Friday 11/27/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 353011

    #16
    Kevin Dolan

    Event: (147) Nebraska at (148) Iowa
    Sport/League: CFB
    Date/Time: November 27, 2020 1PM EST
    Play: Iowa -13.5 (-110)
    PLAY: IOWA -13.5
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 353011

      #17
      Hakeem Profit

      Event: (305915) Bayern at (305916) Panathinaikos
      Sport/League: BSKT
      Date/Time: November 27, 2020 2PM EST
      Play: Bayern +2.0 (-110)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 353011

        #18
        Brandon Siefken

        Event: (613) Drake at (614) South Dakota
        Sport/League: CBB
        Date/Time: November 27, 2020 2PM EST
        Play: Total Over 146.0 (-101)
        My numbers have this game total at 159, a 13 point discrepancy from the bookies. That is enough value to bet.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 353011

          #19
          Hakeem Profit

          Event: (305917) FC Barcelona at (305918) Lyon-Villeurbanne
          Sport/League: BSKT
          Date/Time: November 27, 2020 2PM EST
          Play: FC Barcelona -11.0 (-110)
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 353011

            #20
            Brandon Siefken

            Event: (305917) FC Barcelona at (305918) Lyon-Villeurbanne
            Sport/League: BSKT
            Date/Time: November 27, 2020 2PM EST
            Play: FC Barcelona -11.0 (-126)
            My numbers have Barcelona a 25 point favorite for a 14 point discrepancy. Lay the 11 with Barcelona.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 353011

              #21
              Nick Borrman

              Event: Steph Curry/Peyton Manning vs Phil Mickelson/Charles Barkley
              Sport/League: GLF
              Date/Time: November 27, 2020 3PM EST
              Play: Phil Mickelson/Charles Barkley (+140)
              The Match III
              I had to research this format because you can play modified alternate shot many different ways. When I first heard the format a couple weeks ago, I immediately looked at taking Curry and Manning as it’s normally both players hit their tee shot, then alternate shots from there. But for this format, they both get to hit a 2nd shot before choosing. So each player tees off, then the partners hit each others balls for the 2nd shot and beginning with the 3rd shot, they play true alternate shot from there.
              Why is that important, well as long as Chuck keeps the ball in play off the tee, Mickelson should be able to recover or get something on the green pretty regularly. And if Phil bombs a few leaving Chuck a short club in, he will be able to get a couple on the green as his swing does look improved from the swing everyone knows he had.
              Mickelson has the advantage of probably 40 yards off the tee while he obviously also has the advantage of hitting the 2nd shot into any green, plus a huge advantage on all Par 3's. Curry and Manning are both solid players, Curry even playing a few professional events, but never really competing. I know that level of golf. I can play that level of golf and let me tell you, the next level, PGA Tour level, is a whole other animal. Curry and Manning will be solid, but Mickelson can carry Barkley and at the +140 price we are seeing, it’s the only way to play this. You can’t lay -160 on Curry and Manning, you just can’t.
              TAKE PHIL MICKELSON & CHARLES BARKLEY OVER STEPH CURRY & PEYTON MANNING
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 353011

                #22
                Kevin Dolan

                Event: (200025) Newcastle United at (200026) Crystal Palace
                Sport/League: SOC
                Date/Time: November 27, 2020 3PM EST
                Play: Both Teams to Score - NO (-115)
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 353011

                  #23
                  Tony Mejia

                  Event: (679) Arkansas State at (680) Marshall
                  Sport/League: CBB
                  Date/Time: November 27, 2020 4PM EST
                  Play: Total Over 156.5 (-110)
                  Both of these programs return their starting backcourt and have high hopes for this strange season as they head into their opener. Marshall returns 11 scholarship players but had its program put on pause and had to scramble to fill its schedule again, landing the Red Wolves as a visitor. With top scorers Marquis Eaton and Caleb Fields back to run the show, look for Arkansas State to oblige the Thundering Herd with a track meet, hoping hot shooting can produce an upset. They’ll need big games from senior Christian Willis and freshmen Malcolm Farrington and Lazar Grbovic to hang around, but the point of this game will be to let this new gain confidence offensively against a team that looks to run at all costs with Dan D’Antoni hoping to pick up where he left off when last season ended as they scored 85.5 points over their last four games. Expect a wide-open contest to deliver on the high side in reaching at least 157.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 353011

