Sunday 12/6/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358030

    Sunday 12/6/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358030

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis


    December 6, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
    Pompano Park begins the week with a 9-race card. The popular 0.50 Pick 4 starts in Race 6. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool with an industry low 12% takeout and it will be my focus.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 6

    4-Bell I No (9/2)-Came up with a huge 149.3 mile in the 1st start for the Wine barn to take a picture last week. Steps-up and will use thinking there is more in the tank.
    5-Seeying Eye Single (6-1)-Here is another stepping-up after a sharp win in a quick mile. Now makes 2nd start at the Pomp and will consider in the same fashion as #4.
    6-Loud Splash (6-1)-This is the other Wine entry who also faces better coming off a win. Started from the rail in last but has done good work coming off cover. This race may set-up nicely for this 4-year-old and will use looking to beat the tepid 5/2 program chalk #7.

    Race 7

    6-Here Comes William (9-1)-Barn is 0-8 to start the meet but 9-year-old drops to a much better level to take a picture. Should be put into play early and with a top effort can notch 2nd win this year.
    8-I'vegotagirlcrush (7/2)-Did drop to this level last week, was bet down to 6/5 and just missed. Now moves outside but has the gate speed to get a good early seat. Is only 1-20 this year but there aren't any standouts in this field.

    Race 8

    1-BNB (8-1)-Has been trying hard but is trip dependent. Could land in the picket behind #6 and is well worth a swing at the morning line odds.
    6-Sand Sniper (5/2)-Tripped out and won last. Hennessey will follow the script and probably land on the point. Not going to offer much of a return but is a player at this class.
    7-Stellar BB (4-1)-Started from the rail on 12/2, ended up racing wide and fading down the lane as the chalk. This trip probably will be much better but needs to survive a hectic start and should be a better price.

    Race 9

    1-Feelin Lika Winner (5/2)-Hennessey sticks, now drops and moves inside. Has won 9 of 35 starts at the Pomp and may look to wire this field or take a pocket trip behind #5.
    5-Mac Anover (9/2)-Drops after two tries versus Open II company and makes its 4th start of the meet. This looks like the best chance for a picture since arriving at the Pomp.
    6-Agedchedar Hanover (6-1)-Does drop but will need best to beat this class. Should offer a solid price as this race may set-up to come off cover and roll by down the lane.

    0.50 Pick 4

    4,5,6/6,8/1,6,7/1,5,6
    Total Bet=$27.00
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358030

      #3
      Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/6/20


      December 6, 2020
      Jeff Siegel’s Gulfstream Park Analysis & Wagering Strategies
      Sunday, December 6, 2020

      *

      Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
      *
      The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes. For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
      *
      *
      Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


      RACE 1: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: C+
      Use: 1-Under the Couvers; 4-Berhanu; 6-Lord of War

      Forecast: The known element doesn’t inspire so let’s try a first-timer with intriguing credentials in a wide-open affair that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Lord of War shows a brief work tab for a barn that has excellent stats with debut runners and a bullet gate drill at Palm Meadows in late October. At 5-1 on the morning line, he may be worth a small gamble. Under the Couvers shortens in trip, lands she rail, has a powerful jockey/trainer combo (E. Zayas, S. Joseph, Jr.) and should be part of the pace throughout. Berhanu, the “other” Joseph, Jr.-trained runner in the field, surfaces in a seller for the first time while returning to turf and could easily be better than shown.
      *
      *
      RACE 2: Post: 1:04 ET Grade: B-
      Use: 1-Company Store; 8-Captain Duke

      Forecast: Company Store drops to the bottom, removes blinkers, and should have enough gate speed to flee the rail and handle this soft bottom-rung restricted (nw-2) claimer. He’s reunited with “win rider” T. Gaffalione and owns a prior win over this track and distance. Captain Duke is comfortably drawn outside and is another dropping to his lowest level ever. He’s hit the board in eight of nine career starts and figures in the fray once again. We’ll give Company Store the edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
      *
      *
      RACE 3: Post: 1:33 ET Grade: B
      Use: 1-L’Indiscret; 6-Black Magic Woman; 7-Take Charge Ro

