Friday 8/14/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 06:49 AM

Al Cimaglia: Dan Patch Stakes and Hoosier Park Analysis

August 14, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The headliner of the year at Hoosier Park is the Dan Patch Stakes and tonight it is set to go in Race 11. Bettor's Wish fresh off a Hambletonian day score in the Sam McKee Memorial is the 2-1 morning line favorite. There is a solid field of 10 pacers ready to battle for a share of a $225,000 purse.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

4-Uncmprmising Z Tam (5/2)-Drew off by almost 8 lengths in last and fits well with this field. Should be able to be forwardly placed again and can use a big brush to take another picture.
1-Yankee Bounty (8-1)-Veteran doesn't take many pictures these days but has the ability to add some pop to gimmicks. Should be able to stay with the top of the stack from this post and close into a brisk pace.
6-Ima Real Ladys Man (6-1)-Winner of 7 of 33 at HoP and dead heated for the win in last with #3. Closed in 54.1, Putnam can put in play and stay in the hunt at a square price.

$4 Exacta Box-1-4 and 4-6, total bet=$16

Race 9

9-Hot Rod Dylan (4-1)-Took a picture beating 6 from this field in last and was successful at this class before. Has hit the board in 18 of 25 starts with 5 pictures. De Long can work a trip from out here and price should be better from the 9-hole.
3-Tulhurstsantanna A (3-1)-Took advantage of quick fractions and a nice drive to win last start at 1/2. Gingras will steer this time and is a player but likely at a very short price.
6-Rockinbeach (6-1)-The Wrenn barn has won at a 24% clip over the last 30 days and this 5-year-old is in at a good level. Does lose Peter Wrenn and has only 3 wins in last 14 starts in 19-20 but has won 10 of 42 at HoP.

$4 Exacta key 9/3,6 and $2 Exacta 3,9/6, total bet=$12

Race 10-The Gregg Haston Memorial-$35,000 Purse

2-GD Western Joe (12-1)-Left from the 8-hole on 8/8 and took off like jet plane to win a condition race at Scioto. Burke trainee is here to win and may offer a big price. Has been in the money in 28 of 46 at HoP with 10 wins.
7-Little Rocket Man (2-1)-Seeks 5th in a row at HoP with 4 wins coming in the Open class. Program chalk has won 15 of 22 at Hoosier and should be a major player again.
8-Brassy Hanover (5/2)-One of 3 Cullipher trainees (6-8-9) comes off a sharp win versus Open 2 company and can do some damage versus this bunch with a top effort. Zeron steers and he may blast out and look to steal a quarter.

$5 win on 2, $2 Exacta box 2-7, 2-8, total bet=$13

Race 11-Dan Patch Stakes-Purse $225,000 Purse

2-Century Farroh (7/2)-Started from the 10-hole in the Sam McKee Memorial last weekend at the Big M, sizzled the back half to finish 3rd and was off for 20-days before that start. Has had a sluggish 2020, winning only once in 7 starts. But did win the Jenna's Beachboy Pace last September at HoP and should offer a fair price tonight. Best to respect winner of >$573k in 2019.
4-This Is The Plan (15-1)-This one piqued my interest because of the price, the connections, and the fact this gelding has been good at HoP. Has a win and a second-place finish here and did capture the HoP Pacing Derby on 9/20/19 in 148.4. Gingras could get the pocket trip behind #3 or find some live cover and roll by late. Looks like a good gimmick option.
3-Bettor's Wish (2-1)-Dunn got the top from the 8-hole and lasted to win the Sam McKee. 5-year-old was my top choice last time. It would be no surprise to see him finish higher and can win from off the pace but will look for more value.