                    #24
                    The Prez

                    Event: (151) Wyoming at (152) UNLV
                    Sport/League: CFB
                    Date/Time: November 27, 2020 4PM EST
                    Play: Wyoming -16.5 (-110)
                    UNLV continues to audition for the starting quarterback position playing anything but what it is called, e.g., being a two-headed QB attack should be. Two-heads are better than one, and the word "attack" insinuates danger.
                    Justin Rogers and Max Gilliam are the pair of heads that are not yet equal to one head let alone the better, which is two. The Rebels' loss to San Jose State saw sophomore Rogers recording 12-of-18 attempts for 162 yards and one touchdown. The more experienced senior Gilliam was 7-of-10 for 62 yards. Neither performance will turn the tables for this winless UNLV squad.
                    With a 1-2 record, Wyoming is not just better than their record; they could well be a perfect 3-0 with a pair of better bounces of the ball. The 34-24 loss at Fort Collins found the Rams playing a near-perfect game and an overtime loss to the perfect 5-0 Wolf Pack in the two team's season opener. The Cowboys get their first victory away from Larmarie and do so in a rout.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 353011

                      #25
                      Dave Cokin

                      Event: (139) Oregon at (140) Oregon State
                      Sport/League: CFB
                      Date/Time: November 27, 2020 7PM EST
                      Play: Oregon -13.5 (-110)
                      Rivalry battle with more importance generally assigned to Oregon State as they're clearly the little brother in this annual clash. The Beavers are no longer PAC-12 punching bags as head coach Jonathan Smith has done a nice job of upgrading the talent. But OSU is still one of the weaker teams in the league and they're probably catching Oregon at the wrong time. The Ducks got very lucky last week in barely escaping against UCLA. Oregon got absolutely destroyed on both sides of the ground game matchup, and when a team loses that stat by nearly 200 yards they almost always lose the game. I'm banking on a much more concentrated effort here. The Beavers don't throw it well, and I fully expect them to try and exploit the Oregon rush defense. But if the Ducks are better prepared they should be able to at least limit the OSU run game. There's not a thing wrong with the Oregon offense. Tyler Shough is a big time weapon with his arms and legs. I'd be very surprised to see the Beavers contain this attack and feel pretty confident Oregon gets to 35 in this game. Don't expect an ATS romp, but I like my power rating projection here, which has the Ducks by 16. Not a huge edge, but certainly playable and I'm laying the number with Oregon.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 353011

                        #26
                        Bryan Leonard

                        Event: (139) Oregon at (140) Oregon State
                        Sport/League: CFB
                        Date/Time: November 27, 2020 7PM EST
                        Play: Oregon State +13.0 (-110)
                        140 Oregon at Oregon State
                        There is a lot of love out there for the Oregon Ducks, but we still aren't convinced. There has to be some sort of regression at QB after seeing what's going on with the Chargers rookie signal caller. Oregon returned just four starters on the offense, so not sure we trust them to win big on the road in a rivalry game.
                        Oregon State improved by three wins last year under Jonathan Smith. The Beavers returned nine starters, and the unit looks much improved. This team gave the Ducks a game last year in Eugene losing 24-10. We look for another lower scoring affair with the host getting the cover.
                        PLAY OREGON STATE
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 353011

                          #27
                          Friday's College Basketball Tech Trends & Probabilities
                          Thom Cunningham

                          College basketball tip off continues with Friday action, and what a slate it is.

                          There are plenty of games to wager on for Friday, with the biggest games of the day listed below.

                          Check out the betting trends and implied probabilities for college basketball's top games today.

