Service Plays Wednesday 7/22/20

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XS Sports Picks KBO

5* SK Wyverns -135

5* SK Wyverns -1.5 +135

5* Doosan Bears Over 10.5 -115

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Saratoga - Race #4

#7 Tenderfoot	Price player takes the big MSW drop for a patient Wilkes barn, goes second off the long layoff too, and catches a field with plenty of speed; spotted to score.
#8 Lost in Rome	Class riser was a fast 2nd for the 20k level last time, adds blinkers for a bit more focus, and won't need to improve much to play with these; major player.
#6 Yankee Empire	Stalker was a solid 2nd at the level last time, should sit the right trip a bit off all the speed, and is another who will offer a square price; contention runs deep.
Race Summary	You should get fair value on the pick, as there are plenty here who will get bet, so play him in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since you could surmise this was the plan Wilkes had in mind all along, and that he's primed to fire a lifetime best, which might be all it takes to beat this group.

Saratoga - Race #5

#2 Crack Shot	Speedster ran off then tired off the long break last time, but the prep is now behind him, so he should be tighter, and he has a big tactical edge on the heavy chalk; come catch the pick.
#8 Maxwell Empire	Aforementioned heavy favorite was just a closing 4th in a stakes, so he's getting bet hard here, but that was far and away his best, and the rest aren't any great shakes; backwheel time.
#3 Inside Info	Class riser goes back to the turf off the Rice claim (24%), for a barn that has starrted the meet white hot, and the lone turf run was a route, so he could wake up here; exotics price appeal.
Race Summary	You'll get a hint of a price on the 2 because they will go overboard on the 8, and you can easily see the former moving forward off the comeback, while the latter regresses a bit off the breakthrough run, not to mention he's always at the mercy of the pace too, and now shortens up here, so play 'Shot aggressively to win and place, and make sure to use his number to end the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since budget players will likely be singling 'Empire, even though there may be a few chinks in his armor.

Saratoga - Race #7

#6 Gaelic Gold	Dangerous sort was in against open foes at Tampa and was a closing 6th, and now she drops in against NYBs for a Clement barn that is white hot to start the meet; look out.
#1 Madison Parc	The chalk was another facing open MSW runners, at SA and CD no less, so this is a huge drop, and the turf debut, her lone grass start, was a big 4th; clearly the one to beat.
#8 Unicorn Sally	Longshot got back with friends off the break and closed nicely to be 4th at Bel last time, and while this is a tougher group, her stretch run makes her a player late; can get a piece.
Race Summary	It looks like a class play here between the 1 and 6, and the former has more appeal since the barn has been having a banner year and is firing early at the meet, plus she'll be a better price too, so play her in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since 5-1 seems like a ton of value, and just maybe you sneak close to it out in what is a deep field where a lot of them look similar on paper.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Mountaineer - Race #1

#6 Five Green Stars	Even comeback run on the dirt, but his back form on the turf is where the good form sits. It's obviously a question of what he has left in the tank at age 10, but he's worth a price look on the turf return if he offers double digits.
#2 Elwood's Advice	Posted a nice win last out on the turf with a softer bunch, but there are a couple of suspect players in here who will get bet, and this guy has as good a chance as any.
#9 Clickjab	Has never been much on turf, but he brings the best recent form to this. That said, all that form came on the dirt, and he's probably getting bet again here.
Race Summary	This is a tough spot where ML favorite #4 Wickets Way can win, but his form is all over the place and dirt is his best game. Five Green Stars has plenty of questions to answer today, but a fair price would make it interesting to find out just how much of that back turf form he can dig to find.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#5 Less Than Perfect	Tailed off at the end of 2019 and hasn't inspired any confidence yet in a pair of 2020 starts, but perhaps a change of scenery from Tampa will give him a chance to wake up with plenty of back turf runs that'd make him tough here. Early double of price players finding some back turf form?
#3 Dragunov	Has always done his best work on the grass, so much of that poor form on his page becomes pretty excusable. He can get a tactical trip on the hike and owns races good enough to be in the mix.
#1 Anechoic	Inside pace probably has to go, and though he won his only turf start, he probably has a little bit of company lined up with him in the early stages today.
Race Summary	Less Than Perfect has some chance to bounce back off a couple of dull Tampa turf tries, and the price will be right to hope he bounces back here in a somewhat suspect race.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#7 Lovin Machen	Forward player goes second off the layoff after flashing pace and fading in the comeback run. Always willing to give speed horses a pass for a fading comeback run, so this filly might be worth the look today.
#2 Shezagoldgetter	Tactical type has had eight chances and always seems to be in the right spot. Still, he hasn't won a race, and will take some cash here while being no sure thing to seal the deal tonight.
#4 Ultra Diva	Debuter doesn't meet a super strong group, so it'd be no surprise to see her win right out of the box today.
Race Summary	Loving Machen has every right to stick around better today with the last run under her belt, and there isn't a whole lot in here to be afraid of. A couple of those 2019 tries would be good enough to land this.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #4

