Service Plays Sunday 10/18/20

[rocky57]

Matt Blunt (NFL Sunday Night Best Bet) - San Francisco 49ers +3.5

[rocky57]

Micah Roberts (VegasInsider)
Nascar Hollywood Casino 400

1) Denny Hamlin 4/1
2) Martin Truex Jr 4/1
3) Erik Jones 50/1
4) Alex Bowman 22/1
5) Brad Keselowski 7/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 4:25PM
271 GBP / 272 TAM OVER 55.0 Pinnacle double-dime bet

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 8:20PM
274 SFX 3.5(-110) Southpoint vs 273 LOS double-dime bet

Analysis: SUNDAY NFL PROPS




Aaron Jones (GB) U67.5 rush yds -115 (PB)

C.J. Board (NYG) U21.5 rec yds -130 (MGM)

David Montgomery (CHI) O59.5 rush yds -130 (DK)

David Montgomery (CHI) O24.5 rec yds -110 (MGM)

Cam Akers (LAR) O29.5 rush yds -110 (DK)

Mark Ingram (BAL) U45.5 rush yds -115 (PB)

Tyler Higbee (LAR) U34.5 rec yds -110 (FD)









The 49ers looked awful on Sunday. We all saw it. And so did the market, as the look ahead line on this game (49ers -3) has now moved six points.


Jimmy G is practicing in full as of Wednesday. Do I believe he will be fully healthy? I do not believe he's 100%, but that's a great sign for his future health and we are getting San Francisco at a premium price due to the negativity surrounding his first half performance against Miami.


The Rams are a run first, low average depth of target offense this season, which actually plays to the 49ers strengths considering their run defense is 7th in the NFL in YPC allowed and their horrendous corners won't be threatened downfield as often as someone like Ryan Fitzpatrick did. Jared Goff leads the NFL in yards per pass attempt from a clean pocket (10.6 Y/A) while ranking 32nd under pressure (3.7 Y/A). 49ers are 3rd in the NFL in pressure rate, despite the injuries to their defensive line.


I make this game Rams -2.5, but the 49ers are also in a tremendous spot. They are in a desperation, close to must win game against a division rival, plus the Rams are playing their fourth road game in five weeks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
262 PIT -3.0(-110) Southpoint vs 261 CLE double-dime bet

Analysis: Power Rating wise, this line is close to what it should be, but the market isn't properly accounting for the plus matchups the Steelers have on both sides of the ball.


Reports say Baker Mayfield may not only be dealing with a rib issue, but he could be dealing with a sprained AC joint as well. Mayfield has struggled all season against pressure (he is 38th in the NFL in YPA under pressure), and no team in the NFL applies pressure at a higher rate then the Steelers. The run first Browns likely will not be able to run against the leagues best second best run defense (3.3 YPC allowed YTD), putting Mayfield in harms way against this pass rush.


Pittsburgh’s line has given up the league’s seventh-lowest Sack Rate (4.0%) and third-lowest QB Hit Rate (9.4%), troublesome for the Browns, who rely on their pass rush to hide a weak secondary that has allowed the leagues third most passing touchdowns per game.



The Browns have lost in incredible sixteen straight games in Pittsburgh. Yes, this is a new Browns team, but I still believe the Steelers are the class of their rivalry.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
251 CHI 8.5(-120) Bookmaker vs 252 CAR double-dime bet

Analysis: 2* 6 PT TEASER: Bears +8.5/Bucs +8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Oct 18 2020 1:00PM
257 HOU / 258 TEN OVER 53.0 Pinnacledouble-dime bet

Analysis: When we played the over in the Jags/Texans game last week, we got what we wanted from the Texans offense in their first game without HC Bill O'Brien. The Texans promised more deep shots from Deshaun Watson, and we got a season high in air yards per attempt from Watson and 8.4 YPP from the offense in general.


The Titans defense has not lived up to reputation this season, as they are 27th in YPP allowed. Deshaun Watson is second in the NFL in YPA when not pressured, and the Titans are 26th in the NFL in pressure rate. Deep threat wide receivers have given the Titans fits in recent weeks (DJ Chark, Justin Jefferson, Stefon Diggs), and the Texans offense is based off deep threat wide receivers in Cooks and Fuller with a quarterback aiming to take more deep shots.


The Titans should hold up their end of the bargain , and they play up tempo which is going to increase scoring opportunities for both teams. The Titans rank third in the NFL in pace, and Houston's already poor defense is now missing super important ILB Bernardrick McKinney. We know the Titans can run the ball, and the Texans have allowed the second most rushing yards in the league this season. The Titans have scored 42, 31, and 33 points in their last three games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Warren sharp

274 San Francisco 49ers +3.5 -120 (0.75 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI

4.5-Star Vikings -4 over Falcons
4-Star Bears +1.5 over Panthers
5-Star Lions at Jaguars UNDER 54.5
4-Star Panthers at Bears OVER 44.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ultra Sports 10/18

vikings
jaguars
steelers
buccaneers

[Jordie20]

Robert Ferringo

8u Chicago v Carolina (Over 44.5) 1pm

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Al MLB
Braves
Braves Dodgers under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mississippi Kid
Carolina ML -115 1U
Jaguars +3 -110 1U
Giants -2.5 1U
Steelers -3 2U
Bengals +9 1U
MLB
Dodgers ML

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Feinberg-
Vikings , Colts & ravens tease, TB, Carolina, Kenny Golladay over yards 65.5, Robert Tonyan under
43.5, Robert Jones under rushing yards 68.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Westgate picks

ODBMG2 - W22 L 3 T0 LW 4-1
Week 6 Picks: DET MIN TEN MIA DAL
GOOSBUMPS - W19 L4 T2 LW 4-1
Week 6 Picks: CHI TEN PIT LAR KC
BET MILE HIGH - W19 L6 T0 LW 5-0
Week 6 Picks: MIN SF MIA DAL KC
COAST2COAST DEGENS1 - W19 L6 T0 LW 4-1
Week 6 Picks: MIN PIT GB DAL KC
SWAMI SEZ - W19 L6 T0 LW 3-2
Week 6 Picks: PIT IND GB DEN DAL
BUMBLEBEE - W19 L6 T0 LW 3-2
Week 6 Picks: PIT GB LAR MIA NE
CHATT TOWN 117 - W18 L6 T1 LW 5-0
Week 6 Picks: DET PIT BAL MIA KC
TEAM PIKAPP - W18 L6 T1 LW 5-0
Week 6 Picks: MIN TEN PIT BAL GB
SQUAD GOALS - W18 L6 T1 LW 4-1
Week 6 Picks: CHI PIT CIN LAR DEN
YUGO77 - W18 L6 T1 LW 3-2
Week 6 Picks: DET NYG PIT MIA DAL
TOM LIPPARD - W18 L6 T1 LW 2-3
Week 6 Picks: TEN BAL CIN GB DAL