                          Friday's College Basketball Top Games

                          GONZAGA vs. AUBURN (11 a.m., FOX)

                          Venue: Suncoast Credit Union Arena
                          Location: Fort Myers, Florida
                          Implied Probability: Gonzaga - 91.8%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Gonzaga has won five straight games
                          Auburn has won 15 of its last 16 games when playing on a neutral court
                          Gonzaga has won 24 of its last 25 games

                          VIRGINIA vs. SAN FRANCISCO (11:30 a.m., ESPN)
                          Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
                          Location: Uncasville, Connecticut
                          Implied Probability: Virginia - 92.6%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Coming Soon

                          TOLEDO at XAVIER (Noon, FS1)
                          Venue: Cintas Center
                          Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
                          Implied Probability: Xavier - 86.2%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Coming Soon

                          OHIO at ILLINOIS (1 p.m., BTN)
                          Venue: State Farm Center
                          Location: Champaign, Illinois
                          Implied Probability: Illinois - 96.2%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Coming Soon

                          WESTERN KENTUCKY vs. WEST VIRGINIA (1:30 p.m., ESPN)
                          Venue: Sanford Pentagon
                          Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
                          Implied Probability: West Virginia - 78.9%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Coming Soon

                          ST. JOSEPH'S vs. KANSAS (2 p.m., FS1)
                          Venue: Suncoast Credit Union Arena
                          Location: Fort Myers, Florida
                          Implied Probability: Kansas - 96.2%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Coming Soon

                          SAM HOUSTON STATE at TEXAS TECH (2 p.m., ESPNU)
                          Venue: United Supermarkets Arena
                          Location: Lubbock, Texas
                          Implied Probability: Texas Tech - 99%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Texas Tech has won 31 of its last 36 home games

                          BOISE STATE at HOUSTON (3 p.m., ESPN+)
                          Venue: Fertitta Center
                          Location: Houston, Texas
                          Implied Probability: Houston - 90.1%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Houston has won 11 straight home games

                          SETON HALL at LOUISVILLE (4 p.m., ESPN2)
                          Venue: KFC Yum! Center
                          Location: Louisville, Kentucky
                          Implied Probability: Louisville - 72.6%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Louisville has won 10 of its last 13 games when facing Seton Hall

                          UTAH STATE vs. UNI (4 p.m., ESPNU)
                          Venue: Sanford Pentagon
                          Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
                          Implied Probability: UNI - 57.3%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Coming Soon

                          SOUTH DAKOTA STATE vs. SAINT MARY'S (6:30 p.m., ESPN2)
                          Venue: Sanford Pentagon
                          Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
                          Implied Probability: TBD

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Coming Soon

                          LITTLE ROCK vs. UNC-GREENSBORO (7 p.m., ESPN3)
                          TV-Time: ESPN3 , 7 p.m.
                          Venue: KFC Yum! Center
                          Location: Louisville, Kentucky
                          Implied Probability: UNC-Greensboro - 59.7%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Little Rock has lost six straight prime-time games when playing on a Friday
                          Little Rock has won the second half in four of its last five games

                          UC-IRVINE at SAN DIEGO STATE (7 p.m., MWN)
                          Venue: Viejas Arena
                          Location: San Diego, California
                          Implied Probability: San Diego State - 91.8%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          San Diego State has won 31 of its last 33 games

                          COLORADO at KANSAS STATE (8:30 p.m., ESPNU)
                          Venue: Bramlage Coliseum
                          Location: Manhattan, Kansas
                          Implied Probability: Colorado - 73.3%

                          TECH TRENDS
                          Kansas State has won eight straight prime-time home games when playing on a Friday

                          VCU vs. MEMPHIS (9 p.m., ESPN2)
                          Venue: Sanford Pentagon
                          Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
                          Implied Probability: Memphis - 75.9%
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 353011

                            #28
                            NCAAB

                            Friday, November 27


                            Gonzaga vs Auburn (@ Ft Myers, FL)
                            Gonzaga (1-0)
                            — 2 starters back from LY’s 31-2 team
                            — picked 1st in WCC, 1st in country by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #1 by KenPom
                            — Gonzaga whipped Kansas 102-90 yesterday; they shot 77% inside arc.
                            — Game was 56-all with 16:35 left to play.
                            — Zags have a 7-man rotation; one of their subs played 32:00.