#6 BILLION DOLLAR DAY	Figures close-up throughout, use in all gimmick wagers at 5-1 on morning line.
#4 HILARIOUS LOU	Exits fast heat, gets class relief, seeks fourth win of the year.
#1 BOBBIES POWER PLAY	Tired in well-backed return at this level, has speed and the rail.
Race Summary	Billion Dollar Day, winless in nine starts this year, carried his speed to the stretch but settled for another minor award. He can use his speed well in this field and offers good betting value with second-time Lasix. Play 6-1 and 6-4 exactas.

Northfield Park - Race #1

#6 FRIGGUN FAST	Rallied from far back in win at this level, went well until mishap in follow-up.
#3 HIT IT MAESTRO	No match against three-peat winner, no excuse in this field.
#7 RIDEWITHTHEDEVIL	Led and faded in return, had excuses in last pair, switches pilots again.
Race Summary	Friggun Fast overcame early interference and caught the 6-to-5 favorite at this level two starts back. He raced close-up to the stretch before he broke stride against better last week. His trainer takes the driving reigns tonight, which should yield maximum betting value.

Northfield Park - Race #7

#2 IRISH ART	Can make good use of his speed in this spot, lures Wrenn.
#5 ARRHYTHMIC SURGE	Reversed form, blew past 1-to-5 fave, continued strong on gallop-out.
#6 ZIP ZIP WILL	Burned serious money out of town, starts fresh in new barn, had useful qualifier.
Race Summary	Irish Art, far back against better last week, is a major player with tonight with speed, an inner post and Wrenn in the bike. He led until the stretch two starts ago against a 1-to-9 winner at Buffalo. Play a 2-5-6 exacta box.

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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Indiana Grand - Race #3

#2 Strollin the Bayou	Gave way in the final furlong of her latest vs. much better at Churchill Downs and likely will get back to good form on the class drop; can carve out a good trip and looms as the one to beat.
#4 Miss Mercken	Has yet to pan out as a good claiming but the drop in class could move her up here; she has had some quality turf performances and could be a level at which she can succeed.
#3 Monkey Mind	Was in good position and faltered to fourth late in her first local starter; capable of improving in her second over the course.
Race Summary	Strollin the Bayou moves from Churchill and her class level is more than cut in half; Foley barn still look for her win under its care and looks to have found a good spot for her.

Indiana Grand - Race #6

#1 Sacred Kiki Bird	Was up in time for a N3L state-bred allowance steps down to Indy claimers; was twice claimed at Oaklawn this year and the Garcia stable is perfect with him, having won their only start with him.
#5 Merocketman	Ran evenly in his 1st since November and has been in some good allowance races; can improve in his second of the year.
#8 Rooster	Comes out of much tougher races recently has had a good chance to turn around his currently ailing form; was in good races last year.
Race Summary	Sacred Kiki Bird has been in several barns and has been in decent state-bred races; fits with these.

Indiana Grand - Race #9

#7 Fancy Creole Queen	Has won two straight since a lost in her first one and will be tough if she can run back to her trial win.
#8 Lone Cartel	Lost by a nose last time and can improve from running on the outside; could break his maiden in this spot.
#2 Shez Bodacious	Was a clear trial winner and was third in her first of the year; can be a big player again.
Race Summary	Fancy Creole Queen was up in time in her firs one at Indiana after a maiden win at Remington Park; one to catch.

