Monday 2-17-20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct

Aqueduct - Race 6	Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8) Pick 4 (.50) Races (6-9), Double Wagers
SO $50,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 79 • Purse: $55,000 • Post: 3:25P
(UP TO $9,570 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $50,000 (1.5% AFTERCARE ASSESSMENT DUE AT TIME OF CLAIM OTHERWISE CLAIM WILL BE VOID).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * RUDE AWAKING: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt o r turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. OFFICER HUTCHY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three i n TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5	RUDE AWAKING	7/2	3/1
6	OFFICER HUTCHY	2/1	9/2

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	RUDE AWAKING	5	7/2	Front-runner	77	77	74.5	73.5	68.5
4	LAKE CHICOT	4	15/1	Front-runner	63	64	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	CRUISING STRONG	7	8/1	Stalker	69	70	60.0	62.5	50.0
8	VIBRANCY	8	5/1	Stalker	76	71	58.8	61.6	56.1
1	MAKE OR BREAK	1	4/1	Trailer	80	67	49.5	62.5	53.0
3	WIGGLE AND JIGGLE	3	6/1	Trailer	72	80	48.7	64.3	53.8
6	OFFICER HUTCHY	6	2/1	Trailer	85	80	45.1	75.0	71.5
9	BELLA INVASION	9	50/1	Alternator/Non-contender	71	61	57.0	52.8	37.8
2	THE NEW MIAMI	2	30/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	56	42.9	41.9	27.4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 5	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 81 • Purse: $22,100 • Post: 2:36P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. LUNAR BUCK is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LUNAR BUCK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surf ace. TRY TRY AGAIN: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BANANA PEPPER: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surfac e. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. HOWARD OF LUCK: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3	LUNAR BUCK	5/2	9/2
2	TRY TRY AGAIN	5/1	5/1
5	BANANA PEPPER	6/1	6/1
1A	HOWARD OF LUCK	7/2	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	LUNAR BUCK	2	5/2	Front-runner	78	53	69.8	54.8	48.8
1A	HOWARD OF LUCK	4	7/2	Stalker	69	57	59.6	54.8	49.8
5	BANANA PEPPER	6	6/1	Alternator/Stalker	73	76	58.5	62.7	57.7
2	TRY TRY AGAIN	1	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	73	75	52.6	67.4	60.9
6	MONTANA GUY	7	8/1	Trailer	70	54	19.0	51.2	42.2
1	CREASY	3	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	0	0	0.0	23.7	14.2

Unknown Running Style: BOURBON MOMENT (3/1) [Jockey: Rosario Jr Hector L - Trainer: Chapman James K], SHESGONEMOVEON (10/1) [Jockey: Leon Sonny - Trainer: Reed Eric R].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Gate Fields - Race #7 - Post: 3:50pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating:

#3 ZAKAR (ML=3/1)
#8 AWESOME DRIVE (ML=10/1)


ZAKAR - This filly is in exceptional condition right now. Ran second last out and comes back soon. Hernandez's agent must enjoy anytime Wong gives them a mount; win percentage together is good. Earnings per start is something that I feel can be a vital factor. This racer is ranked number 1 in this field. AWESOME DRIVE - Faced tougher last out at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbre. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker group, so I will put this one on my list of strong contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MYLITTLERUNAWAY (ML=2/1), #4 FOGGY BOTTOM (ML=7/2), #5 CLAUDIA JEAN (IRE) (ML=5/1),

MYLITTLERUNAWAY - Not much value on this entrant at the probable odds of 2/1. FOGGY BOTTOM - This filly showed very liitle last time. CLAUDIA JEAN (IRE) - Unlikely that this animal will finish better than she did last out when ending up fifth.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 ZAKAR on the nose if you can get odds of 8/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,8]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Optional Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $47000 Class Rating: 94

FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE DECEMBER 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 6 FORERUN 9/2
# 2 CHARGE THE LINE 3/1
# 7 SALTEE STARK 6/1

FORERUN is my choice. This pony has some longshot angles going for him. He has very good class ratings, averaging 97, and has to be carefully examined in this competition. Looks strong for the conditions of this affair today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races as of late. CHARGE THE LINE - He has been running soundly and the speed figures are among the top in this group of horses in this race. Trainer boasts sharp win figures at this distance and surface. SALTEE STARK - Is worth looking at and may be a bet - strong speed figures (79 average) at today's distance and surface recently. Duhon has a strong win percent with horses racing in dirt sprint races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