$10 win on 2, $4 Exacta key 2/4,3 and $2 Exacta box 2-4 and 3-4, total bet=$26

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 06:50 AM

Weekly Bankroll Builder: August 14 Stronach 5 Play

August 12, 2020 | By Brian Nadeau

Weekly Bankroll Builder: August 14 Stronach 5 Play

We welcome back Golden Gate Fields in this week’s Stronach 5, which once again has a 100k guarantee, and a prospective pool that should far surpass that. To refresh, the Stronach 5 is a Pk5 wager spread across as many as four tracks and up to three surfaces (dirt, Tapeta and turf), inside of 90 minutes, with a $1 minimum and ridiculously low 12% takeout. I’ll be putting together some prospective tickets in this space each week for a wager that is undoubtedly as good as it gets for the bettors.

*** Please take note that this analysis is done upwards of 48 hours in advance, so obviously weather, track conditions and especially late scratches can and will have an effect. Please check back around 4pm Friday for an update. ***

Leg 1: Laurel Park R7 (3:58 ET) – 3up N1X at 1 1/16 miles (turf)

Nothing is easy to kick off the sequence, with a deep and competitive group lined up, and I’m going to spread deep, as no one stands out, and several look within a length or two of each other on paper. I’ll go with the lightly raced #3 MCELMORE AVENUE and #5 CLEAR VISION, who have plenty of upside for sharp young connections, as well as the more proven #4 TOM HAGEN, #9 NICK PAPAGIORGIO, and #8 OLD DOMINION, who have all run well enough both in the past and in the present to win this.

Pk5 A horses: 3,5,4,9,8 (listed in order of preference)

I’m not really sure when #7 BENNY HAVENS’ last came from, but he was only 1 ¼ lengths behind Nick P, so if he’s up above, this one has to be somewhere, while #10 START WITH YES will run for the first time on turf for Robb, and it would be foolish to leave a 26% barn out altogether, especially with the big turf sprint showing two-back.

Pk5 B horses: 7,10

Potential B add-ins: NONE

Leg 2: Gulfstream Park R9 (4:14 ET) – 3up 12.5k N3L at 1 1/8 miles (turf)

You could certainly do worse than singling #1 MYSTICAL MOON, who simply looks better than what is a very meek group, but the fact he’s run 2nd or 3rd in five straight says to tread lightly, so while I’ll use him, I want someone else, just in case. And that thinking lands me on the lightly raced #6 DEVOTED KITTEN, who had trouble late when 6th behind ‘Moon last time, has upside off just 11 starts, and goes off the claim for a Winebaugh, who rarely dips in for one, so there’s reason to think she likes what she saw.

Pk5 A horses: 1,6

The drop in class alone says #8 CRYPTO GOLD is a player, but his two runs against N3L foes have been abysmal, so just because he’s meeting easier doesn’t mean he’s regaining his form, which is why he’s relegated to a supporting actor.

Pk5 B horses: 8

Potential B add-ins: #2 Machiavelli, #7 Unlimited Data, #9 Mason’s Song

Leg 3: Laurel Park R8 (4:32 ET) – 3up Md-bred N1X* at 6 furlongs

A drop in with state breds could make #8 BULLETS CHILD too tough for these, especially from this outside attack post, as he’s never been behind a horse through the third call of ANY of his six races, and there’s not much speed here, so he may be down the road. However, the two-turn foundation and tactical speed that #3 GALERIO brings makes him very interesting, and he enters off a starter-allowance romp at Parx, so I’m going to use him equally and call it a day.

Pk5 A horses: 8,3

The top-2 seem like a cut above, and I get all the best of it with the speed of ‘Child and the stalking ability of Galerio, so I’ll call it a day, especially since I spread deep in the opening leg and need to condense somewhere.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: #1 Tommy Shelby, #4 Whiskey and You

Leg 4: Laurel Park R9 (5:07 ET) – 3up 16k N3L at 5 ½ furlongs (turf)

You may be able to lean heavily here too, as there’s just not much, and that means the speed of #6 NAUTICAL NATURE will hit very hard, and either of his last two are probably good enough to win this, as this group isn’t nearly as tough as the pair he just faced. I’m not crazy about the lack of speed from #9 DRAGON MOON, but he just dead-heated with ‘Nature off the trainer change to Mancilla, and there is some other pace, so off that run maybe he gets there this time.

