Service Plays Friday 8/7/20

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

McInnis Hockey

3% PL Situational Play
Game (51) New York Islanders at (52) Florida Panthers
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 12:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: New York Islanders -1.5 (+195)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
8:41 AM
OKLAHOMA CITY -4.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS | 8/07 | 4:00 PM EDT
It’s been an ugly restart to the season for the Grizzlies, who have lost all four of their games. They didn’t exactly play any world beaters, either, considering their losses came against the Trail Blazers, Spurs, Pelicans and Jazz. Their last two losses were both by at least nine points and they are shorthanded now with Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out. Meanwhile, the Thunder are coming off of a very impressive 19-point win against the Lakers on Wednesday. They have a stellar 25-9 record ATS at home or at a neutral location, so I’ll take them to cover once again.

105-63-3 IN LAST 171 NBA ATS PICKS | +3570
12-2 IN LAST 14 OKC ATS PICKS | +981

12-7 IN LAST 19 MEM ATS PICKS | +429


Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
8:30 AM
OKLAHOMA CITY -4.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS | 8/07 | 4:00 PM EDT
The Thunder have the best net rating in the bubble at +9.8. The Grizzlies have the fifth-worst at -5.8. The Thunder probably aren't quite as good as their shellacking of the Lakers suggests, and the Grizzlies probably aren't as bad as their 0-4 record suggests, but these are two teams trending in decidedly different directions, and a 4.5-point line is extremely generous considering the net rating gap of more than 15 points. The Grizzlies are without arguably their best player in Jaren Jackson Jr. They are also without the backup point guard that led the bench lineups that were actually winning them games before the shutdown in Tyus Jones. The Grizz are overvalued based on their regular season, and now is the time to take advantage.

16-9 IN LAST 25 NBA PICKS | +604
3-0 IN LAST 3 OKC ATS PICKS | +300


Tim Doyle
BIG TEN BALLER
8:27 AM
OKLAHOMA CITY -185
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS | 8/07 | 4:00 PM EDT
Full disclosure: I have bet against Memphis every game in this bubble, and we have to keep riding the wave. Losing Jaren Jackson Jr destroys this team. All signs point to the Grizzlies losing this 8th spot in the West. OKC has the best ATS in the NBA this year. This actually looks too easy, but that’s why I won’t lay points. Roll Thunder.

21-10-1 IN LAST 32 NBA PICKS | +1184
3-0 IN LAST 3 MEM ML PICKS | +301


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
12:00 AM
OKLAHOMA CITY -3.5
OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS | 8/07 | 4:00 PM EDT
The Grizzlies are in a free-fall and they just lost Jaren Jackson to a torn meniscus. Dating back to before the shutdown, Memphis has lost 11 of its last 15 straight-up. While OKC continues to play without Dennis Schroder, the Thunder are playing great defense and Chris Paul is elevating them. Lay it.

46-34-1 IN LAST 81 NBA PICKS | +864
39-24 IN LAST 63 MEM ATS PICKS | +1286

37-25 IN LAST 62 OKC ATS PICKS | +1010

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SDQL

OVER 8.5
COLORADO @ SEATTLE | 8/07 | 9:40 PM EDT
9:07 AM
The Rockies are 9-0 OU since May 14, 2018 in the first game of a series with no rest coming off a home game in which they scored in, at most, two separate innings. The average final score in these nine games has been 8.89 runs to 6.44 runs. The Mariners send Yusei Kikuchi to the bump tonight, and he has produced nothing but Overs in games that the oddsmakers rate close to a toss-up. Seattle is 14-0 OU in Kikuchi’s career when he starts and the line is within 30 cents of a pick'em. We are on the Over.

14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB PICKS | +941

HOUSTON +101
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 8/07 | 9:10 PM EDT
9:04 AM
In Zack Greinke’s last start, the Astros took a 4-3 lead into the bottom of the ninth, but lost 5-4 in extras. Houston has picked up its pitcher in this spot, going 10-0 SU in a series opener with no rest when blowing a lead in its starter's last start and lost. The Athletics, on the other hand, are 0-7 SU in the first game of a home series with no rest when their line is within 20 cents of pick'em, and they are off a home game in which they had more strikeouts than hits. Houston has the value at this price.

13-3 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS | +956

MINNESOTA -153
MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 8/07 | 8:05 PM EDT
9:01 AM
The Royals are 0-14 SU at home off a home game when they blew a lead in their starters' last start and lost. Note that the Royals are 0-14 on the run line in this spot and they have lost by an average of 4.93 runs per game. Minnesota has been tough in series openers, going 14-0 SU in the first game of a series with no rest when they are coming off a game as a road favorite and facing a team that has a worse record. Also note that the Twins are 13-0 on the run line in this spot and they have won by an average of 5.57 runs. The Twins are the play.

13-3 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS | +956
5-0 IN LAST 5 KC ML PICKS | +500

WASHINGTON -177
BALTIMORE @ WASHINGTON | 8/07 | 6:05 PM EDT
9:00 AM
The Orioles are 0-18 SU as an underdog in the first game of a road series with no rest when coming off a game as an underdog in which they allowed six-plus runs. Washington is 11-0 SU as a home 140+ favorite after a game in which it did not hit a home run, 15-0 SU as a 130+ favorite after drawing one or fewer walks, and 15-0 SU as a favorite by more than 125 off a home game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs, winning by an average of 4.80 runs per game. We are laying the price.