      Forecast: Black Magic Woman burned a considerable amount of money in a pair of dirt sprints at Saratoga last summer but we’ll give her one more chance on the stretch out in trip combined with the switch to grass. The daughter of Uncle Mo remains well-regarded by T. Pletcher and should be capable of taking this group gate-to-wire while offering value in the win pool at her morning line of 5/2 if you can get it. For protection, rolling exotic players may wish to use L’Indiscret and Take Charge Ro on a back-up ticket. The former is solid on speed figures and finished in the frame in a pair of Belmont Park maiden special weight affairs before vanning down, while the latter was a good runner-up in a similar affair at Keeneland in mid-October and probably has further improvement in her.
      *
      *
      RACE 4: Post: 2:03 ET Grade: C+
      Use: 4-Toastnjam; 7-Florado

      Forecast: Florado draws a cozy outside post in this seven runner maiden-claiming sprint and though hardly one to trust (she’s a 12-race maiden) the daughter of Commissioner gets what looks like her easiest chance yet. The P. Walder/M. Vasquez trainer-jockey team is powerful so at 5/2 on the morning line she deserves the edge on top over Toastnjam, herself winless in 11 starts but knocking on the door with two recent runner-up efforts and with early speed go put her in the first flight throughout.
      *
      *
      RACE 5: Post: 2:36 ET Grade: C+
      Use: 2-Reliability ; 8-Strong Headed; 9-Alastor

      Forecast: We’ll go three-deep on our ticket in this grass grab bag for restricted (nw-2) $20,000 older claimers and hope that’s sufficient. Reliability was a convincing winner at Laurel Park two races back that if repeated makes him the one to beat. The son of Tapit requires patient handling and with some fractions to run at and clear sailing through the lane the B. Russell-trained gelding may get up in time. Strong Headed drops below his claim level after a poor effort in an off-the-turf affair at GPW that is best ignored. His second place effort two races back charts well here and he’s hit the board in five of six career starts over the local lawn, so on pure form he figures in the thick of it. Alastor is drawn farther out than we’d prefer (he’s nine of nine) but if he can get over and make the running – just as he did two races back when breaking his maiden here in August – the S. Joseph, Jr.-trained gelding may get very brave.
      *
      *
      RACE 6: Post: 3:07 ET Grade: B-
      Use: 1-Mr. Mazza; 3-Teachable Moment; 12-Seize the Hay

      Forecast: This maiden-claiming turf miler is yet another challenging event. Teachable Moment returns off a nearly one year layoff for M. Maker (strong stats with comebackers) and has form last year that makes him quite dangerous. In fact, he shows a speed figure three runs back that would bury this group, so we’ll put him on top at 4-1 on the morning line. Mr. Mazza lands the rail in his first try around two-turns and his first for a tag. The Gemologist gelding certainly is bred to stay a mile, shows a healthy local work tab, and seems likely to try gate-to-wire tactics. He’s 10-1 on the morning line and against this group that’s fairly enticing. Seize the Day, the 2-1 morning line favorite, is hung wide in the 12-hole and will need to negotiate a decent trip, but in his first start in three months at his lowest level ever the T. Pletcher-trained colt has every right to improve. He’ll be doing his best work from off the pace.
      *
      *
      RACE 7: Post: 3:38 ET Grade: B
      Use: 2-Royal Habibi; 5-Sassy Beast

      Forecast: Royal Habibi was overmatched in a recent sprint stakes but is realistically spotted today in this starter’s allowance affair for juvenile fillies. She broke her maiden over this main track last summer by more than eight lengths and should enjoy a similar second flight, stalking trip. Sassy Beat didn’t break any stop watches when graduating at first asking at GPW last month did it stylishly and certainly has a right to step forward with that bit of experience behind her. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics with the edge on top going to Royal Habibi.
      *
      *
      RACE 8: Post: 4:09 ET Grade: B
      Use: 7-All Come True; 8-Centsless Drama; 9-Bean Counter

      Forecast: All Come True won her only start more than a year ago in good maiden company at Chantilly in France while earning a respectable 75 Timeform rating, and if she can duplicate that type of performance in her U.S. debut for G. Motion she can pick up where she left off. The French-bred filly attracts red-hot riding L. Saez, shows a solid foundation of works to have her fit and ready for her U. S debut and offers value at or near her morning line of 9/2. Just in case, we’ll include a couple of others on a backup ticket. Centsless Drama has been no worse than second in four starts over the Gulfstream Park turf course and if she can shake loose early without pressure the front-running daughter of Big Drama will take them a long way. Bean Counter, first or second in six of 11 career starts, likely will settle into a stalking position outside and then have her chance from the quarter pole home.
      *
      *
      RACE 9: Post: 4:40 ET Grade: C+
      Use: 1-Soldollie; 3-Northern; 12-Dr Harlan