Pk5 A horses: 6,9

The only other runners I could possibly see is #7 Red Clay Road, who was a close 4th, just 1 ¼ lengths behind my top pair the last time, he was on turf, but he was also 82-1 that day, so he can beat me if he wants, and #5 Railmaster, but he doesn’t seem to be the same horse in two starts this year, and that form doesn’t warrant inclusion here.

Pk5 B horses: NONE

Potential B add-ins: #7 Red Clay Road, #5 Railmaster

Leg 5: Golden Gate Fields R2 (5:20 ET) – 3upfm 6.25k claimer at 5 ½ furlongs

Golden Gate returns with a toughie, and while #7 NO SPIN ZONE is just 3-for-21 here, she has hit the board in 12 of them, and won here for 5k three-back, plus this outside attack post should work perfectly for her speedy style. If the pace gets heated then #3 OYSTER SHOOTER will be a handful late, especially on the drop from 25k, but yikes, that also makes her tough to trust, as she’s seemingly being given away after some competitive runs at that level this winter. A hot pace would also help #1 C C THE BARTENDER, and though her first off the Mathis claim last time at LRC was a bit of a dud, she’s 4-for-16 here and should improve second-off the long layoff.

Pk5 A horses: 7,3,1

I’ll slide in #2 CA DREAMER as a backup, as she aired on the lead for 5k when last seen here in December, but has also stalked and won before as well, for a Miyadi barn that is 20% off this elongated break.

Pk5 B horses: 2

Potential B add-ins: NONE

The tickets:

Main Ticket: 3,5,4,9,8 with 1,6 with 8,3 with 6,9 with 7,3,1 = $120
Leg 1 B Backup: 7,10 with 1,6 with 8,3 with 6,9 with 7,3,1 = $48
Leg 2 B Backup: 3,5,4,9,8 with 8 with 8,3 with 6,9 with 7,3,1 = $60
Leg 5 B Backup: 3,5,4,9,8 with 1,6 with 8,3 with 6,9 with 2 = $40

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 06:51 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Saratoga - Race #3

#7 Mosienko	Stalker looked good beating N2L foes last time for Nevin and now goes off the claim for Falcone, which a strong 25% move, and while the class rise could be tough, this seems like a crew there for the taking; call right back.
#3 Hetty G.	Tepid ML favorite was 2nd at the level last time and obviously figures, but it's also Ward and Irad, so value won't be part of her package, and it's not like this miss is any faster than several here either; willing to make her prove it.
#6 Desbordes	Pace player wired going a mile last time, so she's going to have some foundation for the cutback, and there's not a lot of speed here signed on here, so if she clears and sets her own pace, she could be tough to reel in; could get brave.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 7 but that 7-2 ML doesn't seem bad at all, and this just seems like the type of race where a fresh taking a new face isn't a bad idea, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since this seems like a wide open race, and getting home a $9 winner would add some value to both sequences.

Saratoga - Race #4

#6 Chaleur	Mott charge seems to be finding herself a bit, as her second US start was a solid win, and now she makes the third start of the year and for the barn, has an abundance of tactical speed in a paceless race, and will be a very square price as well; upset special.
#4 Altea	Brown miss was a closing 4th in the GI Wiley at Kee, so she'll like the drop in class, but her lack of speed is a real concern, especially since the pick will be open lengths ahead of her entering the far turn, not to mention she'll be a short price too; second-best.
#7 Secret Message	Fellow closer won a GIII two-back and was just a half-length back of Altea when 6th in the Wiley, but she's another who will be left with a lot to do off the far turn, and it's not like you're going to get any value with her either; may she run out of real estate.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 6, and the race flow sure will be too, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since a win would add a ton of value to both sequences, as the budget players won't be able to use her, with the two favorites, and another (unmentioned) Brown (#1 Cafe Americano) taking plenty of play as well.

