Service Plays Monday 5/25/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358140

    Service Plays Monday 5/25/20

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

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    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358140

    #2



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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358140

      #3
      Al Cimaglia: May 25-Scioto Downs Pick 5 Analysis


      May 25, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
      Tonight, Scioto Downs has increased the 0.50 Pick 5 guarantee to $20,000 which should lead to a larger pool. The Pick 5 starts in Race 5, it has a 14% takeout and appears to be a challenging sequence.

      Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

      Race 5

      4-Bettor's Dream (4-1)-Six-year-old makes first start at ScD off a sharp qualifier. Miller picked #7 instead but Page has been doing well. This is a tough race but could score with a top effort.
      5-Picard A (4-1)- Qualifier was better than the line looks and should enjoy the company. Raced evenly last week, but went the back half in .57, last 1/4 in 28.2 and could be sitting on a big try coming off the bench.
      7-Don't Ask Logan (5-1)-Likes to get on the engine and was used hard to get the lead. Faded down the lane in qualifier but the 27.1 opening quarter from the 7-hole was quick. Should be tighter and could make every call a winning one.

      Race 6

      1-Elm Grove Maddy (7/2)-Even qualifier but in a spot to get sucked around and roll by late. 0-10 this year but that may not tell the entire story. Off-track record is only 2-28 and 7 of 10 starts in 2020 have been on a wet surface.
      2-I M Mccited (9/2)-Tuned up in Delaware and shows a win in 6 starts at ScD. Looking for Miller to provide a good journey and have in striking range. Using at a square price in another contentious race.
      5-Stay Gold (5/2)-Fits with this crew, has two wins in 13 starts at ScD. If Brewer finds some live cover it could be picture time.

      Race 7

      5-Ucrywheniflyby (5-1)-Went the back half in 57.2 in qualifier and Sutton can find some live cover from this post. Looks like a player at a fair price if keeps trotting.
      10-Toasted By Twelve (9/1)-Makes 2nd start on Lasix and was staked in Ohio last year. Morgan trainee did win his barn debut. Looking for another big try here if Miller works a trip and keeps his mind on business.

      Race 8

      1-Elmo Blatch (5/2)-Comes off two nice qualifiers and it seems like breaking issues may have been solved. Will use and then look to the outside instead of #4 the program chalk, who is 0-6 at ScD.
      7-Cowboy Country (6-1)-Tuned-up nicely at Nfld and now makes first start at ScD. Should like the company and if is in striking range at the 3/4's chances for success go up.
      8-Stonebridge Symba (6-1)-Makes first start on Lasix and kept coming in last week's qualifier. Does need the right trip but has faced better. Looks to be worth a swing at 6-1 in the ML and thinking Miller will provide a good steer.

      Race 9

      2-Star Guitar (3-1)-Agreeing with the program odds in this event and looking for a big effort. Will use the 2nd ML chalk and hope he is racing close to the lead turning for home.
      3-Always A Fiji (2-1)-Makes first lifetime start at ScD and lands in a good spot. Team Brewer trainee has some versatility and should be able to capture third win of 2020 at a short price with a decent trip.

      0.50 Pick 5
      4,5,7/1,2,5/5,10/1,7,8/2,3
      Total Bet=$54
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358140

        #4
        Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks


        Gulfstream Park - Race #8
        #5 Hieroglyphics Stiff class dropper will now run at a more proper level second-off the Maker-Dubb claim, has been facing much better, drew well, and will be just off the speed; look out.
        #4 My Point Exactly Pace presser has been firing big numbers and has been in great form against better, so he'll like this drop too, and he figures to get first run off the turn; the one to beat.
        #2 Zippy Longshot drew well and has quietly been running some biggies, and there's pace here to set him up, so at a big number he may spice it up underneath; exotics appeal.
        Race Summary You can't make up how incorrect this 12-1 ML is on the pick, but even 9-2 or so for potent connections, with an in-form horse on a sizable class drop, seems fair value, so play him in all the slots, and especially to kick off the late Pk5 as well, since he seems primed to fire a big shot against a group that will be a lot more to his liking that the ones he's been facing.
        Gulfstream Park - Race #9
        #3 Septemberten Major player has a pressing/stalking gear in a race with a lot of speed, ran well while facing winners last time, and looks primed to build off that; love his chances here.
        #1 Unpublished Logical sort has been running well in some fast Florida breds races, is another who can sit just off the pace, fits nicely on paper, and will be a price too; very playable.
        #4 Jungle Warrior Stretch runner goes off the claim for Cartagena, an relatively unknown barn but one that is 2-for-7 with this angle, and the price and pace will be right too; worth a look.
        Race Summary The 3 really should be favored, as the two Rivelli returnees outside (#8 and #9) are off long layoffs (albeit for a potent long layoff barn) and are complete unknowns on the dirt (former) against 3up (both), while the pick has been firing right along, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying him in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since he seems to be getting all the best of it here, yet you might get $9 to win on him if the tote breaks your way.
        Gulfstream Park - Race #10
        #6 Souper Courage Stretch runner made a hug middle move them tired two-back, then was mired in traffic last time and didn't get clear until too late, but is in fine form, will be a price, and needs only a clear, well-timed ride to get there; finally his time.
        #4 Machiavelli Lightly raced and improving runner just-missed while closing stoutly and beating the pick last time, and he's still got upside off just six starts, but he'll be overbet off this last, and his margin for error is a slim one; plenty scary, but no lock.
        #12 Valdolobo Dropper is the one to beat on a normal day, but when you draw the 12-hole here going 1m on turf, nothing is normal, so sure, he can still win, but at an underlaid price from the parking lot, you've got to look around; making him prove it.
        Race Summary The price will be right on the 6, even though he's right there with the 4 and 12 on paper and is overdue for a bit of luck too, so play him in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks a bit, which means a win in the $12 range might play a lot longer in both sequences.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358140

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Santa Anita - Race #1
          #7 Big Runneur Tactical type gets blinkers today off the bench, and he has proven an affinity for this trip in the past. If he fires fresh, he's there.
          #8 Torosay Turned in a clunker in the big one last time out, but he's got every right to bounce back off that effort with this softer bunch.
          #12 Castle Gate Would want a fair number here considering the two turf tries weren't a whole lot to look at, but the comeback run was excellent, and he's a threat if he can transfer that form to the lawn.
          Race Summary Big Runneur should be tough from close range, and the addition of blinkers might be what he needs to get over the top.
          Santa Anita - Race #5
          #1 Stealthediamonds Didn't miss by much when facing the boys last time out, and though there is some other speed in here, she's going to make a break for it from the inside and might be able to hang around late.
          #7 Jolie Olympica Hasn't done much wrong in two starts here, and she's got positional pace to sit close even on the cutback.
          #2 Oleksandra Returns off the October layoff, but she looked good taking the Franklin County at Keeneland last out and has run well over the local footing.
          Race Summary Stealthediamonds is going to have to work for it from the fence, but the price might be right to see if she can't get brave. Jolie Olympica should get the run of the race, but she's likely to offer a short number.
          Santa Anita - Race #9
          #5 War of Will He drew a bad post in a minor stakes spot at Gulfstream and scratched from that spot in favor of this one. Bad post or not, it's really interesting to me that Casse preferred to start his campaign in a Grade I than in that minor spot. He's a talent who likes the turf, and I'll read plenty into the power move from the trainer.
          #11 River Boyne Reliable should get a cozy run of things from close range again, but he'll have to overcome a tough post to handle these.
          #1 Without Parole Still can't figure out why this guy was the chalk in the Pegasus World Cup Turf, but the cutback should work in his favor. He ran on well when third behind Uni over this local trip in the Breeders' Cup and factors with anything similar to that.
          Race Summary War of Will is classy enough and talented enough to win this from close range, and the confidence from his team to scratch him from a much softer spot in favor of this Grade I gets him over the top for me.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358140

            #6
            Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


            Remington Park - Race #2
            #4 Dang It Autry Comes out of good sprints and makes his 1st try at 870; has the speed and class to pass this test.
            #1 Inseperable HD Has a good front-runner in prior 870 starts and comes out of sprints; very capable, especially with the inside post.
            #3 A Prize Wagon Set for his 1st 870 attempt and has been competitive at this level and those slightly above this; can be in the mix from the outset.
            Race Summary Dang It Autry has a class edge and has the speed to get to the lead; tough if he gets clear.
            Remington Park - Race #10
            #1 Tough to Bee Seeks his 1st win in two year but has taken on some of the best the game has to offer; drew far outside in two of three starts here this year and can benefit from an inside run tonight.
            #4 Eye N Capo Has taken 12 of 23 and has run against some giants lately; fits well and can be a factor from start to finish.
            #3 Hooked on a Win Won this race last year and took the Mr Jet Moore two back; has plenty of talent and would not be a big surprise.
            Race Summary Tough to Bee was 4th in a blanket finish last time and usually draws outside when he races at Remington; he moves to the rail, which has been quite good lately.
            Remington Park - Race #11
            #7 Gael Force Still a maiden but has been very close in all three starts vs. solid company; gets a clear run outside and can get his 1st career victory.
            #6 Shaking the Moon Was a sharp winner in a futurity trial; scored at 43-1 on his debut and fits well in this spot.
            #2 Dalts Fancy Pistol Didn't fire as the favorite in a futurity final and was a convincing winner in two prior start; could return to winning form.
            Race Summary Gael Force has been close and can benefit from being outside traffic; this stakes race is a fine spot for his maiden win.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358140

              #7
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

              Remington Park - Race 9
              Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 9-10-11) (.50 Cent Minimum)
              Stakes • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 94 • Purse: $45,000 • Post: 9:28P
              QUARTER HORSE 350Y, JACK BROOKS S. - FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS. NO NOMINATION FEE. $250 TO ENTER, STARTERS TO PAY AN ADDITIONAL $250. WEIGHT: 124 LBS. HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST ACCUMULATED LIFETIME EARNINGS ACCORDING TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS PROVIDED BY EQUIBASE WILL HAVE PREFERENCE AT TIME OF ENTRY.
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LOVE IS EVERYTHING V: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. UPTOWNE BABE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RITAS BACK ON TRACK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. DYNASTY CARTEL: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
              6
              LOVE IS EVERYTHING V
              6/5
              4/1
              5
              UPTOWNE BABE
              9/2
              7/1
              4
              DYNASTY CARTEL
              6/1
              8/1
              1
              RITAS BACK ON TRACK
              8/1
              8/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              1
              RITAS BACK ON TRACK
              1
              8/1
              Average
              92
              85
              5.1
              0.0
              0.0
              2
              RELENTLESS JESSIE
              2
              20/1
              Average
              90
              80
              4.8
              0.0
              0.0
              3
              HR STORM ON IN
              3
              20/1
              Average
              90
              80
              4.4
              0.0
              0.0
              4
              DYNASTY CARTEL
              4
              6/1
              Average
              92
              85
              3.8
              0.0
              0.0
              5
              UPTOWNE BABE
              5
              9/2
              Fast
              91
              88
              2.5
              0.0
              0.0
              6
              LOVE IS EVERYTHING V
              6
              6/5
              Fast
              94
              93
              2.1
              0.0
              0.0
              7
              WAGONS DASH
              7
              20/1
              Fast
              87
              78
              2.8
              0.0
              0.0
              8
              JUICE IS LOOSE
              8
              12/1
              Average
              81
              85
              3.6
              0.0
              0.0
              9
              EW TRAIN ON FIRE
              9
              10/1
              Average
              91
              79
              4.3
              0.0
              0.0
              10
              ALOTALOTA
              10
              15/1
              Average
              86
              77
              4.1
              0.0
              0.0
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358140

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs



                Assiniboia Downs - Race 3
                $1 PICK 4 (10K Guarantee) / PICK 3 (Races 3-4-5) /.20 SUPERFECTA .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR / QUINELLA
                Stakes • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 91 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 8:31P
                GO GO LOLO OVERNIGHT S. - FILLIES AND MARES, 3-YEAR-OLDS & UPWARD. WEIGHT, 3-YEAR-OLDS, 117 LBS. OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $12,000 ONCE IN OTHER MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED IN 2020 ALLOWED 5 LBS. NO NOMINATION FEE - $100 TO ENTER - $100 TO START.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * MISS IMPERIAL: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. BROADWAY BON NIE: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. I'MABARNKAT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Fi gure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. EXACTLY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
                3
                MISS IMPERIAL
                9/5
                4/1
                2
                BROADWAY BONNIE
                5/2
                6/1
                4
                I'MABARNKAT
                12/1
                7/1
                6
                EXACTLY
                7/2
                8/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                4
                I'MABARNKAT
                4
                12/1
                Stalker
                88
                80
                90.4
                72.0
                64.5
                3
                MISS IMPERIAL
                3
                9/5
                Stalker
                90
                89
                80.4
                81.0
                78.5
                6
                EXACTLY
                6
                7/2
                Stalker
                87
                83
                71.4
                83.2
                77.7
                1
                VIDIRA
                1
                10/1
                Alternator/Stalker
                90
                83
                40.8
                75.4
                68.9
                7
                ANSTRUM
                7
                8/1
                Trailer
                84
                82
                64.6
                63.3
                52.8
                2
                BROADWAY BONNIE
                2
                5/2
                Trailer
                88
                84
                64.0
                83.4
                77.9
                5
                FAT N BITTER
                5
                15/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                88
                85
                61.0
                64.2
                52.2
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358140

                  #9
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Gulfstream Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:15pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 87

                  Rating:

                  #4 ASSUME (ML=5/1)
                  #5 PRAIRIE WINGS (ML=7/5)
                  #1 SNEER (ML=7/2)


                  ASSUME - Filly looks like the lone speed here. She may turn the race into a procession. Always be wary of the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. I like the fact that this filly's last speed rating, 86, is tops in this field. PRAIRIE WINGS - I like this filly. Has the topmost earnings per race in this one. SNEER - Look for this filly to show lots better in this race. Last event at Gulfstream Park finishing fifth on a sloppy track is no indication of her true talent. Dropping 5 pounds from last race. Could be a deciding factor today.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #7 LASTING UNION (ML=9/2), #6 GIBBERISH (ML=8/1),

                  LASTING UNION - Just can't play this mount. Didn't show me anything positive last time around the track or on March 29th. GIBBERISH - Pedestrian speed figure last out at Gulfstream Park at 1 mile. Don't feel this racer will improve too much in today's race.



                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #4 ASSUME on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
                  EXACTA WAGERS: 4 with [1,5]

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  Box [1,4,5] Total Cost: $6
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,4,5] with [1,4,5] with [1,2,4,5,7] with [1,2,4,5,7] Total Cost: $36

                  SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                  None
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358140

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 6 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 75

                    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 4 SITTIN AND THINKIN 3/1
                    # 6 THANKS 2/1
                    # 2 HOPSCOTCHY 7/2
                    SITTIN AND THINKIN is my choice. Her 71 average has this filly with among the best speed figures for this race. I think having Gonzalez ride this filly is a smart selection. Has to be given a chance based on the quite good Equibase Speed Fig posted in the last race. THANKS - This filly should be given a shot just off the earnings per start in dirt sprint contests alone. She has been running strongly and the speed figs are among the top in this field. HOPSCOTCHY - Could beat this group of horses given the 74 speed rating posted in her last outing. Shows evidence of the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 67 speed fig which is one of the best in this field.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358140

                      #11
                      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park



                      05/25/20, SA, Race 4, 2.03 PT
                      05/25/20,SA,4,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $27,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000.
                      . . . .
                      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                      100.00 5 Enriched by Deb 7/2 Rosario J Baltas Richard SL 33.33 1.25/$1
                      099.01 4 Trouville 5/2 Prat F Powell Leonard JFEC 33.33 1.25/$1
                      098.63 11 Kelani Kim 3-1 Cedillo A Glatt Mark W 34.96 1.27/$1
                      098.46 9 Katsaros 4-1 Maldonado E A Bonde Jeff T 33.33 1.23/$1
                      095.83 7 Belle of Summer 20-1 Espinoza V Cassidy James M. 31.71 0.87/$1
                      095.73 3 Rosie's Pal 12-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Hess. Jr. Robert B. 31.71 0.87/$1
                      095.62 10 Indi Galle 20-1 Franco G Papaprodromou George 31.71 0.87/$1
                      095.52 2 Little Rachel 20-1 Fuentes R Garcia Victor L. 31.71 0.87/$1
                      095.21 6 Arya's Dagger 30-1 Pereira T J Periban Jorge 31.71 0.87/$1
                      091.81 8 Sapphire Silk 8-1 Rispoli U Mullins Jeff 33.33 1.25/$1
                      000.00 1 Viazar 1/5 No Rider Yet 31.71 0.87/$1
                      * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 31.25, ROI 3.47/$1

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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358140

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Ruidoso Downs

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.




                        Race 4 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $11555 Class Rating: 73

                        QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.

                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 3 LIONESSE 15/1
                        # 6 KNOCKOUT CHICK 3/1
                        # 4 BLUE DADDY CARTEL 15/1
                        I've got to go with LIONESSE and could score at a price in here. Garnered a strong Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this affair. KNOCKOUT CHICK - Demonstrates the look of a profitable play, averaging a solid 75 speed figure which is one of the top in this group of animals. Ramirez will almost certainly be able to get this filly to break out quickly for this race. BLUE DADDY CARTEL - With a solid 58 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. The average class figure alone makes this horse a contender.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358140

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                          Churchill Downs - Race #7 - Post: 4:08pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $79,000 Class Rating: 78

                          Rating:

                          #4 MARKET RUMOR (ML=6/1)
                          #6 CLAUDETTE NONSTOP (ML=12/1)


                          MARKET RUMOR - Wilkes brings her back again. I propose you stay with this hot filly. The April 26th race at Gulfstream Park was at a class level of (85). Dropping down the ladder based on class rating points a significant amount, so she should be in a good position. Should do well right here in this race. Weight shift of -5 from April 26th race at Gulfstream Park. CLAUDETTE NONSTOP - Horses that finish 2nd in Maiden races and finish well in front of the 3rd horse are generally good bets next time out. This filly has 'tactical' speed, Jimenez will use this advantage by laying in the catbird's seat behind the pace, and getting first run on the leaders. This animal has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 53 to 63 to 77 in succession.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #2 UNION MAIDEN (ML=7/2), #7 KINDA LUCKY (ML=5/1), #8 STRIPPING (ML=5/1),

                          UNION MAIDEN - Finished fifth last time. Would have to improve to be on the board in today's event. KINDA LUCKY - Not a good enough price on this one at the probable odds of 5/1. STRIPPING - Don't think that this filly has value at 5/1 this time around.

                          GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - MARKET RUMOR - Playing the top earnings per start thoroughbred is an angle which won't steer you wrong in the long run. I'm betting on this one.





                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #4 MARKET RUMOR on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]

                          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                          Skip
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358140

                            #14
                            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



                            05/25/20, CD, Race 9, 5.12 ET
                            05/25/20,CD,9,1 1/16M [Turf] 1:39:04 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $83,000 (includes up to $31,000 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of $26,400 Twice Over A Mile OnThe Turf Since March 25 Allowed 2 lbs. $23,400 At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since Then Allowed 4 lbs. Claiming Price $62,500 (Races Where Entered For $50,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable by management to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One and One Sixteenth mile.).
                            . . . .
                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                            100.00 2 Kulik Bear 5-1 Bridgmohan S Casse Mark E. J 42.37 1.49/$1
                            098.92 3 King Cause 5-1 Lopez P Magner Dermot 42.37 1.49/$1
                            098.64 9 Award Winner 9/2 Leparoux J R Lynch Brian A. L 42.37 1.49/$1
                            098.48 16 Opry 5-1 Castellano J Pletcher Todd A. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            098.46 12 Ramsey Solution 6-1 Gaffalione T Ward Wesley A. E 42.37 1.49/$1
                            098.32 15 Tribhuvan (FR) 4-1 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. FC 42.37 1.49/$1
                            098.10 20 Seek the Peak 4-1 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            097.96 13 (F)Set Piece (GB) 5-1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. T 42.37 1.49/$1
                            097.75 19 Kaziranga 5-1 Mena M Shirer Matt A. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            097.50 18 Lone Rock 3-1 Santana. Jr. R VanMeter William B. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            095.99 10 Markitoff 6-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Kenneally Eddie 42.37 1.49/$1
                            095.06 7 Morocco 8-1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. S 42.37 1.49/$1
                            094.98 4 Lost in Limbo 15-1 Talamo J Proctor Thomas F. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            094.42 1 Hierarchy 10-1 Graham J Sharp Joe 42.37 1.49/$1
                            094.20 14 Bundibunan 10-1 Lanerie C J Correas. IV Ignacio 42.37 1.49/$1
                            093.21 6 Federal Law 12-1 Carroll D Casse Mark E. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            093.10 5 Limonite 10-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            092.95 17 Tiz Mischief 8-1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            092.78 8 Evil Eye 50-1 Bermudez S E Cahill Steven F. W 42.37 1.49/$1
                            090.26 11 My Bariley 15-1 Sanjur S Granitz Anthony J. 42.37 1.49/$1
                            * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 26.47, ROI 1.13/$1
                            If Race Is Off Turf

                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                            100.00 20 Seek the Peak 4-1 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. 24.87 0.82/$1
                            099.74 2 Kulik Bear 5-1 Bridgmohan S Casse Mark E. J 24.87 0.82/$1
                            098.62 12 Ramsey Solution 6-1 Gaffalione T Ward Wesley A. FE 24.87 0.82/$1
                            098.50 16 Opry 5-1 Castellano J Pletcher Todd A. 32.28 1.13/$1
                            098.39 3 King Cause 5-1 Lopez P Magner Dermot 24.87 0.82/$1
                            096.91 15 Tribhuvan (FR) 4-1 Ortiz J L Brown Chad C. C 29.73 1.07/$1
                            096.07 10 Markitoff 6-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Kenneally Eddie 24.87 0.82/$1
                            095.63 13 (F)Set Piece (GB) 5-1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. T 24.87 0.82/$1
                            095.12 19 Kaziranga 5-1 Mena M Shirer Matt A. 32.28 1.13/$1
                            094.58 4 Lost in Limbo 15-1 Talamo J Proctor Thomas F. W 34.02 1.11/$1
                            094.31 18 Lone Rock 3-1 Santana. Jr. R VanMeter William B. 40.51 1.04/$1
                            094.17 7 Morocco 8-1 Ortiz J L Maker Michael J. S 24.87 0.82/$1
                            093.80 9 Award Winner 9/2 Leparoux J R Lynch Brian A. L 32.28 1.13/$1
                            093.78 1 Hierarchy 10-1 Graham J Sharp Joe 24.87 0.82/$1
                            092.71 17 Tiz Mischief 8-1 Talamo J Romans Dale L. 32.84 1.08/$1
                            092.30 14 Bundibunan 10-1 Lanerie C J Correas. IV Ignacio 32.28 1.13/$1
                            092.00 8 Evil Eye 50-1 Bermudez S E Cahill Steven F. 24.87 0.82/$1
                            091.22 11 My Bariley 15-1 Sanjur S Granitz Anthony J. 24.87 0.82/$1
                            090.40 5 Limonite 10-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 34.02 1.11/$1
                            090.00 6 Federal Law 12-1 Carroll D Casse Mark E. 32.28 1.13/$1
                            * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.89, ROI 1.01/$1
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358140

                              #15
                              Monday, May 25: Ruidoso Downs Full-Card Picks


                              May 25, 2020
                              From Ruidoso Downs Handicapper, Tim Keithley

                              Race 1 (3:00PM ET) - Optional Claiming ($10K) - $10,185 - 7 1/2 Furlongs

                              WILMAS’S IRISH ROVER (#1) is a significant class dropper here; competed for $30k last time the gelding was on the local track; let’s go.
                              HOWDY (#8) is still plenty feisty for an eight-year-old; 45 lifetime starts and $280k in earnings.
                              REBACK HOME (#7) is a grizzled veteran race horse with 25 local starts and 10 wins.

                              Race 2 (3:25PM ET) - Maiden Claiming ($6.5K) - $6,720 - 300 Yards

                              STREAKIN RECKLESS (#2) was dq’d out of maiden win here last summer; still lookin’ for that elusive first win—maybe today.
                              JR LITTLE REGARD (#7) has a recent nice work to consider; 11.91 seconds at 220.
                              VOICE OF ACTION (#5) is at lowest claiming level of the gelding’s career; capable of an upset.

                              Race 3 (3:50PM ET) - Claiming ($10K) - $9,765 - 5 Furlongs

                              ANOTHER BROTHER (#7) is a local favorite with bettors; 8 of 10 lifetime in the money at Ruidoso Downs.
                              AMOR N PASION (#8) just won a claiming race by 16 lengths? Muddy track and the forecast calls for rain Monday afternoon.
                              WHEREDOESTHECASHGO (#2) is the early speedster; let’s see if she gets caught.

                              Race 4 (4:15PM ET) - Maiden Special Weigh - $11,555 - 350 Yards

                              KNOCKOUT CHICK (#6) was always the bridesmaid last year with three second-place finishes; let’s bet across just in case.
                              JESS A DASHER (#1) was thrown into he wolves last fall over at Zia Park; this bunch looks easier so expect improvement.
                              DADDYS FASTER (#8) seems to hang around other runners without winning; expect the same.

                              Race 5 (4:40PM ET) - Maiden Special Weight - $8,190 - 300 Yards

                              DF FABULOUS FIRE (#6) was an impressive schooling race winner; gaining experience here for later in the summer.
                              JLC STEAL YOUR CASH (#7) races alongside the top pick; gotta help his chances.
                              JALAPENO BABY (#1) is 12-1; worth strong consideration is wide-open event.

                              Race 6 (5:05PM ET) - Claiming ($5K) - $7,350 - 5 1/2 Furlongs

                              MY BOY ZAYN (#4) shortens up the distance and drops in class; let’s go.
                              SICULO (#3) is the wildcard we’re dealing with here—previous Delmar lines create a big question mark.
                              FIELD GENERAL (#1) drips in class today; inconsistent sort—prefer top pick.

                              Race 7 (5:30PM ET) - Claiming ($5K) - $7,350 - 400 Yards

                              PR VOLCOM (#7) won in January; that’s more than the others can report.
                              ABOUTI TOO SHOES (#9) lights the board half the time; betting across.
                              Y YOU SO MEAN (#8) is the class dropper; should race much improved.

                              Race 8 (5:55PM ET) - Claiming ($7.5K) - $10,150 - 5 Furlongs

                              A ZENON NITE (#8) goes from mid-level allowance to claiming ranks; let’s get our picture taken here.
                              DRIVE THRU GARY (#4) has been racing much improved; 6-1 is a fair price.
                              ICED (#2) is a longshot with a chance; big class dropper at 10-1.

                              Race 9 (6:20PM ET) - Allowance - $15,205 - 300 Yards

                              VEERY’S VERSION (#9) keeps cashing paychecks time after time and trainer Barton finds a nice spot to drop the mare into without fear of claiming.
                              HOLLYWOOD N CROWN (#10) should race alongside top pick to make one another run faster.
                              GO BIGG DADDY (#2) has one start and one win; can’t do much better than that.

                              RACE 10 (6:45PM ET) - Allowance - $14,955 - 5 1/2 Furlongs

                              EVACUEE (#4) is our best bet of the day for Fincher barn; here’s a youngster that competed for $100k at Sunland and runs for minor allowance purse.
                              INDEFINATELY (#9) impressed many in the spring with a five length score; tougher field today.
                              SEVEN SILVER COINS (#6) will likely outbreak the top two selections and set the pace; here they come.

                              Race 11 (7:10PM ET) - John Andreini Memorial - $40,000 - 350 Yards

                              CONSIGLIERE (#4) had a three-race win streak until last time at Remington; clearly a top-notch race horse.
                              BOTTICELLI (#7) is an eight-year-old that has won four in a row; obviously appears to be in top form.
                              FLASH FOR CORONA (#6) is 15-1 and on a two-race win streak? Worth a buck or two.

                              Race 12 (7:35PM ET) - Maiden Claiming ($6.5K) - $8,470 - 5 1/2 Furlongs

                              MAIL MAN M G (#7) is a class dropper with a talented rider; like his chances.
                              FORTY FIVES STORM (#10) already won but suffered a dq; knows how to win.
                              JEWEL OF NAVARONE (#4) will keep running till the wire; gotta use in exotics.
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