      Forecast: Soldollie may be the quickest of the quick in this modest sprint and seems certain to be on the engine from the rail. He’s dropping to the bottom for the first time and if he leaves cleanly the Soldat gelding may never glook back. Northern has been popular at the claim box lately and today goes for the K. Mongeon stable while switching to E. Zayas. A winner of 16 races from 39 starts, the veteran Adios Charlie is an admirable sort and is always tough to beat in these bottom-rung sprints. Dr Harlan has burned money in his last three starts and isn’t one to trust, but if there’s a pace meltdown he’ll be the beneficiary. Today he’s listed at 15-1 on the morning line and at that price he’s worth tossing in somewhere.
      *
      *
      RACE 10: Post: 5:11 ET Grade: C+
      Use: 2-Rule Yourself; 5-Hero Tiger; 11-Pont Du Gard; 12-National Honor

      Forecast: The finale is an inscrutable turf miler for mid-level claimers. Best advice is to include as many as your budget allows. Rule Yourself moves up a couple of notches after being nosed out at GPW last month. On pure numbers he’s a fit with this group and switches to P. Lopez, so we’ll put him slightly on top at 7/2 on the morning line. Hero Tiger always has preferred to run second or third rather than win but with the return to grass (after five consecutive off-the-turf outings) and being reunited with “win rider” E. Zayas he should have a say in the matter. Pont Du Gard stretches out again, returns to grass, drops a notch and switches to T. Gaffalione. On his best day, he’s right there. National Honor is poorly drawn in the 12-hole but has form at Parx – including a win in his most recent start in September – that lands him in the fray and he does have two prior wins over local lawn.
      *
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358030

        #4
        Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


        Laurel Park - Race #3
        #1 Gold Finch Might be able to work out a forward trip today while adding blinkers on the cutback, and her running lines stack up well as she drops back into the maiden claiming ranks.
        #5 Adhwaa She has landed runner-up finishes in all three tries with similar, and she's a threat from off the pace with this group. Third start off the layoff may do the trick.
        #9 Rona She's heading into her 12th lifetime run, so she's out of excuses at this point, but she's generally an okay fit with this kind and can pass some late.
        Race Summary Gold Finch gets blinkers on today, and she has already shown a touch of tactical pace at points in the past. She should offer a playable price with Adhwaa likely to take some cash in here along with #3 Bourbon Wildcat.
        Laurel Park - Race #6
        #6 Thunderinthevalley Owns some tactical pace in a race mostly lacking other forward players, and that should give her the jump on most of the other main threats in here today.
        #11 Bean Indiscreet Drops to her lowest level yet, and she and the top choice make for what feels like a top-heavy race. The one to beat at a likely underlaid price.
        #3 Walk It Out Nanny Has run fairly well in her two longest races, both at six furlongs, so there is some hope that the added ground here will allow her to come along late for a piece at a price.
        Race Summary Thunderinthevalley has had a few chances at this level, but the race shape flatters her running style, and she'd be appealing at something like the 5/2 ML price.
        Laurel Park - Race #8
        #1 Trustyourinstinct Tough to split the top two, but this guy gets some class relief into the maiden claiming ranks for the first time, and he should get a forward trip going this mile distance.
        #6 Tyreek Steps up after a useful debut run when rallying late with $16,000 company. Some upside in this second start of his career would leave him right in the mix at this longer trip.
        #5 Determined Focus Went evenly with better last time out, but that kind of effort may translate well on the drop while getting another furlong to work with today.
        Race Summary Trustyourinstinct and Tyreek have both turned in recent running lines that should make them competitive here, but Trustyourinstinct gets some class relief while Tyreek steps up, giving the edge for the former.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358030

