Service Plays Saturday 1/4/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 351087

    #31
    Lee Sterling

    30 Texans
    25 Tulane
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 351087

      #32
      Mississippi Kid
      Tenn Titans +5 1U

      Tulane -7 1U
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 351087

        #33
        Wayne Root

        Millionaires Marquette -1

        No Limit Club Tulane +7.5

        Perfect Play Iowa +2.5

        Inner Circle Auburn -1.5

        Pinnacle Texas Tech -6
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 351087

          #34
          Wayne Root NFL

          MILL New England -
          No Limit Houston -
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 351087

            #35
            TONY FINN NFL SATURDAY

            FINNs AFC WILDCARD PRIVATE PLAY
            Game: (141) Buffalo Bills at (142) Houston Texans
            Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 4:35 PM EST
            Betting Line Provider: Heritage
            Play Rating: 4%
            Play: Total Under 44.0 (-108)

            View Analysis

            PLAY: Under the Total of 44 (good to 43)
            4% confidence rating

            (141) Buffalo Bills at (142) Houston Texans
            Game analysis upcoming
            UNDER the TOTAL of 44
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 351087

              #36
              DWAYNE BRYANTFOOTBALL PLAYS

              • Game: (141) Buffalo Bills at (142) Houston Texans
                Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 4:35 PM EST
                Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                Play Rating: 3%
                Play: Buffalo Bills 2.5 (-110)

                View Analysis

                4:35 PM ET -- NFL

                141 Buffalo Bills
                142 Houston Texans

                PLAY --> #141 BUFFALO BILLS +2.5

                BET SIZE --> 3%

                Love getting points with the better defense. Buffalo's D allowed the second-fewest points per game, and ranks #3 in fewest yards allowed. Houston's D allowed the fourth-most passing yards this season, and allowed the fifth-most yards per game.

                Houston actually has a negative point differential on the season (-7), while Buffalo is +55.

                The Texans have the better QB in Deshaun Watson, but Buffalo's Josh Allen is more than capable of getting the job done against this Texans defense.

                I also like Bills head coach Sean McDermott over Houston's Bill O'Brien.

                Put a little on the money line, too.

                PLAY BUFFALO.
              • Game: (143) Tennessee Titans at (144) New England Patriots
                Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 8:15 PM EST
                Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                Play Rating: 3%
                Play: New England Patriots -5.0 (-110)

                View Analysis

                8:15 PM ET -- NFL

                143 Tennessee Titans
                144 New England Patriots

                PLAY --> #144 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5

                BET SIZE --> 3%

                The Patriots have not looked dominant in quite some time. The offense struggles much of the time. New England just lost at home to Miami as double-digit chalk last Sunday, while the Titans rolled the Texans in Houston. Tennessee has looked very tough since Ryan Tannehill took over at QB. Add it all up, and many bettors like the Titans. But last week's loss just adds fuel to the fire for a Patriots side that hasn't had to play on Wild Card weekend in ten years. The experience edge Belichick and Brady have over Vrabel and Tannehill is significant (this is Tannehill's first playoff start). The Patriots have been playoff home chalk of less than a TD three times since 2015. They are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in that role. Just when you're ready to count the Patriots out, they deliver (see our Patriots pick over Buffalo from two weeks ago).

                PLAY NEW ENGLAND.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 351087

                #37
                Paul Leiner
                3000- Hous o44
                100- NE -4.5
                100- Tulane o56.5
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 351087

                  #38
                  nbaclubinfo
                  Sacramento Kings - New Orleans Pelicans
                  Over 222
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 351087

                    #39
                    Tony Finn BASKETBALL PLAYS

                    FINNs SAT CBB ALL-ACCESS GAME I
                    Game: (701) Oregon at (702) Utah U
                    Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 5:00 PM EST
                    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
                    Play Rating: 4%
                    Play: Utah U 6.0 (-110)

                    View Analysis

                    PLAY: Utah Utes +6 (good to +4)
                    4% confidence rating

                    (701) Oregon at (702) Utah U
                    The quick turnaround, from Thursday night to Saturday afternoon is difficult for even flexable college athletes that have most everything paid for and help with their studies. Seeing that this game comes on the heels of a Thursday night event isn't as overwhelming than it will be in late January and February when school work is required. It is even more difficult considering this is the second game at altitude against a quality opponent in less than 48 hours.
                    More game analysis posted Saturday morning
                    UTAH +6 points

                    FINNs SAT CBB ALL-ACCESS GAME II
                    Game: (729) Iowa State at (730) TCU
                    Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 6:00 PM EST
                    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                    Play Rating: 4%
                    Play: TCU -3.5 (-112)

                    View Analysis

                    PLAY: TCU Frogs -3.5 (play good tro -6)
                    4% confidence rating
                    (729) Iowa State at (730) TCU
                    The perimeter defense of the Horned Frogs is the best that this beyond the arc challenged ISU group has or will see in 2019-20. The four guard set of the Frogs assist in nearly 65% of all points scored.
                    More gameday analysis posted shortly.
                    TCU HORNED FROGS -3.5

                    FINNs SAT CBB ALL-ACCESS GAME III
                    Game: (719) Alabama at (720) Florida
                    Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 6:00 PM EST
                    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                    Play Rating: 4%
                    Play: Florida -6.5 (-108)