Saratoga - Race #8

#7 Kazmania	Stretch runner has quietly been in very good form, catches a field full of speed, and will be a square price too; mows them all down late.
#4 Tale of the Union	Baffert charge aired on dry land last time, but on the rise, with speed to both sides, and a short price, he's not that appealing; tread lightly.
#5 Leaky Cup	Pace presser has been in the money in three straight at the level, but his style says a win today might be a big ask; underneath, if at all.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that will really help the 7, while potentially hurting the 4 and 5, so play the pick in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks and really spice up both sequences, even though he fits nicely here, especially with the race flow.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 06:52 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #4

#2 Top Line Growth	Has a little class to him and woke up nicely on the drop last time out. He's fast enough to be right up on the splits again, and he's meeting some other pace horses who will have to hustle a bit.
#5 Compound It	Owns some speed, but he's basically hit or miss in the lane, and that again leaves him vulnerable in the final yards.
#4 Taco Supream	Tactical type will be able to find a good spot behind the early leaders, and if the pace starts to come back, he can be in line to take advantage.
Race Summary	Top Line Growth is 0-for-4 in stakes company and 3-for-3 outside of it with combined winning margins of more than 20 lengths. He's a good fit right back with these and would be playable at something like the 5/2 ML price.

Laurel Park - Race #7

#10 Start With Yes	Doesn't meet a ton of other early pace in here, and he may be able to get a decent kind of run from right up on the splits. His turf tries haven't been bad, either.
#3 McElmore Avenue	Finisher has come to life since moving to the turf, but the question is whether he'll get enough pace to produce another big late kick.
#9 Nick Papagiorgio	Pressing type should get a perfect run of things while getting first jump on the deeper finishers like 'Avenue, and he has proven a good fit since coming to similar levels a couple starts ago.
Race Summary	Start With Yes beat a small group from close range when rained off last out, but he has decent turf form and some early ability to work out a good trip near the top.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#5 Sir Back in Black	Chance in a pretty competitive spot, as he can get first jump on the deep closers while finishing from midpack.
#8 Bullets Child	Draws best of the pace on the outside, and though he'll have some company up top, he's a danger with that kind of breakaway pace he owns.
#3 Galerio	Cutback runner probably gets a decent pace to chase, but he might be running from a touch further off it than usual. The one to beat, but he doesn't have to win this as the likely chalk.
Race Summary	Sir Back in Black has just enough speed to stay ahead of the deeper finishers, and he'll now make his third start off the layoff with perhaps an improved effort in store.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 06:53 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Northfield Park - Race #1

#5 MURMUR HANOVER	Classy 10yo chased tiger in latest, makes run at 38th win in here.
#8 BUDDY HALLY	Must use ‘Jazmin’ somewhere on ticket, price attached.
#2 SECRET TRAINER	Solid numbers but can’t seem to get out of ‘fourth’ gear.
Race Summary	Murmur Hanover lost contact with 2-to-5 favorite and 2018 Yonkers Trot winner Smalltownthrowdown, but should find this field to his liking in amateur drivers’ race. Play 5-2 and 5-8 exactas.

Hoosier Park - Race #1

#6 PREMIER DELAINEY	Accelerated on lead in faster division of split race, today’s Best Bet.
#3 ROJO CALIENTE	Loves to win, draws favorable post, must use in all gimmicks.
#2 FANCY RIGGIN	Got up for third behind ‘Premier’ but remained winless this year.
Race Summary	Premier Delainey pulled away from the 7-to-5 pocket sitter through a :56.1 back half mile, earning a playback against similar rivals tonight. Play a 6-3-ALL trifecta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #10

#2 ON CRUISE CONTROL	Re-emerged late from pocket, tries to turn tables on winner.
#8 MY BROTHER GEORGE	Out and moving at the half, shook duel in the stretch to prevail.
#3 J P OSCAR	Won 2 of last 5 at 5/8s mile tracks, switches pilots again.
Race Summary	On Cruise Control worked out a good pocket trip off the dueling leaders, then tipped 3-wide for a late stretch surge. He couldn’t reach My Brother George but could turn the tables with a favorable post for his new barn.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 06:54 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #4

