vs. DAVIDSON (13 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 225-172 ATS (+35.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 110-70 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NC STATE is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
NC STATE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against ACC opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SMU (11 - 5) vs. BOISE ST (17 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SMU is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SMU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 96-136 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 08:11 PM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 18

NCAA tournament
Texas Southern vs Mount St Mary (@ Indiana U)
Texas Southern (16-8)
— ranked #229 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #238
— Tigers won 8 in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Texas Southern is 3-5 outside SWAC this season- they finished 3rd in the SWAC.
— Tigers have #30 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas Southern is coached by former LSU coach Johnny Jones.
— Tigers are shooting 27.7% on arc (#342)
— Texas Southern is 1-5 in NCAA tourney games; Jones is 0-3.

Mount St Mary (12-10)
— ranked #219 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #142
— Mountaineers are 1-3 outside the NEC.
— Mountaineers finished T3rd in the NEC regular season.
— Mount St Mary won last four games, giving up 63.5 ppg.
— Mountaineers have #14 eFG% defense.
— Mount St Mary split two play-in games, in 2014, 2017

— Since 2006, NEC teams are 4-3 in these play-in games.
— Since 2003, SWAC teams are 2-9 in play-in games.

Drake vs Wichita State (@ Purdue)
Drake (25-4)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #265
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #179
— Drake gets 6-6 Hemphill back; good player. He missed last nine games.
— Drake’s PG is out for the year.
— Drake is 9-0 outside MVC (non-conference schedule #310)
— Bulldogs have #30 eFG% in country.
— Drake is 7-4 in last 11 games, after an 18-0 start.
— Bulldogs are in NCAAs for first time since 2008. .

Wichita State (16-5)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #225
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #234
— Wichita won eight of its last nine games.
— Shockers have #48 eFG% defense in country.
— Wichita shoots only 44.7% inside arc (#322)
— Shockers are 2-4 this season vs teams in top 100.
— Wichita is in NCAAs for 8th time in nine years but have rookie head coach now, who was an interim coach most of season.
— Since 2012, Shockers are 5-2 in first tourney game.
— Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in conference games.

— These teams were MVC rivals until 2017.
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
— Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in their first tourney game.

Applachian State vs Norfolk State (@ Indiana U)
Applachian State (17-11)
— ranked #209 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #237
— ASU has four wins vs non-D-I teams- before winning Sun Belt tourney, they were only 9-11 vs D-I teams.
— Two of their four wins in Sun Belt tourney were in OT.
— Mountaineers have #274 eFG% in country (46.7% inside arc, #283)
— 43.9% of shots they take are on the arc (#38)
— Ohio State beat their rivals Michigan yesterday by a point.
— App State beat South Carolina State of MEAC 81-61 November 25.
— Mountaineers went 7-8 in Sun Belt this season.
— Last time App State made NCAAs was 2000.

Norfolk State (16-7)
— ranked #200 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #125
— Norfolk State won eight of its last nine games.
— Spartans have #54 eFG% defense in country.
— Norfolk beat James Madison/George Mason on the road.
— Spartans are shooting 37.4% on arc (#33)
— Norfolk State made NCAAs in 2012, upsetting Missouri as a 15-seed.

— Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
— Since 2004, MEAC teams are 4-4 in play-in games.

UCLA vs Michigan State (@ Purdue)
UCLA (17-9)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #25
— UCLA lost its last four games, giving up 74.8 ppg.
— UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
— Bruins are 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 8-7 in NCAAs; they’re 8-2 in first game of last 10 tournaments they were in.
— Cronin is 6-11 in NCAAs, 5-6 in his first game of tournament.

Michigan State (15-12)
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #75
— Spartans lost three of their last five games.
— Michigan State has #266 eFG% in country (##255 on arc, #252 inside arc).
— MSU is 6-0 outside the Big 14 this season (#220 non-conf schedule)
— Spartans are 17-8 in last 25 NCAA tournament games.

— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in play-in/first round games.
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
— This game is at Purdue, John Wooden’s alma mater.

NIT tournament
Davidson vs NC State (@ Denton, TX)
Davidson (13-8)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #181
— Continuity: #36
— Davidson lost three of its last five games.
— Wildcats are 5-3 outside the A-14.
— Davidson gets 40.4% of their points on arc (#12)
— Wildcats shoot 56.8% inside arc (#8).

NC State (13-10)
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #190
— Experience: #223
— Continuity: #128
— NC State won five of their last six games.
— Wolfpack force turnovers 22.0% of time (#37)
— NC State is 5-9 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Wolfpack lost 80-69 at Saint Louis of A-14 on December 17.

SMU vs Boise State (@ Frisco, TX)
SMU (11-5)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #52
— SMU has played one game since February 8th.
— SMU was down 61-41 with 6:05 left Friday, lost 74-71.
— Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#8)
— Mustangs start four juniors and a senior- they’re 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
— SMU lost last five times they allowed 70+ points.

Boise State (18-8)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #127
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #245
— Boise lost its last four games, all by 7 or fewer points, or in OT.
— Broncos split their last ten games, after a 6-0 start.
— Broncos are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#71)
— Boise State is 4-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Boise State has #29 eFG% defense in country.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 08:12 PM

NCAAB

Thursday, March 18

Trend Report

Texas Southern @ Mount St. Mary's
Texas Southern
No trends to report
Mount St. Mary's
No trends to report

Drake @ Wichita State
Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Drake's last 5 games when playing Wichita State
Drake is 5-13-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Wichita State
Wichita State
Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Drake
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wichita State's last 5 games when playing Drake

North Carolina State @ Davidson
North Carolina State
No trends to report
Davidson
No trends to report

Appalachian State @ Norfolk State
Appalachian State
No trends to report
Norfolk State
No trends to report

Southern Methodist @ Boise State
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boise State
Boise State
Boise State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Southern Methodist

UCLA @ Michigan State
UCLA
UCLA is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan State
Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing UCLA

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 08:13 PM

553ORLANDO -554 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.

557MINNESOTA -558 PHOENIX
MINNESOTA is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher in the last 3 seasons.

559NEW ORLEANS -560 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 28-13 ATS (13.7 Units) after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-18-2021, 08:16 PM

NBA

Thursday, March 18

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Utah @ Washington
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Utah

Oklahoma City @ Atlanta
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Orlando @ New York
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games on the road
New York
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

New Orleans @ Portland
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Phoenix
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Phoenix
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Charlotte @ LA Lakers
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Thursday 3/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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