02/17/20, OP, Race 5, 2.37 CT
6F [Dirt] 1.07.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $85,000.
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	5	Gurl You Fine	6-1	Luzzi L J	Hornsby Tammy	FL
099.9427	2	Miss Notorious	4-1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.
099.3051	3	Tipsy Gal	7/2	Garcia M	Stewart Dallas
098.9744	8	French Cafe	9/2	Mojica O	Maker Michael J.	JSE
098.2288	1	Quick Decision	10-1	Harr K	Jones J. Larry	W
097.8953	4	Lucky Betty	6-1	Cannon D	VanMeter William B.
096.7226	6	Sacred Union	8-1	Baze T	Hollendorfer Jerry
096.5989	7	She's Xtremely Hot(b+)	10-1	Cohen D	Robertson McLean	TC
094.6926	10	Call Dish	12-1	Birzer A	Smith Kenny P.
094.0153	9	Adhwaa(b+)	20-1	Hill C	Peitz Daniel C.

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to OP.

5	155.40	21.80	1.39	44.78	90	201	Last Race Was Same Jockey
2	97.80	21.80	1.25	39.39	78	198	Race Sex Females
3	97.80	21.80	1.25	39.39	78	198	Race Sex Females
8	97.80	21.80	1.25	39.39	78	198	Race Sex Females
1	97.80	21.80	1.25	39.39	78	198	Race Sex Females
4	97.80	21.80	1.25	39.39	78	198	Race Sex Females
6	97.80	21.80	1.25	39.39	78	198	Race Sex Females
7	97.80	21.80	1.25	39.39	78	198	Race Sex Females
10	97.80	21.80	1.25	39.39	78	198	Race Sex Females
9	155.40	21.80	1.39	44.78	90	201	Last Race Was Same Jockey

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 1.01, Win% 31.55

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 10 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 83

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 17. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 MADAME TIGER 7/2
# 1A BOURBON HONEY 6/1
# 7 QUEEN OF SCHMOOZE 9/2

I've got to go with MADAME TIGER. This mare gets a boost with Sanchez in the irons. The average class fig alone makes this entrant a definite contender. Vazquez has this mare racing well and is a respectable pick based on the solid speed figures earned in sprint races lately. BOURBON HONEY - Recorded a strong speed fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. Difficult to pass on this mare with Silvera in the saddle. QUEEN OF SCHMOOZE - This animal is prominent in this field in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Has ran admirably in dirt sprint races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Laurel - Race #3 - Post: 1:22pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating:

#3 CLOSE THE DEAL (ML=2/1)


CLOSE THE DEAL - This jockey/trainer duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +125. Looking at the pps on all of these thoroughbreds, this is the only one to stalk. Worth a serious look at this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 PETION LASS (ML=8/5), #5 PRINCESS A'GO GO (ML=5/2),

PETION LASS - I don't normally play a chalk horse that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. Recorded a run-of-the-mill speed figure last out in a $5,000 Claiming race on Jan 10th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that fig. PRINCESS A'GO GO - Granted the last race was strong, finishing first. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though. The fig last time out doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class figure of today's affair. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable challenger.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CLOSE THE DEAL - Analysis shows this mare's last speed number of 68 is as good as any. Don't overlook this mare in your gambling.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 CLOSE THE DEAL to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	3 with 5
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

02/17/20, GP, Race 5, 2.34 ET
1M [Turf] 1.31.02 STARTER STAKE. Purse $60,000.
Presidentress Stakes
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	6	La Cara Bonita	6-1	Saez L	Loza. Jr. Efren	TEL
097.3384	3	Little Bit Good	10-1	Ortiz J L	Spatz Ronald B.	W
097.2561	8	Rising Bella	4-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Klesaris Steve	J
097.2457	4	Tournesol	8-1	Gaffalione T	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	FC
096.6470	2	Richies Great Girl	3-1	Lebron V	Rivelli Larry
096.3998	11	Addison	6-1	Saez L	Romans Dale L.
096.0839	7	Queen of God	7/2	Gonzalez S	Maker Michael J.	S
095.1897	10	Drop a Hint	8-1	Sanchez J	Fuentes Mauricio
095.0116	5	Queen Field	12-1	Lopez P	Sano Antonio
094.6879	12	Wicked Solution	8-1	Vasquez M A	Braddy J. David
094.4558	9	Princess Ulele	15-1	Torres C A	Fawkes David
093.5520	1	La Rusia	20-1	Zayas E J	Sanchez Amador Merei