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Andrew McInnis

KBO best bet (4%)
Game: (304619) Lotte Giants at (304620) SK Wyverns
Date/Time: Jul 22 2020 5:30 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: SK Wyverns -125

View Analysis

SK Wyverns -125

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Hunter Price

Jul 22 '20, 3:45 PM in 7h
Soccer | Verona vs Torino
Play on: Verona +215 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Verona +215

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 6	$2 Exacta $1 Box $1 Trifecta $.50 Box $1 Superfecta $.20 Box $2 Pick 4 (races 6-9) $.50 Wheel
Claiming $4,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $6,900 • Post: 8:50P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 22, 2019. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Stalker. CRISIS AVERTED is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRESTONS PRINCESS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/sur face. ARCH LEGACY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CRISIS AVERTED: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Horse's average wi nning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). TOUCH OF EMMA: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. Ho rse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
7	PRESTONS PRINCESS	7/2	4/1
5	ARCH LEGACY	5/2	9/2
3	CRISIS AVERTED	8/1	6/1
6	TOUCH OF EMMA	2/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	PRESTONS PRINCESS	7	7/2	Front-runner	75	68	69.6	57.8	52.8
5	ARCH LEGACY	5	5/2	Front-runner	69	61	67.4	52.6	49.6
3	CRISIS AVERTED	3	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	73	58	47.8	52.6	44.1
6	TOUCH OF EMMA	6	2/1	Trailer	75	61	40.4	60.6	55.6
2	LADY PANTHER	2	5/1	Trailer	62	53	14.8	47.2	36.7
1	CHARLIES WATCHIN	1	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	34.3	20.5	8.0
4	CHARLIES HOT	4	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	68	44	26.4	45.6	35.6

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs

Louisiana Downs - Race 7	Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Super High Five
Optional Claiming $12,500 • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $22,000 • Post: 5:49P
(RAIL AT 20 FEET). FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 22 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT 1 MILE AND70 YARDS)

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. SILVER SIREN is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * SABE MARCELETE: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MY PEPPER ANN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. BELLA CAJUN: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FORGOTTEN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power R ating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1	SABE MARCELETE	5/1	9/2
9	MY PEPPER ANN	3/1	5/1
5	BELLA CAJUN	4/1	6/1
8	FORGOTTEN	8/1	8/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	SILVER SIREN	7	10/1	Front-runner	63	50	40.8	41.7	27.2
5	BELLA CAJUN	5	4/1	Alternator/Stalker	80	76	62.3	71.1	60.6
2	GAL	2	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	71	58	50.0	53.3	40.3
8	FORGOTTEN	8	8/1	Trailer	83	81	69.6	71.8	62.8
1	SABE MARCELETE	1	5/1	Trailer	81	78	66.8	77.0	72.5
9	MY PEPPER ANN	9	3/1	Trailer	80	80	61.4	72.0	68.0
3	LIL ASHLEY B.	3	12/1	Trailer	54	51	44.9	31.4	16.4
4	TOODALOO TO YOU	4	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	74	65	59.5	68.0	58.5
6	GIRL THIRSTY	6	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	72	65	39.8	58.8	49.3

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12700 Class Rating: 88

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2020 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 SILVER SPUN 6/1
# 7 HOOCHIECOOCHIE SAM 25/1
# 1 CANDY CON 10/1

I've got to go with SILVER SPUN. He has posted very good figures under today's conditions and will most likely fare well against this group of horses. With Zenteno getting the mount, watch out for this equine. Is a solid contender - given the 78 Equibase Speed Fig from his most recent race. HOOCHIECOOCHIE SAM - Has performed admirably lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 81 avg speed figure. CANDY CON - Is a contender - given the 79 speed fig from his most recent race. Conditioner has strong win rate (15 percent) at this distance and surface.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Parx Racing - Race #2 - Post: 1:22pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 54

Rating:

#5 CARNEGIE SONG (ML=2/1)


CARNEGIE SONG - Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this horse is encountering an easier field than last time around the track at Belmont Park. I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a come back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 FIELD OFFICER (ML=9/5), #3 ODDS ARE (ML=5/2), #1 HURACAN (ML=6/1),

FIELD OFFICER - Hard to keep chasing this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. ODDS ARE - No value in making a bet on this entrant. Probably won't improve off that Jul 13th race. HURACAN - Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance affairs recently. Not likely to see him doing it in today's event either. If you keep betting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disappointed most of the time. Don't believe this horse will make an impact today. That last speed fig was disappointing when compared with today's class figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#5 CARNEGIE SONG to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Lone Star Park - Race #8 - Post: 5:15pm - Stakes - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 84 Lane's End Danny Shifflett Scholarship S.