#2 Turn On the Magic	Ran an even third in his first in 10 months and likely will improve in his second back; can be a factor from the start and has the class to dig in.
#1 Frank First	Seeks his third straight win and makes his first start for Sancal, who claimed him last out; oddly enough he's been on a drop in most of his starts. Takes on good rivals here.
#4 No Getting Over Me	Stopped in the Indiana Derby but had been in good form over this strip; lost a photo under these circumstances in his last appearance at Gulfstream.
Race Summary	Turn On the Magic lacked punch in his latest, but that was after a long layoff and he can be expected to move up in this spot.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#2 Sayonara Baby	Cruised home to an easy win two back -- the last time she was at this level; tired as she tried stakes company last time but he returns to a more comfortable level.
#3 Lady Archa	has won 4 of 9 races and made a big late run for second last out; she can benefit from the fast pace and can come with another late move.
#6 Bibiana	Won her last three races, including her last two for D'Angeloa, who claimed her in April; just a solid, hard-running filly capable of another.
Race Summary	Sayonara Baby fits well at this claiming level and can move up from her last one; has the class to prevail.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#9 Meadow Beauty	Was solid in her last two turf sprints and gets the opportunity to stretch out around two turns; can dictate the pace and should be difficult to catch.
#1 Vitaemi	Was an easy winner in her last two, which were races that came off the turf; she's back in on the grass and her good form could continue.
#8 Doll Collection	Was up in time for a maiden win last out and this royally bred filly looks likes she's improving with each start; could enjoy the run over the turf.
Race Summary	Meadow Beauty has brought opening quarter-mile times of 21 and changes in her last three races and will get to relax on the front end going long; bred to get this distance on turf.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 06:55 AM

NATIONAL SPORTS ADVISORS
THE LEGEND!
FREE NHL PICKS
Canadiens vs Flyers
TIME: 3:00 PM EST
PICK: Flyers -155

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 08:41 AM

Mitchell Newman

Locked in right now on the diamond and all set to cash in with my biggest release of the MLB season to start your weekend.

Last of 8 games in the NBA restart bubble for both the Miami Heat and the Indiana Pacers and even though the winner of this game will clinch the # 4 seed while the loser will clinch the # 5 seed, with no real "home court advantage" this game really doesn't amount to all that much.

My guess is both head coaches will not show very much that they wish to unveil come next week when they play their opening round series. That being the case let's ride the Under in this last game this Friday afternoon.

Miami and Indiana played just 4 days ago and that game held Under the total. Series numbers show 3 of the last 5 now played between the teams having held Under the total.

For the Pacers they enter this last game having played 4 of their last 6 Under the total.

Just cannot imagine either team risking injury to any of their starters, so with this expected to be a definite "bench" game, I will bank on another lower-scoring meeting between the teams.

Heat-Pacers Under.

1* MIAMI-INDIANA UNDER

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 08:42 AM

Chris Jordan

It's very rare I'll play a total Under in Denver, but the Interleague matchup between the Texas Rangers and Colorado Rockies is poised to be a pitching showdown.

All Run Line/Total plays traditionally list pitchers automatically with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. If that is applicable with your book, be sure Lance Lynn and Ryan Castellani are the starters of record on your ticket when making your play. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.

Remember, Lynn started against these same Rockies on Opening Day and twirled six scoreless in a 1-0 victory. He scattered two hits and four walks while striking out nine. And Lynn should have confidence in the rarified air, as he is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in four career starts at Coors Field.

As for Castellani, he delivered four-plus innings in his Major League debut on Saturday, and didn't allow a hit or a run. Granted, he was an injury replacement and was limited to 60 pitches, and likely won't see more than 75 tonight, he'll be able to neutralize the Rangers long enough to keep the score low.

Play this one under.

2* UNDER Rangers-Rockies

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 08:43 AM

Jack Brayman

Play Houston on the run line Friday night, as the Astros are in a good spot to destroy the Seattle Mariners, considering the pitching mismatch we have.

Since every MLB wager on a run line or total has usually auto-lists pitchers, I want you to be sure the two pitchers on your ticket, when making this play, are Yusei Kikuchi and Framber Valdez. If they are not the pitchers of record when making your play, disregard this play.