                            Auburn (1-0)
                            — Auburn is ineligible for the NCAA’s this season.
                            — 0 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
                            — picked 7th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #68 by KenPom
                            — Auburn blew an 11-point lead, needed OT to beat St Joe’s yesterday.
                            — Tigers were 9-32 on arc, 29-43 on foul line- they played 10 guys 11:00+.

                            Western Kentucky vs West Virginia (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
                            Western Kentucky (2-0)
                            — WKU has all 5 starters back from LY’s 20-10 team
                            — picked 1st in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #69 by KenPom.
                            — Hilltoppers won the last two days, by 6 points each.
                            — WKU played seven guys 16:00+ yesterday; they shortened rotation a little.
                            — WKU won twice despite opponents shooting 29-59 on arc.

                            West Virginia (2-0)
                            — West Virginia has 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
                            — WVU is picked 4th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #7 by KenPom.
                            — WVU won last two days by 8-12 points, scoring 79-78 points.
                            — WVU played eight guys 13:00+ last nite.
                            — Mountaineers were +14 on boards vs VCU, survived 20 turnovers.

                            Kansas vs St Joe’s (@ Ft Myers, FL)
                            Kansas (0-1)
                            — 3 starters back from LY’s 28-3 team
                            — picked 6th in country, #2 in Big X by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #6 by KenPom.
                            — Jayhawks lost 102-90 to Gonzaga; game was 54-46 at halftime.
                            — Kansas played two guys more than 28:00.
                            — Jayhawks Gonzaga shot 77% inside arc; lot of layups.

                            St Joe’s (0-1)
                            — 3 starters back from LY’s 6-26 team
                            — picked 13th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #161 by KenPom, moved up 3 spots with the loss.
                            — Hawks’ new point guard is a transfer from Gonzaga.
                            — St Joe’s lost 96-91 in OT to Auburn; they were down 10 at half.
                            — Three Hawks played 36:00+.

                            Boise State @ Houston
                            Boise State
                            — season opener for Boise.
                            — 2 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
                            — picked 4th in MW by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #106 by KenPom
                            — Deeper, more talented than they’ve been in a while
                            — Guys on TV were talking Boise up as a Mountain West contender.

                            Houston (1-0)
                            — Cougars waxed Lamar 89-45 Wednesday.
                            — 3 starters back from LY’s 23-9 team
                            — picked 1st in AAC by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #17 by KenPom
                            — Houston starts three seniors.
                            — 6-5 Tramon Mack was 10-13 on line in only 17:00 vs Lamar.

                            UCLA vs Pepperdine (@ San Diego)
                            UCLA (0-1)
                            — Bruins lost to San Diego State in opener; they were missing 2 of top 6 guys.
                            — UCLA has all 5 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
                            — Bruins are picked 2nd in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
                            — UCLA is ranked #40 by KenPom.
                            — UCLA played three guys 31:00+ vs Aztecs; when do other two come back?
                            — This is the Super Bowl for Pepperdine; pressure on Bruins to win here.

                            Pepperdine (1-0)
                            — Pepperdine has 4 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
                            — picked 4th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #100 by KenPom.
                            — Waves have a very good senior point guard.
                            — Beat Cal-Irvine 86-72 Wednesday, shooting 60% inside arc.
                            — Lorenzo Romar was an assistant at UCLA when they won national title in ’95.

                            Seton Hall @ Louisville
                            Seton Hall
                            — This is Seton Hall’s opener.
                            — Pirates have 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team.
                            — Pirates are picked 3rd in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
                            — Seton Hall is ranked #52 by KenPom.
                            — Seton Hall won 20+ games the last five years.
                            — Pirates lost three key seniors, are still expected to be good.

