Tuesday 2-18-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Feb 18 '20, 7:08 PM in 1h
NHL | Maple Leafs vs Penguins
Play on: Maple Leafs +125 at Bovada

Free Pick on Maple Leafs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Feb 18 '20, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Northwestern vs Maryland
Play on: Northwestern +13 -109 at GTBets

1* on Northwestern +13 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Feb 18 '20, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Pittsburgh vs Florida State
Play on: Pittsburgh +11 -110 at Mirage

Tuesday CBB Free play. My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over Florida State at 8 pm et on Tuesday.
The revenge angle is certainly fueling this line with Pitt having defeated Florida State by a bucket back in November. The Panthers limp into this game off back-to-back losses. Note that they've yet to lose three games in a row this season so they could be heading into uncharted territory here. Florida State is fresh off back-to-back close games against Duke and Syracuse - splitting those two contests. While the Seminoles would certainly like to avenge that early season loss to the Panthers, I'm not convinced that Pitt draws a great deal of motivation from the 'Noles on a Tuesday night in February. I simply feel the Panthers are a live underdog catching a generous helping of points on a court where blowouts have been few and far between in ACC play this season. Take Pittsburgh (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Ramirez

Feb 18 '20, 8:08 PM in 2h
NHL | Devils vs Blues
Play on: Blues -1½ -104 at pinnacle

NHL 75 DIME GAME
BLUES -.1.5
New Jersey are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis. I have the Blues winning 4-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Feb 18 '20, 8:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Dayton vs VCU
Play on: Dayton -2½ -109 at GTBets

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Dayton -2.5
The Dayton Flyers are cheap tonight as only 2.5-point road favorites over the VCU Rams. Dayton is 23-2 on the season and 12-0 in conference play. They beat VCU 79-65 at home in their first meeting. VCU is 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last four games overall with double-digit road losses to Rhode Island and Richmond as well as an upset home loss to George Mason as 14.5-point favorites. I just don’t see how they’re supposed to compete with Dayton tonight given those recent results. VCU is 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season. The Rams are 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog. Give me Dayton.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Feb 18 '20, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Kentucky vs LSU
Play on: Kentucky +2½ -105 at YouWager

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Kentucky +2.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats going on the road and knocking off LSU. This typically a spot where I would look to take the home team, but that's just how little trust I personally have in this Tigers team.
LSU is tied for 2nd in the SEC at 9-3 with Auburn, who both trail Kentucky by 1-game. Thing is the Tigers are extremely lucky to be sitting where they are. Of their 9 wins, 6 have come by 4 or fewer points. We have seen that good fortune catch up to them here of late, as they have lost 3 of their last 4.
I think some people are giving them a pass because all 3 of those losses were on the road, but let's not overlook the lone win at home against a bad Missouri team by a mere 4-points.
Not to mention the lack of defense they are playing. LSU is giving up 83.8 ppg over their last 5 and 78.2 ppg in conference play. Tigers rank 12th in the conference in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense.
Sure the Tigers offense is good, but so is Kentucky's and the Wildcats play defense. Kentucky is No. 2 in the SEC in defensive efficiency and No. 1 in effective field goal defense. They are also No. 1 in 2-point defense %. LSU's offense is No. 1 in 2-point % but just No. 8 in 3-point %.
With this being the only meeting, a win here by Kentucky would be huge for a tie-breaker. There's also extra motivation here for some Wildcats, who have not forgot last year's 71-73 loss at home to LSU, which the Tigers won on a tip-in that looked a lot like goaltending. Give me Kentucky +2.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Feb 18 '20, 6:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Illinois vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -6 -110 at YouWager

My free play is on Penn St at 6:30 ET.The Penn State Nittany Lions entered the AP's top-10 on Monday, as their 20-5 record (10-4 in the Big Ten) has them now ranked 9th. Penn St has won EIGHT straight (8-0 ATS) and looks for a ninth consecutive victory and tries to stay close in the race for the Big Ten regular season crown (Nittany Lions are one game behind first-place Maryland) when it hosts Illinois on Tuesday. Penn St's current streak is its longest since joining the Big Ten in 1993. The Fighting Illini are 16-9, including 8-6 in the Big Ten (two games behind Penn State). However, unlike the Nittany Lions, Illinois has dropped FOUR straight following a seven-game winning streak.
Brad Underwood was a head coach at Stephen F Austin and Oklahoma St before being hired at Illinois back on March 18, 2017. He signed a six-year contract through 2023 worth $18 million but after two seasons in Champaign, his Fighting Illini were just 26-39 (11-27 in Big Ten play). However, as Underwood entered the current season, he returned FOUR starters from last season's team plus added 6-9 freshman center Kofi Cockburn. Illinois' seven-game winning streak had them 16-5 (8-2 in the Big Ten) and ranked 19th as January can\me to a close. However, an 0-4 start to February has the team reeling. Each of the first three losses during the slide were decided by single digits but then Illinois fell 72-57 at Rutgers on Saturday. That loss came with leading scorer Ayo Dosunmu (15.8-4.3-3.3) sidelined with a knee ailment, and his absence was felt. "Without our alpha, we competed, but you can't shoot 26 percent on the road (in the second half) and win," coach Brad Underwood said. Trouble is, Dosunmu will miss again tonight. Guards Feliz (11.2 & 4.8), Frazier (9.5) and Griffin (8.6 & 4.7) will have to step up. Illini freshman Cockburn (13.6 & 9.0) notched his 10th double-double Saturday with 10 points and 10 rebounds and is joined up front by the 6-9 Bezhanishvili (7.7 & 4.9).
Penn St won the NIT back in 2018 (26 wins) but fell off badly last season, finishing 14-18 (7-13 in the Big Ten). However, the Nittany Lions returned FOUR starters and seem to be headed to one of the school's best-ever seasons have impressed so far this season. Penn St entered the AP poll back on Dec 16 (at No. 23), giving the school its first top-25 ranking since March of 1996. Sounds impressive, right? It's even more so when one realizes that Penn St's previous top-25 ranking (to 1996) came back in 1954! As noted above, Penn St is now ranked 9th. 6-6 senior forward Lamar Stevens scored 23 points against Northwestern to boost his team-leading mark to 17.7 PPG (adds 6.8 PPG), while sophomore guard Myles Dread chipped in a season-high 16. Sophomore guard Myreon Jones, who ranks second to Stevens with 14.1 points per contest, missed his third straight game Saturday due to an illness and is questionable for this one. That means that fellow guards Brockington (9.8), Dread (8.3) and Curtis Jones (6.7) will see more time. The 6-9 Watkins adds 10.0 PPG and is the team's top rebounder at 8.0 per game.
I have no interest is 'stepping in front of' Penn St's 8-0 SU & ATS run with an Illinois team on a four-game losing streak and missing its best player (Dosunmu).
Good luck...Larry