Rating:

#8 SHES OUR FASTEST (ML=5/2)
#1 CORLUNA (ML=3/1)


SHES OUR FASTEST - The jockey/trainer twosome of Diego and Gelner has a strong return on investment together. This entrant obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has earned the highest speed rating on the grass at the distance-surface. I took a look at this mare's finishes. She's almost always in the money. The Jun 14th race at Lone Star Park was at a class level of (92). Dropping down the ladder based on class drastically, so she should be in a good spot. CORLUNA - I surely see good things for this mount right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 HERBS LOVE (ML=2/1), #6 EATON'S MEMORY (ML=8/1),

HERBS LOVE - I don't normally play a chalk horse that hasn't been to the track in the last few weeks. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this entrant as a possibly overvalued contestant. EATON'S MEMORY - Doesn't look to be in a satisfactory situation in today's event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#8 SHES OUR FASTEST is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [1,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	8 with 1 with [2,4,7] Total Cost: $3
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 10 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 72

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 12 CFV DUCHESS 4/1
# 7 MG MACHO BOY 9/2
# 1 HF WILLIE CATCH ME 10/1

My selection in here is CFV DUCHESS. Formidable average Equibase speed figs in short races make this equine a solid choice. Has very strong early pace and should fare solidly versus this group. Recorded a formidable speed figure in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. MG MACHO BOY - Strong profits have been scored by bettors using this jockey and trainer duo lately. Has been running solidly lately and should be on or close to the lead early on.

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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

07/22/20, SAR, Race 8, 4.46 ET
07/22/20,SAR,8,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:38:01 ALLOWANCE. Purse $74,000. (UP TO $12,876 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Non-winners of a race other than Claiming or Starter at a mile or over Allowed 2 lbs. (Non-starters For A Claiming Price Of $25,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred). (If the Stewards consider it inadvisable to run this race on the turf course, races for Three-Year-Olds and Olderwill be run at One Mile and One Eighth and Two-Year-Old races will be run at Seven Furlongs on the Main Track). (Rail at 12 feet).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Foolish Ghost	5-1	Ortiz J L	Brown Bruce R.		33.33	1.73/$1
099.6883	6	La Hara (IRE)	2-1	Rosario J	Brown Chad C.	FEC	57.14	1.39/$1
099.0373	3	Colonel Liam	6-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Pletcher Todd A.	JL	34.15	1.08/$1
098.6265	5	Gauguin (GER)	4-1	Alvarado J	Mott William I.		34.15	1.08/$1
098.5532	2	Wild Medagliad'oro	5/2	Velazquez J R	Casse Mark E.		34.15	1.08/$1
097.2145	8	Junkanoo	12-1	Gaffalione T	Brown Chad C.		34.15	1.08/$1
096.8884	1	Southern Bridge	15-1	Castellano J	Mott William I.	W	27.19	0.94/$1
095.1785	4	Smile Bryan	9/2	Ortiz J L	Motion H. Graham		32.00	1.07/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 21.88, ROI 0.50/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	La Hara (IRE)	2-1	Rosario J	Brown Chad C.	FEC	39.33	1.32/$1
098.5030	7	Foolish Ghost	5-1	Ortiz J L	Brown Bruce R.		45.00	1.92/$1
098.3953	8	Junkanoo	12-1	Gaffalione T	Brown Chad C.		39.33	1.32/$1
098.2207	3	Colonel Liam	6-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Pletcher Todd A.	JL	39.33	1.32/$1
098.0186	5	Gauguin (GER)	4-1	Alvarado J	Mott William I.		45.00	1.92/$1
097.6792	1	Southern Bridge	15-1	Castellano J	Mott William I.	W	43.21	1.54/$1
097.3694	2	Wild Medagliad'oro	5/2	Velazquez J R	Casse Mark E.	S	39.33	1.32/$1
094.0147	4	Smile Bryan	9/2	Ortiz J L	Motion H. Graham		45.00	1.92/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 23.81, ROI 0.63/$1