The Astros should be able to stake Valdez with some runs early, as Kikuchi is 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA in 5 career starts against Houston. The left-hander is 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA after giving up 5 runs on 5 hits and 4 walks over 3.2 innings in his season debut in this same ball park.

Valdez is also looking for his first win, sitting at 0-2, but he has a 2.04 ERA and is pitching better than his record indicates. He’s struck out 19 in 17.2 innings and walked three, and he's in after holding the A’s to one earned run and seven hits in seven innings on Saturday.

I'll lay the run line here.

3* ASTROS RUN LINE

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 08:45 AM

NBA line movement for August 14
Patrick Everson

Chris Paul and the Thunder can maintain the West's No. 4 seed with a win over the 76ers in Friday's regular-season finale. With lineups uncertain, books held off on posting odds for this matchup.

NBA betting odds are on the board for the final day of the regular season, with four games on the Friday schedule. While the teams in the playoffs are already set, three of the four games could lead to a flip-flop of the 4 and 5 seeds in each conference – not that it matters inside the NBA Bubble.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

The Heat and Pacers are currently fourth and fifth, respectively, in the Eastern Conference, but are tied with identical 44-28 records. So the winner of this 4 p.m. ET matchup is the “home” team in a first-round playoff series. Most sportsbooks didn’t post odds on any of Friday’s games on Thursday night, with lineups uncertain. However, FanDuel Sportsbook opened the Pacers -2, moved to -1, then to -1.5 late Thursday night.

In the Western Conference, Oklahoma City and Houston are tied at 44-27. The Thunder face the Clippers at 6:30 p.m. ET, and the Rockets meet the 76ers in the regular-season capper at 9 p.m. ET. Regardless of the outcomes, OKC and Houston will square off in the first round of the playoffs.

The Thunder-Clippers game wasn’t posted anywhere Thursday night, while FanDuel had the Rockets -4.5 against the Sixers.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 08:46 AM

NBA

Friday, August 14

Trend Report

Denver @ Toronto
Denver
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games at home

Miami @ Indiana
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Indiana is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami

Oklahoma City @ LA Clippers
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games on the road
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 11 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Philadelphia @ Houston
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 13 games
Houston
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 08:47 AM

WNBA

Friday, August 14

Trend Report

Connecticut @ Chicago
Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Connecticut's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Seattle @ Dallas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games when playing at home against Seattle

Atlanta @ Phoenix
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-14-2020, 08:48 AM

MLB public betting, line movement for August 14
Patrick Everson

Gerrit Cole goes for his fourth win of the season when the Yankees host the Red Sox on Friday night. New York will surely be a sizable favorite, but the line wasn't yet posted late Thursday night.

Thursday’s MLB schedule is back to almost full strength, with 15 games on the MLB betting board. Among the noteworthy matchups: Red Sox vs. Yankees in the Bronx, Braves-Marlins in the NL East, and Clayton Kershaw leading the Dodgers against the Angels.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s games.

MLB line movement

Gerrit Cole takes the ball today, which is a good sign for the Yankees in this shortened season. Cole is 3-0 with a 3.22 ERA in four starts, so Al East-leading New York will surely be a solid favorite against division cellar-dwelling Boston. However, Caesars held off on posting a line Thursday night, awaiting clarity on the Red Sox starter for this 7:05 p.m. ET clash.

The Marlins and their makeshift roster continue to lead the NL East, sitting 8-4 heading into a 7:10 p.m. ET tilt with the second-place Braves. However, visiting Atlanta is a modest -114 favorite at Caesars books, and there was no line movement by late Thursday night.

And in an interleague battle in SoCal, Kershaw and the Dodgers are laying -160 at the Angels, also with no line movement Thursday night. First pitch is at 9:40 p.m. ET.

MLB public betting

The Consensus shows the public perhaps believes more in the Braves than the oddsmakers, with Atlanta landing 63 percent of early picks against the Marlins. The Dodgers are even more liked, drawing 68 percent of early Consensus picks.