                            Louisville (1-0)
                            — Louisville has 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
                            — picked 5th in ACC by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #25 by KenPom.
                            — Louisville pounded Evansville 79-44 in its opener. .
                            — Cardinals start two frosh, two sophs; they used a 7-man rotation.
                            — Louisville lost 75% of scoring, 66% of rebounding from LY.

                            Northern Iowa vs Utah State(@ Sioux Falls, SD)
                            Northern Iowa (0-2)
                            — UNI lost its first two games by total of 8 points.
                            — 3 starters back from LY’s 25-6 team
                            — picked 2nd in MVC by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #79 by KenPom
                            — UNI is 0-2, despite shooting 27-55 on arc in two games.
                            — Three Panthers played 31:00+ yesterday.

                            Utah State (0-2)
                            — Utah State lost its first two games, by 16-24 points.
                            — 3 starters back from LY’s 26-6 team
                            — picked 2nd in MW by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #91 by KenPom, down 16 slots in two days
                            — Aggies turned ball over 23.7% of time in first two games.
                            — Utah State starts four juniors; no one played more than 28:00 yesterday.

                            Fresno State @ Pacific
                            Fresno State (1-0)
                            — Fresno State beat up on an NAIA stiff in their opener
                            — 1 starter back from LY’s 11-19 team
                            — picked 9th in MW by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #153 by KenPom
                            — Fresno State had 7 players transfer last year.
                            — Bulldogs have a big rebuild here; lot of new players.

                            Pacific (1-0)
                            — Pacific beat Riverside 66-60 in their opener, going only 13-24 on line.
                            — 3 starters back from LY’s 23-10 team
                            — picked 6th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #125 by KenPom
                            — Riverside shot 57% inside arc vs Pacific Wednesday.

                            — Fresno beat Pacific at home in OT in last meeting, two years ago.

                            South Dakota State vs Saint Mary’s (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
                            South Dakota State (1-1)
                            — all 5 starters back from LY’s 22-10 team
                            — picked 1st in Summit by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #76 by KenPom, up 19 slots in two days
                            — Jackrabbits made 15-27 on arc, beat Utah State 83-59 yesterday.
                            — SD State played nine guys 11:00+ last nite.

                            Saint Mary’s (1-1)
                            — 2 starters back from LY’s 26-9 team
                            — picked 5th in WCC by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #77 by KenPom
                            — Gaels nipped Northern Iowa 66-64 last nite; they were down 7 with 4:00 left.
                            — Saint Mary’s split its first two games, shooting 10-47 on arc.
                            — Senior guard Kuhse played 73:00 the last two days.

                            Tex-Arlington @ Louisiana Tech
                            Tex-Arlington (0-1)
                            — 3 starters back from LY’s 14-18 team
                            — picked 8th in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #159 by KenPom
                            — UTA lost opener 75-68 at home to Oklahoma State; they were up a hoop with 10:20 left.
                            — Mavericks start 3 sophs, 2 juniors; they were 5-26 on arc vs OSU.

                            Louisiana Tech
                            — This is Tech’s season opener.
                            — Tech has one starter back from LY’s 22-8 team.
                            — picked 9th in C-USA by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #111 by KenPom.
                            — Bulldogs have five seniors, but also have a new point guard.

                            Colorado @ Kansas State
                            Colorado (1-0)
                            — has 3 starters back from LY’s 21-11 team
                            — picked 6th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #62 by KenPom
                            — Have senior PG, but lost Tyler Bey to NBA.
                            — Buffs beat South Dakota 84-61 in their opener.
                            — Colorado starts three seniors, two juniors.

                            Kansas State (0-1)
                            — K-State starts a freshman, three sophs.
                            — 2 starters back from LY’s 11-21 team
                            — picked last in Big X by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #127 by KenPom
                            — Wildcats got upset 80-70 at home by Drake Wednesday.
                            — Wildcats led by 7 early in 2nd half; Drake shot 59.5% inside arc.