          #5
          Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


          Gulfstream Park - Race #3
          #1 L'Indiscret Lost a three-horse photo at Belmont last out and is getting close with every start; can get a perfect trip just off the pace.
          #3 Summer Returns Ran on well for second going short and looks ready to go two turns; in good position from the start.
          #6 Black Magic Woman Set the pace and tired in two sprints at Saratoga; might be able to relax more stretching out and is bred to run longer.
          Race Summary L'Indiscret can get a good stalking run just a few lengths off the leaders and should be able to close it out late.
          Gulfstream Park - Race #5
          #8 Strong Headed Was in good form until his last, when the race came off the turf and was contested in the slop; was claimed two races back by Eppler and can pay the dividends here.
          #1 Sir Hoski Has a good late move and will be coming on strong in the stretch of this one; has an excellent chance to get into the exacta.
          #3 Vintage Kitten Has taken on much better and should be able to wake up in this spot;
          Race Summary Strong Headed has been on the board in five of seven races and can carve out a good trip here; can get the jump on deep closers and should be able to hold sway.
          Gulfstream Park - Race #6
          #4 Beyond the Call Ran close to some good runners earlier in the year at GP and lands in a good spot for his first off the bench.
          #1 Mr. Massa Had a pair of sprints at Monmouth and is bred to stretch out; can improve on this drop in class.
          #3 Teachable Moment Faded in his last one, which came last December; has been on the board in some good races and should be close-up from the beginning.
          Race Summary Beyond the Call has run well on occasion and should be able to put up a fight against these.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358030

            #6
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

            Laurel Park - Race 6
            EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 6-7) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (Races 6-7-8) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
            Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 62 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 2:53P
            (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
            Contenders
            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line
            Accept
            Odds

            Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ALL ABOUT AUDREY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ALL ABOUT AUDREY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BELLY FLOP: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Po wer Rating. THUNDERINTHEVALLEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SOLEA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BEAN INDISCREET: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
            8
            ALL ABOUT AUDREY
            15/1
            5/1
            4
            BELLY FLOP
            5/1
            7/1
            6
            THUNDERINTHEVALLEY
            5/2
            7/1
            2
            SOLEA
            8/1
            8/1
            11
            BEAN INDISCREET
            2/1
            9/1

            P#
            Horse (In Running Style Order)
            Post
            Morn
            Line
            Running Style
            Good
            Class
            Good
            Speed
            Early Figure
            Finish Figure
            Platinum
            Figure
            8
            ALL ABOUT AUDREY
            8
            15/1
            Front-runner
            60
            51
            49.0
            46.6
            37.1
            4
            BELLY FLOP
            4
            5/1
            Stalker
            66
            58
            34.1
            47.4
            42.4
            2
            SOLEA
            2
            8/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            64
            51
            42.4
            48.9
            42.4
            6
            THUNDERINTHEVALLEY
            6
            5/2
            Alternator/Stalker
            63
            45
            40.0
            56.8
            51.8
            3
            WALK IT OUT NANNY
            3
            15/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            65
            53
            35.2
            43.2
            29.2
            1
            CAN I EVER
            1
            30/1
            Trailer
            0
            0
            0.0
            34.1
            16.1
            11
            BEAN INDISCREET
            11
            2/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            67
            61
            51.3
            34.8
            27.3
            5
            BOTTLE COURAGE
            5
            20/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            0
            0
            35.6
            45.2
            30.7
            9
            CARROT CAKE
            9
            20/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            66
            64
            50.4
            43.4
            28.4
            10
            DIAL EMMA REILLY
            10
            15/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            0
            0
            22.7
            38.3
            21.8
            7
            COUNTRY MISS
            7
            20/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            67
            37
            9.5
            31.3
            14.3
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358030

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hawthorne



              Hawthorne - Race 2
              $1 Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 20 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) / $1 Daily Double
              Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 68 • Purse: $8,500 • Post: 1:25P
              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2019 - 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 6, 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $3,200 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY AND ALLOWANCES).
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Lone Front-runner. AMERICAN HOLIDAY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * R U FORREAL: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse h as the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. AMERICAN HOLIDAY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
              6
              R U FORREAL
              6/5
              7/2
              5
              AMERICAN HOLIDAY
              4/1
              9/2

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              5
              AMERICAN HOLIDAY
              5
              4/1
              Alternator/Front-runner
              71
              61
              66.2
              48.4
              41.9
              2
              KLONDIKE ANNIE
              2
              12/1
              Stalker
              62
              63
              67.6
              52.8
              42.8
              6
              R U FORREAL
              6
              6/5
              Trailer
              79
              76
              44.2
              68.4
              66.4
              4
              DON'T HOLD QUEENS
              4
              3/1
              Trailer
              68
              63
              19.7
              55.1
              50.1
              3
              TRUE TO JEANINE
              3
              15/1
              Alternator/Trailer
              71
              66
              41.4
              48.4
              39.4
              8
              CONSTANCIA
              8
              20/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              80
              78
              62.4
              31.8
              19.8
              1
              HAL'S MISCHIEF
              1
              20/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              69
              53
              39.2
              46.8
              35.3
              7
              ICE ATTACK
              7
              30/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              0
              0
              32.0
              24.8
              9.3
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358030

