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3-unit Play Take Georgetown +2 over Xavier. (Sunday @ 2:00 pm est)
We like for Georgetown to snap their three-game slide after being embarrassed on the road at Marquette midweek, losing 93-72. The Hoyas are 10-6 at home this season and are scoring nearly 79 points per game. Georgetown find comfort at home where they are scoring more than six more points per game then they are giving up. McClung and Yurtseven are out once again, but Blair finally showed up in their loss to Marquette dropping 18. We like for the host to pull it together against one of the top teams in the conference. Xavier have traded wins and losses over their last four games going 2-2, but they are just 4-5 on the road and scoring two points less a game 68.6, than they are overall this season. We expect the Musketeers defense to be pushed against this strong home offense. Xavier can be hot and cold allow teams to get away from them, to only put pressure on themselves to pull it back. This line will likely continue to move as we get closer to game time.
UNDER 218
TORONTO @ DENVER | 3/01 | 6:00 PM EST
11:16 AM
The Raptors have not engaged in any shootouts lately, going Under in each of their last five contests. They lost three of those outings, scoring fewer than 100 points each time. Expect them to have difficulty again in this one.
30-21 IN LAST 51 NBA PICKS | +690
3-1 IN LAST 4 TOR O/U PICKS | +189
STANFORD -2
COLORADO @ STANFORD | 3/01 | 6:00 PM EST
11:06 AM
The Cardinal have followed a four-game slide with a three-game winning streak. Each of the triumphs has been by at least eight points. The Buffaloes have suffered back-to-back losses and dropped three of five since topping Stanford at home on Feb. 8. Colorado has managed 63 points or fewer in each of the setbacks.
UNDER 218
TORONTO @ DENVER | 3/01 | 6:00 PM EST
10:54 AM
Toronto was 33-for-95 from the field and Charlotte was 34-for-78 in the Hornets’ upset win on Friday. This is relevant because Toronto has 11 straight Unders following a loss in which it took at least 14 more shots than its opponent, with an average margin of minus-18.3 points. Denver is coming off a bad loss to the Los Angeles Clippers in which four of its five starters did not attempt a free throw. The Nuggets have 13 straight Unders at home following a double-digit loss as a road underdog in which they scored less than 15 percent of their points from free throws, staying Under by an average of 16.5 points. The Under has the value.
OVER 244.5
DALLAS @ MINNESOTA | 3/01 | 3:30 PM EST
10:48 AM
Dallas is coming off a back-and-forth 126-118 loss to Miami. This is a strong Over indicator, as the Over is 9-0 when the Mavericks are favored with less than two days' rest following a loss in which there were at least eight lead changes, with an average OU margin of plus 18.1 points. Minnesota has reeled off 10 straight Overs as an underdog after being outscored in the paint by double digits and 10 straight Overs as a dog after a game in which it allowed over 50 percent shooting. We are on the Over.
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