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets for this condition. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

6	202.20	28.20	1.45	37.33	84	225	Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
3	199.20	28.20	1.32	39.05	123	315	First Race After 45 Days Off
8	199.20	28.20	1.32	39.05	123	315	First Race After 45 Days Off
4	172.80	20.20	1.25	37.93	132	348	Last Race Was Same Jockey
2	202.20	28.20	1.45	37.33	84	225	Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
11	199.20	28.20	1.32	39.05	123	315	First Race After 45 Days Off
7	174.00	20.20	1.41	43.66	93	213	Best Speed
10	202.20	28.20	1.45	37.33	84	225	Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
5	172.80	20.20	1.25	37.93	132	348	Last Race Was Same Jockey
12	159.00	28.20	1.23	36.28	123	339	Race Age Not 4Up
9	202.20	28.20	1.45	37.33	84	225	Last Race Distance Is Less Than Today
1	172.80	20.20	1.25	37.93	132	348	Last Race Was Same Jockey

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fm/hd" - ROI 0.86, Win% 23.08
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser

100.0000	4	Tournesol	8-1	Gaffalione T	Joseph. Jr. Saffie A.	FEC
098.3868	6	La Cara Bonita	6-1	Saez L	Loza. Jr. Efren	L
096.8872	3	Little Bit Good	10-1	Ortiz J L	Spatz Ronald B.	W
096.2785	2	Richies Great Girl	3-1	Lebron V	Rivelli Larry	T
096.1041	11	Addison	6-1	Saez L	Romans Dale L.
095.7565	12	Wicked Solution	8-1	Vasquez M A	Braddy J. David
094.9541	8	Rising Bella	4-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Klesaris Steve	J
094.4069	7	Queen of God	7/2	Gonzalez S	Maker Michael J.
093.8051	9	Princess Ulele	15-1	Torres C A	Fawkes David
093.0275	5	Queen Field	12-1	Lopez P	Sano Antonio
092.8754	10	Drop a Hint	8-1	Sanchez J	Fuentes Mauricio	S
092.0552	1	La Rusia	20-1	Zayas E J	Sanchez Amador Merei

After scratches, a horse Pgm# with profit must be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race type and exclusive to GP.

4	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
6	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
3	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
2	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
11	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
12	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
8	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
7	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
9	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
5	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
10	92.40	17.60	1.16	34.38	99	288	*Not Actual Post 1 And Distance is 1m
1	65.40	17.60	1.11	34.34	102	297	*Actual Post Not Greater Than 9 And Distance is 1m

Top rated horse with "Race Surface Not fst/wf" - ROI 0.97, Win% 37.84
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top rated horse.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Aqueduct - Race #3

#4 Awesome Party	Pletcher charge didn't run an inch on debut at GP and now heads north, but he cost 700k, so they obviously liked him, and he now gets two turns, while facing two uninspiring favorites as well; expecting a big turnaround.
#5 Distorted Sky	The chalk will be bet hard for Mott and the dirt debut last time was solid, but it was also unspectacular, yet he'll be an underlaid short price here, so sure, he's got a huge chance, but also little margin for error; second-best.
#2 Cowtown	Major player actually beat the 5 last time but he also had a big experience edge too, butt hat's gone today, he's another who will be overbet, and, after five lifetime starts, there's no upside here either; underneath only.
Race Summary	You need to be creative to come up with the 4 but there's reason to think he's running much better here, and Pletcher won with a runner like this earlier this week who bombed on debut, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4, as a win would go a long way in adding a ton of value to both sequences, as the two favorites will clearly bottom out the betting.

Aqueduct - Race #6

#1 Make Or Break	Dangerous newcomer aired in his MCL win last time and now goes off the Atras claim, a stiff 26% move, and in a race that looks there for the taking, he might be the one to grab it; look out.
#6 Officer Hutchy	Versatile sort can lay anywhere, so expect him to be up close, as there's not a ton of pace, and that 2nd last time was sharp, though he's underlay at this 2-1 ML price; second-best again.
#5 Rude Awakening	MSW winner rises in class and faces winners, but is also oddly in for a tag, so off that solid win, with just two starts, it's a bit worrisome that he'd dangling for sale; tread lightly if landing here.
Race Summary	That 4-1 ML on the pick seems very fair, as he enters off a breakthrough win and doesn't meet much, while going for a potent new barn as well, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying him in the late Pk5 and to kick off the late Pk4, as he looks on the improve here with a bullet, which isn't the case for the rest of these.