13-3 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS | +956

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tim Doyle

SAN ANTONIO -7.5
UTAH @ SAN ANTONIO | 8/07 | 1:00 PM EDT
9:44 AM
Even though the Jazz knocked off Memphis on Wednesday, I’m not buying in. Heck, everyone has knocked off Memphis in this bubble. Life without Bojan Bogdanović (out for season) is only going to get tougher for Utah, which also will rest four starters Friday -- including Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert. The Spurs are playing small ball and playing with nothing to lose. Go Pop’s squad!

21-10-1 IN LAST 32 NBA PICKS | +1184

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VSI

4 padres-120

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Doc Sports

3 rockies+110

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Vernon Croy

4 Braves-110

[rocky57]

King of the Court (The Swami) - Thunder/Grizzlies Under 222.5

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Buster Sports

3% Islanders-Panthers over 5 (-125)
2% Predators -130

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Bill Marzano

OVER 6.5
EDMONTON @ CHICAGO | 8/07 | 6:45 PM EDT
11:36 AM
The Chicago Blackhawks are a win from stunning the Edmonton Oilers in this best-of-5 series, and if the Oilers do not start playing better defensively the Hawks are going to pull off another upset. Neither team's netminders are playing well as they are getting peppered with shots and allowing a ton of goals in the process. Both clubs are loaded with offense, too. The Over has cashed in all three meetings and seen a total of 26 goals. The Oilers will come out firing as this has all the makings for another high-scoring affair.

4-0 IN LAST 4 NHL PICKS | +530

CHI. CUBS -125
CHI. CUBS @ ST. LOUIS | 8/07 | 8:15 PM EDT
11:32 AM
These are very important division games, and the Cubs could be catching the Cardinals at just the right time. The Cards return from a long layoff due to a COVID-19 outbreak and will be without a few starters; they are rusty and not in game shape. The Cubs had their six-game winning streak come to an end with a thud Thursday vs. the Royals, but this looks like a great spot to bounce back. Jon Lester has been sensational this year with an 0.80 ERA, and the Cubs should get him some runs vs. Daniel Ponce de Leon, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA. The Cards have dropped six straight games as dogs.

13-7 LAST 20 MLB SIDES | +329

L.A. DODGERS -1.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ L.A. DODGERS | 8/07 | 9:40 PM EDT
11:29 AM
The Dodgers are the superior team with the better starter. The Giants' Jeff Samardzjia has been hit hard in both his starts this year, allowing five runs in each outing with an ERA approaching double digits. He is just 3-5 in his career vs the Dodgers. L.A. lefty Julio Urias is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and has held the opposing Giants hitters to a combined .173 BA but will be looking for his first career W vs. SF. Look for Mookie Betts to be back in the starting lineup after missing several starts. The Giants have dropped six of their last seven in Game 1 of a series. Take L.A. at -140 on runline.

8-4 IN LAST 12 MLB ATS PICKS | +332
3-0 IN LAST 3 LAD ATS PICKS | +300

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Adam Goodwyn

MILWAUKEE +101
CINCINNATI @ MILWAUKEE | 8/07 | 8:10 PM EDT
12:42 PM
My model likes the Brewers to win today against the Reds 52.57 percent of the time. I would take any spread above +100 here. At +100, you are getting a solid edge on a team that is heading in the right direction even with Lorenzo Cain opting out. I like the Brewers as the value play.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +385

HOUSTON +115
HOUSTON @ OAKLAND | 8/07 | 9:10 PM EDT
12:40 PM
Zack Greinke hasn't been fully himself yet this year, but my model likes the Astros to win 50.27 percent of the time. I would take anything over +110 for the Astros. A +110 spread translates roughly to a 48 win percentage, so at +115 you are getting an even better deal, in the 3 to 5 percent edge. Take the Astros.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +385
2-1 IN LAST 3 OAK ML PICKS | +68

TEXAS +150
L.A. ANGELS @ TEXAS | 8/07 | 9:05 PM EDT
12:37 PM
My model likes the Rangers to win this game 46.87 percent of the time. I would take anything over +140 for the Rangers here. A +150 moneyline translates to a win percentage 42 percent. My model sees a 3 to 4 percent edge. Take the value on the Rangers, as they finally get the timely hit to take home a W.

3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB ML PICKS | +385
3-1 IN LAST 4 LAA ML PICKS | +283

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gianni the Greek

NHL
Game: (53) Nashville Predators at (54) Arizona Coyotes
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 2:38 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 5.5 (+115)

NHL
Game: (55) Pittsburgh Penguins at (56) Montreal Canadiens
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 4:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 5.5 (-125)

NHL
Game: (57) Toronto Maple Leafs at (58) Columbus Blue Jackets
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 8:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 5.5 (-125)

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Tony George

7 Units - #953 NY Yankees (-105) over Tampa Bay *6:40 EST

3 Units - #973 / #974 - Arizona / San Diego (Over 8.5) *9:10 EST

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Dave Cokin

FRIDAY MLB BEST BET!
Game957) Detroit Tigers at (958) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Detroit Tigers -110

Game973) Arizona Diamondbacks at (974) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Aug 7 2020 9:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks +105