Friday 3-13-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351087

    Friday 3-13-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351087

    #2
    Al Cimaglia: March 13-Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis


    March 13, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
    Tonight the 0.20 Pick 4 at Cal Expo begins in Race 8. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

    Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

    Race 8

    6-Cenalta Glory (9/2)-Comes off a rough trip versus better last week. Has a big shot to win if races back to 2/28 start when she drew off by 5 in 1:53. Drops and has won 10 of 25 at CalX, looks like a player at a square price.
    7-Magnifique (2-1)-Has been trying hard and now drops in 3rd start off the bench. Team Plano entry should be in it from start to finish but won't offer any value.

    Race 9

    1-Bettor In The Bank (3-1)-Has been facing tougher and drops again looking for a picture. Kennedy's pick over #4 and winner of 23 out of 59 CalX starts might have found a spot to wake up.
    2-Fox Valley Hoss (10-1)-Plano's choice over #3 has raced well versus better. Plano has had success with this 6-year-old in the past, using and hoping the morning line accurately represents the post time odds.
    9-Bunkerhill Bill (7/2)-Has been in the hunt while racing up at NW3500 and now may be in a spot to seal the deal. There isn't much gate speed, Roberts will likely leave and could get the top rather easily. Should fare better at this level.

    Race 10

    5-Timetoplaythegame (3-1)-Beat 4 from this field last week off an advantageous trip. Kennedy's choice over #6, which he had driven to 2 straight wins, should be forwardly placed and is threat to win right back.
    7-Mister Hat (7/2)-Plano left last week and couldn't hold on for the win. This time he could look to duck and come off cover. Mister needs the right trip and is camera shy but best to respect versus this crew.

    Race 11

    4-Stylemaster (10-1)-Offers a price and will need everything to fall in place but Plano can provide a sharp steer. Looking for this veteran to race close to the top and then make one big move down the lane.
    5-Ethan Hanover (5/2)-Drops to the basement but it's hard to be confident because 11-year-old has trouble passing foes down the lane. Should be in the hunt but will also look to others with more value.
    8-Sin Machqueen (6-1)-Has been off since 1/3 and tuned-up with a nice qualifier last week. 0-7 in Sacramento but is fresh and drops into a soft spot. Fits with this bunch as long as Cutting provides a smooth journey.

    0.20 Pick 4

    6,7/1,2,9/5,7/4,5,8
    Total Bet=$7.20
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 351087

      #3
      My Rebel Stakes Late Pick 4 Ticket


      March 13, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk
      It gets serious Saturday at Oaklawn Park as promising 3-year-olds run in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes, but that’s just part of an outstanding late Pick 4.

      It starts in the eighth race with the Essex Handicap for older horses and follows with the Grade 2 Azeri for fillies and mares, the Rebel Stakes and a tremendous maiden race to end the day.

      This week’s Pick 4 attempt goes with a 4x2x5x4 scenario for an $80 ticket.

      Here’s a look at the main combatants in the headliner – the Rebel Stakes, which carries a $1 million purse:

      Nadal: The Bob Baffert runner needs to answer the same question all 3-year-olds face: Can he get the distance. His maiden sprint at 6.5 furlongs showed what observers expected. He won in 1:15 4-5 and followed that up in the Grade 2 San Vicente, when he won by three-quarters after being eyeballed through fast fractions. Being by Blame and out of a Pulpit mare, it’s likely that Nadal can a distance but he faces his strongest test.

      Basin: Steve Asmussen doesn’t seem to runout of starts, and this one makes his 1st since he romped in the Grade 1 Hopeful at Saratoga in September. After losing his debut by a nose, he cruised in his next two. He’s bred to run long and on the front end. This is a tough task in his first one back, but he clearly has the talent.

      Silver Prospector: Rallied well and was in plenty of time in the Grade 3 Southwest, and since his win in the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes in November, he’s been good at his new running style. Asmussen has him in top form and he could get the dream trip, considering the amount of speed in this one.

      Three Technique: Has been on a steady arch of improvement and ran a good second in the Smarty Jones. That was his first one around two turns and he could benefit from having had the quality start over this strip.

      American Theorem: Was second in the Grade 1 American Pharoah Stakes (named after his sire) and has been since September. Clearly he’s talented and ran a good race but is coming in off a long string of works only. He finished six lengths ahead of Storm the Creek, who came out of that race and won the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile.

      Here’s a suggested play in the Oaklawn Park late Pick 4 on Saturday:
      8) #1 Guest Suite, #2 Night Ops, #4 Bankit, #6 Snapper Sinclair.
      9) #4 Lady Apple, #5 Serengeti Empress.
      10) #1 Nadal, #3 Basin, #4 Silver Prospector, #6 Three Technique, #8 American Theorem.
      11) #5 Cynical Girl, #6 Sacred Union, #10 Weekend Fun, #12 Tipsy Gal.

      50-cent Pick 4 ticket: 1-2-4-6 with 4-5 with 1-3-4-6-8 with 5-6-10-12 ($80).
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 351087

        #4
        Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks


        Aqueduct - Race #3
        #8 Masons Friend MSw dropper took some money on debut then didn't do a lot of running, but this is the biggest drop in racing, and this is a very weak group too; look out.
        #5 Whispering Rose The wildcard was 173-1 on the turf at KD in her only start, but now she's with DePaz, and in with NYB MCL'ers too, so she could wake way up; do not ignore.
        #10 Women Not Easy Dropper was in against open foes off the long break last time and flashed some speed, now adds blinkers, and drew a nice outside attack post; worth a look.
        Race Summary The fact the 8 takes the huge drop right away makes her a player here, and it's not like she even has to improve much to play with a group like this, so at that 5-1 ML she's worth a look in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since a win in a 13-horse field in the $10 to $12 range, would play a lot longer.
        Aqueduct - Race #4
        #4 Eden Ridge Longshot was in for 20k last time and ran a decent 3rd, and now drops in half, and faces a group that look a little tough to trust, with no margin for error either; bombs away.
        #3 Mills Suddenly streaking runner had a huge losing streak and then has won two straight, the last in a canter, but the waters are deeper here, and he'll be overbet too; second-best.
        #5 Business Cycle Stalker was a close 2nd to Mills last time in his last and now goes off the Noda claim (10%) for a solid barn, though he's another meeting tougher here; using underneath only.
        Race Summary The price will be right and then some on the 4, who will get completely overlooked but really isn't that far off the best on paper, and unlike some of them, he's taking a stiff drop in class, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4, as a win would completely blow up both sequences.
        Aqueduct - Race #8
        #5 Gets Lode of Lucky Dangerous sort hasn't been out since November turf run and didn't fire at all his lone dirt start, but Gargan is white hot, the dirt run was against MSW foes behind the Kentucky Derby favorite, and this is one sub-par group; spotted to score.
        #2 I Prowl Alone Rice charge didn't run an inch on debut, but that was against MSW foes, and this is a barn that is a stiff 26% with second-out maidens, so that stat, coupled with the huge drop in class, could wake him up in a big way; expecting much better.
        #13 Political Tepid ML favorite got no help from the draw and his form is no better than several here, so sure, he could win, but his penchant for losing ground in the stretch, coupled with his underlaid price, don't make him appealing; tread lightly here.
        Race Summary There's a lot going on here, and there is a chance the 5 and 2 are just not very good, but they have a big chance on getting better, which is more than the rest can say, as they seem stuck in neutral, so play who you like best in all the slots, box them in the EX, and use them both to end the late Pk5/Pk4, since both will add value, and in a big field like this, just getting the winner home in the finale will add value to both sequences.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 351087

          #5
          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


          Charles Town - Race #3
          #5 Next Summer Ran into a tough customer last time out who ran off by 10, and this filly has now run three decent races in a row. Experience edge makes her the right one.
          #2 Creative Glow Debuter doesn't meet much in here other than the top choice, and the works look forward enough to suggest she can make some noise at first asking.
          #4 Racing My Father Decent effort last out landed her a share, but she hasn't yet run a race that would make her a threat for top honors here. Needs more to score, but she's useful underneath.
          Race Summary Next Summer and Creative Glow might have this one locked down, but the former has an experience edge and should be in line for a really good trip.
          Charles Town - Race #5
          #1 Bret's Legacy Drops hard for this after the flat comeback run, and this group might be soft enough to get him home.
          #2 Matthew's Charm Chased the pace before tiring in the debut run at Laurel, but he should find the local company more to his liking. The one to beat?
          #5 True Shipman Drops off a decent enough local debut, but run was so far the exception to his form rather than the rule, so I wouldn't want to eat too short a price here.
          Race Summary Bret's Legacy was well beaten in his debut after showing some chasing pace, but it's also worth noting that he was three-quarters of a length out of the Exacta in a race won by a runaway winner.
          Charles Town - Race #7
          #4 Cantakeitanymore Hoping there is just enough pace to set things up for his long, late rally. He's a grinding finisher who is better suited for this 9f trip than most in here.
          #1 Katman Quick Figures to try to make a break for it from the inside, and he stayed on well enough when trying this trip last year.
          #8 Caladan Invader has a right to be tough off those Laurel races, but he's probably overbet with these and doesn't always finish with a ton of energy.
          Race Summary Cantakeitanymore should be finishing better than the rest in this spot, and he'll probably offer a playable number in a race where Caladan feels almost sure to be an underlay.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 351087

            #6
            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


            Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
            #2 LAURA’S LOVE Can’t go beyond in current form as she seeks fourth win in a row.
            #6 SIOCHAN Ran second off longer layoff to start 3yo season, front-end threat.
            #3 SOUTHWIND BAYOU No match for top one, but pocket trip could be in store.
            Race Summary Laura’s Love rallied from 10-plus lengths behind to win her last three starts going away. She’d be a bargain at 9-5 morning line price. Play 2 with 3, 6 with ALL trifecta.
            Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3
            #1 PATRICK’S COOKIE Shuffled back in latest, can stalk and pounce, moves outside in.
            #5 MYSTIC SEELSTER Rallied for two wins, a second and a third in her last four starts.
            #8 P L LIGHTNING Responded to front-end tactics, won for 15th time in 61 starts.
            Race Summary Patrick’s Cookie changed tactics but was shuffled out of contention last week. She rallied first-over in 3 of her previous 4 starts, earning a playback at a tempting price. Play 1-5 and 1-8 exactas.
            Hawthorne - Race #1
            #9 MOSH PIT Sat good trip, lacked stretch kick, but encouraging sign nonetheless.
            #2 PARK OFFICIAL Cleared early from post 10, dueled long way, just missed.
            #7 SHERIFF COFFEE Troubled seems to have followed him in three starts at a 5yo.
            Race Summary Mosh Pit showed a pulse on the drop to this level in his third start off a positive barn change. He worked out a good trip and now draws post 9, but if he gets early position, he can spring the upset. Play a 2-7-9 exacta box.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 351087

              #7
              Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


              Gulfstream Park - Race #3
              #4 Take Charge Again Broke her maiden two back and then was in too tough on the turf last time out; returns to dirt and is the one to beat here.
              #1 Papa's Little Girl Has been solid in sprints; has had a lot of chances for her 2nd career win but often is good enough to be a major player in exotics.
              #6 Blue Blue Ice Was 2nd in three of her last four and is a good bet to get a piece of it; likely will be heavily played.
              Race Summary Take Charge Again failed on turf and should enjoy to the dirt back under her hooves.
              Gulfstream Park - Race #6
              #4 Plato Was mid-pack in an extremely fast race last time and should find himself in the hunt earlier than in his last.
              #2 Frank First Crushed maiden-claimers last time out and is getting better; fits with these.
              #3 Causalistic Was an easy winner two back and then was outrun in a much tougher spot last time; can resume good form.
              Race Summary Plato has been trying much tougher lately, keeps Jaramillo and should be able to stretch out in good fashion.
              Gulfstream Park - Race #9
              #2 Candy Money Was very sharp at Tampa Bay in her only turf attempt; tough on the front end.
              #1 Lookinlikeaqueen Was claimed by Maker, who has done well off claims and this one has a good work for her return.
              #6 Ghostly Beauty Ran on well and just missed last time; could benefit from a good pace in front of her.
              Race Summary Candy Money rose to the occasion in her only turf start as she cruised home on the front end; big chance to repeat.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 351087

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

                Charles Town - Race 5
                Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5-6) Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
                Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-6 CR: 66 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 8:53P
                FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Lone Stalker. BRET'S LEGACY is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BRET'S LEGACY: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. ME DARLIN CHESSIE: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. WATCHMENEIGHNEIGH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MATHEW'S CHARM: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has the highest Track Master Power Rating.
                1
                BRET'S LEGACY
                5/1
                7/2
                4
                ME DARLIN CHESSIE
                4/1
                7/1
                6
                WATCHMENEIGHNEIGH
                8/1
                8/1
                2
                MATHEW'S CHARM
                5/2
                10/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                4
                ME DARLIN CHESSIE
                4
                4/1
                Front-runner
                63
                66
                78.6
                33.4
                22.4
                2
                MATHEW'S CHARM
                2
                5/2
                Front-runner
                0
                0
                60.7
                55.0
                50.0
                6
                WATCHMENEIGHNEIGH
                6
                8/1
                Alternator/Front-runner
                60
                55
                64.8
                47.0
                43.0
                1
                BRET'S LEGACY
                1
                5/1
                Alternator/Stalker
                88
                69
                58.1
                46.6
                40.1
                5
                TRUE SHIPMAN
                5
                2/1
                Alternator/Trailer
                0
                0
                66.6
                41.6
                35.1
                3
                MISCHIEVOUS JESSE
                3
                10/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                65
                45
                65.4
                36.4
                27.4
                Unknown Running Style: TUN TUN (12/1) [Jockey: Rodriguez Victor - Trainer: Pennella Rhea M].
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 351087

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park



                  Fonner Park - Race 6
                  $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
                  Claiming $2,500 • 4 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 72 • Purse: $3,700 • Post: 5:15P
                  FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
                  Contenders
                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds

                  Race Type: Lone Stalker. LUCKY BELLE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LUCKY BELLE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. HOLIDAY CLOVER: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. JAFMIL'S INFERNO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TAYLOR'S BEAUTY: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. FEELS RIGHT: Today is a sprint and this is the horse' s third or fourth start after a layoff.
                  4
                  LUCKY BELLE
                  5/2
                  5/1
                  1
                  HOLIDAY CLOVER
                  7/2
                  6/1
                  6
                  JAFMIL'S INFERNO
                  8/1
                  7/1
                  7
                  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY
                  9/2
                  9/1
                  9
                  FEELS RIGHT
                  6/1
                  9/1

                  P#
                  Horse (In Running Style Order)
                  Post
                  Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style
                  Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure
                  Finish Figure
                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  9
                  FEELS RIGHT
                  9
                  6/1
                  Front-runner
                  76
                  55
                  78.3
                  53.0
                  47.5
                  1
                  HOLIDAY CLOVER
                  1
                  7/2
                  Front-runner
                  72
                  57
                  77.5
                  61.8
                  54.8
                  7
                  TAYLOR'S BEAUTY
                  7
                  9/2
                  Front-runner
                  78
                  59
                  65.0
                  59.2
                  51.7
                  4
                  LUCKY BELLE
                  4
                  5/2
                  Stalker
                  67
                  69
                  58.8
                  63.2
                  55.7
                  6
                  JAFMIL'S INFERNO
                  6
                  8/1
                  Alternator/Trailer
                  77
                  64
                  0.0
                  64.4
                  60.4
                  5
                  AIRIETTE
                  5
                  12/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  67
                  66
                  80.0
                  40.0
                  24.0
                  2
                  CALIFORNIASUMMER
                  2
                  10/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  69
                  74
                  39.0
                  49.4
                  36.9
                  3
                  PANENA TORNAI
                  3
                  15/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  68
                  69
                  35.6
                  32.7
                  15.7
                  8
                  TRIPLE TROUBLE
                  8
                  10/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  61
                  59
                  33.0
                  46.2
                  34.2
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 351087

                    #10
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                    Turfway Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:42pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 62

                    Rating:

                    #6 ATMOS (ML=8/5)
                    #8 HOLY BOLY (ML=6/1)


                    ATMOS - This rider and trainer are dependable together. Win percentage when teamed up is tough to better. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is meeting an easier group than last race out at Churchill Downs. The last speed figure of 50 is the best last race speed figure in the bunch. HOLY BOLY - I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a return.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SOUTHERN HUMOR (ML=5/1), #2 CHEROKEE HAWK (ML=8/1),

                    SOUTHERN HUMOR - You always figure that this animal has a shot to be victorious, but he comes up short most every time. Don't feel this entrant will make a winning move today. That last speed figure was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's Equibase class figure. CHEROKEE HAWK - This horse likes to be there at the wire, but doesn't usually finish on top. Don't play in the top spot.



                    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Go with #6 ATMOS on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds
                    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [6,8]

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    None
                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 351087

                      #11
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.




                      Race 4 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 76

                      FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 13, 2019 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. 5# A CLASIFICADOS EN $4,000 Y DEBTS ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 5 BLUE CHIPS ONLY 3/1
                      # 7 IRISH LETTERS 5/2
                      # 2 CITY EDITION 10/1
                      I have to consider BLUE CHIPS ONLY here. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look quite good in this competition. Diaz will probably be able to get this gelding to break out sharply for this event. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group of animals. IRISH LETTERS - The Equibase Speed Figure of 70 from his last affair looks solid in here. Has run admirably when running a dirt sprint race.


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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 351087

                        #12
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                        Sam Houston - Race #3 - Post: 7:40pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 85

                        Rating:

                        #3 DONT LET ME LINGER (ML=5/1)
                        #2 COMMANDING CANDY (ML=4/1)


                        DONT LET ME LINGER - May be extremely hard to beat this mount on the grass today. Last out scored a nice turf fig, the highest of any of these animals. Craddock brings him back again. I advise you stay with this strong gelding. Last raced at Sam Houston with a poor post position. I swiped some data from The Brain, and his computer says the inside should be a big help to this one today. COMMANDING CANDY - Broberg is solid in turf routes. This horse should have no allowances if he doesn't win. Cabrera comes to ride again after getting to know the gelding in the last race. This gelding notched a nice figure of 76 in his last affair. That speed figure should be good enough to score this time.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SILENT FORCE (ML=3/1), #5 HOT FUDGE LOUIE (ML=9/2), #4 FREDONIAN (ML=6/1),

                        SILENT FORCE - Hard to back the favorite when he continues to lose as the favorite. Has been conquered as the favorite twice in a row. A repeat is probably in store. Substandard speed figure last time around the track at Sam Houston at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's event. HOT FUDGE LOUIE - This racer just hasn't looked sharp of late. Will be tough for this entrant to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class figure, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. FREDONIAN - When scrutinizing today's class rating, he will have to earn a better speed fig than last time out to be competitive in this turf route.



                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: #3 DONT LET ME LINGER is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better
                        EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        Pass
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 351087

                          #13
                          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

                          Always check program numbers.
                          Odds shown are morning line odds.




                          Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 74

                          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JANUARY 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000

                          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                          # 1 CHASING THE CANDY 8/5
                          # 3 BOAT OVER THE HILL 3/1
                          # 5 LECTRIC CHOKE 9/2
                          CHASING THE CANDY should be supported as the wager in here. With a formidable rider who has won at a very good 19 percent clip over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top selections. Will likely be one of the early speedsters of the pack going into the halfway point of the race. With a decent 73 Equibase speed fig last time out, will surely be a factor in this contest. BOAT OVER THE HILL - His 66 average has this gelding with among the top Equibase Speed Figs in this competition. This gelding is a definite contender based on his earnings per start in dirt route events. LECTRIC CHOKE - Is difficult not to consider based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been strong - 60 avg - of late.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 351087

                            #14
                            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park



                            03/13/20, OP, Race 6, 3.46 CT
                            1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.40.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $32,000.
                            Claiming Price $25,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD
                            Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)
                            . . . .
                            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                            After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                            100.00 7 House Drunk 9/2 Mojica O Holthus Paul E. JEC 47.73 1.49/$1
                            098.60 10 Quiet Dawn 7/2 Elliott S Hartman Chris A. F 47.06 1.71/$1
                            097.46 3 Mi Bella 10-1 Bailey C Hartman Chris A. W 47.06 1.71/$1
                            096.85 8 Southern Cents 6-1 Rocco. Jr. J Frazee Larry 47.06 1.71/$1
                            096.29 12 It's All Cash(b-) 10-1 Baze T Hollendorfer Jerry 47.06 1.71/$1
                            096.10 1 Gypsy Wind 6-1 De La Cruz F Jones J. Larry 38.46 1.28/$1
                            095.14 4 Golden Lily 5-1 Richard R Riecken Bruce L. S 47.06 1.71/$1
                            095.08 5 Congrats Girl 15-1 Quinonez L S Milligan Allen 47.06 1.71/$1
                            094.49 2 Lilfeatheredindian 15-1 Bridgmohan J V Broberg Karl TL 47.06 1.71/$1
                            092.80 6 Dark Sarcasm 15-1 Cannon D McBride Burl D. 47.06 1.71/$1
                            090.73 9 Mebs Web(b+) 20-1 De La Cruz W Zito Nicholas P. 47.06 1.71/$1
                            090.38 11 Sweet Kala(b+) 15-1 Canchari A L Chleborad Lynn 38.46 1.28/$1
                            * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.22, ROI 1.07/$1

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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 351087

                              #15
                              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



                              03/13/20, GP, Race 7, 4.10 ET
                              5F [Turf] 00.53.03 CLAIMING. Purse $28,000.
                              Claiming Price $16,000, if for $14,000, allowed 1 lb. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD
                              $1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
                              . . . .
                              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                              100.00 5 Two Cents Worth 6-1 Torres C A David Carlos A. TFEL 37.50 2.53/$1
                              097.35 8 Secret Miss 3-1 Saez L Crichton Rohan S 37.50 2.53/$1
                              094.75 6 Foxy Lady 8-1 Lopez P Azpurua. Jr. Eduardo J 37.50 2.53/$1
                              093.18 7 Princess Carrigan 4-1 Martinez G A Antonucci Jena M. 37.50 2.53/$1
                              091.23 3 Onezy's Dream 20-1 Gonzalez S McDonald Michael K. C 29.76 1.63/$1
                              090.25 1 One Hot Drama 6-1 Zayas E J Brownlee David R. 38.79 1.89/$1
                              089.15 4 Kerry It 20-1 Vasquez M A Ramirez Luis M. W 29.76 1.63/$1
                              000.00 2 Marva 1/5 No Rider Yet 30.80 1.30/$1
                              * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 23.33, ROI 0.91/$1
                              If Race Is Off Turf

                              Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                              After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
                              100.00 8 Secret Miss 3-1 Saez L Crichton Rohan TS 46.88 1.37/$1
                              099.22 5 Two Cents Worth 6-1 Torres C A David Carlos A. FEL 35.09 1.05/$1
                              097.02 6 Foxy Lady 8-1 Lopez P Azpurua. Jr. Eduardo J 23.28 0.75/$1
                              096.38 7 Princess Carrigan 4-1 Martinez G A Antonucci Jena M. W 23.28 0.75/$1
                              095.88 3 Onezy's Dream 20-1 Gonzalez S McDonald Michael K. C 30.99 1.15/$1
                              095.19 1 One Hot Drama 6-1 Zayas E J Brownlee David R. 34.43 1.59/$1
                              093.52 4 Kerry It 20-1 Vasquez M A Ramirez Luis M. 30.99 1.15/$1
                              000.00 2 Marva 1/5 No Rider Yet 23.28 0.75/$1
                              * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.57, ROI 0.74/$1
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