Aqueduct - Race #8

#6 Cerretalto	Resurrection project for Bond has somehow found his form again n his last two, and both wins have been awesome and put him squarely in the mix here, so while this is against much tougher, he's going to trip out and has every right to make a big dent; upset special.
#8 Arthur's Hope	The chalk looked good wiring a very good NYB stakes group last time, and this outside attack gives him options, and he has stalked and won in the past, so he's a huge player here, though you wonder if he regresses off such a big win last time; scary, but no lock either.
#1 My Boy Tate	Stalker bounced off his big return win last time, when he was 5th behind 'Hope, so he's eligible to bounce back and be a big threat here, but the rail is no great shakes, and note he's 4-for-4 on an off-track and 2-for-9 on fast ones, so tab the weather too; mixed signals here.
Race Summary	The price should be right on the 6, as there are other more proven stakes runners who will be bet hard, so he could fall through the wagering cracks, and if that's the case, based on his last two wins, 5-1 or so would be well worth the risk-reward and a stiff win and place bet, and you'll get some additional value by using him in the late Pk5/Pk4, as he's coming in the right way, and either of his last two wins, on paper, put him right on the line with these.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Turf Paradise - Race #6

#3 Sindy's Revenge	Finished well into solid splits in the debut run, and the pace figures to be honest again this time around. Maybe.
#5 Speedy Gigi	Impressed in the debut run, but that forward spot is going to be a pretty popular place to be, and she'll likely have to win an early battle before dealing with the top choice late.
#8 Very Boisterous	Longshot has pretty dull form, especially on the dirt, but like the top choice she figures to get a good run into it. Might be able to land a piece underneath.
Race Summary	Sindy's Revenge should get a really nice race flow if this one stays intact. Her ability to settle a bit and finish while several forward players battle it out early will likely leave her an intriguing late threat.

Turf Paradise - Race #8

#3 Kaleidoscope Kid	There's nothing terribly impressive about this guy's turf form, but it's reliable enough and the figures fit really well with what it would take to score here.
#5 Samurai Jack	Recent form has been really sharp, but his back runs on the grass weren't really anything to write home about. That said, he's clearly a better horse now than he was when he last tried the lawn. Underlay?
#8 Gimme Some Slack	Doesn't seem out of the question after a good effort at this level last time out, and he should get a decent kind of spying trip with his tactical pace from a wide draw.
Race Summary	Kaleidoscope Kid has quietly done some decent work in some of those recent races, and that should allow him to head to post a bit overlooked on the tote.

Turf Paradise - Race #2

#2 Chattin With Jenny	Tough to trust after 14 chances, but she was competitive with slightly better last time out and and doesn't meet much in here outside of....
#4 Decarchys Dream	She has put together several solid effort in a row, but she's always in the right spot late and can't seal the deal, so I wouldn't want too short a price here.
#1 Grateful Praise	Drops in a big way off the long layoff, and your guess is as good as mine ass to what kind of effort she's going to show up with today. Wouldn't be a surprise to see her win this or finish up the track.
Race Summary	Chattin With Jenny is the kind of horse I try to stay away from, but this is a field full of the types of horses I try to stay away from. She gets the slight edge and would be playable at anything better than her ML offering.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Gulfstream Park - Race #2

#4 Vinnie Van Go	Had a two-win streak broken last out when he pressed and tired; capable of getting to the front vs. these, but on occasion has come from just off the pace.
#6 Take Charge Dude	Didn't break last time on the turf but was in excellent form on dirt; can be close throughout and has won four for Joseph barn, which is still hitting at 27 percent.
#5 Travy Boy	Usually does well over this strip and won a Millions Sprint Prevue at Gulfstream West; capable of another good performance here.
Race Summary	Vinnie Van Go has more of an adjustable running style than most of the these and can adapt to the pace. Might be overlooked.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#3 Quenane	Is a seven-time winner over the GP strip and is working on a third-straight win; has a good closing move.
#6 To Dare	Would likely be the one to benefit the more from a fast pace; has closed went in several of his races and looks ready for a return to top form.
#2 Yodel E.A. Who	Was on fire late last year and opened this year with a good 2nd; strong on the front end.
Race Summary	Quenane has enough speed to stay in range and can beat the deep closers to the punch.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#9 Fast Loaded	Lightly raced and has won two of three starts; is extremely rapid, could get clear early and stands as the one to run down.
#1 Captain D	Makes his 1st of the year after winning a pair of races last fall, including the Juvenile Turf at GP West; has done well in open races.
#5 Disc Jockey	Was an easy winner in both starts and takes a step up for this one; was much the best last time and will be rolling at the leaders.
Race Summary	Fast Loaded was 3rd in his 1st of the year and has been in front in all of his races; jockey Jaramillo excels on the front end.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Al Cimaglia: February 17-Mohawk Park Pick 5 Analysis