                #8
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                Mountaineer Park - Race #2 - Post: 7:25pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,900 Class Rating: 61

                Rating:

                #5 SHESMYHEARTANDSOUL (ML=2/1)


                SHESMYHEARTANDSOUL - Trainer Welsh moves this animal down the class ladder to face a lower class field. Look for a solid race at this level. That 65 fig this mare registered in her last race tells me she's a key player today. Last two Equibase speed figures (66, 65) were solid. Anything close to that in this field and this one may win easily.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #2 RIBBONITE (ML=7/5), #3 DOYLE THE WARRIOR (ML=3/1),

                RIBBONITE - I'd like to see more preferred recent efforts with morning line odds of 7/5. This pony hasn't been on the track since Oct 22nd. Not even any morning drills. DOYLE THE WARRIOR - A stretch-runner like this one needs a ding-dong battle to set things up and she isn't likely to get one in this one. Couldn't close ground whatsoever on November 25th. Hard to play this time around at the expected odds.



                STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #5 SHESMYHEARTANDSOUL on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
                EXACTA WAGERS: Pass

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                Skip
                SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358030

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.




                  Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 78

                  FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 6 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  # 3 MAGI 9/2
                  # 4 CAYMANS COBRA 5/2
                  # 6 ARCHRIVAL 3/1
                  I think about MAGI here. The speed figure of 75 from his most recent contest looks very good in here. Has a very strong shot in this competition if you like back class. CAYMANS COBRA - With Murrill aboard him, this gelding will most likely be able to break out sharply in here. He should have a strong performance versus this softer field. ARCHRIVAL - Has performed admirably lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 66 avg speed rating. With a decent 77 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will surely be a factor in this outing.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358030

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 4 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $8655 Class Rating: 76

                    QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 1 MAX PRIZE 9/5
                    # 3 JUNNIOR BONNER 3/1
                    # 5 DF FABULOUS FEIEND 7/2
                    MAX PRIZE looks to be a formidable contender. Is a strong contender based on figures posted recently under today's conditions. He should definitely be given a chance given the decent speed figures. Looks competitive to be on or close to the lead at the first call. JUNNIOR BONNER - Looks formidable for the conditions of this outing today, showing solid figures in short races lately. He has quite good class ratings, averaging 75, and has to be given consideration in here. DF FABULOUS FEIEND - Appears to be the type to be helped now going off Lasix here. Put up a strong speed rating last time out.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358030

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:36pm - Claiming - 9.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 90

                      Rating:

                      #8 STRONG HEADED (ML=9/2)
                      #2 RELIABILITY (ML=5/2)
                      #7 NEW YORK STYLE (ML=10/1)


                      STRONG HEADED - Solid average class rating on this horse. Should have the power to run well on the turf. Jockey jumped on this gelding's back for the initial time on Oct 10th. Should know the equine even better this time. Entered a $25,000 Optional Claiming race at Gulfstream Park West in the last race and raced on a track listed as good finishing seventh. I'd expect a better race in this field. RELIABILITY - Taking a trip down in class ranks; has the form to make his presence felt. This thoroughbred ran out of the money at Gulfstream Park West last race out in the slop. He should improve right here without the off-track conditions. NEW YORK STYLE - Alter brings him right back. I suggest you stay with this hot colt. Look at this colt's PP lines. With each event he keeps getting closer. That 85 fig this colt earned in his last race tells me he's a key player in today's event. This colt is obviously on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 49, 74, 85 last 3 out.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #9 ALASTOR (ML=3/1), #3 VINTAGE KITTEN (ML=6/1), #1 SIR HOSKI (ML=8/1),

                      ALASTOR - One should normally not bet on a mount in the next start after finishing off the board following a long breather. SIR HOSKI - No races since Aug 29th, probably too long ago to do well this time out. Not probable that the speed rating he earned on August 29th will hold up in this event.



                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Play #8 STRONG HEADED to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,7,8]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Box [2,7,8] Total Cost: $6
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [2,7,8] with [2,7,8] with [2,4,6,7,8] with [2,4,6,7,8] Total Cost: $36

                      SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                      [2,7,8] with [2,7,8] with [2,6,7,8] with [1,2,4,6,7,8] with [1,2,4,6,7,8] Total Cost: $72
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