                    View Analysis

                    PLAY: Florida Gators -6.5 (good to -10)
                    4% confidence rating
                    (719) Alabama at (720) Florida
                    The Crimson Tide under a first-year head coach have yet to come together to the level that is neccessary to be competitive with the top half of the conference clubs, e.g. Florida Gators.
                    Bama is a guard-heavy offensive scheme that only on rare occasions do they find the Rocky Mountains to take the ball to the rim.
                    The matchup for the Tide versus a Gator perimeter defense that is argualby the best in the SEC is not a favorable matchup, especially being played in Floriday.
                    More game analysis shortly
                    FLORIDA GATORS -6.5 points
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 351087

                      #40
                      Originally posted by Can'tPickAWinner
                      TONY FINN NFL SATURDAY

                      FINNs AFC WILDCARD PRIVATE PLAY
                      Game: (141) Buffalo Bills at (142) Houston Texans
                      Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 4:35 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Total Under 44.0 (-108)

                      View Analysis

                      PLAY: Under the Total of 44 (good to 43)
                      4% confidence rating

                      (141) Buffalo Bills at (142) Houston Texans
                      Game analysis upcoming
                      UNDER the TOTAL of 44
                      FINNs AFC WILDCARD: PATS v TITANS
                      Game: (143) Tennessee Titans at (144) New England Patriots
                      Date/Time: Jan 4 2020 8:15 PM EST
                      Betting Line Provider: William Hill
                      Play Rating: 4%
                      Play: Tennessee Titans 5.5 (-110)

                      View Analysis

                      PLAY: Tennessee Titans +5.5 (good to +4)
                      4% confidence rating
                      (143) Tennessee Titans at (144) New England Patriots
                      Game analysis posted shortly
                      TENNESSEE TITANS +5.5
                      Play: Tennessee Titans 5.5 (-110)
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 351087

                        #41
                        Mike Tierney
                        TOP DOG

                        9:48 AM
                        TENNESSEE +4.5
                        TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
                        At the risk of opting against Tom Brady, a famously bad-weather QB, the rainy forecast favors Tennessee with indefatigable RB Derrick Henry. The Titans do not throw much anyway with QB Ryan Tannehill, who has proven efficient down the season’s stretch. This line is boosted by the Patriots’ incomparable playoff success, which cannot be discounted. But the visitors have been superior lately, as a 5-2 ATS record attests, while the Pats closed 1-4-1 ATS. New England went 3-3 straight-up this season against plus-.500 foes, and every winning margin was by one score. Take Tennessee.

                        58-31-5 IN LAST 94 NFL PICKS | +2391
                        12-5 IN LAST 17 NE ATS PICKS | +648

                        11-6 IN LAST 17 TEN ATS PICKS | +439
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 351087

                          #42
                          Doc's Sports Consensus Picks


                          CONS:1/3/20

                          NBA
                          6 #573 Take NO +10.5 ov LAL

                          NHL
                          6 #75 Take Was +110 ov Car

                          CBB
                          5 #850 Take Mar +5.5 ov Qui,
                          5 #855 Take NK -4 ov Det
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 351087

                            #43
                            NFAC

                            SATURDAY 1-4-19 =
                            144) New England -4.5...($800) via Bookmaker - Upgraded
                            141) Over 43.5 Buffalo-Houston...($600) via Cantor
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 351087

                              #44
                              Kenny White

                              Kenny White learned the bookmaking business on his father's knee. By age 24 he was running a sportsbook and at 26 he was setting lines for Vegas' biggest casinos. A two-time winner of the prestigious Stardust Football Invitational, the originator of Player Power Ratings and the former head of the powerful Las Vegas Sports Consultants, Kenny arrived to SportsLine armed with new algorithms, ready to exploit mistakes in the betting line. One of his specialties is CBB over-unders: he's 58-44 all-time.

                              TENNESSEE +4.5
                              TENNESSEE @ NEW ENGLAND | 1/04 | 8:15 PM EST
                              10:07 AM
                              Since Ryan Tannehill took over as the starting quarterback for Tennessee, the Titans have won seven of 10 games. Tennessee played six teams with a winning record, and in those games the offense averaged 6.0 yards per carry and 9.4 yards per pass. Last week against Houston, Derrick Henry ran for 211 yards and three touchdowns. Meanwhile the Patriots lost two home games in December, including last week as a 17-point favorite with a bye on the line. The Patriots have been outgained in four of their last six games and are 1-4-1 ATS against teams with a winning record. Take the points.

                              16-9-1 IN LAST 26 NFL PICKS | +604
                              2-1 IN LAST 3 TEN ATS PICKS | +85

                              HOUSTON -2.5
                              BUFFALO @ HOUSTON | 1/04 | 4:35 PM EST
                              9:58 AM
                              Buffalo has played five games against teams with a winning record and has gone 1-4 while averaging just 14.2 points per game. Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson rates out three points better than the average quarterback while Buffalo's Josh Allen, who will be playing his first playoff game, was one point below average. Defensive lineman J.J. Watt returns for Houston, which is a one-point upgrade for the Texans defense. I have Houston.

                              16-9-1 IN LAST 26 NFL PICKS | +604
                              2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +90

                              2-1 IN LAST 3 BUF ATS PICKS | +85
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 351087

                                #45
                                Jeff Ma

                                Houston -2.5 Buffalo
                                New England -5 Tennessee
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