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February 17, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
The 0.20 Pick 5 kicks off the card at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The sequence has a $75,000 guaranteed pool and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 1

2-Emily Antoinette (4-1)-Raced well in defeat coming off a sick scratch against a tough winner. Looks like it could be picture time but doesn't standout well above the others.
5-Forged In Fire (8-1)-Drew off by >10 lengths at FlmD and now tries the big track. Fits into this condition because of earnings. May continue winning ways off of last confidence builder.
6-Hoya Saxa (10-1)-Gets a new set of hands in JMac and looking for a price. Was too far back into a slow half and the race before got on the engine and faded. Maybe finds the sweet spot and gets an honest pace and rolls by late.
9-Up And Trending (8-1)-Post draw doesn't help but comes off a nice qualifier and stayed flat with a 58.3 back half. Here's another with some ability and this filly may be ready for a big try.

Race 2

1-Hammering Haley (2-1)-14-time winner in 2019 makes 2nd start off a claim for Auciello. Finished 3rd to some tough mares in last and looks like a major player tonight.
6-Lucky Player (7/2)-Makes 1st start for Cullen barn and Henry steers. Camera shy 7-year-old is in good form and is a solid threat with any improvement off the claim.

Race 3

4-TLF Royal Lake (3-1)-4-year-old makes 3rd career start and does like to trot in the back half of miles. Maybe McClure can avoid a very sluggish start and if fractions are swift chances go up.
9-Charmbo Prince (8-1)-Makes 3rd start and has been sharp in both outings. Trotted the back half in .58 in winning last as an odds-on chalk. As long as the fractions are honest chances for a repeat are good.

Race 4

2-Tomy Terror (5-1)-Was used hard from the 7-hole and got the top but faded late. That was a sharp effort and a new tactic. Should be put in play early and can pop at a square price with a decent trip.
7-Casimir Overdrive (2-1)-Claimed again and posted another win. Now starts for the Johnson barn and Roy will be looking for some cover and then try to pull away down the lane.

Race 5

1-Mr Contestant (9/2)-Drops into a spot to shine and could be put in play from the first call. Looking for a big try and might get the 2-hole trip behind #2.
2-Hockey Hanover (7/2)-Thinking the front end will hold-up better than it did with this crew last time. Should be bet and can probably get the top without much strain.

0.20 Pick 5

2,5,6,9/1,6/4,9/2,7/1,2
Total Bet=$32

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Wagering Strategies for 2/17/20

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February 17, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita

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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Handicappers also are encouraged to access Jeff’s Daily Santa Anita Workout Analysis (see below), an exclusive report containing commentary, fractional times, grades, and a link to the video of the actual workout by each race’s key contenders.

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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Today’s Day Makers: View Video

Today’s Workout Analysis: View PDF File
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RACE 1: Post 12:30 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Wind Tartare; 3-Playa Chica

Forecast: Playa Chica is a first-off-the-claim play from the A. Lerner barn, which boasts sensational stats (41%) with this angle. She drops from $35,000 to $25,000, which normally might be considered suspicious but not with this trainer and could find herself on or near the lead in a race that projects to be slowly run early. In an open fray, the daughter of English Channel seems as good as any. Wind Tartare is winless in seven starts over the local lawn but returns to her proper level and has hit the board in four of her last five starts. She’ll be running on late. Let’s try to get by using just these two in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Playa Chica.
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RACE 2: Post 12:58 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 3-Wilshire Dude; 4-Conquest Cobra

Forecast: Conquest Cobra, a game winner of a $12,500 claiming sprint here last month, moves up a notch and stretches out again after a series of sprint races that should have him sharp enough to be comfortably placed on or near the lead. He’s won at this trip in the past and picks up hot-riding F. Prat. Wilshire Dude, freshened since mid-December, has a big look off his clever score at Golden Gate Fields two runs back. He’s won on this main track in the past and should draft into a favorable pace-stalking position and then have every chance from the quarter pole home. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with a slight preference on top going to Conquest Cobra.
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RACE 3: Post 1:28 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Pretty Point; 3-Kittyhawk Lass

Forecast: Pretty Point, freshened since finishing a nice third in the American Oaks-G1 on opening day in late December when she earned a career top speed figure, returns to the first-level allowance ranks and switches to F. Prat. From her rail post the daughter of Point of Entry is assured a good ground-saving trip and with a repeat of her last race she should be along in time. Kittyhawk Lass has rising speed figures and a good stalking style. With another forward move, she’ll be right there. We’ll give Pretty Point the edge on top but both should be used in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 4: Post 1:58 PT. Grade: X
Single: 1-Ce Ce

Forecast: Ce Ce is infinitely faster than her rivals in this entry-level allowance sprint, so if the daughter of Elusive Quality is anywhere close to being fit she’ll beat this field at a very short price. The M. McCarthy-trained filly won her debut over this track last spring so we know she can fire fresh, and while her current work tab isn’t flashy she should be tight enough to return a winner. At 4/5 on the morning line she doesn’t offer any wagering value other than as a short price rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post 2:28 PT. Grade: B
Use: 1-Blackout; 7-Castle

Forecast: Blackout goes for new connections after being claimed out of a winning effort at this price ($32,000) over this course and distance last month. F. Prat stays aboard for J. Mullins and should have this French-bred gelding in an ideal stalking spot from his rail post position. The numbers are solid, so let’s expect a repeat score. We’ll also toss in Castle,winner of the California Flag Stakes for state-bred turf sprinters here during the fall meeting. Fourth earlier this meeting vs. tougher, the M. Glatt-trained gelding drops for the money run, retains A. Cedillo, and should have every chance from a pace-prompting/setting trip in a field without a whole lot of sprint speed.
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RACE 6: Post 2:58 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Big Hoof Dynamite; 5-Govenor Cinch

Forecast: Big Hoof Dynamite just broke his maiden in a $50,000 seller over this main track and distance and equaled his career top speed figure. Since then he’s joined the E. Truman barn and really won’t have to improve much at all to score right back in this $40,000 claimer restricted to 3-year-olds. Govenor Cinch is worth including in rolling exotic play as well. On pure numbers he’s right there with ‘Dynamite and this return to the main track and to the claiming ranks makes him a proper fit.
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RACE 7: Post 3:31 PT. Grade: X
Use: 2-Apache Princess; 3-Kentan Road

Forecast: Kentan Road is clearly the controlling speed in a race that doesn’t have much of it, so we’re expecting the daughter of Into Mischief to take control early without need of urging and then have every chance to dominate throughout. She was second to unbeaten Jolie Olympic over this course and distance last month and she’s facing nobody near that tough today. Apache Princess always has been most dangerous as a late-running sprinter and should be heard from in the final furlong. She was a strong third place effort in the Sunshine Millions Turf here last month but will need some help up front to have her best chance, and on paper her main rival projects to have an easy time of it up front. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics and then have extra tickets keying Kentan Road on top.
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RACE 8: Post 4:02 PT. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Ruby Bradley; 4-Atina; 6-Tiz Wonderfully

Forecast: The nightcap is a $16,000 restricted (nw-3) middle distance main track claimer for fillies and mares and requires a spread in rolling exotic play. Bay Area invader Atina seems well-spotted for a major effort; the Argentine-bred mare is a fit on speed figures, has winning connections, and owns a good stalking style that should ensure a trouble-free trip. Ruby Bradley and Tiz Wonderfully, two-three finishers in a similar affair last month, figure in the battle right back, with the former, a state-bred stakes winner and successful twice over the local dirt strip but not particularly fast on speed figures, likely to get plenty of play. We’ll try to get by using just these three but if you can afford to spread deeper, go right ahead.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, February 17, 2020


2/17 03:30 PM PT / 6:30 PM ET

CB (861) XAVIER VS (862) ST. JOHNS

Take: (861) XAVIER

Reason: Your free play from Jim Feist for Monday, February 17, 2020 is in the college basketball contest between Xavier and St Johns. Your free play from Jim is on 861. Xavier -2 points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals4U

Monday's Free Selection: Idaho/Portland State over 148 1/2