                            VCU vs Memphis (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
                            VCU (1-1)
                            — VCU has all 1 starter back from LY’s 18-13 team
                            — Rams are picked 10th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
                            — VCU is ranked #80 by KenPom
                            — Rams shot 3-21 from arc in 78-66 loss to West Virginia last nite.
                            — VCU made only 7-38 shots on arc in first two games.
                            — Rams didn’t play anyone more than 27:00 last nite.

                            Memphis (1-1)
                            — Memphis has 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
                            — picked 2nd in AAC by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #31 by KenPom.
                            — Tigers lost 75-69 to WKU yesterday; they played two guys 33:00/34:00.
                            — Memphis led 18-8 early on, had no answer for WKU’s big guy Bassey.
                            — Memphis starts three sophs and a freshman.

                            Cal-Irvine @ San Diego State
                            Cal-Irvine (0-1)
                            — UCI has 1 starter back from LY’s 21-11 team
                            — picked 2nd in Big West by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #122 by KenPom.
                            — Anteaters played in last two NCAA tourneys.
                            — Irvine lost 86-72 to Pepperdine; they’re lot younger than usual this year.
                            — Anteaters played 11 guys 10:00+; they’re looking for answers.

                            San Diego State (1-0)
                            — Trap game for San Diego State after beating UCLA.
                            — Aztecs has 2 starters back from LY’s 30-2 team
                            — picked 2nd in Mountain West by Blue Ribbon
                            — ranked #36 by KenPom.
                            — Aztecs poached grad transfer PG Gomez from Northridge.
                            — 8 of San Diego State’s 12 scholarship guys are juniors/seniors.
                            — Aztecs scored 1.18 ppp in the UCLA, that’s pretty good.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 353011

                              #29
                              601AUBURN -602 GONZAGA
                              GONZAGA is 61-85 ATS (-32.5 Units) in road games as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1997.

                              603SAN FRANCISCO -604 VIRGINIA
                              SAN FRANCISCO is 53-81 ATS (-36.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

                              605TOLEDO -606 XAVIER
                              XAVIER is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 15 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

                              609OHIO U -610 ILLINOIS
                              ILLINOIS are 17-6 ATS (10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game since 1997.

                              611FLA ATLANTIC -612 JACKSONVILLE ST
                              FLA ATLANTIC is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) neutral court, total is 135-139.5 since 1997.

                              613DRAKE -614 S DAKOTA
                              DRAKE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest in the last 3 seasons.

                              619BRADLEY -620 OAKLAND
                              BRADLEY is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest in the last 3 seasons.

                              623BOISE ST -624 HOUSTON
                              HOUSTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game in the last 3 seasons.

                              625CAL DAVIS -626 SANTA CLARA
                              CAL DAVIS are 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

                              627SETON HALL -628 LOUISVILLE
                              LOUISVILLE is 162-125 ATS (24.5 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 353011

                                #30
                                College Football Odds Week 13: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
                                Patrick Everson

                                Quarterback Brock Purdy has helped put Iowa State in contention for its first-ever Big 12 championship. FanDuel Sportsbook opened the Cyclones 2.5-point underdogs at Texas.

                                College football odds for Week 13 are on the betting board and getting action, with a few games of note. At the top of the list, perhaps surprisingly, is upstart and undefeated Indiana traveling to the Horseshoe to face fellow unbeaten Ohio State.

                                FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 13 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

                                College Football Week 13 Odds

                                These are the current College football Week 13 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 23.



                                (2) Notre Dame at (23) North Carolina Odds
                                Opening line
                                Notre Dame -6.5, Over/Under 63.5

                                Why the line moved
                                This line posted early at FanDuel, going up Nov. 17, and therefore has bounced all over the place. Notre Dame opened -6.5 and got out to -9, then plummeted to -3.5 and is -4.5 Monday evening. Despite the wild swings, ticket count and money are running 9/1 on the Fighting Irish. The total went up Sunday at 63.5 and is 66.5 Monday evening, with tickets and money similarly in the 9/1 range on the Over.

                                (15) Iowa State at (21) Texas Odds
                                Opening line
                                Texas -2.5, Over/Under 60.5

                                Why the line moved
                                The Longhorns are down to -1.5 on interesting point-spread betting splits, with the Cyclones getting 62 percent of tickets and Texas taking 55 percent of money as of Monday evening. The total is already down to 57.5 from 60.5, with 77 percent of bets on the Over, but 56 percent of money on the Under.

                                (11) Oregon at Oregon State Odds
                                Opening line
                                Oregon -16.5, Over/Under 61.5

                                Why the line moved
                                This storied Pac-12 rivalry is seeing the double-digit 'dog get early attention at FanDuel, where Oregon opened -16.5, dropped to -12.5 and is at -13.5 Monday evening. The total moved from 61.5 to 64.5. However, FanDuel doesn't yet have betting splits on the spread or total.

                                Kentucky at (5) Florida Odds
                                Opening line
                                Florida -19.5, Over/Under 59.5

                                Why the line moved
                                The Gators sprinted to -24.5 at FanDuel by early Monday morning and are -23.5 as of Monday night, with early point-spread tickets running 4/1 and money more than 9/1 on Florida. The total is down two points to 57.5, despite early tickets and money in the 9/1 range on the Over.

                                Pittsburgh at (4) Clemson Odds
                                Opening line
                                Clemson -26.5, Over/Under 55.5

                                Why the line moved
                                Clemson is down three points to -23.5 at FanDuel on Monday night, although 57 percent of bets/56 percent of dollars are on the Tigers. The total opened at 55.5 and is now 54.5 on limited betting, so FanDuel doesn't yet have splits.

                                (13) Northwestern at Michigan State Odds
                                Opening line
                                Northwestern -9.5, Over/Under 41.5

                                Why the line moved
                                Coming off its big upset of Wisconsin, Northwestern opened -9.5 and is already up to -13.5 Monday night at FanDuel, where 85 percent of early bets and 96 percent of early dollars are on the Wildcats. The total is up a point to 42.5, with ticket count 2/1 on the Under, but money 2/1 on the Over.

                                Colorado at (18) USC Odds
                                Opening line
                                Souther Cal -10.5, Over/Under 63.5

                                Why the line moved
                                Southern Cal reached -13.5 Monday afternoon and is at -12.5 Monday night at FanDuel, with ticket count and money both in the 9/1 range on the Trojans. The total is up a point to 64.5 on limited betting, so splits aren't yet available.

                                (3) Ohio State at Illinois Odds
                                Opening line
                                Ohio State -28.5, Over/Under 69.5

                                Why the line moved
                                FanDuel has the Buckeyes down to -27.5 Monday night, a notch below the opening number, even though early action is all Ohio State, which is attracting 87 percent of bets and 96 percent of money. The total initially dropped a point to 68.5 but is up to 70.5 Monday night, with 80 percent of tickets and 70 percent of money on the Over.

                                (19) Auburn at (1) Alabama Odds
                                Opening line
                                Alabama -21, Over/Under 60.5

                                Why the line moved
                                Alabama is up to -24.5 Monday night at FanDuel, where 61 percent of tickets and 69 percent of dollars are landing on the Crimson Tide. The total is up two points to 62.5, with practically all the early tickets and money on the Over.

                                LSU at (6) Texas A&M Odds
                                Opening line
                                Texas A&M -14.5, Over/Under 64.5

                                Why the line moved
                                The Aggies opened just a tick beyond two-touchdown favorites at FanDuel, then dipped to -12.5 Sunday night, but are now back up to -14.5 Monday night. Texas A&M is attracting 74 percent of early point-spread bets and 88 percent of early point-spread cash. The total fell from 64.5 to 62.5 and is back at the opener Monday night, with the ticket count dead even, but 94 percent of money on the Over.
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